← 2024 DRAFT PLAYER PROFILE R2 · #33 OVERALL · WR

Keon Coleman

Drafted by BUF · GM Brandon Beane · Florida St.

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Keon Coleman across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played26
Games started18
Weighted career AV11
Pro Bowls0
AP1 All-Pro0
Career seasons2

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2024 · Round 2 · #33

BUF draft credit

GM Brandon Beane

Team games26
Team starts18
On-team AV11
On-team PB / AP10 / 0
Good+0.22 contribution30th of 64 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

A Good pick

Keon Coleman was Brandon Beane's 30th-best of 64 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.22. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Brandon Beane's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
26
on drafting team
Games started
18
on drafting team
Snap-z
1.5
2 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
11
modeled; full weighted AV 11
AV / 1k snaps
9.3
1,180 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.2
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only

Did this pick move Brandon Beane's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Brandon Beane pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Keon Coleman totals +0.22. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

-10+1+2+3+4+5+67. Allen#7 · Josh Allen · aggregate +6.06Allen +6.163. Cook#63 · James Cook · aggregate +4.28Cook +4.396. Knox#96 · Dawson Knox · aggregate +2.31Knox +2.3121. Johnson#121 · Taron Johnson · aggregate +2.17Johnson +2.230. Rousseau#30 · Gregory Rousseau · aggregate +2.11Rousseau +2.193. Brown#93 · Spencer Brown · aggregate +2.11Brown +2.1128. Davis#128 · Ray Davis · aggregate +2.08Davis +2.1148. Shakir#148 · Khalil Shakir · aggregate +2.07Shakir +2.1185. Benford#185 · Christian Benford · aggregate +2.03Benford +2.0109. Walker#109 · Deone Walker · aggregate +1.9525. Kincaid#25 · Dalton Kincaid · aggregate +1.94188. Bass#188 · Tyler Bass · aggregate +1.6189. Bernard#89 · Terrel Bernard · aggregate +1.45128. Davis#128 · Gabriel Davis · aggregate +1.3759. Torrence#59 · O'Cyrus Torrence · aggregate +1.19141. Pran-Granger#141 · Sedrick Van Pran-Granger · aggregate +0.96166. Teller#166 · Wyatt Teller · aggregate +0.96239. Jackson#239 · Dane Jackson · aggregate +0.81212. Hamlin#212 · Damar Hamlin · aggregate +0.73173. Hawes#173 · Jackson Hawes · aggregate +0.719. Oliver#9 · Ed Oliver · aggregate +0.6560. Bishop#60 · Cole Bishop · aggregate +0.6174. Singletary#74 · Devin Singletary · aggregate +0.5891. Williams#91 · Dorian Williams · aggregate +0.5416. Edmunds#16 · Tremaine Edmunds · aggregate +0.53168. Solomon#168 · Javon Solomon · aggregate +0.49170. Hancock#170 · Jordan Hancock · aggregate +0.41240. Prather#240 · Kaden Prather · aggregate +0.40177. Strong#177 · Dorian Strong · aggregate +0.3233. Coleman#33 · Keon Coleman · aggregate +0.22Coleman +0.295. Carter#95 · DeWayne Carter · aggregate +0.21230. Broeker#230 · Nick Broeker · aggregate +0.16206. Lundt#206 · Chase Lundt · aggregate +0.16231. Spector#231 · Baylon Spector · aggregate +0.13252. Austin#252 · Alex Austin · aggregate +0.08219. Hardy#219 · Daequan Hardy · aggregate +0.07204. Grable#204 · Tylan Grable · aggregate +0.0254. Epenesa#54 · A.J. Epenesa · aggregate +0.00181. Johnson#181 · Jaquan Johnson · aggregate -0.01221. Clayton#221 · Travis Clayton · aggregate -0.10180. Araiza#180 · Matt Araiza · aggregate -0.11160. Ulofoshio#160 · Edefuan Ulofoshio · aggregate -0.16225. Johnson#225 · Darryl Johnson · aggregate -0.24150. Shorter#150 · Justin Shorter · aggregate -0.3772. Jackson#72 · Landon Jackson · aggregate -0.39228. Sweeney#228 · Tommy Sweeney · aggregate -0.4486. Moss#86 · Zack Moss · aggregate -0.47209. Tenuta#209 · Luke Tenuta · aggregate -0.47167. Fromm#167 · Jake Fromm · aggregate -0.4741. Sanders#41 · T.J. Sanders · aggregate -0.48255. Proehl#255 · Austin Proehl · aggregate -0.5730. Hairston#30 · Maxwell Hairston · aggregate -0.73236. Anderson#236 · Jack Anderson · aggregate -0.83213. Wildgoose#213 · Rachad Wildgoose · aggregate -0.85203. Stevenson#203 · Marquez Stevenson · aggregate -0.9896. Phillips#96 · Harrison Phillips · aggregate -1.0023. Elam#23 · Kaiir Elam · aggregate -1.03154. Neal#154 · Siran Neal · aggregate -1.04207. Hodgins#207 · Isaiah Hodgins · aggregate -1.0661. Basham#61 · Boogie Basham · aggregate -1.11161. Doyle#161 · Tommy Doyle · aggregate -1.1738. Ford#38 · Cody Ford · aggregate -1.18147. Joseph#147 · Vosean Joseph · aggregate -1.30187. McCloud#187 · Ray-Ray McCloud · aggregate -1.52

