All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Brian Hartline across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 104
Games started 73
Weighted career AV 32
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 7
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 92
Team starts 69
On-team AV 33
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Excellent +1.49 contribution 3rd of 50 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Brian Hartline was Jeff Ireland's 3rd-best of 50 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +1.49 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Jeff Ireland's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
92
on drafting team · 104 full-career
Games started
69
on drafting team · 73 full-career
Snap-z
2.6
2 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
33
modeled; full weighted AV 32
AV / 1k snaps
6.4
1,727 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.0
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Jeff Ireland's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Jeff Ireland pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Brian Hartline totals +1.49 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 163. Jones #163 · Reshad Jones · aggregate +3.04 Jones +3.0 1. Long #1 · Jake Long · aggregate +1.53 108. Hartline #108 · Brian Hartline · aggregate +1.49 Hartline +1.5 165. Clemons #165 · Chris Clemons · aggregate +1.30 235. Wilson #235 · Jimmy Wilson · aggregate +1.29 174. Clay #174 · Charles Clay · aggregate +1.05 104. Jenkins #104 · Jelani Jenkins · aggregate +0.90 252. Spitler #252 · Austin Spitler · aggregate +0.83 40. Misi #40 · Koa Misi · aggregate +0.73 204. Hilliard #204 · Lex Hilliard · aggregate +0.55 166. Sturgis #166 · Caleb Sturgis · aggregate +0.55 227. Matthews #227 · Rishard Matthews · aggregate +0.33 77. Thomas #77 · Dallas Thomas · aggregate +0.26 250. Jones #250 · Don Jones · aggregate +0.21 145. Carroll #145 · Nolan Carroll · aggregate +0.20 97. Miller #97 · Lamar Miller · aggregate +0.19 106. Sims #106 · Dion Sims · aggregate +0.17 245. Dotson #245 · Lionel Dotson · aggregate +0.03 195. Thomas #195 · Donald Thomas · aggregate -0.06 215. Randall #215 · Kheeston Randall · aggregate -0.06 62. Thomas #62 · Daniel Thomas · aggregate -0.09 61. Smith #61 · Sean Smith · aggregate -0.16 231. Kearse #231 · Frank Kearse · aggregate -0.18 161. Nalbone #161 · John Nalbone · aggregate -0.19 212. McCoy #212 · Chris McCoy · aggregate -0.19 78. Egnew #78 · Michael Egnew · aggregate -0.28 15. Pouncey #15 · Mike Pouncey · aggregate -0.29 155. Kaddu #155 · Josh Kaddu · aggregate -0.29 42. Martin #42 · Jonathan Martin · aggregate -0.32 214. Folsom #214 · J.D. Folsom · aggregate -0.35 66. Langford #66 · Kendall Langford · aggregate -0.37 183. Cunningham #183 · B.J. Cunningham · aggregate -0.39 72. Vernon #72 · Olivier Vernon · aggregate -0.40 28. Odrick #28 · Jared Odrick · aggregate -0.49 111. Gates #111 · Clyde Gates · aggregate -0.49 44. White #44 · Pat White · aggregate -0.59 93. Davis #93 · Will Davis · aggregate -0.61 164. Gillislee #164 · Mike Gillislee · aggregate -0.67 87. Turner #87 · Patrick Turner · aggregate -0.73 119. Edds #119 · A.J. Edds · aggregate -0.76 32. Merling #32 · Phillip Merling · aggregate -0.78 110. Murphy #110 · Shawn Murphy · aggregate -0.79 176. Parmele #176 · Jalen Parmele · aggregate -1.05 73. Jerry #73 · John Jerry · aggregate -1.27 8. Tannehill #8 · Ryan Tannehill · aggregate -1.52 181. Gardner #181 · Andrew Gardner · aggregate -1.64 54. Taylor #54 · Jamar Taylor · aggregate -1.80 25. Davis #25 · Vontae Davis · aggregate -2.37 Davis -2.4 57. Henne #57 · Chad Henne · aggregate -4.11 Henne -4.1 3. Jordan #3 · Dion Jordan · aggregate -4.25 Jordan -4.3 Incremental contribution by season -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 2008 · Lionel Dotson · incremental +0.08 2008 · Jake Long · incremental +0.64 2008 · Lex Hilliard · incremental -0.02 2008 · Donald Thomas · incremental -0.03 2008 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.48 2008 · Phillip Merling · incremental -0.56 2008 · Shawn Murphy · incremental -1.29 2008 · Chad Henne · incremental -1.68 2008 · Jalen Parmele · incremental -1.70 2009 · Lex Hilliard · incremental +0.33 2009 · Jake Long · incremental +0.63 2009 · Brian Hartline · incremental +1.11 2009 · Chris Clemons · incremental +1.51 2009 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.03 2009 · Lionel Dotson · incremental -0.03 2009 · John Nalbone · incremental -0.06 2009 · Donald Thomas · incremental -0.15 2009 · Phillip Merling · incremental -0.38 2009 · Sean Smith · incremental -0.38 2009 · J.D. Folsom · incremental -0.61 2009 · Pat White · incremental -0.89 2009 · Patrick Turner · incremental -1.22 2009 · Vontae Davis · incremental -2.05 2009 · Chad Henne · incremental -2.10 2009 · Andrew Gardner · incremental -2.60 2010 · Phillip Merling · incremental +0.01 2010 · Sean Smith · incremental +0.03 2010 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.14 2010 · Lex Hilliard · incremental +0.26 2010 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.49 2010 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.52 2010 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.57 2010 · Austin Spitler · incremental +1.43 2010 · Jake Long · incremental +1.51 2010 · Reshad Jones · incremental +1.97 2010 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.04 2010 · Lionel Dotson · incremental -0.05 2010 · Chris McCoy · incremental -0.38 2010 · John Nalbone · incremental -0.46 2010 · Vontae Davis · incremental -0.92 2010 · Jared Odrick · incremental -0.96 2010 · A.J. Edds · incremental -1.26 2010 · John Jerry · incremental -1.93 2010 · Chad Henne · incremental -1.99 2011 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.06 2011 · Sean Smith · incremental +0.07 2011 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.08 2011 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.20 2011 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.32 2011 · Austin Spitler · incremental +0.33 2011 · Lex Hilliard · incremental +0.43 2011 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.55 2011 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.56 2011 · Jake Long · incremental +0.66 2011 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +2.01 2011 · Charles Clay · incremental +2.10 2011 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.04 2011 · John Jerry · incremental -0.16 2011 · Daniel Thomas · incremental -0.19 2011 · Phillip Merling · incremental -0.19 2011 · Frank Kearse · incremental -0.36 2011 · Chad Henne · incremental -0.69 2011 · Clyde Gates · incremental -0.76 2011 · Vontae Davis · incremental -0.85 2011 · Mike Pouncey · incremental -1.54 2012 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.04 2012 · Sean Smith · incremental +0.07 2012 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.09 2012 · Charles Clay · incremental +0.10 2012 · Daniel Thomas · incremental +0.14 2012 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.25 2012 · Austin Spitler · incremental +0.28 2012 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.42 2012 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +0.44 2012 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.44 2012 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.67 2012 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.69 2012 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.73 2012 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.76 2012 · Jake Long · incremental -0.07 2012 · Kheeston Randall · incremental -0.14 2012 · Michael Egnew · incremental -0.24 2012 · Jonathan Martin · incremental -0.27 2012 · Josh Kaddu · incremental -0.31 2012 · John Jerry · incremental -0.38 2012 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.40 2012 · B.J. Cunningham · incremental -0.70 2012 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental -3.26 2013 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.05 2013 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.05 2013 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.09 2013 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.10 2013 · Austin Spitler · incremental +0.16 2013 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.17 2013 · Charles Clay · incremental +0.18 2013 · Don Jones · incremental +0.18 2013 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.23 2013 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.31 2013 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +0.60 2013 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.64 2013 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.65 2013 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.70 2013 · Caleb Sturgis · incremental +1.17 2013 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental -0.02 2013 · Daniel Thomas · incremental -0.04 2013 · Dallas Thomas · incremental -0.05 2013 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.07 2013 · Josh Kaddu · incremental -0.10 2013 · Jonathan Martin · incremental -0.22 2013 · Dion Sims · incremental -0.22 2013 · Michael Egnew · incremental -0.31 2013 · John Jerry · incremental -0.38 2013 · Will Davis · incremental -0.58 2013 · Mike Gillislee · incremental -1.35 2013 · Jamar Taylor · incremental -1.67 2013 · Dion Jordan · incremental -5.52 2014 · Mike Gillislee · incremental +0.02 2014 