Jalen Hurts · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Jalen Hurts across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played93

Games started82

Weighted career AV79

Pro Bowls3

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons6

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2020 · Round 2 · #53

PHI draft credit

GM Howie Roseman

Team games93

Team starts82

On-team AV88

On-team PB / AP13 / 0

Excellent+5.73 contribution3rd of 124 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Jalen Hurts was Howie Roseman's 3rd-best of 124 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +5.73. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Howie Roseman's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team

Games started

on drafting team

Snap-z

6.9

6 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 79

AV / 1k snaps

16.5

5,318 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

+0.6

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 1

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Howie Roseman's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Howie Roseman pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jalen Hurts totals +5.73. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationJalen HurtsGM total +6.1Jalen Hurts by season +12.9

How much retained production did Jalen Hurts return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: QBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jalen Hurts since 2010 (4 players). Dark marks are GOAT-tier benchmarks (Brady, Manning, Mahomes) for orientation.The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Jalen HurtsSlot-similar peers (4)GOAT QBs (Brady, Manning, Mahomes)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (6 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP2
2020	PHI	15	4	334	-0.2	4	12.0
2021	PHI	15	15	954	1.2	17	17.8
2022	PHI	15	15	1,028	1.6	20	19.5	✓	·
2023	PHI	17	16	1,103	1.7	18	16.3	✓
2024	PHI	15	14	934	1.2	16	17.1
2025	PHI	16	16	965	1.4	13	13.5	✓

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.