2008 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Thomas Dimitroff

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 252 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2008 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

2008 class highlighted · 28 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1
1.3	Matt Ryan	QB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	146	222	4	1
2.50	Calais Campbell	DE	ARI	Rod Graves	113	155	6	1
1.18	Joe Flacco	QB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	97	163	1
1.26	Duane Brown	T	HOU	Rick Smith	91	133	5	1
2.44	Matt Forte	RB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	84	120	2
4.135	Josh Sitton	T	GB	Ted Thompson	81	121	4
2.49	DeSean Jackson	WR	PHI	Tom Heckert	75	95	3
2.36	Jordy Nelson	WR	GB	Ted Thompson	73	136	1
1.24	Chris Johnson	RB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	70	95	3	1
1.20	Aqib Talib	DB	TB	Bruce Allen	68	58	5	1

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.56	Brian Brohm	QB	GB	Ted Thompson	0	3
2.58	Dexter Jackson	WR	TB	Bruce Allen	0	1
2.41	James Hardy	WR	BUF	Russ Brandon era	1	2
2.53	Limas Sweed	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	2
2.62	Terrence Wheatley	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	1	3
2.45	Jordon Dizon	LB	DET	Matt Millen	2	2
2.51	Malcolm Kelly	WR	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	3	2
2.34	Devin Thomas	WR	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	4	4
2.60	Pat Lee	DB	GB	Ted Thompson	4	5
1.6	Vernon Gholston	DE	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	6	3

All picks (252) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1
1.1	Jake Long	T	MIA	Jeff Ireland	54	74	74	4	1
1.2	Chris Long	DE	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	48	114	95
1.3	Matt Ryan	QB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	146	222	222	3	1
1.4	Darren McFadden	RB	LV	Al Davis era	39	83	63
1.5	Glenn Dorsey	DT	KC	Carl Peterson	37	66	65
1.6	Vernon Gholston	DE	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	6	45	5
1.7	Sedrick Ellis	DT	NO	Mickey Loomis	26	70	70
1.8	Derrick Harvey	DE	JAX	James Harris	14	47	32
1.9	Keith Rivers	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	24	35	33
1.10	Jerod Mayo	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	51	103	93	2	1
1.11	Leodis McKelvin	DB	BUF	Russ Brandon era	29	98	60
1.12	Ryan Clady	T	DEN	Mike Shanahan	65	98	98	3	2
1.13	Jonathan Stewart	RB	CAR	Marty Hurney	48	131	64
1.14	Chris Williams	T	CHI	Jerry Angelo	25	50	38
1.15	Branden Albert	G	KC	Carl Peterson	41	85	83
1.16	Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie	DB	ARI	Rod Graves	53	48	43	1
1.17	Gosder Cherilus	T	DET	Matt Millen	48	75	71
1.18	Joe Flacco	QB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	97	163	163
1.19	Jeff Otah	T	CAR	Marty Hurney	14	29	29
1.20	Aqib Talib	DB	TB	Bruce Allen	68	58	45
1.21	Sam Baker	T	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	32	70	61
1.22	Felix Jones	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	27	64	23
1.23	Rashard Mendenhall	RB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	29	57	48
1.24	Chris Johnson	RB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	70	95	93	3	1
1.25	Mike Jenkins	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	27	71	48	1
1.26	Duane Brown	T	HOU	Rick Smith	91	133	133	1	1
1.27	Antoine Cason	DB	LAC	A.J. Smith	27	80	49
1.28	Lawrence Jackson	DE	SEA	Tim Ruskell	15	32	24
1.29	Kentwan Balmer	DT	SF	Scot McCloughan	7	27	0