Incremental contribution by season

-14-12-10-8-6-4-20+2+4+6+8+10+12+14+16+18+20+22+24+26+28+302018 · Taron Johnson · incremental +0.032018 · Josh Allen · incremental +0.562018 · Wyatt Teller · incremental +1.272018 · Tremaine Edmunds · incremental -0.292018 · Siran Neal · incremental -0.732018 · Austin Proehl · incremental -0.902018 · Ray-Ray McCloud · incremental -2.972018 · Harrison Phillips · incremental -3.332019 · Taron Johnson · incremental +0.472019 · Tremaine Edmunds · incremental +0.472019 · Dawson Knox · incremental +0.662019 · Josh Allen · incremental +1.112019 · Harrison Phillips · incremental +7.272019 · Jaquan Johnson · incremental -0.002019 · Devin Singletary · incremental -0.112019 · Austin Proehl · incremental -0.132019 · Tommy Sweeney · incremental -0.212019 · Siran Neal · incremental -0.302019 · Ed Oliver · incremental -0.582019 · Darryl Johnson · incremental -0.782019 · Vosean Joseph · incremental -1.962019 · Cody Ford · incremental -2.192020 · Jaquan Johnson · incremental +0.032020 · Tremaine Edmunds · incremental +0.442020 · Ed Oliver · incremental +0.452020 · Dawson Knox · incremental +0.502020 · Devin Singletary · incremental +0.572020 · Gabriel Davis · incremental +0.772020 · Tyler Bass · incremental +0.852020 · Taron Johnson · incremental +0.982020 · Josh Allen · incremental +2.272020 · Austin Proehl · incremental -0.132020 · A.J. Epenesa · incremental -0.142020 · Cody Ford · incremental -0.152020 · Tommy Sweeney · incremental -0.212020 · Vosean Joseph · incremental -0.292020 · Harrison Phillips · incremental -0.392020 · Siran Neal · incremental -0.412020 · Darryl Johnson · incremental -0.732020 · Jake Fromm · incremental -0.782020 · Zack Moss · incremental -0.962020 · Isaiah Hodgins · incremental -1.152020 · Dane Jackson · incremental -1.182021 · A.J. Epenesa · incremental +0.052021 · Jaquan Johnson · incremental +0.102021 · Damar Hamlin · incremental +0.252021 · Tremaine Edmunds · incremental +0.412021 · Ed Oliver · incremental +0.502021 · Gabriel Davis · incremental +0.612021 · Devin Singletary · incremental +0.632021 · Spencer Brown · incremental +0.652021 · Gregory Rousseau · incremental +0.712021 · Taron Johnson · incremental +0.912021 · Tyler Bass · incremental +0.962021 · Dawson Knox · incremental +1.022021 · Dane Jackson · incremental +1.472021 · Josh Allen · incremental +1.512021 · Austin Proehl · incremental -0.122021 · Siran Neal · incremental -0.222021 · Tommy Sweeney · incremental -0.272021 · Vosean Joseph · incremental -0.292021 · Isaiah Hodgins · incremental -0.462021 · Cody Ford · incremental -0.632021 · Zack Moss · incremental -0.662021 · Marquez Stevenson · incremental -1.352021 · Boogie Basham · incremental -1.362021 · Rachad Wildgoose · incremental -1.392021 · Jack Anderson · incremental -1.542021 · Tommy Doyle · incremental -1.632021 · Harrison Phillips · incremental -6.032022 · Jaquan Johnson · incremental +0.102022 · A.J. Epenesa · incremental +0.102022 · Tremaine Edmunds · incremental +0.322022 · Ed Oliver · incremental +0.362022 · Khalil Shakir · incremental +0.392022 · Zack Moss · incremental +0.392022 · Christian Benford · incremental +0.392022 · Terrel Bernard · incremental +0.402022 · James Cook · incremental +0.672022 · Damar Hamlin · incremental +0.682022 · Devin Singletary · incremental +0.692022 · Gregory Rousseau · incremental +0.792022 · Tyler Bass · incremental +0.842022 · Taron Johnson · incremental +1.022022 · Spencer Brown · incremental +1.052022 · Gabriel Davis · incremental +1.102022 · Dawson Knox · incremental +1.782022 · Josh Allen · incremental +2.362022 · Dane Jackson · incremental +2.932022 · Baylon Spector · incremental -0.072022 · Jake Fromm · incremental -0.112022 · Austin Proehl · incremental -0.112022 · Marquez Stevenson · incremental -0.232022 · Tommy Doyle · incremental -0.272022 · Tommy Sweeney · incremental -0.282022 · Vosean Joseph · incremental -0.292022 · Siran Neal · incremental -0.312022 · Matt Araiza · incremental -0.612022 · Isaiah Hodgins · incremental -0.702022 · Kaiir Elam · incremental -0.852022 · Luke Tenuta · incremental -0.912022 · Boogie Basham · incremental -1.422023 · Baylon Spector · incremental +0.032023 · Alex Austin · incremental +0.122023 · A.J. Epenesa · incremental +0.132023 · Damar Hamlin · incremental +0.152023 · Dorian Williams · incremental +0.292023 · Dawson Knox · incremental +0.432023 · Nick Broeker · incremental +0.472023 · Ed Oliver · incremental +0.522023 · Dalton Kincaid · incremental +0.782023 · Tyler Bass · incremental +0.802023 · O'Cyrus Torrence · incremental +1.002023 · Gabriel Davis · incremental +1.102023 · Gregory Rousseau · incremental +1.102023 · Taron Johnson · incremental +1.152023 · Dane Jackson · incremental +1.192023 · Darryl Johnson · incremental +1.222023 · Terrel Bernard · incremental +1.332023 · Spencer Brown · incremental +1.422023 · Khalil Shakir · incremental +1.432023 · Christian Benford · incremental +1.462023 · Josh Allen · incremental +1.492023 · James Cook · incremental +2.942023 · Jake Fromm · incremental -0.112023 · Jaquan Johnson · incremental -0.152023 · Tommy Sweeney · incremental -0.212023 · Rachad Wildgoose · incremental -0.242023 · Marquez Stevenson · incremental -0.272023 · Tommy Doyle · incremental -0.282023 · Siran Neal · incremental -0.282023 · Vosean Joseph · incremental -0.292023 · Justin Shorter · incremental -0.842023 · Kaiir Elam · incremental -1.092024 · Daequan Hardy · incremental +0.022024 · Keon Coleman · incremental +0.152024 · Baylon Spector · incremental +0.342024 · Javon Solomon · incremental +0.412024 · Ed Oliver · incremental +0.432024 · DeWayne Carter · incremental +0.462024 · Cole Bishop · incremental +0.522024 · Dorian Williams · incremental +0.622024 · Taron Johnson · incremental +0.632024 · Damar Hamlin · incremental +0.672024 · Dawson Knox · incremental +0.702024 · Dalton Kincaid · incremental +0.912024 · Terrel Bernard · incremental +0.952024 · Tyler Bass · incremental +0.962024 · O'Cyrus Torrence · incremental +0.992024 · Sedrick Van Pran-Granger · incremental +1.102024 · Ray Davis · incremental +1.142024 · Spencer Brown · incremental +1.182024 · Gregory Rousseau · incremental +1.252024 · Khalil Shakir · incremental +1.472024 · Christian Benford · incremental +1.672024 · Josh Allen · incremental +2.302024 · James Cook · incremental +2.512024 · A.J. Epenesa · incremental -0.002024 · Tylan Grable · incremental -0.042024 · Jake Fromm · incremental -0.112024 · Jack Anderson · incremental -0.122024 · Rachad Wildgoose · incremental -0.242024 · Marquez Stevenson · incremental -0.252024 · Tommy Doyle · incremental -0.252024 · Travis Clayton · incremental -0.262024 · Edefuan Ulofoshio · incremental -0.392024 · Kaiir Elam · incremental -0.772025 · Travis Clayton · incremental +0.032025 · Tylan Grable · incremental +0.042025 · A.J. Epenesa · incremental +0.062025 · Ed Oliver · incremental +0.082025 · Gabriel Davis · incremental +0.082025 · Damar Hamlin · incremental +0.102025 · Keon Coleman · incremental +0.232025 · Chase Lundt · incremental +0.412025 · Dorian Williams · incremental +0.512025 · Dorian Strong · incremental +0.592025 · Taron Johnson · incremental +0.602025 · Dawson Knox · incremental +0.782025 · Terrel Bernard · incremental +0.792025 · Jordan Hancock · incremental +0.872025 · Kaden Prather · incremental +0.872025 · Cole Bishop · incremental +0.892025 · Sedrick Van Pran-Granger · incremental +0.892025 · Javon Solomon · incremental +0.932025 · Spencer Brown · incremental +0.992025 · O'Cyrus Torrence · incremental +1.072025 · Gregory Rousseau · incremental +1.172025 · Khalil Shakir · incremental +1.582025 · Christian Benford · incremental +1.582025 · Jackson Hawes · incremental +1.772025 · Dalton Kincaid · incremental +1.972025 · Josh Allen · incremental +2.292025 · James Cook · incremental +3.122025 · Ray Davis · incremental +3.192025 · Deone Walker · incremental +4.252025 · Daequan Hardy · incremental -0.022025 · Baylon Spector · incremental -0.112025 · Jack Anderson · incremental -0.132025 · Rachad Wildgoose · incremental -0.222025 · Marquez Stevenson · incremental -0.262025 · Tommy Doyle · incremental -0.282025 · Landon Jackson · incremental -0.892025 · T.J. Sanders · incremental -1.022025 · Maxwell Hairston · incremental -1.532025 · Dane Jackson · incremental -2.36McCloud -3.0Phillips -3.3Phillips +7.3Phillips -6.0Allen +2.4Jackson +2.9Cook +2.9Coleman +0.2Cook +2.5Coleman +0.2Cook +3.1Davis +3.2Walker +4.3Jackson -2.420188 players201914 players202021 players202127 players202232 players202332 players202433 players202539 players
Above expectationBelow expectationKeon ColemanGM total +26.4Keon Coleman by season +0.4

