2014 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Les Snead

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 256 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2014 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

2014 class highlighted · 34 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1
1.13	Aaron Donald	DT	LAR	Les Snead	123	154	10	8
1.5	Khalil Mack	LB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	105	64	9	3
1.16	Zack Martin	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	103	162	9	7
2.36	Derek Carr	QB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	93	142	4
2.53	Davante Adams	WR	GB	Ted Thompson	92	116	6	3
1.17	C.J. Mosley	LB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	81	77	5
1.7	Mike Evans	WR	TB	Jason Licht	80	176	6
2.34	DeMarcus Lawrence	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	78	141	5
1.6	Jake Matthews	T	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	75	196	1
2.35	Joel Bitonio	G	CLE	Ray Farmer	75	178	7	2

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.58	Stanley Jean-Baptiste	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	4
2.52	Troy Niklas	TE	ARI	Steve Keim	1	4
2.51	Ego Ferguson	DT	CHI	Phil Emery	2	2
1.8	Justin Gilbert	DB	CLE	Ray Farmer	4	3
1.22	Johnny Manziel	QB	CLE	Ray Farmer	4	2
1.26	Marcus Smith	LB	PHI	Howie Roseman	4	5
2.49	Jace Amaro	TE	NYJ	John Idzik	4	3
2.44	Cyrus Kouandjio	T	BUF	Doug Whaley	6	5
2.54	Bishop Sankey	RB	TEN	Ruston Webster	6	2
2.56	Cody Latimer	WR	DEN	John Elway	6	6

All picks (256) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1
1.1	Jadeveon Clowney	DE	HOU	Rick Smith	63	62	55	3
1.2	Greg Robinson	T	LAR	Les Snead	24	46	42
1.3	Blake Bortles	QB	JAX	David Caldwell	44	75	73
1.4	Sammy Watkins	WR	BUF	Doug Whaley	43	37	37
1.5	Khalil Mack	LB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	105	64	64	2	2
1.6	Jake Matthews	T	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	75	196	196	1
1.7	Mike Evans	WR	TB	Jason Licht	80	176	175	6
1.8	Justin Gilbert	DB	CLE	Ray Farmer	4	23	3
1.9	Anthony Barr	LB	MIN	Rick Spielman	56	102	98	3
1.10	Eric Ebron	TE	DET	Martin Mayhew	29	56	37
1.11	Taylor Lewan	T	TEN	Ruston Webster	48	105	100	3
1.12	Odell Beckham Jr.	WR	NYG	Jerry Reese	59	59	56	1
1.13	Aaron Donald	DT	LAR	Les Snead	123	154	150	7	7
1.14	Kyle Fuller	DB	CHI	Phil Emery	48	96	94	2	1
1.15	Ryan Shazier	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	27	46	41	2
1.16	Zack Martin	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	103	162	162	7	7
1.17	C.J. Mosley	LB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	81	77	77	1
1.18	Calvin Pryor	DB	NYJ	John Idzik	13	44	38
1.19	Ja'Wuan James	T	MIA	Dennis Hickey	27	62	62
1.20	Brandin Cooks	WR	NO	Mickey Loomis	73	52	34
1.21	Ha Ha Clinton-Dix	DB	GB	Ted Thompson	34	71	65	1
1.22	Johnny Manziel	QB	CLE	Ray Farmer	4	14	8
1.23	Dee Ford	LB	KC	John Dorsey	23	67	41	1
1.24	Darqueze Dennard	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	13	77	24
1.25	Jason Verrett	DB	LAC	Tom Telesco	17	25	22
1.26	Marcus Smith	LB	PHI	Howie Roseman	4	37	0
1.27	Deone Bucannon	DB	ARI	Steve Keim	32	70	56
1.28	Kelvin Benjamin	WR	CAR	Dave Gettleman	22	40	36
