All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Phillip Gaines across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 70
Games started 26
Weighted career AV 10
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 7
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 41
Team starts 16
On-team AV 7
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Bad -0.79 contribution 39th of 54 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Phillip Gaines was John Dorsey's 39th-best of 54 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.79 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from John Dorsey's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
41
on drafting team · 70 full-career
Games started
16
on drafting team · 26 full-career
Snap-z
-0.5
4 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
7
modeled; full weighted AV 10
AV / 1k snaps
3.9
1,776 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
-0.1
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move John Dorsey's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every John Dorsey pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Phillip Gaines totals -0.79 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 +14 63. Kelce #63 · Travis Kelce · aggregate +14.59 Kelce +14.6 37. Jones #37 · Chris Jones · aggregate +11.16 Jones +11.2 165. Hill #165 · Tyreek Hill · aggregate +9.99 Hill +10.0 10. Mahomes #10 · Patrick Mahomes · aggregate +9.20 Mahomes +9.2 4. Ward #4 · Denzel Ward · aggregate +3.13 Ward +3.1 35. Chubb #35 · Nick Chubb · aggregate +2.79 Chubb +2.8 18. Peters #18 · Marcus Peters · aggregate +1.75 193. Fulton #193 · Zach Fulton · aggregate +1.30 118. Wilson #118 · Ramik Wilson · aggregate +1.00 86. Hunt #86 · Kareem Hunt · aggregate +0.54 200. Duvernay-Tardif #200 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · aggregate +0.52 172. Alexander #172 · D.J. Alexander · aggregate +0.33 96. Davis #96 · Knile Davis · aggregate +0.31 207. Catapano #207 · Mike Catapano · aggregate +0.06 155. Wilson #155 · Mack Wilson · aggregate -0.07 1. Fisher #1 · Eric Fisher · aggregate -0.09 163. Murray #163 · Aaron Murray · aggregate -0.12 175. Ratley #175 · Damion Ratley · aggregate -0.14 170. Seibert #170 · Austin Seibert · aggregate -0.17 178. White #178 · D.J. White · aggregate -0.27 80. Takitaki #80 · Sione Takitaki · aggregate -0.30 105. Callaway #105 · Antonio Callaway · aggregate -0.40 119. Redwine #119 · Sheldrick Redwine · aggregate -0.40 67. Thomas #67 · Chad Thomas · aggregate -0.40 124. Thomas #124 · De'Anthony Thomas · aggregate -0.41 203. Nicolas #203 · Dadi Nicolas · aggregate -0.42 233. Brown #233 · Da'Ron Brown · aggregate -0.46 162. Hogan #162 · Kevin Hogan · aggregate -0.54 46. Williams #46 · Greedy Williams · aggregate -0.59 218. McQuay #218 · Leon McQuay · aggregate -0.60 183. Eligwe #183 · Ukeme Eligwe · aggregate -0.61 134. Commings #134 · Sanders Commings · aggregate -0.64 188. Thomas #188 · Simeon Thomas · aggregate -0.65 23. Ford #23 · Dee Ford · aggregate -0.68 139. Chesson #139 · Jehu Chesson · aggregate -0.69 204. Wilson #204 · Braden Wilson · aggregate -0.74 98. Nelson #98 · Steven Nelson · aggregate -0.74 221. Jr. #221 · Donnie Lewis Jr. · aggregate -0.74 87. Gaines #87 · Phillip Gaines · aggregate -0.79 Gaines -0.8 99. Johnson #99 · Nico Johnson · aggregate -0.82 126. Robinson #126 · Demarcus Robinson · aggregate -0.83 173. O'Shaughnessy #173 · James O'Shaughnessy · aggregate -0.84 189. Forbes #189 · Drew Forbes · aggregate -0.90 217. Nunez-Roches #217 · Rakeem Nunez-Roches · aggregate -1.02 150. Avery #150 · Genard Avery · aggregate -1.21 59. Kpassagnon #59 · Tanoh Kpassagnon · aggregate -1.26 1. Mayfield #1 · Baker Mayfield · aggregate -1.28 105. Ehinger #105 · Parker Ehinger · aggregate -1.28 74. Russell #74 · KeiVarae Russell · aggregate -1.42 170. Kush #170 · Eric Kush · aggregate -1.64 49. Morse #49 · Mitch Morse · aggregate -1.68 76. Conley #76 · Chris Conley · aggregate -1.78 106. Murray #106 · Eric Murray · aggregate -2.26 Murray -2.3 