How much retained production did Keon Coleman return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Keon Coleman since 2010 (21 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

-1-0.50+0.5+1Model value above slot36. SamuelDeebo Samuel · model value +1.433. HigginsTee Higgins · model value +1.134. McConkeyLadd McConkey · model value +0.934. WatsonChristian Watson · model value +0.834. Jr.Michael Pittman Jr. · model value +0.728. BenjaminKelvin Benjamin · model value +0.436. McClusterDexter McCluster · model value +0.428. WorthyXavier Worthy · model value +0.333. ColemanKeon Coleman · model value +0.3+0.331. PearsallRicky Pearsall · model value +0.137. PolkJa'Lynn Polk · model value -0.332. LegetteXavier Legette · model value -0.434. HigginsJayden Higgins · model value -0.434. HunterJustin Hunter · model value -0.534. MooreElijah Moore · model value -0.632. HarryN'Keal Harry · model value -0.633. QuickBrian Quick · model value -0.630. JenkinsA.J. Jenkins · model value -0.729. PattersonCordarrelle Patterson · model value -0.729. DorsettPhillip Dorsett · model value -0.937. JonesZay Jones · model value -1.237. SmithDevin Smith · model value -1.2
Keon ColemanSlot-similar peers (21)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

'24'250612172301Cumulative GSHonors count
Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (2 scored seasons)

YearTeamGPGSSnapsSnap-zAVAV/snapPBAP1AP2
2024BUF13125980.7711.7
2025BUF13115820.846.9

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