2024 NFL Draft
Descriptive results for how the 2024 class added value over time. Class totals as of 2025: 1,265 career AV, 14 Pro Bowls, 5 AP1 All-Pros.
DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED
Follow the class result into model evidence
The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.
Class value over time
Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 257 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2024 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.
Top 10 picks by career AV
Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).
| Pick | Player | Pos | Team | GM | Career AV | Team GP | Career PB | Career AP1 | HOF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | Ryan Poles | 26 | 34 | |||
| 1.2 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | Adam Peters | 26 | 24 | 1 | ||
| 1.3 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | Eliot Wolf | 26 | 30 | 2 | ||
| 1.12 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | George Paton | 25 | 34 | |||
| 1.19 | Jared Verse | DL | LAR | Les Snead | 22 | 34 | 2 | ||
| 1.22 | Quinyon Mitchell | CB | PHI | Howie Roseman | 19 | 32 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1.23 | Brian Thomas | WR | JAX | Trent Baalke | 18 | 31 | 1 | ||
| 2.34 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | Joe Hortiz | 18 | 32 | |||
| 4.125 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | Jason Licht | 18 | 27 | |||
| 2.62 | Roger Rosengarten | OL | BAL | Eric DeCosta | 17 | 34 |
Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)
A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.
| Pick | Player | Pos | Team | GM | AV | YoT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.46 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | Dan Morgan | 0 | 1 |
| 2.61 | Ennis Rakestraw | DB | DET | Brad Holmes | 0 | 1 |
| 2.37 | Ja'Lynn Polk | WR | NE | Eliot Wolf | 1 | 1 |
| 2.53 | Ben Sinnott | TE | WAS | Adam Peters | 1 | 2 |
| 2.56 | Marshawn Kneeland | DL | DAL | Jerry Jones | 2 | 2 |
| 2.57 | Chris Braswell | LB | TB | Jason Licht | 2 | 2 |
| 2.54 | Michael Hall | DT | CLE | Andrew Berry | 3 | 2 |
| 1.10 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | Kwesi Adofo-Mensah | 4 | 2 |
| 1.21 | Chop Robinson | DE | MIA | Chris Grier | 4 | 2 |
| 1.27 | Darius Robinson | DL | ARI | Monti Ossenfort | 4 | 2 |
All picks (257) · sortable below
Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.
How to read this
- "Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
- Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
- Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
- "On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
- Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.