1.29	Dominique Easley	DT	NE	Bill Belichick	7	22	3
1.30	Jimmie Ward	DB	SF	Trent Baalke	31	106	79
1.31	Bradley Roby	DB	DEN	John Elway	26	79	29
1.32	Teddy Bridgewater	QB	MIN	Rick Spielman	49	30	28
2.33	Xavier Su'a-Filo	G	HOU	Rick Smith	24	56	41
2.34	DeMarcus Lawrence	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	78	141	123	4
2.35	Joel Bitonio	G	CLE	Ray Farmer	75	178	178	7	2
2.36	Derek Carr	QB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	93	142	142	3
2.37	Ra'Shede Hageman	DT	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	8	44	16
2.38	Austin Seferian-Jenkins	TE	TB	Jason Licht	9	18	12
2.39	Marqise Lee	WR	JAX	David Caldwell	17	59	30
2.40	Kyle Van Noy	LB	DET	Martin Mayhew	62	30	7
2.41	Lamarcus Joyner	DB	LAR	Les Snead	26	67	42
2.42	Jordan Matthews	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	23	62	39
2.43	Weston Richburg	OL	NYG	Jerry Reese	33	51	50
2.44	Cyrus Kouandjio	T	BUF	Doug Whaley	6	25	7
2.45	Paul Richardson	WR	SEA	John Schneider	14	47	19
2.46	Stephon Tuitt	DE	PIT	Kevin Colbert	38	91	79
2.47	Trent Murphy	LB	WAS	Bruce Allen	33	47	22
2.48	Timmy Jernigan	DT	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	25	43	24
2.49	Jace Amaro	TE	NYJ	John Idzik	4	14	4
2.50	Jeremiah Attaochu	LB	LAC	Tom Telesco	15	40	13
2.51	Ego Ferguson	DT	CHI	Phil Emery	2	20	1
2.52	Troy Niklas	TE	ARI	Steve Keim	1	41	18
2.53	Davante Adams	WR	GB	Ted Thompson	92	116	109	5	2
2.54	Bishop Sankey	RB	TEN	Ruston Webster	6	29	12
2.55	Jeremy Hill	RB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	21	54	43
2.56	Cody Latimer	WR	DEN	John Elway	6	45	3
2.57	Carlos Hyde	RB	SF	Trent Baalke	32	50	36
2.58	Stanley Jean-Baptiste	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	4	0
2.59	Jack Mewhort	T	IND	Ryan Grigson	22	45	45
2.60	Kony Ealy	DE	CAR	Dave Gettleman	12	47	15
2.61	Allen Robinson	WR	JAX	David Caldwell	48	43	41
2.62	Jimmy Garoppolo	QB	NE	Bill Belichick	47	17	2
2.63	Jarvis Landry	WR	MIA	Dennis Hickey	56	64	57	2
2.64	Justin Britt	T	SEA	John Schneider	41	87	86
3.65	C.J. Fiedorowicz	TE	HOU	Rick Smith	6	51	42
3.66	Morgan Moses	OL	WAS	Bruce Allen	65	104	97
3.67	Billy Turner	T	MIA	Dennis Hickey	35	20	14
3.68	Dezmen Southward	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	1	19	0
3.69	Charles Sims	RB	TB	Jason Licht	13	47	2
3.70	Marcus Martin	C	SF	Trent Baalke	11	26	24
3.71	Christian Kirksey	LB	CLE	Ray Farmer	40	73	54
3.72	Scott Crichton	DE	MIN	Rick Spielman	2	21	0
3.73	Preston Brown	LB	BUF	Doug Whaley	34	64	62
3.74	Jay Bromley	DT	NYG	Jerry Reese	5	55	4
3.75	Tre Mason	RB	LAR	Les Snead	8	25	12
3.76	Travis Swanson	C	DET	Martin Mayhew	23	53	42
3.77	Chris Borland	LB	SF	Trent Baalke	6	14	8
3.78	Spencer Long	G	WAS	Bruce Allen	22	40	31
3.79	Terrence Brooks	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	8	23	0
3.80	Dexter McDougle	DB	NYJ	John Idzik	2	20	0
3.81	Gabe Jackson	G	LV	Reggie McKenzie	47	100	99
3.82	Will Sutton	DT	CHI	Phil Emery	8	36	18
3.83	Louis Nix	DT	HOU	Rick Smith	0	0	0
3.84	Kareem Martin	DE	ARI	Steve Keim	12	56	14
3.85	Khyri Thornton	DT	GB	Ted Thompson	3	0	0
3.86	Josh Huff	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	6	34	6
