Brandon Aiyuk · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Brandon Aiyuk across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played69

Games started67

Weighted career AV39

Pro Bowls0

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons5

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2020 · Round 1 · #25

SF draft credit

GM John Lynch

Team games69

Team starts67

On-team AV42

On-team PB / AP10 / 0

Excellent+1.57 contribution8th of 77 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Brandon Aiyuk was John Lynch's 8th-best of 77 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +1.57. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from John Lynch's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team

Games started

on drafting team

Snap-z

6.2

5 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 39

AV / 1k snaps

10.9

3,859 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

+0.5

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 1

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move John Lynch's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every John Lynch pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Brandon Aiyuk totals +1.57. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationBrandon AiyukGM total +22.6Brandon Aiyuk by season +3.9

How much retained production did Brandon Aiyuk return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Brandon Aiyuk since 2010 (29 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Brandon AiyukSlot-similar peers (29)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (5 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	AP2
2020	SF	12	12	733	1.2	6	8.2
2021	SF	17	16	962	1.9	7	7.3
2022	SF	17	17	1,002	2.0	11	11.0
2023	SF	16	15	805	1.3	15	18.6	·
2024	SF	7	6	357	-0.1	3	8.4

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.