2009 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Martin Mayhew

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 256 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2009 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

2009 class highlighted · 29 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1
1.1	Matthew Stafford	QB	DET	Martin Mayhew	133	165	3	1
1.21	Alex Mack	C	CLE	George Kokinis	86	101	7
2.53	LeSean McCoy	RB	PHI	Tom Heckert	83	90	6	2
1.26	Clay Matthews	LB	GB	Ted Thompson	77	143	6	1
2.49	Max Unger	C	SEA	Tim Ruskell	69	67	3	1
1.14	Malcolm Jenkins	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	68	103	3
4.109	T.J. Lang	T	GB	Ted Thompson	61	119	2
7.232	Julian Edelman	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	61	137
3.78	Louis Vasquez	G	LAC	A.J. Smith	59	54	1	1
1.13	Brian Orakpo	LB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	58	71	4

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.63	Cody Brown	LB	ARI	Rod Graves	0	1
2.64	Richard Quinn	TE	DEN	Brian Xanders	0	3
2.44	Pat White	QB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	1	1
2.52	David Veikune	LB	CLE	George Kokinis	1	2
2.45	Clint Sintim	LB	NYG	Jerry Reese	2	2
2.36	Brian Robiskie	WR	CLE	George Kokinis	3	5
2.48	Darcel McBath	DB	DEN	Brian Xanders	3	4
1.11	Aaron Maybin	DE	BUF	Buddy Nix	5	4
2.40	Ron Brace	DT	NE	Bill Belichick	6	4
2.43	Everette Brown	DE	CAR	Marty Hurney	6	6

All picks (256) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1
1.1	Matthew Stafford	QB	DET	Martin Mayhew	133	165	165
1.2	Jason Smith	T	LAR	Billy Devaney	10	29	26
1.3	Tyson Jackson	DE	KC	Scott Pioli	34	74	55
1.4	Aaron Curry	LB	SEA	Tim Ruskell	16	35	30
1.5	Mark Sanchez	QB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	32	62	62
1.6	Andre Smith	T	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	41	104	86
1.7	Darrius Heyward-Bey	WR	LV	Al Davis era	23	56	53
1.8	Eugene Monroe	T	JAX	Gene Smith	32	65	62
1.9	B.J. Raji	DT	GB	Ted Thompson	33	91	78
1.10	Michael Crabtree	WR	SF	Scot McCloughan	53	79	77
1.11	Aaron Maybin	DE	BUF	Buddy Nix	5	27	1
1.12	Knowshon Moreno	RB	DEN	Brian Xanders	33	60	45
1.13	Brian Orakpo	LB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	58	71	71	2
1.14	Malcolm Jenkins	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	68	103	95
1.15	Brian Cushing	LB	HOU	Rick Smith	52	104	104	1
1.16	Larry English	LB	LAC	A.J. Smith	7	52	9
1.17	Josh Freeman	QB	TB	Mark Dominik	37	60	59
1.18	Robert Ayers	DE	DEN	Brian Xanders	27	72	27
1.19	Jeremy Maclin	WR	PHI	Tom Heckert	50	75	73
1.20	Brandon Pettigrew	TE	DET	Martin Mayhew	22	93	85
1.21	Alex Mack	C	CLE	George Kokinis	86	101	101	1
1.22	Percy Harvin	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	43	54	43	1
1.23	Michael Oher	T	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	42	80	80
1.24	Peria Jerry	DT	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	13	64	29
1.25	Vontae Davis	DB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	45	44	36
1.26	Clay Matthews	LB	GB	Ted Thompson	77	143	137	4
1.27	Donald Brown	RB	IND	Bill Polian	25	66	20
1.28	Eric Wood	C	BUF	Buddy Nix	47	120	120
1.29	Hakeem Nicks	WR	NYG	Jerry Reese	40	76	61
1.30	Kenny Britt	WR	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	35	57	30
1.31	Beanie Wells	RB	ARI	Rod Graves	14	51	23