1.30	Dustin Keller	TE	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	22	72	48
1.31	Kenny Phillips	DB	NYG	Jerry Reese	16	56	41
2.32	Phillip Merling	DE	MIA	Jeff Ireland	6	47	5
2.33	Donnie Avery	WR	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	21	31	28
2.34	Devin Thomas	WR	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	4	34	11
2.35	Brandon Flowers	DB	KC	Carl Peterson	42	88	87
2.36	Jordy Nelson	WR	GB	Ted Thompson	73	136	88
2.37	Curtis Lofton	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	49	64	63
2.38	John Carlson	TE	SEA	Tim Ruskell	16	47	38
2.39	Chilo Rachal	G	SF	Scot McCloughan	20	55	38
2.40	Tracy Porter	DB	NO	Mickey Loomis	31	43	39
2.41	James Hardy	WR	BUF	Russ Brandon era	1	16	3
2.42	Eddie Royal	WR	DEN	Mike Shanahan	35	57	45
2.43	Tyrell Johnson	DB	MIN	Rick Spielman	10	49	27
2.44	Matt Forte	RB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	84	120	120	1
2.45	Jordon Dizon	LB	DET	Matt Millen	2	28	0
2.46	Jerome Simpson	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	18	29	18
2.47	Trevor Laws	DT	PHI	Tom Heckert	7	56	2
2.48	Fred Davis	TE	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	14	72	43
2.49	DeSean Jackson	WR	PHI	Tom Heckert	75	95	94	2
2.50	Calais Campbell	DE	ARI	Rod Graves	113	155	137
2.51	Malcolm Kelly	WR	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	3	21	10
2.52	Quentin Groves	DE	JAX	James Harris	17	32	7
2.53	Limas Sweed	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	1	20	0
2.54	Jason Jones	DE	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	32	49	31
2.55	Ray Rice	RB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	63	92	80	3
2.56	Brian Brohm	QB	GB	Ted Thompson	0	0	0
2.57	Chad Henne	QB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	26	36	31
2.58	Dexter Jackson	WR	TB	Bruce Allen	0	7	0
2.59	Mike Pollak	T	IND	Bill Polian	26	58	41
2.60	Pat Lee	DB	GB	Ted Thompson	4	32	1
2.61	Martellus Bennett	TE	DAL	Jerry Jones	35	60	31
2.62	Terrence Wheatley	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	1	11	1
2.63	Terrell Thomas	DB	NYG	Jerry Reese	18	60	41
3.64	Kevin Smith	RB	DET	Matt Millen	19	54	31
3.65	John Greco	T	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	29	26	4
3.66	Kendall Langford	DE	MIA	Jeff Ireland	43	64	54
3.67	Charles Godfrey	DB	CAR	Marty Hurney	27	82	75
3.68	Chevis Jackson	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	4	31	3
3.69	Jacob Hester	FB	LAC	A.J. Smith	6	62	23
3.70	Earl Bennett	WR	CHI	Jerry Angelo	19	78	29
3.71	Tavares Gooden	LB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	9	26	12
3.72	Chris Ellis	DE	BUF	Russ Brandon era	2	15	1
3.73	Jamaal Charles	RB	KC	Carl Peterson	66	103	69	2	2
3.74	Dan Connor	LB	CAR	Marty Hurney	13	47	19
3.75	Reggie Smith	DB	SF	Scot McCloughan	5	45	7
3.76	Brad Cottam	TE	KC	Carl Peterson	2	24	8
3.77	Pat Sims	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	27	98	31
3.78	Shawn Crable	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	0	6	0
3.79	Antwaun Molden	DB	HOU	Rick Smith	4	32	0
3.80	Bryan Smith	LB	PHI	Tom Heckert	1	0	0
3.81	Early Doucet	WR	ARI	Rod Graves	10	54	14
3.82	DaJuan Morgan	DB	KC	Carl Peterson	3	28	2
3.83	Jeremy Zuttah	G	TB	Bruce Allen	46	90	76
3.84	Harry Douglas	WR	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	31	91	26
3.85	Craig Stevens	TE	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	5	109	72
3.86	Tom Zbikowski	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	11	53	14
3.87	Andre Fluellen	DT	DET	Matt Millen	8	79	7
3.88	Bruce Davis	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	5	0
