2020 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Howie Roseman

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 255 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2020 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

2020 class highlighted · 40 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1
2.53	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	Howie Roseman	79	93	3
1.6	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	Tom Telesco	74	95	2
1.17	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	65	95	5	1
1.22	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	65	94	4	2
1.13	Tristan Wirfs	T	TB	Jason Licht	64	91	5	2
1.1	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	63	77	3
2.41	Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	Chris Ballard	58	84	3	1
1.28	Patrick Queen	LB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	54	67	2
1.5	Tua Tagovailoa	QB	MIA	Chris Grier	52	78	1
2.34	Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	IND	Chris Ballard	44	95

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
1.29	Isaiah Wilson	T	TEN	Jon Robinson	0	1
1.19	Damon Arnette	CB	LV	Mike Mayock	2	6
2.40	Ross Blacklock	DT	HOU	Bill O'Brien	4	4
1.31	Jeff Gladney	CB	MIN	Rick Spielman	5	1
2.46	KJ Hamler	WR	DEN	John Elway	5	3
2.47	Marlon Davidson	DE	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	5	6
2.59	Denzel Mims	WR	NYJ	Joe Douglas	5	3
1.30	Noah Igbinoghene	CB	MIA	Chris Grier	7	6
1.12	Henry Ruggs III	WR	LV	Mike Mayock	8	2
2.60	Joshua Uche	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	9	6

All picks (255) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1
1.1	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	63	77	77	3
1.2	Chase Young	DE	WAS	Ron Rivera	29	34	32	1
1.3	Jeff Okudah	CB	DET	Bob Quinn	11	25	22
1.4	Andrew Thomas	T	NYG	Dave Gettleman	33	74	73
1.5	Tua Tagovailoa	QB	MIA	Chris Grier	52	78	76	1
1.6	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	Tom Telesco	74	95	95	2
1.7	Derrick Brown	DT	CAR	Marty Hurney	35	84	81	1
1.8	Isaiah Simmons	LB	ARI	Steve Keim	20	50	37
1.9	C.J. Henderson	CB	JAX	David Caldwell	13	10	10
1.10	Jedrick Wills Jr.	T	CLE	Andrew Berry	24	58	57
1.11	Mekhi Becton	T	NYJ	Joe Douglas	21	31	30
1.12	Henry Ruggs III	WR	LV	Mike Mayock	8	20	19
1.13	Tristan Wirfs	T	TB	Jason Licht	64	91	91	5	2
1.14	Javon Kinlaw	DT	SF	John Lynch	27	41	28
1.15	Jerry Jeudy	WR	DEN	John Elway	31	57	44
1.16	AJ Terrell	CB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	31	93	93
1.17	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	65	95	89	5	1
1.18	Austin Jackson	T	MIA	Chris Grier	24	62	60
1.19	Damon Arnette	CB	LV	Mike Mayock	2	13	7
1.20	K'Lavon Chaisson	DE	JAX	David Caldwell	17	57	11
1.21	Jalen Reagor	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	10	28	24
1.22	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	65	94	91	4	2
1.23	Kenneth Murray	LB	LAC	Tom Telesco	32	59	53
1.24	Cesar Ruiz	C	NO	Mickey Loomis	29	89	83
1.25	Brandon Aiyuk	WR	SF	John Lynch	39	69	67
1.26	Jordan Love	QB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	42	57	48
1.27	Jordyn Brooks	LB	SEA	John Schneider	43	63	55