1.32	Evander Hood	DE	PIT	Kevin Colbert	38	80	46
2.33	Louis Delmas	DB	DET	Martin Mayhew	25	65	64
2.34	Patrick Chung	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	38	141	112
2.35	James Laurinaitis	LB	LAR	Billy Devaney	51	112	112
2.36	Brian Robiskie	WR	CLE	George Kokinis	3	31	14
2.37	Alphonso Smith	DB	DEN	Brian Xanders	8	15	0
2.38	Rey Maualuga	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	49	114	104
2.39	Eben Britton	T	JAX	Gene Smith	17	37	30
2.40	Ron Brace	DT	NE	Bill Belichick	6	39	7
2.41	Darius Butler	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	22	29	8
2.42	Jairus Byrd	DB	BUF	Buddy Nix	38	73	66	2
2.43	Everette Brown	DE	CAR	Marty Hurney	6	28	3
2.44	Pat White	QB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	1	13	0
2.45	Clint Sintim	LB	NYG	Jerry Reese	2	24	1
2.46	Connor Barwin	DE	HOU	Rick Smith	51	49	32
2.47	Mike Mitchell	DB	LV	Al Davis era	33	61	9
2.48	Darcel McBath	DB	DEN	Brian Xanders	3	20	1
2.49	Max Unger	C	SEA	Tim Ruskell	69	67	67	1	1
2.50	Mohamed Massaquoi	WR	CLE	George Kokinis	11	54	43
2.51	Andy Levitre	G	BUF	Buddy Nix	55	64	64
2.52	David Veikune	LB	CLE	George Kokinis	1	10	0
2.53	LeSean McCoy	RB	PHI	Tom Heckert	83	90	76	1	2
2.54	Phil Loadholt	T	MIN	Rick Spielman	36	89	89
2.55	William Moore	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	30	76	72	1
2.56	Fili Moala	DT	IND	Bill Polian	19	64	45
2.57	Paul Kruger	DE	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	29	51	7
2.58	Sebastian Vollmer	T	NE	Bill Belichick	52	88	80
2.59	Sherrod Martin	DB	CAR	Marty Hurney	16	59	36
2.60	Will Beatty	T	NYG	Jerry Reese	30	88	63
2.61	Sean Smith	DB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	38	63	56
2.62	Sen'Derrick Marks	DT	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	27	51	26
2.63	Cody Brown	LB	ARI	Rod Graves	0	0	0
2.64	Richard Quinn	TE	DEN	Brian Xanders	0	29	4
3.65	Shonn Greene	RB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	23	61	31
3.66	Bradley Fletcher	DB	LAR	Billy Devaney	24	43	26
3.67	Alex Magee	DE	KC	Scott Pioli	2	17	1
3.68	Jarron Gilbert	DT	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	4	0
3.69	Jason Williams	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	4	10	0
3.70	Michael Johnson	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	54	141	106
3.71	Matt Shaughnessy	DE	LV	Al Davis era	22	51	29
3.72	Terrance Knighton	DT	JAX	Gene Smith	37	61	49
3.73	Derek Cox	DB	JAX	Gene Smith	20	47	45
3.74	Glen Coffee	RB	SF	Scot McCloughan	2	14	2
3.75	Robert Brewster	T	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	1	0
3.76	DeAndre Levy	LB	DET	Martin Mayhew	45	95	86
3.77	Antoine Caldwell	G	HOU	Rick Smith	11	39	19
3.78	Louis Vasquez	G	LAC	A.J. Smith	59	54	54
3.79	Kraig Urbik	T	PIT	Kevin Colbert	27	0	0
3.80	Kevin Barnes	DB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	3	29	3
3.81	Roy Miller	DT	TB	Mark Dominik	33	62	34
3.82	Derrick Williams	WR	DET	Martin Mayhew	0	18	1
3.83	Brandon Tate	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	16	18	11
3.84	Mike Wallace	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	57	63	48	1
3.85	Ramses Barden	WR	NYG	Jerry Reese	5	29	1
3.86	Asher Allen	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	8	36	21
3.87	Patrick Turner	WR	MIA	Jeff Ireland	1	2	0
