2012 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for John Schneider

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 253 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2012 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

2012 class highlighted · 32 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1
3.75	Russell Wilson	QB	SEA	John Schneider	140	158	10
2.47	Bobby Wagner	LB	SEA	John Schneider	129	168	10	6
3.77	Demario Davis	LB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	104	80	2	1
4.102	Kirk Cousins	QB	WAS	Bruce Allen	102	62	4
1.12	Fletcher Cox	DT	PHI	Howie Roseman	95	188	6	1
2.58	Lavonte David	LB	TB	Mark Dominik	93	215	1	1
1.8	Ryan Tannehill	QB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	91	88	1
1.9	Luke Kuechly	LB	CAR	Marty Hurney	91	118	7	5
1.21	Chandler Jones	DE	NE	Bill Belichick	77	55	4	2
1.10	Stephon Gilmore	DB	BUF	Buddy Nix	75	68	5	2

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.50	Isaiah Pead	RB	LAR	Les Snead	1	5
1.30	A.J. Jenkins	WR	SF	Trent Baalke	2	3
2.61	LaMichael James	RB	SF	Trent Baalke	2	4
2.53	Devon Still	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	3	5
2.54	Ryan Broyles	WR	DET	Martin Mayhew	3	3
2.43	Stephen Hill	WR	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	4	2
2.51	Jerel Worthy	DT	GB	Ted Thompson	4	7
1.32	David Wilson	RB	NYG	Jerry Reese	5	2
1.5	Justin Blackmon	WR	JAX	Gene Smith	9	2
2.33	Brian Quick	WR	LAR	Les Snead	11	7

All picks (253) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1
1.1	Andrew Luck	QB	IND	Ryan Grigson	72	86	86	2
1.2	Robert Griffin III	QB	WAS	Bruce Allen	36	37	35	1
1.3	Trent Richardson	RB	CLE	Tom Heckert	17	17	17
1.4	Matt Kalil	T	MIN	Rick Spielman	34	66	66	1
1.5	Justin Blackmon	WR	JAX	Gene Smith	9	20	18
1.6	Morris Claiborne	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	25	47	43
1.7	Mark Barron	DB	TB	Mark Dominik	58	37	37
1.8	Ryan Tannehill	QB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	91	88	88
1.9	Luke Kuechly	LB	CAR	Marty Hurney	91	118	118	4	5
1.10	Stephon Gilmore	DB	BUF	Buddy Nix	75	68	66	1
1.11	Dontari Poe	DT	KC	Scott Pioli	55	78	76
1.12	Fletcher Cox	DT	PHI	Howie Roseman	95	188	182	5	1
1.13	Michael Floyd	WR	ARI	Rod Graves	28	76	46
1.14	Michael Brockers	DT	LAR	Les Snead	58	138	136
1.15	Bruce Irvin	DE	SEA	John Schneider	42	71	49
1.16	Quinton Coples	DE	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	17	56	32
1.17	Dre Kirkpatrick	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	31	99	67
1.18	Melvin Ingram	DE	LAC	A.J. Smith	57	113	96	3
1.19	Shea McClellin	DE	CHI	Phil Emery	17	52	31
1.20	Kendall Wright	WR	TEN	Ruston Webster	28	66	41
1.21	Chandler Jones	DE	NE	Bill Belichick	77	55	52
1.22	Brandon Weeden	QB	CLE	Tom Heckert	13	23	20
1.23	Riley Reiff	T	DET	Martin Mayhew	60	77	69
1.24	David DeCastro	G	PIT	Kevin Colbert	69	125	124	5	2
1.25	Dont'a Hightower	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	65	117	114	2
1.26	Whitney Mercilus	DE	HOU	Rick Smith	49	134	102
1.27	Kevin Zeitler	G	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	67	72	71
1.28	Nick Perry	DE	GB	Ted Thompson	22	81	48
