Baltimore Ravens · Good GM

Years covered

1996–2025

first → last draft

GMs

tenures, newest first

Best θ

+0.57

Ozzie Newsome

Worst θ

+0.29

Eric DeCosta

θ trajectory by GM

Each line is one GM's support estimate at successive season-end snapshots, color-coded by tenure. Lines carry forward past a GM's tenure: drafted players' careers keep playing out, so the model keeps revising its read of an old GM long after they're gone (a 7th-round flier turning into a Pro Bowler in year 6 still credits the GM who drafted him). Background bands mark each GM's actual tenure span. These paths show evidence accumulating over time; they are not the maturity-adjusted headline ranking and deliberately do not display a public interval.

Eric DeCosta2019–2025θ +0.29

Ozzie Newsome1996–2018θ +0.57

General managers (2) · newest first

Eric DeCosta

2019–2025

θ +0.29

GOOD

Newsome heir apparent

Year	W-L-T	Playoffs	θ snapshot
2019	14-2	Lost Divisional	+0.16
2020	11-5	Lost Divisional	+0.19
2021	8-9	Missed	+0.23
2022	10-7	Lost WC	+0.17
2023	13-4	Lost Conf	+0.49
2024	12-5	Lost Divisional	+0.66
2025	8-9	Missed	+0.59

Ozzie Newsome

1996–2018

θ +0.57 **

ELITE

First Black GM in NFL; HOF

Year	W-L-T	Playoffs	θ snapshot
1996	4-12	—	-0.04
1997	6-9-1	—	+0.18
1998	6-10	—	+0.37
1999	8-8	Missed	+0.69
2000	12-4	WON SUPER BOWL	+0.78
2001	10-6	Lost Divisional	+0.75
2002	7-9	Missed	+0.84
2003	10-6	Lost WC	+1.01
2004	9-7	Missed	+1.03
2005	6-10	Missed	+0.88
2006	13-3	Lost Divisional	+0.93
2007	5-11	Missed	+0.90
2008	11-5	Lost Conf	+0.92
2009	9-7	Lost Divisional	+0.89
2010	12-4	Lost Divisional	+0.91
2011	12-4	Lost Conf	+0.98
2012	10-6	WON SUPER BOWL	+0.91
2013	8-8	Missed	+0.55
2014	10-6	Lost Divisional	+0.65
2015	5-11	Missed	+0.55
2016	8-8	Missed	+0.48
2017	9-7	Missed	+0.41
2018	10-6	Lost WC	+0.40

How to read this

Support snapshot per year is the point estimate from a full NUTS MCMC refit on picks-through-that-year, computed by R/06_incremental_theta.R. It shows evidence accumulation and is not a separate published ranking. The current headline uses the maturity-adjusted deep v30 composite through 2025.
Tenure attribution follows data/gm_tenures.csv. De-facto draft heads (HCs with personnel power, owner-GMs) are credited too. See each card's note line for the role.
Pre-1999 W-L records come from Wikipedia {year}_NFL_season standings; 1999+ from nflverse schedules. Pre-1999 playoff exit isn't yet detected per-team and shows "—".
Pre-1994 model coverage is included through the 1980 expansion. Older GMs still carry wider uncertainty because their evidence is farther from the modern snap-count era.
Era effects: HOF voting standards, Pro Bowl culture, and AV calibration shift across decades. Cross-era θ comparisons should be read with a grain of salt; same-team θ deltas are more reliable than league-wide ones.