3.88	Lardarius Webb	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	36	127	86
3.89	Jared Cook	TE	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	48	59	11
3.90	Chris Owens	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	11	59	12
3.91	Deon Butler	WR	SEA	Tim Ruskell	4	35	8
3.92	Jerraud Powers	DB	IND	Bill Polian	30	42	42
3.93	Corvey Irvin	DT	CAR	Marty Hurney	1	2	0
3.94	Ryan Mouton	DB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	4	36	4
3.95	Rashad Johnson	DB	ARI	Rod Graves	25	100	51
3.96	Keenan Lewis	DB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	22	45	17
3.97	Tyrone McKenzie	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	1	0	0
3.98	Chase Coffman	TE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	6	0
3.99	Juaquin Iglesias	WR	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	1	0
3.100	Travis Beckum	TE	NYG	Jerry Reese	2	48	4
4.101	Stephen McGee	QB	DAL	Jerry Jones	2	3	1
4.102	Donald Washington	DB	KC	Scott Pioli	4	32	5
4.103	Darell Scott	DT	LAR	Billy Devaney	5	33	5
4.104	Kaluka Maiava	LB	CLE	George Kokinis	13	50	22
4.105	Henry Melton	DE	CHI	Jerry Angelo	25	48	32	1
4.106	Jonathan Luigs	C	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	1	8	0
4.107	Mike Thomas	WR	JAX	Gene Smith	21	52	31
4.108	Brian Hartline	WR	MIA	Jeff Ireland	32	92	69
4.109	T.J. Lang	T	GB	Ted Thompson	61	119	94
4.110	Victor Butler	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	6	63	2
4.111	Mike Goodson	RB	CAR	Marty Hurney	7	28	3
4.112	Glover Quin	DB	HOU	Rick Smith	51	63	60
4.113	Vaughn Martin	DT	LAC	A.J. Smith	12	48	27
4.114	David Bruton	DB	DEN	Brian Xanders	10	104	8
4.115	Sammie Lee Hill	DT	DET	Martin Mayhew	21	59	18
4.116	Chip Vaughn	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	0	0
4.117	Kyle Moore	DE	TB	Mark Dominik	8	15	7
4.118	Stanley Arnoux	LB	NO	Mickey Loomis	1	9	0
4.119	D.J. Moore	DB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	6	45	3
4.120	Brandon Williams	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	6	0
4.121	Shawn Nelson	TE	BUF	Buddy Nix	1	17	13
4.122	Anthony Hill	TE	HOU	Rick Smith	0	5	0
4.123	Rich Ohrnberger	G	NE	Bill Belichick	8	5	0
4.124	Louis Murphy	WR	LV	Al Davis era	19	41	19
4.125	Lawrence Sidbury	DE	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	5	48	0
4.126	Slade Norris	DE	LV	Al Davis era	0	4	0
4.127	Austin Collie	WR	IND	Bill Polian	18	42	16
4.128	Tony Fiammetta	RB	CAR	Marty Hurney	1	24	11
4.129	Andre Brown	RB	NYG	Jerry Reese	7	18	10
4.130	Gerald McRath	LB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	7	40	12
4.131	Greg Toler	DB	ARI	Rod Graves	21	38	15
4.132	Seth Olsen	G	DEN	Brian Xanders	3	3	0
4.133	Tyronne Green	G	LAC	A.J. Smith	15	41	28
4.134	Gartrell Johnson	RB	LAC	A.J. Smith	0	0	0
4.135	Troy Kropog	T	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	0	7	0
4.136	Terrance Taylor	DT	IND	Bill Polian	0	0	0
5.137	Jason Phillips	LB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	3	9	0
5.138	William Middleton	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	8	0	0
5.139	Colin Brown	T	KC	Scott Pioli	3	0	0
5.140	Johnny Knox	WR	CHI	Jerry Angelo	20	45	27	1
5.141	Kenny McKinley	WR	DEN	Brian Xanders	0	8	0
5.142	Kevin Huber	P	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	23	216	0
5.143	DeAngelo Smith	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	0	0
