Good+0.13 contribution14th of 37 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
A Good pick
Jason McCourty was Mike Reinfeldt's 14th-best of 37 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.13. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Mike Reinfeldt's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
108
on drafting team · 173 full-career
Games started
90
on drafting team · 141 full-career
Snap-z
3.8
4 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
36
modeled; full weighted AV 45
AV / 1k snaps
5.2
3,432 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.1
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only
Did this pick move Mike Reinfeldt's grade?
The first chart removes the time axis: every Mike Reinfeldt pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jason McCourty totals +0.13. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player
Incremental contribution by season
Above expectationBelow expectationJason McCourtyGM total -2.9Jason McCourty by season +0.9
How much retained production did Jason McCourty return vs. his slot?
Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jason McCourty since 2010 (15 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
Jason McCourtySlot-similar peers (15)
Cumulative value over time
Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
Games started (cumulative)Pro BowlsAP1 All-ProAP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (13 scored seasons)
Year
Team
GP
GS
Snaps
Snap-z
AV
AV/snap
PB
AP1
AP2
2009
TEN
15
3
—
—
1
—
2010
TEN
12
6
—
—
3
—
2011
TEN
15
15
—
—
8
—
2012
TEN
16
16
—
—
6
—
2013
TEN
16
16
1,161
1.6
6
5.2
2014
TEN
16
16
1,183
1.9
6
5.1
2015
TEN
4
4
220
-0.8
1
4.5
2016
TEN
14
12
868
1.1
5
5.8
2017
CLE
14
14
946
1.3
6
6.3
2018
NE
16
14
948
1.4
4
4.2
2019
NE
12
10
515
0.2
5
9.7
2020
NE
16
10
698
0.8
4
5.7
2021
MIA
7
3
312
-0.6
2
6.4
How to read this
The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.
