All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Nate Freese across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 3
Games started 0
Weighted career AV -1
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 1
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 3
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Average -0.14 contribution 25th of 53 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Nate Freese was Martin Mayhew's 25th-best of 53 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.14 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Martin Mayhew's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
3
on drafting team
Games started
0
on drafting team
Snap-z
-9.4
5 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV -1
AV / 1k snaps
0.0
13 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
-0.0
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Martin Mayhew's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Martin Mayhew pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Nate Freese totals -0.14 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 76. Levy #76 · DeAndre Levy · aggregate +2.18 Levy +2.2 132. Taylor #132 · Devin Taylor · aggregate +1.13 2. Suh #2 · Ndamukong Suh · aggregate +1.01 33. Delmas #33 · Louis Delmas · aggregate +1.00 213. Young #213 · Willie Young · aggregate +0.98 36. Slay #36 · Darius Slay · aggregate +0.92 76. Swanson #76 · Travis Swanson · aggregate +0.91 240. Robinson #240 · Corey Robinson · aggregate +0.83 199. Riddick #199 · Theo Riddick · aggregate +0.73 65. Warford #65 · Larry Warford · aggregate +0.61 133. Lawson #133 · Nevin Lawson · aggregate +0.54 196. Green #196 · Jonte Green · aggregate +0.52 223. Lewis #223 · Travis Lewis · aggregate +0.36 138. Whitehead #138 · Tahir Whitehead · aggregate +0.34 66. Spievey #66 · Amari Spievey · aggregate +0.33 115. Hill #115 · Sammie Lee Hill · aggregate +0.18 189. Jones #189 · T.J. Jones · aggregate +0.12 192. Brown #192 · Aaron Brown · aggregate +0.10 255. Gronkowski #255 · Dan Gronkowski · aggregate +0.07 5. Ansah #5 · Ezekiel Ansah · aggregate +0.02 235. Follett #235 · Zack Follett · aggregate +0.00 148. Greenwood #148 · Chris Greenwood · aggregate -0.05 20. Pettigrew #20 · Brandon Pettigrew · aggregate -0.11 13. Fairley #13 · Nick Fairley · aggregate -0.13 229. Freese #229 · Nate Freese · aggregate -0.14 Freese -0.1 255. Toone #255 · Tim Toone · aggregate -0.15 211. Williams #211 · Michael Williams · aggregate -0.18 171. Fuller #171 · Corey Fuller · aggregate -0.23 157. Hogue #157 · Doug Hogue · aggregate -0.36 44. Young #44 · Titus Young · aggregate -0.37 158. Reid #158 · Caraun Reid · aggregate -0.37 228. Murtha #228 · Lydon Murtha · aggregate -0.38 57. Leshoure #57 · Mikel Leshoure · aggregate -0.39 113. Wright #113 · Gabe Wright · aggregate -0.43 30. Best #30 · Jahvid Best · aggregate -0.47 128. Fox #128 · Jason Fox · aggregate -0.48 209. Culbreath #209 · Johnny Culbreath · aggregate -0.49 245. Hepburn #245 · Brandon Hepburn · aggregate -0.50 82. Williams #82 · Derrick Williams · aggregate -0.57 85. Bentley #85 · Bill Bentley · aggregate -0.61 54. Broyles #54 · Ryan Broyles · aggregate -0.63 136. Webster #136 · Larry Webster · aggregate -0.65 125. Lewis #125 · Ronnell Lewis · aggregate -0.66 200. Diggs #200 · Quandre Diggs · aggregate -0.86 80. Carter #80 · Alex Carter · aggregate -1.11 10. Ebron #10 · Eric Ebron · aggregate -1.33 165. Martin #165 · Sam Martin · aggregate -1.77 168. Burton #168 · Michael Burton · aggregate -2.12 Burton -2.1 23. Reiff #23 · Riley Reiff · aggregate -3.28 Reiff -3.3 54. Abdullah #54 · Ameer Abdullah · aggregate -3.60 Abdullah -3.6 28. Tomlinson #28 · Laken Tomlinson · aggregate -3.98 Tomlinson -4.0 1. Stafford #1 · Matthew Stafford · aggregate -4.70 Stafford -4.7 40. Noy #40 · Kyle Van Noy · aggregate -5.25 Noy -5.3 Incremental contribution by season -18 -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 2009 · Sammie Lee Hill · incremental +0.00 2009 · Aaron Brown · incremental +0.12 2009 · Louis Delmas · incremental +1.19 2009 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +2.02 2009 · Zack Follett · incremental -0.01 2009 · Dan Gronkowski · incremental -0.09 2009 · Derrick Williams · incremental -0.47 2009 · Lydon Murtha · incremental -0.66 2009 · Brandon Pettigrew · incremental -1.42 2009 · Matthew Stafford · incremental -11.71 2010 · Aaron Brown · incremental +0.04 2010 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.05 2010 · Sammie Lee Hill · incremental +0.12 2010 · Amari Spievey · incremental +0.13 2010 · Jason Fox · incremental +0.38 2010 · Louis