1.29	Harrison Smith	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	72	207	203	5	1
1.30	A.J. Jenkins	WR	SF	Trent Baalke	2	3	0
1.31	Doug Martin	RB	TB	Mark Dominik	39	68	65	1	1
1.32	David Wilson	RB	NYG	Jerry Reese	5	21	6
2.33	Brian Quick	WR	LAR	Les Snead	11	67	23
2.34	Coby Fleener	TE	IND	Ryan Grigson	25	60	45
2.35	Courtney Upshaw	LB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	27	64	51
2.36	Derek Wolfe	DT	DEN	John Elway	48	108	108
2.37	Mitchell Schwartz	T	CLE	Tom Heckert	75	64	64
2.38	Andre Branch	LB	JAX	Gene Smith	22	51	12
2.39	Jackrabbit Jenkins	DB	LAR	Les Snead	52	60	58
2.40	Amini Silatolu	G	CAR	Marty Hurney	18	54	31
2.41	Cordy Glenn	G	BUF	Buddy Nix	38	78	77
2.42	Jonathan Martin	T	MIA	Jeff Ireland	14	23	23
2.43	Stephen Hill	WR	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	4	23	19
2.44	Jeff Allen	T	KC	Scott Pioli	27	58	40
2.45	Alshon Jeffery	WR	CHI	Phil Emery	48	63	56
2.46	Mychal Kendricks	LB	PHI	Howie Roseman	38	85	74
2.47	Bobby Wagner	LB	SEA	John Schneider	129	168	166	7	6
2.48	Tavon Wilson	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	19	54	4
2.49	Kendall Reyes	DT	LAC	A.J. Smith	22	64	50
2.50	Isaiah Pead	RB	LAR	Les Snead	1	27	1
2.51	Jerel Worthy	DT	GB	Ted Thompson	4	16	4
2.52	Zach Brown	LB	TEN	Ruston Webster	41	49	33
2.53	Devon Still	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	3	30	0
2.54	Ryan Broyles	WR	DET	Martin Mayhew	3	21	6
2.55	Peter Konz	C	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	16	39	28
2.56	Mike Adams	T	PIT	Kevin Colbert	11	41	20
2.57	Brock Osweiler	QB	DEN	John Elway	14	27	11
2.58	Lavonte David	LB	TB	Mark Dominik	93	215	215		1
2.59	Vinny Curry	DE	PHI	Howie Roseman	22	111	21
2.60	Kelechi Osemele	T	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	47	51	51
2.61	LaMichael James	RB	SF	Trent Baalke	2	15	0
2.62	Casey Hayward	DB	GB	Ted Thompson	50	51	20
2.63	Rueben Randle	WR	NYG	Jerry Reese	21	64	33
3.64	Dwayne Allen	TE	IND	Ryan Grigson	12	57	56
3.65	Trumaine Johnson	DB	LAR	Les Snead	30	85	62
3.66	Josh Robinson	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	10	47	21
3.67	Ronnie Hillman	RB	DEN	John Elway	17	48	14
3.68	DeVier Posey	WR	HOU	Rick Smith	2	26	1
3.69	T.J. Graham	WR	BUF	Buddy Nix	7	31	17
3.70	Bryan Anger	P	JAX	Gene Smith	25	64	0
3.71	Josh LeRibeus	G	WAS	Bruce Allen	11	28	12
3.72	Olivier Vernon	LB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	50	64	46
3.73	Brandon Taylor	DB	LAC	A.J. Smith	1	4	1
3.74	Donald Stephenson	T	KC	Scott Pioli	18	60	21
3.75	Russell Wilson	QB	SEA	John Schneider	140	158	158	6
3.76	Brandon Brooks	G	HOU	Rick Smith	50	50	44
3.77	Demario Davis	LB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	104	80	67
3.78	Michael Egnew	TE	MIA	Jeff Ireland	0	18	5
3.79	Brandon Hardin	DB	CHI	Phil Emery	0	0	0
3.80	Jamell Fleming	DB	ARI	Rod Graves	5	15	3
3.81	Tyrone Crawford	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	34	112	79
3.82	Mike Martin	DT	TEN	Ruston Webster	6	46	5
3.83	Mohamed Sanu	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	41	57	34
3.84	Bernard Pierce	RB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	10	45	3
3.85	Bill Bentley	DB	DET	Martin Mayhew	3	20	8
