Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
A Good pick
DaQuan Jones was Ruston Webster's 8th-best of 39 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.40. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Ruston Webster's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
99
on drafting team · 167 full-career
Games started
93
on drafting team · 161 full-career
Snap-z
5.4
7 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
43
modeled; full weighted AV 60
AV / 1k snaps
9.5
4,541 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.3
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only
Did this pick move Ruston Webster's grade?
The first chart removes the time axis: every Ruston Webster pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. DaQuan Jones totals +0.40. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player
Incremental contribution by season
Above expectationBelow expectationDaQuan JonesGM total -5.0DaQuan Jones by season +1.4
How much retained production did DaQuan Jones return vs. his slot?
Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DTs drafted within ±5 picks of DaQuan Jones since 2010 (14 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
DaQuan JonesSlot-similar peers (14)
Cumulative value over time
Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
Games started (cumulative)Pro BowlsAP1 All-ProAP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (12 scored seasons)
Year
Team
GP
GS
Snaps
Snap-z
AV
AV/snap
PB
AP1
AP2
2014
TEN
7
1
156
-1.0
1
6.4
2015
TEN
16
14
764
1.0
6
7.9
2016
TEN
16
16
809
1.4
8
9.9
2017
TEN
12
8
545
0.5
5
9.2
2018
TEN
16
10
657
0.8
8
12.2
2019
TEN
16
13
770
1.1
8
10.4
2020
TEN
16
15
840
1.7
7
8.3
2021
CAR
17
15
725
1.2
7
9.7
2022
BUF
16
15
699
1.1
9
12.9
2023
BUF
7
5
178
-0.7
4
22.5
2024
BUF
16
10
588
0.8
8
13.6
2025
BUF
12
10
477
0.4
6
12.6
How to read this
The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.
