CAR draft credit
GM Dan Morgan
Team games30
Team starts10
On-team AV5
On-team PB / AP10 / 0
Good+0.49 contribution4th of 15 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Chau Smith-Wade
Drafted by CAR · GM Dan Morgan · Washington St.
All NFL teams
Full-career context
These totals follow Chau Smith-Wade across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played30
Games started10
Weighted career AV5
Pro Bowls0
AP1 All-Pro0
Career seasons2
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received
A Good pick
Chau Smith-Wade was Dan Morgan's 4th-best of 15 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.49. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Dan Morgan's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
30
on drafting team
Games started
10
on drafting team
Snap-z
1.0
2 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
5
modeled; full weighted AV 5
AV / 1k snaps
4.2
1,178 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
-0.2
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only
Did this pick move Dan Morgan's grade?
The first chart removes the time axis: every Dan Morgan pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Chau Smith-Wade totals +0.49. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player
Incremental contribution by season
Above expectationBelow expectationChau Smith-WadeGM total +1.8Chau Smith-Wade by season +1.4
How much retained production did Chau Smith-Wade return vs. his slot?
Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Chau Smith-Wade since 2010 (14 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
Chau Smith-WadeSlot-similar peers (14)
Cumulative value over time
Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (2 scored seasons)
| Year | Team | GP | GS | Snaps | Snap-z | AV | AV/snap | PB | AP1 | AP2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | CAR | 14 | 10 | 445 | 0.0 | 2 | 4.5 | |||
| 2025 | CAR | 16 | 12 | 733 | 1.0 | 3 | 4.1 |
How to read this
- The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
- Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
- AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
- Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.