5.144	Jarett Dillard	WR	JAX	Gene Smith	4	21	5
5.145	Quinn Johnson	RB	GB	Ted Thompson	0	20	4
5.146	Scott McKillop	LB	SF	Scot McCloughan	2	16	0
5.147	Nic Harris	LB	BUF	Buddy Nix	5	15	2
5.148	Brandon Hughes	DB	LAC	A.J. Smith	2	0	0
5.149	Davon Drew	TE	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	0	0	0
5.150	Jasper Brinkley	LB	MIN	Rick Spielman	21	64	30
5.151	Rhett Bomar	QB	NYG	Jerry Reese	0	0	0
5.152	James Casey	TE	HOU	Rick Smith	7	61	20
5.153	Cornelius Ingram	TE	PHI	Tom Heckert	0	0	0
5.154	Marcus Freeman	LB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	0	0
5.155	Xavier Fulton	T	TB	Mark Dominik	0	0	0
5.156	Garrett Reynolds	T	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	18	42	23
5.157	Victor Harris	DB	PHI	Tom Heckert	3	15	8
5.158	Cody Glenn	LB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	2	0	0
5.159	Fenuki Tupou	T	PHI	Tom Heckert	0	0	0
5.160	Brooks Foster	WR	LAR	Billy Devaney	0	0	0
5.161	John Nalbone	TE	MIA	Jeff Ireland	0	2	0
5.162	Jamon Meredith	T	GB	Ted Thompson	14	0	0
5.163	Duke Robinson	G	CAR	Marty Hurney	0	0	0
5.164	Thomas Morstead	P	NO	Mickey Loomis	29	190	0	1
5.165	Chris Clemons	DB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	20	72	48
5.166	Michael Hamlin	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	8	0
5.167	Herman Johnson	T	ARI	Rod Graves	0	0	0
5.168	Joe Burnett	DB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	15	0
5.169	Frank Summers	RB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	2	1
5.170	George Bussey	T	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
5.171	Nate Davis	QB	SF	Scot McCloughan	0	0	0
5.172	David Buehler	K	DAL	Jerry Jones	2	36	0
5.173	Javon Ringer	RB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	5	37	0
6.174	Tom Brandstater	QB	DEN	Brian Xanders	0	0	0
6.175	Quinten Lawrence	WR	KC	Scott Pioli	0	6	1
6.176	Spencer Adkins	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	2	24	1
6.177	Don Carey	DB	CLE	George Kokinis	12	0	0
6.178	Mike Teel	QB	SEA	Tim Ruskell	0	0	0
6.179	Morgan Trent	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	4	30	1
6.180	Zach Miller	TE	JAX	Gene Smith	12	33	5
6.181	Andrew Gardner	T	MIA	Jeff Ireland	7	1	0
6.182	Jarius Wynn	DE	GB	Ted Thompson	8	36	4
6.183	Cary Harris	DB	BUF	Buddy Nix	1	6	1
6.184	Bear Pascoe	TE	SF	Scot McCloughan	3	0	0
6.185	Cedric Peerman	RB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	4	0	0
6.186	Robert Henson	LB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	0	6	0
6.187	Brandon Underwood	DB	GB	Ted Thompson	2	23	0
6.188	Brice McCain	DB	HOU	Rick Smith	18	72	10
6.189	Kevin Ellison	LB	LAC	A.J. Smith	4	13	9
6.190	Al Afalava	DB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	5	13	13
6.191	Coye Francies	DB	CLE	George Kokinis	1	8	0
6.192	Aaron Brown	RB	DET	Martin Mayhew	2	22	2
6.193	Matt Slauson	G	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	43	51	48
6.194	Brandon Gibson	WR	PHI	Tom Heckert	17	1	0
6.195	James Davis	RB	CLE	George Kokinis	1	6	0
6.196	Keith Null	QB	LAR	Billy Devaney	1	4	4
6.197	Stephen Hodge	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
6.198	Jake Ingram	C	NE	Bill Belichick	1	16	0
6.199	Stryker Sulak	DE	LV	Al Davis era	0	0	0
6.200	DeAndre Wright	DB	NYG	Jerry Reese	0	0	0
6.201	Curtis Painter	QB	IND	Bill Polian	2	11	8