3.87	Phillip Gaines	DB	KC	John Dorsey	10	41	16
3.88	Will Clarke	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	6	35	0
3.89	Chris Watt	G	LAC	Tom Telesco	5	17	8
3.90	Donte Moncrief	WR	IND	Ryan Grigson	18	53	27
3.91	John Brown	WR	ARI	Steve Keim	36	56	27
3.92	Trai Turner	OL	CAR	Dave Gettleman	51	84	80	4
3.93	Brandon Linder	OL	JAX	David Caldwell	31	88	88
3.94	Terrance West	RB	CLE	Ray Farmer	11	14	6
3.95	Michael Schofield	OL	DEN	John Elway	38	29	29
3.96	Jerick McKinnon	RB	MIN	Rick Spielman	32	58	14
3.97	Dri Archer	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	20	0
3.98	Richard Rodgers	TE	GB	Ted Thompson	14	63	24
3.99	Crockett Gillmore	TE	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	4	32	16
3.100	Brandon Thomas	OL	SF	Trent Baalke	0	0	0
4.101	Jaylen Watkins	DB	PHI	Howie Roseman	5	36	5
4.102	Bashaud Breeland	DB	WAS	Bruce Allen	34	60	57
4.103	Devonta Freeman	RB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	49	77	59	1
4.104	Jalen Saunders	WR	NYJ	John Idzik	0	3	0
4.105	Bryan Stork	C	NE	Bill Belichick	11	21	17
4.106	Bruce Ellington	WR	SF	Trent Baalke	7	26	0
4.107	Justin Ellis	DT	LV	Reggie McKenzie	25	66	42
4.108	Cassius Marsh	DE	SEA	John Schneider	13	37	1
4.109	Ross Cockrell	DB	BUF	Doug Whaley	20	7	0
4.110	Maurice Alexander	DB	LAR	Les Snead	11	41	23
4.111	Russell Bodine	C	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	30	64	64
4.112	DaQuan Jones	DT	TEN	Ruston Webster	60	99	93
4.113	Andre Williams	RB	NYG	Jerry Reese	7	32	7
4.114	Aaron Colvin	DB	JAX	David Caldwell	16	48	25
4.115	Shaquelle Evans	WR	NYJ	John Idzik	0	0	0
4.116	Keith McGill	DB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	4	54	3
4.117	Ka'Deem Carey	RB	CHI	Phil Emery	3	37	1
4.118	Martavis Bryant	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	19	36	16
4.119	Anthony Hitchens	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	41	60	48
4.120	Logan Thomas	QB	ARI	Steve Keim	15	2	0
4.121	Carl Bradford	LB	GB	Ted Thompson	0	4	0
4.122	Marqueston Huff	DB	TEN	Ruston Webster	4	30	1
4.123	Kevin Norwood	WR	SEA	John Schneider	1	9	2
4.124	De'Anthony Thomas	RB	KC	John Dorsey	7	61	6
4.125	Walt Aikens	DB	MIA	Dennis Hickey	6	93	4
4.126	Khairi Fortt	LB	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	0	0
4.127	Pierre Desir	DB	CLE	Ray Farmer	18	19	7
4.128	Tre Boston	DB	CAR	Dave Gettleman	28	74	48
4.129	Dontae Johnson	DB	SF	Trent Baalke	15	102	28
4.130	James White	RB	NE	Bill Belichick	37	95	13
4.131	Brock Vereen	DB	CHI	Phil Emery	2	19	4
4.132	Kevin Pierre-Louis	LB	SEA	John Schneider	15	34	1
4.133	Nevin Lawson	DB	DET	Martin Mayhew	22	63	54
4.134	Brent Urban	DT	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	24	102	27
4.135	Tom Savage	QB	HOU	Rick Smith	3	13	9
4.136	Larry Webster	DE	DET	Martin Mayhew	0	0	0
4.137	Dakota Dozier	OL	NYJ	John Idzik	13	38	7
4.138	Lorenzo Taliaferro	RB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	3	19	0
4.139	Prince Shembo	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	2	16	3
4.140	Cameron Fleming	T	NE	Bill Belichick	30	47	20
5.141	Taylor Hart	DE	PHI	Howie Roseman	1	14	1
5.142	Ryan Grant	WR	WAS	Bruce Allen	10	64	15
5.143	Kadeem Edwards	OL	TB	Jason Licht	0	0	0
