Khalil Mack · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Khalil Mack across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played179

Games started177

Weighted career AV105

Pro Bowls9

AP1 All-Pro3

Career seasons12

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2014 · Round 1 · #5

LV draft credit

GM Reggie McKenzie

Team games64

Team starts64

On-team AV49

On-team PB / AP12 / 2

Terrible-2.24 contribution54th of 59 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

Long-career hit

Khalil Mack became a 12-season, 179-game NFL player after going #5. The retained-value model still ranks him 54th of 59 for Reggie McKenzie because LV only got 64 of those games.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -2.24. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Reggie McKenzie's leaderboard composite θ.

Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 179 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 177 full-career

Snap-z

8.1

4 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 105

AV / 1k snaps

11.6

4,224 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

+0.8

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

9 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

2 AP1

3 full-career · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Reggie McKenzie's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Reggie McKenzie pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Khalil Mack totals -2.24. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationKhalil MackGM total -33.3Khalil Mack by season -5.1

How much retained production did Khalil Mack return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: LBs drafted within ±5 picks of Khalil Mack since 2010 (10 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Khalil MackSlot-similar peers (10)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (12 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP1
2014	LV	16	16	1,093	1.9	7	6.4
2015	LV	16	16	1,092	2.0	15	13.7		★
2016	LV	16	16	1,024	2.1	16	15.6	✓	★
2017	LV	16	16	1,015	2.1	11	10.8	✓
2018	CHI	14	14	755	0.9	17	22.5
2019	CHI	16	16	947	1.4	11	11.6
2020	CHI	16	16	905	1.5	14	15.5
2021	CHI	7	6	316	-0.3	3	9.5
2022	LAC	17	17	869	1.3	11	12.7
2023	LAC	17	17	936	1.8	11	11.8
2024	LAC	16	12	616	0.9	12	19.5
2025	LAC	12	10	426	-0.0	5	11.7

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.