1.28	Patrick Queen	LB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	54	67	67	1
1.29	Isaiah Wilson	T	TEN	Jon Robinson	0	1	0
1.30	Noah Igbinoghene	CB	MIA	Chris Grier	7	32	5
1.31	Jeff Gladney	CB	MIN	Rick Spielman	5	16	15
1.32	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	RB	KC	Brett Veach	18	50	32
2.33	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	43	85	76	1
2.34	Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	IND	Chris Ballard	44	95	86
2.35	D'Andre Swift	RB	DET	Bob Quinn	44	40	16
2.36	Xavier McKinney	S	NYG	Dave Gettleman	39	49	46
2.37	Kyle Dugger	S	NE	Bill Belichick	28	81	69
2.38	Yetur Gross-Matos	DE	CAR	Marty Hurney	18	55	32
2.39	Robert Hunt	G	MIA	Chris Grier	30	61	55
2.40	Ross Blacklock	DT	HOU	Bill O'Brien	4	29	3
2.41	Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	Chris Ballard	58	84	78	3	1
2.42	Laviska Shenault Jr.	WR	JAX	David Caldwell	13	30	22
2.43	Cole Kmet	TE	CHI	Ryan Pace	25	100	91
2.44	Grant Delpit	S	CLE	Andrew Berry	26	78	68
2.45	Antoine Winfield Jr.	S	TB	Jason Licht	44	85	85	2	1
2.46	KJ Hamler	WR	DEN	John Elway	5	23	6
2.47	Marlon Davidson	DE	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	5	19	1
2.48	Darrell Taylor	DE	SEA	John Schneider	10	49	13
2.49	Chase Claypool	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	19	39	27
2.50	Jaylon Johnson	CB	CHI	Ryan Pace	30	77	76	2
2.51	Trevon Diggs	CB	DAL	Jerry Jones	33	66	63	2	1
2.52	Cam Akers	RB	LAR	Les Snead	13	30	15
2.53	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI	Howie Roseman	79	93	82	3
2.54	A.J. Epenesa	DE	BUF	Brandon Beane	18	91	19
2.55	J.K. Dobbins	RB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	22	24	10
2.56	Raekwon Davis	DT	MIA	Chris Grier	23	63	48
2.57	Van Jefferson	WR	LAR	Les Snead	19	49	30
2.58	Ezra Cleveland	T	MIN	Rick Spielman	33	53	49
2.59	Denzel Mims	WR	NYJ	Joe Douglas	5	30	15
2.60	Joshua Uche	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	9	58	4
2.61	Kristian Fulton	CB	TEN	Jon Robinson	18	42	37
2.62	AJ Dillon	RB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	24	60	11
2.63	Willie Gay Jr.	LB	KC	Brett Veach	27	57	47
2.64	Jeremy Chinn	S	CAR	Marty Hurney	41	54	50
3.65	Logan Wilson	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	32	76	65
3.66	Antonio Gibson	RB	WAS	Ron Rivera	29	61	32
3.67	Julian Okwara	DE	DET	Bob Quinn	5	38	4
3.68	Ashtyn Davis	S	NYJ	Joe Douglas	14	69	22
3.69	Damien Lewis	G	SEA	John Schneider	35	61	61
3.70	Brandon Jones	S	MIA	Chris Grier	21	54	30
3.71	Nnamdi Madubuike	DT	BAL	Eric DeCosta	38	78	66	1
3.72	Josh Jones	T	ARI	Steve Keim	17	47	21
3.73	DaVon Hamilton	DT	JAX	David Caldwell	25	86	61
3.74	Zack Baun	LB	NO	Mickey Loomis	39	62	14
3.75	Jonah Jackson	G	DET	Bob Quinn	32	57	57	1
3.76	Ke'Shawn Vaughn	RB	TB	Jason Licht	2	43	1
3.77	Michael Ojemudia	CB	DEN	John Elway	4	21	12
3.78	Matt Hennessy	C	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	11	45	22
3.79	Jabari Zuniga	DE	NYJ	Joe Douglas	1	11	0
3.80	Lynn Bowden Jr.	WR	LV	Mike Mayock	3	0	0
3.81	Bryan Edwards	WR	LV	Mike Mayock	6	28	15
3.82	Neville Gallimore	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	14	52	14