5.144	Telvin Smith	LB	JAX	David Caldwell	42	76	69	1
5.145	David Yankey	OL	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
5.146	Devin Street	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	31	2
5.147	Ricardo Allen	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	25	77	76
5.148	Bene Benwikere	DB	CAR	Dave Gettleman	10	27	14
5.149	Kevin Pamphile	T	TB	Jason Licht	16	53	33
5.150	Aaron Lynch	DE	SF	Trent Baalke	14	44	19
5.151	Avery Williamson	LB	TEN	Ruston Webster	38	65	59
5.152	Nat Berhe	DB	NYG	Jerry Reese	3	38	2
5.153	Cyril Richardson	G	BUF	Doug Whaley	2	12	4
5.154	Jeremiah George	LB	NYJ	John Idzik	3	0	0
5.155	Arthur Lynch	TE	MIA	Dennis Hickey	0	0	0
5.156	Lamin Barrow	LB	DEN	John Elway	2	16	1
5.157	Shaquille Richardson	DB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	0	0
5.158	Caraun Reid	DT	DET	Martin Mayhew	9	27	12
5.159	Chris Smith	DE	JAX	David Caldwell	8	19	0
5.160	Ed Stinson	DE	ARI	Steve Keim	5	29	5
5.161	Corey Linsley	C	GB	Ted Thompson	64	99	99		1
5.162	Ed Reynolds	DB	PHI	Howie Roseman	4	6	3
5.163	Aaron Murray	QB	KC	John Dorsey	0	0	0
5.164	A.J. McCarron	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	4	13	3
5.165	Ryan Carrethers	DT	LAC	Tom Telesco	3	24	3
5.166	Jonathan Newsome	LB	IND	Ryan Grigson	4	30	3
5.167	Vinnie Sunseri	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	9	0
5.168	Marquis Spruill	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	0	0
5.169	Ronald Powell	LB	NO	Mickey Loomis	1	14	0
5.170	Keith Reaser	DB	SF	Trent Baalke	2	29	0
5.171	Jordan Tripp	LB	MIA	Dennis Hickey	3	13	0
5.172	Jimmy Staten	DT	SEA	John Schneider	0	0	0
5.173	Wesley Johnson	OL	PIT	Kevin Colbert	11	0	0
5.174	Devon Kennard	DE	NYG	Jerry Reese	33	52	35
5.175	John Urschel	G	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	7	40	13
5.176	Jared Abbrederis	WR	GB	Ted Thompson	1	15	0
6.177	Jeoffrey Pagan	DE	HOU	Rick Smith	1	22	0
6.178	Zach Mettenberger	QB	TEN	Ruston Webster	1	14	10
6.179	Jon Halapio	OL	NE	Bill Belichick	10	0	0
6.180	Kenneth Acker	DB	SF	Trent Baalke	8	15	13
6.181	Alfred Blue	RB	HOU	Rick Smith	18	73	16
6.182	Antone Exum	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	6	27	2
6.183	David Fales	QB	CHI	Phil Emery	1	1	0
6.184	Kendall James	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
6.185	Robert Herron	WR	TB	Jason Licht	0	8	0
6.186	Lache Seastrunk	RB	WAS	Bruce Allen	0	0	0
6.187	Bennett Jackson	DB	NYG	Jerry Reese	0	0	0
6.188	E.J. Gaines	DB	LAR	Les Snead	13	26	25
6.189	T.J. Jones	WR	DET	Martin Mayhew	7	42	9
6.190	Matt Hazel	WR	MIA	Dennis Hickey	0	5	1
6.191	Pat O'Donnell	P	CHI	Phil Emery	18	128	0
6.192	Jordan Zumwalt	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	0	0
6.193	Zach Fulton	G	KC	John Dorsey	39	63	46
6.194	Keith Wenning	QB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	0	0	0
6.195	Brandon Dixon	DB	NYJ	John Idzik	3	0	0
6.196	Walt Powell	WR	ARI	Steve Keim	1	0	0
6.197	Demetri Goodson	DB	GB	Ted Thompson	2	26	3
6.198	Zach Moore	DE	NE	Bill Belichick	3	8	1
6.199	Garrett Scott	OL	SEA	John Schneider	0	0	0
6.200	Laurent Duvernay-Tardif	OL	KC	John Dorsey	29	60	57
6.201	Marion Grice	RB	LAC	Tom Telesco	0	0	0
