← 2024 DRAFT PLAYER PROFILE R1 · #2 OVERALL · QB

Jayden Daniels

Drafted by WAS · GM Adam Peters · LSU

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Jayden Daniels across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played24
Games started24
Weighted career AV26
Pro Bowls1
AP1 All-Pro0
Career seasons2

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2024 · Round 1 · #2

WAS draft credit

GM Adam Peters

Team games24
Team starts24
On-team AV26
On-team PB / AP11 / 0
Excellent+1.41 contribution1st of 14 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Jayden Daniels was Adam Peters's 1st-best of 14 picks across his career, the best pick of the entire tenure.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +1.41. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Adam Peters's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
24
on drafting team
Games started
24
on drafting team
Snap-z
1.5
2 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
26
modeled; full weighted AV 26
AV / 1k snaps
17.7
1,467 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.7
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
1
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only

Did this pick move Adam Peters's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Adam Peters pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jayden Daniels totals +1.41. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

0+12. Daniels#2 · Jayden Daniels · aggregate +1.41Daniels +1.4245. Croskey-Merritt#245 · Jacory Croskey-Merritt · aggregate +0.9867. Coleman#67 · Brandon Coleman · aggregate +0.52222. Jean-Baptiste#222 · Javontae Jean-Baptiste · aggregate +0.38128. Lane#128 · Jaylin Lane · aggregate +0.38161. Hampton#161 · Dominique Hampton · aggregate +0.26205. Medrano#205 · Kain Medrano · aggregate +0.2650. Sainristil#50 · Mike Sainristil · aggregate +0.24100. McCaffrey#100 · Luke McCaffrey · aggregate +0.02139. Magee#139 · Jordan Magee · aggregate -0.0736. Newton#36 · Jer'Zhan Newton · aggregate -0.2461. Amos#61 · Trey Amos · aggregate -0.4329. Conerly#29 · Josh Conerly · aggregate -0.4753. Sinnott#53 · Ben Sinnott · aggregate -0.79

Incremental contribution by season

-5-4-3-2-10+1+2+3+4+5+62024 · Luke McCaffrey · incremental +0.222024 · Mike Sainristil · incremental +0.392024 · Dominique Hampton · incremental +0.462024 · Javontae Jean-Baptiste · incremental +0.572024 · Brandon Coleman · incremental +0.752024 · Jayden Daniels · incremental +2.142024 · Jordan Magee · incremental +2.272024 · Jer'Zhan Newton · incremental -0.362024 · Ben Sinnott · incremental -0.712025 · Javontae Jean-Baptiste · incremental +0.242025 · Brandon Coleman · incremental +0.352025 · Jayden Daniels · incremental +0.512025 · Mike Sainristil · incremental +0.532025 · Kain Medrano · incremental +0.562025 · Jaylin Lane · incremental +0.802025 · Jacory Croskey-Merritt · incremental +2.112025 · Luke McCaffrey · incremental -0.122025 · Jer'Zhan Newton · incremental -0.152025 · Trey Amos · incremental -0.982025 · Ben Sinnott · incremental -1.012025 · Josh Conerly · incremental -1.052025 · Jordan Magee · incremental -2.26Daniels +2.1Magee +2.3Daniels +0.5Croskey-Merritt +2.1Magee -2.320249 players202513 players
Above expectationBelow expectationJayden DanielsGM total +2.4Jayden Daniels by season +2.6

How much retained production did Jayden Daniels return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: QBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jayden Daniels since 2010 (27 players). Dark marks are GOAT-tier benchmarks (Brady, Manning, Mahomes) for orientation.The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

-10+1+2+3+4Model value above slot1. ManningPeyton Manning · model value +4.9+4.9199. BradyTom Brady · model value +4.5+4.510. MahomesPatrick Mahomes · model value +2.8+2.87. AllenJosh Allen · model value +2.6+2.61. NewtonCam Newton · model value +1.66. HerbertJustin Herbert · model value +1.31. LuckAndrew Luck · model value +1.22. DanielsJayden Daniels · model value +1.1+1.11. MurrayKyler Murray · model value +0.91. BurrowJoe Burrow · model value +0.83. MayeDrake Maye · model value +0.75. TagovailoaTua Tagovailoa · model value +0.41. LawrenceTrevor Lawrence · model value +0.22. StroudC.J. Stroud · model value +0.11. WilliamsCaleb Williams · model value 03. BortlesBlake Bortles · model value -0.26. JonesDaniel Jones · model value -0.31. WinstonJameis Winston · model value -0.31. MayfieldBaker Mayfield · model value -0.41. GoffJared Goff · model value -0.42. MariotaMarcus Mariota · model value -0.54. RichardsonAnthony Richardson · model value -0.52. TrubiskyMitchell Trubisky · model value -0.71. YoungBryce Young · model value -0.72. WentzCarson Wentz · model value -0.72. IIIRobert Griffin III · model value -0.81. BradfordSam Bradford · model value -1.12. WilsonZach Wilson · model value -1.33. LanceTrey Lance · model value -1.31. WardCam Ward · model value -1.63. DarnoldSam Darnold · model value -1.7
Jayden DanielsSlot-similar peers (27)GOAT QBs (Brady, Manning, Mahomes)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

'24'250611172201Cumulative GSHonors count
Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (2 scored seasons)

YearTeamGPGSSnapsSnap-zAVAV/snapPBAP1AP2
2024WAS17151,0621.52018.8
2025WAS77405-0.0614.8

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