3.83	Lloyd Cushenberry III	C	DEN	John Elway	26	57	57
3.84	Terrell Lewis	LB	LAR	Les Snead	5	30	7
3.85	Julian Blackmon	S	IND	Chris Ballard	20	66	62
3.86	Zack Moss	RB	BUF	Brandon Beane	18	31	0
3.87	Anfernee Jennings	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	22	75	40
3.88	Jordan Elliott	DT	CLE	Andrew Berry	27	66	35
3.89	Cameron Dantzler	CB	MIN	Rick Spielman	10	35	26
3.90	Jonathan Greenard	DE	HOU	Bill O'Brien	32	48	32
3.91	Devin Asiasi	TE	NE	Bill Belichick	0	10	3
3.92	Devin Duvernay	WR	BAL	Eric DeCosta	12	59	24	2	1
3.93	Darrynton Evans	RB	TEN	Jon Robinson	3	6	0
3.94	Josiah Deguara	TE	GB	Brian Gutekunst	4	50	10
3.95	McTelvin Agim	DT	DEN	John Elway	2	17	0
3.96	Lucas Niang	T	KC	Brett Veach	8	33	9
3.97	Jacob Phillips	LB	CLE	Andrew Berry	5	20	8
3.98	Malik Harrison	LB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	19	76	34
3.99	Matt Peart	T	NYG	Dave Gettleman	7	43	7
3.100	Tanner Muse	S	LV	Mike Mayock	2	0	0
3.101	Dalton Keene	TE	NE	Bill Belichick	0	6	0
3.102	Alex Highsmith	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	35	90	79
3.103	Davion Taylor	LB	PHI	Howie Roseman	3	21	7
3.104	Terrell Burgess	S	LAR	Les Snead	4	30	3
3.105	Adam Trautman	TE	NO	Mickey Loomis	11	43	28
3.106	Tyre Phillips	T	BAL	Eric DeCosta	11	22	13
4.107	Akeem Davis-Gaither	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	14	71	11
4.108	Saahdiq Charles	T	WAS	Ron Rivera	8	35	18
4.109	John Simpson	G	LV	Mike Mayock	28	35	21
4.110	Darnay Holmes	CB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	8	54	11
4.111	Solomon Kindley	G	MIA	Chris Grier	6	29	15
4.112	Joshua Kelley	RB	LAC	Tom Telesco	9	54	4
4.113	Troy Pride Jr.	CB	CAR	Marty Hurney	3	14	8
4.114	Leki Fotu	DT	ARI	Steve Keim	11	56	21
4.115	Harrison Bryant	TE	CLE	Andrew Berry	7	65	30
4.116	Ben Bartch	G	JAX	David Caldwell	9	41	20
4.117	D.J. Wonnum	DE	MIN	Rick Spielman	26	62	31
4.118	Albert Okwuegbunam	TE	DEN	John Elway	5	26	7
4.119	Mykal Walker	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	16	49	20
4.120	La'Mical Perine	RB	NYJ	Joe Douglas	3	14	0
4.121	Logan Stenberg	G	DET	Bob Quinn	3	25	4
4.122	Jacob Eason	QB	IND	Chris Ballard	0	1	0
4.123	Reggie Robinson II	CB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	5	0
4.124	Anthony McFarland Jr.	RB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	17	0
4.125	James Morgan	QB	NYJ	Joe Douglas	0	0	0
4.126	Charlie Heck	T	HOU	Bill O'Brien	15	41	21
4.127	K'Von Wallace	S	PHI	Howie Roseman	9	45	7
4.128	Gabriel Davis	WR	BUF	Brandon Beane	28	70	52
4.129	Cameron Clark	T	NYJ	Joe Douglas	0	0	0
4.130	James Lynch	DT	MIN	Rick Spielman	6	37	3
4.131	Rashard Lawrence	DT	ARI	Steve Keim	6	25	13
4.132	Troy Dye	LB	MIN	Rick Spielman	14	60	8
4.133	Colby Parkinson	TE	SEA	John Schneider	11	54	4
4.134	Jaylinn Hawkins	S	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	17	48	22
4.135	Kevin Dotson	G	PIT	Kevin Colbert	32	39	30
4.136	Brycen Hopkins	TE	LAR	Les Snead	2	39	1
4.137	Josiah Scott	CB	JAX	David Caldwell	3	6	0
4.138	L'Jarius Sneed	S	KC	Brett Veach	22	57	54
4.139	Amik Robertson	CB	LV	Mike Mayock	14	52	21
4.140	Shaquille Quarterman	LB	JAX	David Caldwell	5	63	0
4.141	John Reid	CB	HOU	Bill O'Brien	2	13	1