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.06 2014 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.09 2014 · Caleb Sturgis · incremental +0.10 2014 · Daniel Thomas · incremental +0.13 2014 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.14 2014 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.14 2014 · Charles Clay · incremental +0.14 2014 · Don Jones · incremental +0.19 2014 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.22 2014 · Dion Sims · incremental +0.23 2014 · Dallas Thomas · incremental +0.27 2014 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.31 2014 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.47 2014 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.62 2014 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +0.68 2014 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental +1.52 2014 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.06 2014 · Will Davis · incremental -0.60 2014 · Jamar Taylor · incremental -1.21 2014 · Dion Jordan · incremental -2.87 2015 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.04 2015 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.12 2015 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.12 2015 · Dion Sims · incremental +0.13 2015 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.22 2015 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.36 2015 · Dallas Thomas · incremental +0.36 2015 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.72 2015 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental +0.88 2015 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.07 2015 · Dion Jordan · incremental -0.79 2015 · Jamar Taylor · incremental -1.43 2016 · Dallas Thomas · incremental +0.01 2016 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.04 2016 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.07 2016 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.08 2016 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental +0.10 2016 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.24 2016 · Dion Sims · incremental +0.61 2016 · Dion Jordan · incremental -0.80 2017 · Don Jones · incremental +0.18 2017 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.23 2017 · Reshad Jones · incremental +1.66 2017 · Will Davis · incremental -0.10 2018 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.02 2018 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.52 2019 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.13 Parmele -1.7 Hartline +1.1 Davis -2.0 Henne -2.1 Gardner -2.6 Hartline +0.5 Jones +2.0 Jerry -1.9 Henne -2.0 Hartline +0.6 Wilson +2.0 Clay +2.1 Hartline +0.7 Tannehill -3.3 Hartline +0.7 Jordan -5.5 Hartline +0.6 Jordan -2.9 2008 9 players 2009 16 players 2010 19 players 2011 21 players 2012 23 players 2013 28 players 2014 21 players 2015 12 players 2016 8 players 2017 4 players 2018 2 players 2019 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Brian Hartline GM total -12.9 Brian Hartline by season +4.2
How much retained production did Brian Hartline return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Brian Hartline since 2010 (27 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 +1 +1.5 +2 +2.5 Model value above slot 112. Brown Amon-Ra St. Brown · model value +2.5 +2.5 108. Hartline Brian Hartline · model value +0.3 +0.3 110. Westbrook Dede Westbrook · model value +0.3 108. Ford Jacoby Ford · model value +0.3 112. Mitchell Malcolm Mitchell · model value +0.3 103. Coutee Keke Coutee · model value +0.2 103. Dike Chimere Dike · model value +0.1 108. Thornton Dont'e Thornton · model value 0 110. Smith Arian Smith · model value 0 110. Baker Javon Baker · model value 0 105. Crowder Jamison Crowder · model value -0.1 105. Callaway Antonio Callaway · model value -0.2 107. Hardy Justin Hardy · model value -0.2 111. Gates Clyde Gates · model value -0.2 107. Durham Kris Durham · model value -0.2 106. Ellington Bruce Ellington · model value -0.2 107. Wylie Devon Wylie · model value -0.2 104. Adams Joe Adams · model value -0.3 109. Fitzpatrick Dez Fitzpatrick · model value -0.3 104. Saunders Jalen Saunders · model value -0.3 106. Darboh Amara Darboh · model value -0.3 105. Gray Danny Gray · model value -0.3 112. Salas Greg Salas · model value -0.3 103. Butler Hakeem Butler · model value -0.4 113. Walker Devontez Walker · model value -0.4 113. Hamilton DaeSean Hamilton · model value -0.5 107. Easley Marcus Easley · model value -0.8 107. Moore Chris Moore · model value -1.5 Brian Hartline Slot-similar peers (27)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'10 '12 '14 '15 0 20 39 59 78 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (7 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.