3.86	Sean Spence	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	13	35	17
3.87	John Hughes	DT	CLE	Tom Heckert	10	53	10
3.88	Nick Foles	QB	PHI	Howie Roseman	32	40	32
3.89	Akiem Hicks	DE	NO	Mickey Loomis	54	48	33
3.90	Jake Bequette	DE	NE	Bill Belichick	0	8	0
3.91	Lamar Holmes	T	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	10	21	19
3.92	T.Y. Hilton	WR	IND	Ryan Grigson	72	143	121
3.93	Brandon Thompson	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	7	39	7
3.94	Jayron Hosley	DB	NYG	Jerry Reese	8	43	15
3.95	Tony Bergstrom	T	LV	Reggie McKenzie	12	25	4
4.96	Chris Givens	WR	LAR	Les Snead	12	48	25
4.97	Lamar Miller	RB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	42	61	48
4.98	Gino Gradkowski	G	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	11	40	16
4.99	Ben Jones	C	HOU	Rick Smith	58	64	43
4.100	Travis Benjamin	WR	CLE	Tom Heckert	25	54	21
4.101	Omar Bolden	DB	DEN	John Elway	5	56	1
4.102	Kirk Cousins	QB	WAS	Bruce Allen	102	62	57	1
4.103	Frank Alexander	DE	CAR	Marty Hurney	6	29	6
4.104	Joe Adams	WR	CAR	Marty Hurney	0	9	0
4.105	Nigel Bradham	LB	BUF	Buddy Nix	44	57	38
4.106	Robert Turbin	RB	SEA	John Schneider	16	49	3
4.107	Devon Wylie	WR	KC	Scott Pioli	0	6	1
4.108	Philip Blake	OL	DEN	John Elway	0	0	0
4.109	Alameda Ta'amu	DT	PIT	Kevin Colbert	3	0	0
4.110	Ladarius Green	TE	LAC	A.J. Smith	11	47	26
4.111	Evan Rodriguez	TE	CHI	Phil Emery	0	12	5
4.112	Bobby Massie	T	ARI	Rod Graves	45	54	46
4.113	Kyle Wilber	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	13	89	16
4.114	Jaye Howard	DT	SEA	John Schneider	17	2	0
4.115	Coty Sensabaugh	DB	TEN	Ruston Webster	19	59	27
4.116	Orson Charles	TE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	29	6
4.117	Joe Looney	G	SF	Trent Baalke	21	19	4
4.118	Jarius Wright	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	24	79	15
4.119	Keenan Robinson	LB	WAS	Bruce Allen	17	36	21
4.120	James-Michael Johnson	LB	CLE	Tom Heckert	11	10	8
4.121	Keshawn Martin	WR	HOU	Rick Smith	7	48	2
4.122	Nick Toon	WR	NO	Mickey Loomis	3	16	5
4.123	Brandon Boykin	DB	PHI	Howie Roseman	9	48	6
4.124	Ron Brooks	DB	BUF	Buddy Nix	6	47	3
4.125	Ronnell Lewis	LB	DET	Martin Mayhew	1	8	0
4.126	Jared Crick	DE	HOU	Rick Smith	28	63	32
4.127	Adrien Robinson	TE	NYG	Jerry Reese	0	19	1
4.128	Rhett Ellison	RB	MIN	Rick Spielman	9	73	41
4.129	Miles Burris	LB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	14	38	31
4.130	Christian Thompson	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	0	7	0
4.131	Brandon Mosley	T	NYG	Jerry Reese	2	22	1
4.132	Mike Daniels	DT	GB	Ted Thompson	41	102	72	1
4.133	Jerron McMillian	DB	GB	Ted Thompson	2	28	2
4.134	Greg Childs	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
4.135	Matt Johnson	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
5.136	Josh Chapman	NT	IND	Ryan Grigson	7	29	15
5.137	Malik Jackson	DT	DEN	John Elway	45	62	24
5.138	Tahir Whitehead	LB	DET	Martin Mayhew	41	93	54
5.139	Robert Blanton	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	9	60	17
5.140	Najee Goode	LB	TB	Mark Dominik	10	3	0
5.141	Adam Gettis	G	WAS	Bruce Allen	1	13	0
5.142	Brandon Marshall	LB	JAX	Gene Smith	30	5	0