6.202	Tavon Rooks	OL	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	0	0
6.203	Andrew Jackson	LB	IND	Ryan Grigson	1	13	0
6.204	Tyler Gaffney	RB	CAR	Dave Gettleman	0	0	0
6.205	Luke Bowanko	C	JAX	David Caldwell	9	24	14
6.206	Jemea Thomas	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
6.207	Matt Paradis	OL	DEN	John Elway	34	57	57
6.208	Eric Pinkins	DB	SEA	John Schneider	2	6	0
6.209	Quincy Enunwa	WR	NYJ	John Idzik	13	41	30
6.210	IK Enemkpali	DT	NYJ	John Idzik	1	6	0
6.211	Jay Prosch	FB	HOU	Rick Smith	0	63	13
6.212	Marquis Flowers	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	7	32	1
6.213	Tajh Boyd	QB	NYJ	John Idzik	0	0	0
6.214	Garrett Gilbert	QB	LAR	Les Snead	2	0	0
6.215	Daniel McCullers	DT	PIT	Kevin Colbert	6	73	3
7.216	Andre Hal	DB	HOU	Rick Smith	17	69	40
7.217	Ted Bolser	TE	WAS	Bruce Allen	0	0	0
7.218	Michael Campanaro	WR	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	4	24	0
7.219	T.J. Carrie	DB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	22	60	37
7.220	Shamar Stephen	DT	MIN	Rick Spielman	32	83	51
7.221	Randell Johnson	LB	BUF	Doug Whaley	2	15	1
7.222	Storm Johnson	RB	JAX	David Caldwell	0	6	1
7.223	Brandon Watts	LB	MIN	Rick Spielman	1	9	0
7.224	Beau Allen	DT	PHI	Howie Roseman	13	63	8
7.225	Jabari Price	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	1	14	0
7.226	Mitchell Van Dyk	OL	LAR	Les Snead	0	0	0
7.227	Kiero Small	RB	SEA	John Schneider	0	0	0
7.228	Zach Hocker	K	WAS	Bruce Allen	0	0	0
7.229	Nate Freese	K	DET	Martin Mayhew	-1	3	0
7.230	Rob Blanchflower	TE	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	0	0
7.231	Ben Gardner	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.232	Ulrick John	OL	IND	Ryan Grigson	2	0	0
7.233	Trevor Reilly	LB	NYJ	John Idzik	4	29	0
7.234	Terrence Fede	DE	MIA	Dennis Hickey	5	51	0
7.235	Shelby Harris	DE	LV	Reggie McKenzie	41	8	0
7.236	Jeff Janis	WR	GB	Ted Thompson	2	51	1
7.237	Seantrel Henderson	OL	BUF	Doug Whaley	14	34	27
7.238	Will Smith	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.239	James Wright	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	24	2
7.240	Tevin Reese	WR	LAC	Tom Telesco	0	0	0
7.241	C.B. Bryant	DB	LAR	Les Snead	1	9	0
7.242	Corey Nelson	LB	DEN	John Elway	8	60	7
7.243	Kaleb Ramsey	DE	SF	Trent Baalke	0	0	0
7.244	Jeremy Gallon	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
7.245	Trey Millard	FB	SF	Trent Baalke	0	0	0
7.246	Charles Leno Jr.	T	CHI	Phil Emery	53	102	94
7.247	Jonathan Dowling	DB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	0	7	0
7.248	Ahmad Dixon	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.249	Michael Sam	DE	LAR	Les Snead	0	0	0
7.250	Demetrius Rhaney	OL	LAR	Les Snead	2	32	1
7.251	Ken Bishop	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	5	0
7.252	Lavelle Westbrooks	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.253	Yawin Smallwood	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	0	0
7.254	Terrance Mitchell	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	20	3	0
7.255	Tyler Starr	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	1	0
7.256	Lonnie Ballentine	DB	HOU	Rick Smith	0	4	0

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.