6.202	Brandon Myers	TE	LV	Al Davis era	12	58	28
6.203	Jason McCourty	DB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	45	108	90
6.204	Will Davis	DE	ARI	Rod Graves	3	21	3
6.205	Ra'Shon Harris	DT	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	0	0
6.206	Dominique Edison	WR	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	0	5	0
6.207	Myron Pryor	DT	NE	Bill Belichick	3	24	2
6.208	John Phillips	TE	DAL	Jerry Jones	2	48	20
6.209	Bernard Scott	RB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	9	47	3
7.210	Vance Walker	DT	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	21	58	11
7.211	Chris Ogbonnaya	RB	LAR	Billy Devaney	7	2	0
7.212	Javarris Williams	RB	KC	Scott Pioli	0	4	0
7.213	Paul Fanaika	G	PHI	Tom Heckert	13	0	0
7.214	J.D. Folsom	LB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	0	2	0
7.215	Fui Vakapuna	RB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.216	Captain Munnerlyn	DB	CAR	Marty Hurney	35	107	55
7.217	E.J. Biggers	DB	TB	Mark Dominik	13	45	24
7.218	Brad Jones	LB	GB	Ted Thompson	18	76	36
7.219	Curtis Taylor	DB	SF	Scot McCloughan	0	12	0
7.220	Ellis Lankster	DB	BUF	Buddy Nix	5	10	0
7.221	Eddie Williams	RB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	0	0	0
7.222	Pat McAfee	K	IND	Bill Polian	18	127	0	1	1
7.223	Troy Nolan	DB	HOU	Rick Smith	5	34	7
7.224	Demetrius Byrd	WR	LAC	A.J. Smith	0	0	0
7.225	Blake Schlueter	C	DEN	Brian Xanders	0	0	0
7.226	A.Q. Shipley	C	PIT	Kevin Colbert	33	0	0
7.227	Mike Mickens	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.228	Lydon Murtha	T	DET	Martin Mayhew	2	0	0
7.229	Manuel Johnson	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	2	0
7.230	Moise Fokou	LB	PHI	Tom Heckert	18	43	22
7.231	Jamarca Sanford	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	15	70	44
7.232	Julian Edelman	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	61	137	85
7.233	Sammie Stroughter	WR	TB	Mark Dominik	5	33	4
7.234	Darryl Richard	DT	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
7.235	Zack Follett	LB	DET	Martin Mayhew	2	17	2
7.236	Jaimie Thomas	T	IND	Bill Polian	1	8	0
7.237	Jake O'Connell	TE	KC	Scott Pioli	0	35	8
7.238	Stoney Woodson	DB	NYG	Jerry Reese	0	0	0
7.239	Ryan Durand	G	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	0	1	0
7.240	LaRod Stephens-Howling	RB	ARI	Rod Graves	9	57	10
7.241	David Johnson	TE	PIT	Kevin Colbert	3	68	31
7.242	Nick Schommer	DB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	1	13	0
7.243	Marko Mitchell	WR	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	0	10	0
7.244	Ricky Jean-Francois	DT	SF	Scot McCloughan	23	51	5
7.245	Courtney Greene	DB	SEA	Tim Ruskell	5	0	0
7.246	Lance Louis	G	CHI	Jerry Angelo	18	41	28
7.247	Nick Reed	DE	SEA	Tim Ruskell	3	16	0
7.248	Cameron Morrah	TE	SEA	Tim Ruskell	2	27	7
7.249	Clinton McDonald	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	26	8	0
7.250	Rashad Jennings	RB	JAX	Gene Smith	31	38	9
7.251	Derek Kinder	WR	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	0	0
7.252	Freddie Brown	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.253	Tiquan Underwood	WR	JAX	Gene Smith	9	13	0
7.254	Trevor Canfield	G	ARI	Rod Graves	0	0	0
7.255	Dan Gronkowski	TE	DET	Martin Mayhew	1	2	0
7.256	Ryan Succop	K	KC	Scott Pioli	29	80	0

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.