4.142	Antonio Gandy-Golden	WR	WAS	Ron Rivera	0	10	2
4.143	Ben Bredeson	G	BAL	Eric DeCosta	21	10	0
4.144	DeeJay Dallas	RB	SEA	John Schneider	7	61	2
4.145	Jack Driscoll	G	PHI	Howie Roseman	12	67	18
4.146	Tyler Biadasz	C	DAL	Jerry Jones	36	61	53	1
5.147	Khalid Kareem	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	23	1
5.148	Alton Robinson	DE	SEA	John Schneider	4	30	3
5.149	Danny Pinter	G	IND	Chris Ballard	7	77	10
5.150	Shane Lemieux	G	NYG	Dave Gettleman	5	18	12
5.151	Joe Reed	WR	LAC	Tom Telesco	0	11	0
5.152	Kenny Robinson Jr.	S	CAR	Marty Hurney	1	19	1
5.153	Colton McKivitz	T	SF	John Lynch	24	79	56
5.154	Jason Strowbridge	DE	MIA	Chris Grier	1	8	0
5.155	Trevis Gipson	DE	CHI	Ryan Pace	11	40	19
5.156	Keith Ismael	C	WAS	Ron Rivera	3	18	5
5.157	Daniel Thomas	S	JAX	David Caldwell	5	71	4
5.158	Bryce Hall	CB	NYJ	Joe Douglas	10	39	26
5.159	Justin Rohrwasser	K	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
5.160	Nick Harris	C	CLE	Andrew Berry	5	45	6
5.161	Tyler Johnson	WR	TB	Jason Licht	9	31	6
5.162	Khaleke Hudson	LB	WAS	Ron Rivera	7	58	12
5.163	Kindle Vildor	CB	CHI	Ryan Pace	10	44	22
5.164	Curtis Weaver	DE	MIA	Chris Grier	0	0	0
5.165	Collin Johnson	WR	JAX	David Caldwell	3	14	0
5.166	Quintez Cephus	WR	DET	Bob Quinn	5	22	6
5.167	Jake Fromm	QB	BUF	Brandon Beane	1	0	0
5.168	John Hightower	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	1	14	4
5.169	Harrison Hand	CB	MIN	Rick Spielman	2	23	1
5.170	Broderick Washington Jr.	DT	BAL	Eric DeCosta	15	73	22
5.171	Isaiah Coulter	WR	HOU	Bill O'Brien	0	1	0
5.172	Jason Huntley	RB	DET	Bob Quinn	0	0	0
5.173	Darnell Mooney	WR	CHI	Ryan Pace	33	60	49
5.174	Larrell Murchison	DT	TEN	Jon Robinson	7	26	5
5.175	Kamal Martin	LB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	4	10	6
5.176	K.J. Osborn	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	13	59	30
5.177	Michael Danna	DE	KC	Brett Veach	23	87	49
5.178	Justin Strnad	LB	DEN	John Elway	14	83	21
5.179	Bradlee Anae	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	11	0
6.180	Hakeem Adeniji	T	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	10	39	15
6.181	Netane Muti	G	DEN	John Elway	3	20	4
6.182	Michael Onwenu	G	NE	Bill Belichick	33	98	90
6.183	Cam Brown	LB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	4	60	0
6.184	Bravvion Roy	DT	CAR	Marty Hurney	9	45	15
6.185	Blake Ferguson	LS	MIA	Chris Grier	4	72	0
6.186	Alohi Gilman	S	LAC	Tom Telesco	18	73	39
6.187	Donovan Peoples-Jones	WR	CLE	Andrew Berry	18	50	30
6.188	Tyler Bass	K	BUF	Brandon Beane	13	83	0
6.189	Jake Luton	QB	JAX	David Caldwell	2	3	3
6.190	Charlie Woerner	TE	SF	John Lynch	0	65	7
6.191	Braden Mann	P	NYJ	Joe Douglas	13	43	0
6.192	Jon Runyan Jr.	T	GB	Brian Gutekunst	36	67	50
6.193	Robert Windsor	DT	IND	Chris Ballard	0	2	0
6.194	Khalil Davis	DT	TB	Jason Licht	3	2	0
6.195	Justin Herron	T	NE	Bill Belichick	7	28	10
6.196	Shaun Bradley	LB	PHI	Howie Roseman	3	45	1
6.197	John Penisini	DT	DET	Bob Quinn	6	32	12
6.198	Antoine Brooks Jr.	S	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	4	0
6.199	Jordan Fuller	S	LAR	Les Snead	18	48	46
6.200	Quez Watkins	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	13	49	25
