Trai Turner · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Trai Turner across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played126

Games started118

Weighted career AV51

Pro Bowls5

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons9

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2014 · Round 3 · #92

CAR draft credit

GM Dave Gettleman

Team games84

Team starts80

On-team AV46

On-team PB / AP14 / 0

Excellent+3.40 contribution2nd of 53 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Trai Turner was Dave Gettleman's 2nd-best of 53 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +3.40. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Dave Gettleman's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 126 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 118 full-career

Snap-z

4.9

6 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 51

AV / 1k snaps

8.2

5,625 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

+0.4

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

5 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Dave Gettleman's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Dave Gettleman pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Trai Turner totals +3.40. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationTrai TurnerGM total -18.8Trai Turner by season +7.6

How much retained production did Trai Turner return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: OLs drafted within ±5 picks of Trai Turner since 2010 (14 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Trai TurnerSlot-similar peers (14)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (9 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB
2014	CAR	13	9	689	0.2	4	5.8
2015	CAR	16	16	1,170	1.3	10	8.5
2016	CAR	16	16	1,171	1.3	8	6.8	✓
2017	CAR	13	13	898	0.8	8	8.9	✓
2018	CAR	13	12	800	0.7	9	11.3	✓
2019	CAR	13	13	897	0.7	7	7.8	✓
2020	LAC	9	8	537	0.0	4	7.4
2021	PIT	17	17	1,084	1.3	6	5.5
2022	WAS	16	12	816	0.6	5	6.1

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.