Delmas · incremental +0.40 2010 · Brandon Pettigrew · incremental +0.41 2010 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +0.44 2010 · Ndamukong Suh · incremental +1.25 2010 · Willie Young · incremental +2.37 2010 · Zack Follett · incremental -0.01 2010 · Tim Toone · incremental -0.29 2010 · Derrick Williams · incremental -0.39 2010 · Jahvid Best · incremental -0.63 2011 · Aaron Brown · incremental +0.01 2011 · Willie Young · incremental +0.05 2011 · Sammie Lee Hill · incremental +0.12 2011 · Nick Fairley · incremental +0.31 2011 · Amari Spievey · incremental +0.31 2011 · Louis Delmas · incremental +0.32 2011 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.32 2011 · Brandon Pettigrew · incremental +0.42 2011 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +0.62 2011 · Jahvid Best · incremental -0.23 2011 · Ndamukong Suh · incremental -0.31 2011 · Titus Young · incremental -0.39 2011 · Doug Hogue · incremental -0.52 2011 · Johnny Culbreath · incremental -0.84 2012 · Amari Spievey · incremental +0.05 2012 · Willie Young · incremental +0.05 2012 · Sammie Lee Hill · incremental +0.11 2012 · Louis Delmas · incremental +0.22 2012 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.28 2012 · Brandon Pettigrew · incremental +0.31 2012 · Tahir Whitehead · incremental +0.45 2012 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +0.50 2012 · Travis Lewis · incremental +0.75 2012 · Jonte Green · incremental +1.17 2012 · Jason Fox · incremental -0.03 2012 · Doug Hogue · incremental -0.04 2012 · Chris Greenwood · incremental -0.13 2012 · Nick Fairley · incremental -0.18 2012 · Titus Young · incremental -0.19 2012 · Mikel Leshoure · incremental -0.61 2012 · Ryan Broyles · incremental -0.72 2012 · Bill Bentley · incremental -0.97 2012 · Ronnell Lewis · incremental -1.10 2012 · Ndamukong Suh · incremental -1.24 2012 · Riley Reiff · incremental -5.46 2013 · Darius Slay · incremental +0.02 2013 · Jonte Green · incremental +0.11 2013 · Travis Lewis · incremental +0.15 2013 · Tahir Whitehead · incremental +0.16 2013 · Chris Greenwood · incremental +0.22 2013 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.28 2013 · Brandon Pettigrew · incremental +0.34 2013 · Louis Delmas · incremental +0.44 2013 · Larry Warford · incremental +0.44 2013 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +0.68 2013 · Ndamukong Suh · incremental +0.74 2013 · Theo Riddick · incremental -0.02 2013 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.05 2013 · Mikel Leshoure · incremental -0.07 2013 · Willie Young · incremental -0.14 2013 · Devin Taylor · incremental -0.20 2013 · Nick Fairley · incremental -0.34 2013 · Bill Bentley · incremental -0.36 2013 · Ryan Broyles · incremental -0.38 2013 · Riley Reiff · incremental -0.42 2013 · Michael Williams · incremental -0.60 2013 · Ezekiel Ansah · incremental -0.83 2013 · Brandon Hepburn · incremental -0.84 2013 · Jason Fox · incremental -1.09 2013 · Sam Martin · incremental -1.87 2014 · Travis Swanson · incremental +0.02 2014 · Travis Lewis · incremental +0.02 2014 · T.J. Jones · incremental +0.03 2014 · Darius Slay · incremental +0.13 2014 · Theo Riddick · incremental +0.16 2014 · Ezekiel Ansah · incremental +0.17 2014 · Tahir Whitehead · incremental +0.17 2014 · Brandon Pettigrew · incremental +0.27 2014 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.28 2014 · Larry Warford · incremental +0.37 2014 · Ndamukong Suh · incremental +0.74 2014 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +0.81 2014 · Bill Bentley · incremental -0.01 2014 · Ryan Broyles · incremental -0.07 2014 · Michael Williams · incremental -0.08 2014 · Brandon Hepburn · incremental -0.10 2014 · Nate Freese · incremental -0.11 2014 · Nick Fairley · incremental -0.17 2014 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.21 2014 · Riley Reiff · incremental -0.36 2014 · Caraun Reid · incremental -0.47 2014 · Sam Martin · incremental -0.47 2014 · Nevin Lawson · incremental -0.48 2014 · Devin Taylor · incremental -0.58 2014 · Larry Webster · incremental -1.18 2014 · Eric Ebron · incremental -1.61 2014 · Kyle Van Noy · incremental -6.19 2015 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +0.01 2015 · Corey Robinson · incremental +0.08 2015 · Darius Slay · incremental +0.13 2015 · T.J. Jones · incremental +0.13 2015 · Brandon Pettigrew · incremental +0.15 2015 · Ezekiel Ansah · incremental +0.15 2015 · Tahir Whitehead · incremental +0.16 2015 · Travis Lewis · incremental +0.20 2015 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.28 2015 · Nevin Lawson · incremental +0.33 2015 · Larry Warford · incremental +0.37 2015 · Theo Riddick · incremental +0.88 2015 · Travis Swanson · incremental +1.09 2015 · Devin Taylor · incremental +1.60 2015 · Bill Bentley · incremental -0.02 2015 · Brandon Hepburn · incremental -0.11 2015 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.13 2015 · Larry Webster · incremental -0.14 2015 · Nate Freese · incremental -0.20 2015 · Sam Martin · incremental -0.37 2015 · Riley Reiff · incremental -0.42 2015 · Eric Ebron · incremental -0.46 2015 · Caraun Reid · incremental -0.50 2015 · Quandre Diggs · incremental -0.72 2015 · Gabe Wright · incremental -0.98 2015 · Alex Carter · incremental -1.11 2015 · Michael Burton · incremental -1.64 2015 · Ameer Abdullah · incremental -3.08 2015 · Kyle Van Noy · incremental -3.24 2015 · Laken Tomlinson · incremental -6.86 2016 · Darius Slay · incremental +0.07 2016 · T.J. Jones · incremental +0.10 2016 · DeAndre Levy · incremental +0.12 2016 · Tahir Whitehead · incremental +0.16 2016 · Ezekiel Ansah · incremental +0.17 2016 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.30 2016 · Theo Riddick · incremental +0.48 2016 · Larry Warford · incremental +0.58 2016 · Corey Robinson · incremental +0.68 2016 · Nevin Lawson · incremental +0.73 2016 · Travis Swanson · incremental +0.77 2016 · Devin Taylor · incremental +2.19 2016 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.02 2016 · Michael Williams · incremental -0.08 2016 · Brandon Hepburn · incremental -0.10 2016 · Quandre Diggs · incremental -0.21 2016 · Nate Freese · incremental -0.24 2016 · Riley Reiff · incremental -0.37 2016 · Sam Martin · incremental -0.47 2016 · Eric Ebron · incremental -0.60 2016 · Alex Carter · incremental -1.02 2016 · Ameer Abdullah · incremental -2.35 2016 · Laken Tomlinson · incremental -2.44 2016 · Kyle Van Noy · incremental -2.94 2016 · Michael Burton · incremental -3.34 2017 · T.J. Jones · incremental +0.09 2017 · Ezekiel Ansah · incremental +0.16 2017 · Tahir Whitehead · incremental +0.18 2017 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.31 2017 · Nevin Lawson · incremental +0.39 2017 · Travis Swanson · incremental +0.58 2017 · Theo Riddick · incremental +0.61 2017 · Darius Slay · incremental +0.78 2017 · Corey Robinson · incremental +0.93 2017 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.02 2017 · Michael Williams · incremental -0.08 2017 · Brandon Hepburn · incremental -0.10 2017 · Caraun Reid · incremental -0.14 2017 · Larry Webster · incremental -0.15 2017 · Nate Freese · incremental -0.19 2017 · Sam Martin · incremental -0.24 2017 · Alex Carter · incremental -0.25 2017 · Quandre Diggs · incremental -0.31 2017 · Eric Ebron · incremental -0.45 2017 · Ameer Abdullah · incremental -0.89 2018 · T.J. Jones · incremental +0.06 2018 · Ezekiel Ansah · incremental +0.24 2018 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.25 2018 · Darius Slay · incremental +0.45 2018 · Theo Riddick · incremental +0.47 2018 · Nevin Lawson · incremental +0.69 2018 · Larry Webster · incremental -0.13 2018 · Nate Freese · incremental -0.18 2018 · Sam Martin · incremental -0.32 2018 · Quandre Diggs · incremental -0.41 2018 · Ameer Abdullah · incremental -2.17 2019 · Corey Robinson · incremental +0.09 2019 · Gabe Wright · incremental +0.09 2019 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.16 2019 · Darius Slay · incremental +0.44 2019 · Quandre Diggs · incremental -0.14 2019 · Alex Carter · incremental -0.25 2019 · Sam Martin · incremental -0.29 2019 · Theo Riddick · incremental -0.52 2020 · Matthew Stafford · incremental +0.28 Stafford -11.7 Young +2.4 Reiff -5.5 Freese -0.1 Noy -6.2 Freese -0.2 Abdullah -3.1 Noy -3.2 Tomlinson -6.9 Taylor +2.2 Freese -0.2 Abdullah -2.3 Tomlinson -2.4 Noy -2.9 Burton -3.3 Freese -0.2 Freese -0.2 2009 10 players 2010 14 players 2011 14 players 2012 21 players 2013 25 players 2014 27 players 2015 30 players 2016 25 players 2017 20 players 2018 11 players 2019 8 players 2020 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Nate Freese GM total -23.5 Nate Freese by season -0.9
How much retained production did Nate Freese return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: Ks drafted within ±5 picks of Nate Freese since 2010 (4 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 229. Sanders Jason Sanders · model value +0.7 228. Hocker Zach Hocker · model value +0.3 229. Freese Nate Freese · model value +0.3 +0.3 224. Gonzalez Zane Gonzalez · model value -0.5 233. Butker Harrison Butker · model value -0.5 Nate Freese Slot-similar peers (4)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'14 '16 '18 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.