5.143	Josh Norman	DB	CAR	Marty Hurney	43	55	39		1
5.144	Zebrie Sanders	OL	BUF	Buddy Nix	0	0	0
5.145	Taylor Thompson	TE	TEN	Ruston Webster	0	35	8
5.146	DeQuan Menzie	DB	KC	Scott Pioli	0	0	0
5.147	Tank Carder	LB	BUF	Buddy Nix	5	0	0
5.148	Chris Greenwood	DB	DET	Martin Mayhew	0	3	0
5.149	Johnnie Troutman	G	LAC	A.J. Smith	14	29	24
5.150	Rokevious Watkins	G	LAR	Les Snead	1	1	0
5.151	Senio Kelemete	G	ARI	Rod Graves	25	1	0
5.152	Danny Coale	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
5.153	Dennis Kelly	T	PHI	Howie Roseman	29	30	15
5.154	Korey Toomer	LB	SEA	John Schneider	11	0	0
5.155	Josh Kaddu	LB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	0	5	0
5.156	Shaun Prater	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	0	0
5.157	Bradie Ewing	RB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	2	2
5.158	Jack Crawford	DE	LV	Reggie McKenzie	18	19	0
5.159	Chris Rainey	RB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	16	0
5.160	Ryan Miller	G	CLE	Tom Heckert	1	8	0
5.161	Randy Bullock	K	HOU	Rick Smith	20	35	0
5.162	Corey White	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	12	41	19
5.163	Terrell Manning	LB	GB	Ted Thompson	0	5	0
5.164	Jonathan Massaquoi	DE	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	6	39	7
5.165	Darius Fleming	LB	SF	Trent Baalke	1	0	0
5.166	Marvin Jones	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	53	43	21
5.167	George Iloka	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	29	83	76
5.168	Juron Criner	WR	LV	Reggie McKenzie	1	13	0
5.169	Asa Jackson	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	3	18	6
5.170	Vick Ballard	RB	IND	Ryan Grigson	5	17	13
6.171	Greg Zuerlein	K	LAR	Les Snead	29	119	0	1	1
6.172	Jeremy Lane	DB	SEA	John Schneider	10	70	21
6.173	Alfred Morris	RB	WAS	Bruce Allen	36	64	64
6.174	Keith Tandy	DB	TB	Mark Dominik	8	84	15
6.175	Blair Walsh	K	MIN	Rick Spielman	14	73	0	1	1
6.176	Mike Harris	DB	JAX	Gene Smith	6	31	8
6.177	Justin Bethel	DB	ARI	Rod Graves	20	96	14
6.178	Mark Asper	G	BUF	Buddy Nix	0	6	0
6.179	Andrew Tiller	G	NO	Mickey Loomis	6	0	0
6.180	Trent Robinson	DB	SF	Trent Baalke	6	3	0
6.181	Winston Guy	DB	SEA	John Schneider	3	2	0
6.182	Cyrus Gray	RB	KC	Scott Pioli	1	35	0
6.183	B.J. Cunningham	WR	MIA	Jeff Ireland	0	0	0
6.184	Isaiah Frey	DB	CHI	Phil Emery	3	19	7
6.185	Ryan Lindley	QB	ARI	Rod Graves	-4	9	6
6.186	James Hanna	TE	DAL	Jerry Jones	3	78	37
6.187	Josh Bush	DB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	3	35	0
6.188	Danny Trevathan	LB	DEN	John Elway	47	50	32
6.189	Christo Bilukidi	DE	LV	Reggie McKenzie	1	18	0
6.190	Markelle Martin	DB	TEN	Ruston Webster	0	0	0
6.191	Dan Herron	RB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	5	3	0
6.192	Charles Mitchell	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	1	10	0
6.193	Tom Compton	T	WAS	Bruce Allen	22	44	10
6.194	Marvin McNutt	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	4	0
6.195	Nick Mondek	OL	HOU	Rick Smith	0	0	0
6.196	Jonte Green	DB	DET	Martin Mayhew	4	24	7
6.197	Nate Ebner	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	11	111	0
6.198	Tommy Streeter	WR	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	0	0	0