6.201	James Proche	WR	BAL	Eric DeCosta	4	43	0
6.202	Evan Weaver	LB	ARI	Steve Keim	0	0	0
6.203	Blake Brandel	T	MIN	Rick Spielman	15	73	31
6.204	Cassh Maluia	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	1	9	0
6.205	Josh Metellus	S	MIN	Rick Spielman	20	96	44
6.206	Tyler Davis	TE	JAX	David Caldwell	0	8	0
6.207	Isaiah Hodgins	WR	BUF	Brandon Beane	6	3	0
6.208	Jake Hanson	C	GB	Brian Gutekunst	4	11	1
6.209	Simon Stepaniak	T	GB	Brian Gutekunst	0	0	0
6.210	Prince Tega Wanogho	T	PHI	Howie Roseman	1	1	0
6.211	Isaiah Rodgers	CB	IND	Chris Ballard	18	45	10
6.212	Dezmon Patmon	WR	IND	Chris Ballard	0	10	0
6.213	Jordan Glasgow	LB	IND	Chris Ballard	2	25	0
6.214	Freddie Swain	WR	SEA	John Schneider	5	33	9
7.215	Markus Bailey	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	7	60	4
7.216	Kamren Curl	S	WAS	Ron Rivera	29	60	53
7.217	Jauan Jennings	WR	SF	John Lynch	21	75	32
7.218	Carter Coughlin	LB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	5	56	2
7.219	Geno Stone	S	BAL	Eric DeCosta	22	51	19
7.220	K.J. Hill	WR	LAC	Tom Telesco	1	21	0
7.221	Stantley Thomas-Oliver	CB	CAR	Marty Hurney	2	25	0
7.222	Eno Benjamin	RB	ARI	Steve Keim	4	19	3
7.223	Chris Claybrooks	CB	JAX	David Caldwell	5	46	6
7.224	Cole McDonald	QB	TEN	Jon Robinson	0	0	0
7.225	Kenny Willekes	DE	MIN	Rick Spielman	1	6	0
7.226	Arlington Hambright	T	CHI	Ryan Pace	1	9	1
7.227	Lachavious Simmons	G	CHI	Ryan Pace	0	2	1
7.228	Sterling Hofrichter	P	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	1	16	0
7.229	James Smith-Williams	DE	WAS	Ron Rivera	15	55	27
7.230	Dustin Woodard	C	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
7.231	Ben DiNucci	QB	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	3	1
7.232	Carlos Davis	DT	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	12	0
7.233	Casey Toohill	DE	PHI	Howie Roseman	11	1	0
7.234	Clay Johnston	LB	LAR	Les Snead	2	0	0
7.235	Jashon Cornell	DT	DET	Bob Quinn	0	1	0
7.236	Vernon Scott	S	GB	Brian Gutekunst	1	18	0
7.237	Thakarius Keyes	CB	KC	Brett Veach	1	8	1
7.238	T.J. Brunson	LB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	0	5	0
7.239	Dane Jackson	CB	BUF	Brandon Beane	12	55	28
7.240	Tommy Stevens	QB	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	0	0
7.241	Chapelle Russell	LB	TB	Jason Licht	2	11	0
7.242	Jonathan Garvin	DE	GB	Brian Gutekunst	3	38	1
7.243	Chris Jackson	S	TEN	Jon Robinson	2	24	6
7.244	Nate Stanley	QB	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
7.245	Raymond Calais	RB	TB	Jason Licht	0	0	0
7.246	Malcolm Perry	RB	MIA	Chris Grier	1	9	2
7.247	Chris Williamson	CB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	0	0	0
7.248	Sam Sloman	K	LAR	Les Snead	0	7	0
7.249	Brian Cole II	S	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
7.250	Tremayne Anchrum	G	LAR	Les Snead	2	31	1
7.251	Stephen Sullivan	TE	SEA	John Schneider	1	1	0
7.252	Tyrie Cleveland	WR	DEN	John Elway	0	23	0
7.253	Kyle Hinton	G	MIN	Rick Spielman	3	2	0
7.254	Derrek Tuszka	LB	DEN	John Elway	3	9	0
7.255	Tae Crowder	LB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	16	41	31

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.