33. Corbett #33 · Austin Corbett · aggregate -3.37 Corbett -3.4 Incremental contribution by season -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 +14 +16 2013 · Knile Davis · incremental +0.15 2013 · Mike Catapano · incremental -0.09 2013 · Travis Kelce · incremental -0.23 2013 · Braden Wilson · incremental -0.88 2013 · Sanders Commings · incremental -1.05 2013 · Nico Johnson · incremental -1.52 2013 · Eric Fisher · incremental -1.60 2013 · Eric Kush · incremental -2.97 2014 · Mike Catapano · incremental +0.14 2014 · Eric Fisher · incremental +0.32 2014 · Knile Davis · incremental +0.32 2014 · Travis Kelce · incremental +1.05 2014 · Zach Fulton · incremental +1.25 2014 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · incremental -0.06 2014 · Sanders Commings · incremental -0.14 2014 · De'Anthony Thomas · incremental -0.17 2014 · Braden Wilson · incremental -0.20 2014 · Eric Kush · incremental -0.22 2014 · Aaron Murray · incremental -0.26 2014 · Dee Ford · incremental -0.29 2014 · Phillip Gaines · incremental -0.61 2015 · Zach Fulton · incremental +0.19 2015 · Knile Davis · incremental +0.23 2015 · Eric Fisher · incremental +0.26 2015 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · incremental +0.28 2015 · Marcus Peters · incremental +0.42 2015 · Ramik Wilson · incremental +0.49 2015 · D.J. Alexander · incremental +0.52 2015 · Travis Kelce · incremental +1.32 2015 · Aaron Murray · incremental -0.01 2015 · De'Anthony Thomas · incremental -0.11 2015 · Sanders Commings · incremental -0.14 2015 · Dee Ford · incremental -0.20 2015 · Phillip Gaines · incremental -0.36 2015 · Braden Wilson · incremental -0.36 2015 · James O'Shaughnessy · incremental -0.69 2015 · Steven Nelson · incremental -0.71 2015 · Da'Ron Brown · incremental -0.77 2015 · Rakeem Nunez-Roches · incremental -1.05 2015 · Chris Conley · incremental -1.68 2015 · Mitch Morse · incremental -2.30 2016 · Knile Davis · incremental +0.09 2016 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · incremental +0.24 2016 · Eric Fisher · incremental +0.31 2016 · D.J. Alexander · incremental +0.32 2016 · Chris Jones · incremental +0.82 2016 · Zach Fulton · incremental +0.94 2016 · Ramik Wilson · incremental +1.07 2016 · Marcus Peters · incremental +1.97 2016 · Tyreek Hill · incremental +4.06 2016 · Travis Kelce · incremental +4.10 2016 · Aaron Murray · incremental -0.01 2016 · Da'Ron Brown · incremental -0.11 2016 · De'Anthony Thomas · incremental -0.13 2016 · Sanders Commings · incremental -0.14 2016 · Nico Johnson · incremental -0.16 2016 · Braden Wilson · incremental -0.20 2016 · Steven Nelson · incremental -0.28 2016 · Phillip Gaines · incremental -0.40 2016 · Dadi Nicolas · incremental -0.60 2016 · D.J. White · incremental -0.64 2016 · Dee Ford · incremental -0.66 2016 · Demarcus Robinson · incremental -0.76 2016 · Mitch Morse · incremental -0.84 2016 · Rakeem Nunez-Roches · incremental -0.95 2016 · Kevin Hogan · incremental -1.00 2016 · Chris Conley · incremental -1.01 2016 · James O'Shaughnessy · incremental -1.25 2016 · Eric Murray · incremental -1.58 2016 · Parker Ehinger · incremental -1.74 2016 · KeiVarae Russell · incremental -2.76 2017 · Mike Catapano · incremental +0.13 2017 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · incremental +0.24 2017 · Eric Fisher · incremental +0.32 2017 · Marcus Peters · incremental +0.42 2017 · Kareem Hunt · incremental +0.48 2017 · Ramik Wilson · incremental +0.50 2017 · Chris Jones · incremental +0.89 2017 · Zach Fulton · incremental +1.01 2017 · Travis Kelce · incremental +2.13 2017 · Tyreek Hill · incremental +2.57 2017 · Aaron Murray · incremental -0.01 2017 · Dee Ford · incremental -0.06 2017 · Demarcus Robinson · incremental -0.09 2017 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental -0.09 2017 · Knile Davis · incremental -0.09 2017 · De'Anthony Thomas · incremental -0.10 2017 · Da'Ron Brown · incremental -0.11 2017 · Sanders Commings · incremental -0.15 2017 · Nico Johnson · incremental -0.15 2017 · Dadi Nicolas · incremental -0.15 2017 · Mitch Morse · incremental -0.19 2017 · Eric Kush · incremental -0.22 2017 · Steven Nelson · incremental -0.23 2017 · Chris Conley · incremental -0.30 2017 · Braden Wilson · incremental -0.33 2017 · Phillip Gaines · incremental -0.41 2017 · Parker Ehinger · incremental -0.65 2017 · Tanoh Kpassagnon · incremental -0.76 2017 · Rakeem Nunez-Roches · incremental -0.81 2017 · Leon McQuay · incremental -0.88 2017 · Ukeme Eligwe · incremental -0.93 2017 · Jehu Chesson · incremental -1.02 2017 · Eric Murray · incremental -1.59 2018 · Nick Chubb · incremental +0.00 2018 · Tanoh Kpassagnon · incremental +0.01 2018 · D.J. White · incremental +0.02 2018 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · incremental +0.19 2018 · Denzel Ward · incremental +0.23 2018 · Kareem Hunt · incremental +0.26 2018 · Eric Fisher · incremental +0.44 2018 · Chris Jones · incremental +1.18 2018 · Travis Kelce · incremental +4.33 2018 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +4.42 2018 · Tyreek Hill · incremental +4.99 2018 · Aaron Murray · incremental -0.01 2018 · Kevin Hogan · incremental -0.06 2018 · Da'Ron Brown · incremental -0.10 2018 · Demarcus Robinson · incremental -0.11 2018 · Damion Ratley · incremental -0.13 2018 · Dadi Nicolas · incremental -0.13 2018 · De'Anthony Thomas · incremental -0.15 2018 · Leon McQuay · incremental -0.17 2018 · Parker Ehinger · incremental -0.26 2018 · Steven Nelson · incremental -0.28 2018 · Dee Ford · incremental -0.42 2018 · Chad Thomas · incremental -0.45 2018 · Antonio Callaway · incremental -0.47 2018 · Mitch Morse · incremental -0.53 2018 · Chris Conley · incremental -0.97 2018 · Simeon Thomas · incremental -1.20 2018 · Baker Mayfield · incremental -1.90 2018 · Genard Avery · incremental -2.08 2018 · Eric Murray · incremental -2.11 2018 · Austin Corbett · incremental -5.78 2019 · Eric Fisher · incremental +0.10 2019 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · incremental +0.27 2019 · Denzel Ward · incremental +0.48 2019 · Nick Chubb · incremental +1.63 2019 · Chris Jones · incremental +1.95 2019 · Tyreek Hill · incremental +2.02 2019 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +2.06 2019 · Travis Kelce · incremental +2.37 2019 · Chad Thomas · incremental -0.01 2019 · Mack Wilson · incremental -0.06 2019 · Kevin Hogan · incremental -0.06 2019 · Da'Ron Brown · incremental -0.10 2019 · Damion Ratley · incremental -0.10 2019 · Greedy Williams · incremental -0.12 2019 · Dadi Nicolas · incremental -0.14 2019 · Ukeme Eligwe · incremental -0.15 2019 · De'Anthony Thomas · incremental -0.15 2019 · Jehu Chesson · incremental -0.16 2019 · Demarcus Robinson · incremental -0.16 2019 · Leon McQuay · incremental -0.17 2019 · Antonio Callaway · incremental -0.22 2019 · Baker Mayfield · incremental -0.26 2019 · KeiVarae Russell · incremental -0.35 2019 · Sione Takitaki · incremental -0.37 2019 · Sheldrick Redwine · incremental -0.41 2019 · Drew Forbes · incremental -0.77 2019 · Austin Seibert · incremental -0.83 2019 · Genard Avery · incremental -0.88 2019 · Tanoh Kpassagnon · incremental -1.03 2019 · Austin Corbett · incremental -1.11 2019 · Donnie Lewis Jr. · incremental -1.18 2020 · D.J. White · incremental +0.02 2020 · Laurent Duvernay-Tardif · incremental +0.15 2020 · Austin Seibert · incremental +0.30 2020 · Eric Fisher · incremental +0.44 2020 · Denzel Ward · incremental +0.48 2020 · Nick Chubb · incremental +1.29 2020 · Chris Jones · incremental +2.12 2020 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +2.21 2020 · Travis Kelce · incremental +4.15 2020 · Tyreek Hill · incremental +4.73 2020 · Mack Wilson · incremental -0.04 2020 · Sione Takitaki · incremental -0.04 2020 · Kevin Hogan · incremental -0.05 2020 · Demarcus Robinson · incremental -0.13 2020 · Dadi Nicolas · incremental -0.13 2020 · Simeon Thomas · incremental -0.14 2020 · Ukeme Eligwe · incremental -0.15 2020 · Jehu Chesson · incremental -0.16 2020 · Donnie Lewis Jr. · incremental -0.17 2020 · Leon McQuay · incremental -0.19 2020 · Drew Forbes · incremental -0.19 2020 · Parker Ehinger · incremental -0.25 2020 · Baker Mayfield · incremental -0.28 2020 · Chad Thomas · incremental -0.32 2020 · Sheldrick Redwine · incremental -0.35 2020 · Greedy Williams · incremental -0.51 2020 · Tanoh Kpassagnon · incremental -1.20 2021 · Sione Takitaki · incremental +0.00 2021 · Greedy Williams · incremental +0.08 2021 · Marcus Peters · incremental +0.12 2021 · Nick Chubb · incremental +1.41 2021 · Denzel Ward · incremental +1.41 2021 · Chris Jones · incremental +2.00 2021 · Travis Kelce · incremental +2.26 2021 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +2.35 2021 · Tyreek Hill · incremental +2.60 2021 · Mack Wilson · incremental -0.04 2021 · Damion Ratley · incremental -0.05 2021 · Demarcus Robinson · incremental -0.06 2021 · Ukeme Eligwe · incremental -0.14 2021 · Simeon Thomas · incremental -0.14 2021 · Jehu Chesson · incremental -0.14 2021 · Antonio Callaway · incremental -0.15 2021 · Leon McQuay · incremental -0.16 2021 · Donnie Lewis Jr. · incremental -0.17 2021 · Drew Forbes · incremental -0.18 2021 · Baker Mayfield · incremental -0.23 2021 · Chad Thomas · incremental -0.31 2022 · Denzel Ward · incremental +0.51 2022 · Nick Chubb · incremental +1.60 2022 · Travis Kelce · incremental +4.19 2022 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +4.44 2022 · Chris Jones · incremental +4.45 2022 · Sione Takitaki · incremental -0.05 2022 · Damion Ratley · incremental -0.05 2022 · Simeon Thomas · incremental -0.14 2022 · Antonio Callaway · incremental -0.15 2022 · Donnie Lewis Jr. · incremental -0.17 2022 · Sheldrick Redwine · incremental -0.26 2022 · Chad Thomas · incremental -0.33 2022 · Greedy Williams · incremental -0.40 2022 · Drew Forbes · incremental -0.77 2023 · Nick Chubb · incremental +0.00 2023 · Denzel Ward · incremental +1.27 2023 · Travis Kelce · incremental +2.00 2023 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +2.20 2023 · Chris Jones · incremental +4.35 2023 · Sione Takitaki · incremental -0.04 2023 · Drew Forbes · incremental -0.18 2023 · Donnie Lewis Jr. · incremental -0.19 2023 · Greedy Williams · incremental -0.56 2024 · Nick Chubb · incremental +0.14 2024 · Kareem Hunt · incremental +0.16 2024 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +1.27 2024 · Denzel Ward · incremental +1.37 2024 · Travis Kelce · incremental +2.16 2024 · Chris Jones · incremental +4.31 2025 · Kareem Hunt · incremental +0.17 2025 · Patrick Mahomes · incremental +1.14 2025 · Denzel Ward · incremental +1.39 2025 · Travis Kelce · incremental +2.18 2025 · Chris Jones · incremental +2.19 Gaines -0.6 Gaines -0.4 Kelce +4.1 Gaines -0.4 Gaines -0.4 Kelce +4.3 Mahomes +4.4 Hill +5.0 Corbett -5.8 Kelce +4.1 Hill +4.7 Kelce +4.2 Mahomes +4.4 Jones +4.5 Jones +4.4 Jones +4.3 2013 8 players 2014 13 players 2015 20 players 2016 30 players 2017 33 players 2018 31 players 2019 31 players 2020 27 players 2021 21 players 2022 14 players 2023 9 players 2024 6 players 2025 5 players Above expectation Below expectation Phillip Gaines GM total +23.4 Phillip Gaines by season -1.8
How much retained production did Phillip Gaines return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Phillip Gaines since 2010 (12 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 89. Smith Tykee Smith · model value +0.6 83. Moss Riley Moss · model value +0.2 90. Griffin Shaquill Griffin · model value +0.1 84. Williams Shawn Williams · model value -0.1 89. Wright Shareece Wright · model value -0.1 90. Jones Elijah Jones · model value -0.1 88. Patrick Johnny Patrick · model value -0.1 90. Marsh Curtis Marsh · model value -0.2 85. Bentley Bill Bentley · model value -0.4 91. Harmon Duron Harmon · model value -0.5 87. Gaines Phillip Gaines · model value -0.5 -0.5 83. Ryan Logan Ryan · model value -0.5 90. Webster Kayvon Webster · model value -0.8 Phillip Gaines Slot-similar peers (12)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'14 '16 '18 '20 0 11 22 32 43 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (7 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.