6.199	Jason Slowey	OL	SF	Trent Baalke	0	0	0
6.200	Brandon Washington	G	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	0	0
6.201	Matt McCants	T	NYG	Jerry Reese	3	0	0
6.202	Terrance Ganaway	RB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	0	0	0
6.203	Robert Griffin	OL	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	0	0	0
6.204	Emmanuel Acho	LB	CLE	Tom Heckert	2	0	0
6.205	Billy Winn	DT	CLE	Tom Heckert	15	40	18
6.206	LaVon Brazill	WR	IND	Ryan Grigson	3	25	0
6.207	Brad Nortman	P	CAR	Marty Hurney	11	64	0
7.208	Justin Anderson	OL	IND	Ryan Grigson	0	0	0
7.209	Aaron Brown	LB	LAR	Les Snead	0	0	0
7.210	Audie Cole	LB	MIN	Rick Spielman	7	57	7
7.211	Scott Solomon	DE	TEN	Ruston Webster	2	13	0
7.212	Michael Smith	RB	TB	Mark Dominik	0	1	0
7.213	Richard Crawford	DB	WAS	Bruce Allen	1	10	0
7.214	Tim Fugger	DE	IND	Ryan Grigson	0	0	0
7.215	Kheeston Randall	DT	MIA	Jeff Ireland	1	12	0
7.216	D.J. Campbell	DB	CAR	Marty Hurney	2	5	4
7.217	Jordan Bernstine	DB	WAS	Bruce Allen	0	1	0
7.218	Jerome Long	DT	KC	Scott Pioli	0	0	0
7.219	Trevor Guyton	DE	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
7.220	Greg McCoy	DB	CHI	Phil Emery	0	0	0
7.221	Nate Potter	T	ARI	Rod Graves	3	21	6
7.222	Caleb McSurdy	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.223	Travis Lewis	LB	DET	Martin Mayhew	4	42	4
7.224	Alfonzo Dennard	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	9	29	20
7.225	J.R. Sweezy	DT	SEA	John Schneider	47	74	64
7.226	David Molk	C	LAC	A.J. Smith	3	12	0
7.227	Rishard Matthews	WR	MIA	Jeff Ireland	22	49	17
7.228	Jeris Pendleton	DT	JAX	Gene Smith	0	4	0
7.229	Bryce Brown	RB	PHI	Howie Roseman	9	32	5
7.230	Nathan Stupar	LB	LV	Reggie McKenzie	9	0	0
7.231	Toney Clemons	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	0	0
7.232	Greg Scruggs	DE	SEA	John Schneider	1	14	0
7.233	Drake Dunsmore	TE	TB	Mark Dominik	0	0	0
7.234	Marcel Jones	OL	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	0	0
7.235	Jeremy Ebert	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
7.236	DeAngelo Tyson	DT	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	6	34	6
7.237	Cam Johnson	DE	SF	Trent Baalke	5	2	0
7.238	Junior Hemingway	WR	KC	Scott Pioli	2	31	3
7.239	Markus Kuhn	DT	NYG	Jerry Reese	6	39	11
7.240	David Paulson	TE	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	32	9
7.241	Andrew Datko	OL	GB	Ted Thompson	0	0	0
7.242	Antonio Allen	DB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	9	50	18
7.243	B.J. Coleman	QB	GB	Ted Thompson	0	0	0
7.244	Jordan White	WR	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	0	3	0
7.245	Trevin Wade	DB	CLE	Tom Heckert	5	13	0
7.246	Terrence Frederick	DB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	0	0
7.247	Brad Smelley	TE	CLE	Tom Heckert	0	2	0
7.248	Kelvin Beachum	T	PIT	Kevin Colbert	59	44	39
7.249	Travian Robertson	DT	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	1	12	0
7.250	Edwin Baker	RB	LAC	A.J. Smith	1	0	0
7.251	John Potter	K	BUF	Buddy Nix	0	6	0
7.252	Daryl Richardson	RB	LAR	Les Snead	7	24	3
7.253	Chandler Harnish	QB	IND	Ryan Grigson	0	0	0

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.