3.89	Steve Slaton	RB	HOU	Rick Smith	21	42	26
3.90	Marcus Harrison	DT	CHI	Jerry Angelo	6	37	9
3.91	Jermichael Finley	TE	GB	Ted Thompson	27	70	48
3.92	Cliff Avril	LB	DET	Matt Millen	51	73	60
3.93	Philip Wheeler	LB	IND	Bill Polian	29	61	24
3.94	Kevin O'Connell	QB	NE	Bill Belichick	0	2	0
3.95	Mario Manningham	WR	NYG	Jerry Reese	22	49	28
3.96	Chad Rinehart	T	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	23	4	4
3.97	Andre Caldwell	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	12	51	14
3.98	Thomas DeCoud	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	37	89	78	1
3.99	Oniel Cousins	G	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	10	25	4
4.100	Tyvon Branch	DB	LV	Al Davis era	28	75	67
4.101	Justin King	DB	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	9	35	19
4.102	Jeremy Thompson	DE	GB	Ted Thompson	1	15	3
4.103	William Hayes	DE	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	32	48	12
4.104	Beau Bell	LB	CLE	Phil Savage	0	5	0
4.105	Will Franklin	WR	KC	Carl Peterson	1	13	1
4.106	Marcus Smith	WR	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	0	21	0
4.107	Cody Wallace	C	SF	Scot McCloughan	13	1	0
4.108	Kory Lichtensteiger	C	DEN	Mike Shanahan	34	16	0
4.109	Mike McGlynn	T	PHI	Tom Heckert	29	19	14
4.110	Shawn Murphy	T	MIA	Jeff Ireland	0	0	0
4.111	Martin Rucker	TE	CLE	Phil Savage	0	5	1
4.112	Anthony Collins	T	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	16	59	25
4.113	Dwight Lowery	DB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	35	43	18
4.114	Reggie Corner	DB	BUF	Russ Brandon era	8	55	13
4.115	Dre Moore	DT	TB	Bruce Allen	1	7	0
4.116	Kenny Iwebema	DE	ARI	Rod Graves	2	31	0
4.117	Quintin Demps	DB	PHI	Tom Heckert	22	25	0
4.118	Xavier Adibi	LB	HOU	Rick Smith	4	34	8
4.119	Jack Williams	DB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	2	21	0
4.120	Craig Steltz	DB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	6	77	8
4.121	Red Bryant	DT	SEA	Tim Ruskell	31	64	55
4.122	Tashard Choice	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	13	54	4
4.123	Bryan Kehl	LB	NYG	Jerry Reese	7	31	3
4.124	Justin Tryon	DB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	6	29	2
4.125	Arman Shields	WR	LV	Al Davis era	0	0	0
4.126	Lavelle Hawkins	WR	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	7	52	4
4.127	Jacob Tamme	TE	IND	Bill Polian	21	60	14
4.128	Keenan Burton	WR	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	3	22	7
4.129	Jonathan Wilhite	DB	NE	Bill Belichick	10	39	13
4.130	Tony Hills	T	PIT	Kevin Colbert	3	4	0
4.131	Jack Ikegwuonu	DB	PHI	Tom Heckert	0	1	0
4.132	Derek Fine	TE	BUF	Russ Brandon era	2	18	11
4.133	David Hale	T	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	1	18	0
4.134	Stanford Keglar	LB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	3	25	0
4.135	Josh Sitton	T	GB	Ted Thompson	81	121	112	1
5.136	Kenny Moore	WR	DET	Matt Millen	1	0	0
5.137	John David Booty	QB	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
5.138	Robert James	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	1	18	0
5.139	Ryan Torain	RB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	5	2	1
5.140	Brandon Carr	DB	KC	Carl Peterson	53	64	64
5.141	Gary Barnidge	TE	CAR	Marty Hurney	14	63	11
5.142	Zackary Bowman	DB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	15	73	23
5.143	Orlando Scandrick	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	26	125	69
5.144	DeMario Pressley	DT	NO	Mickey Loomis	1	7	0
5.145	Jason Shirley	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	3	0
5.146	Jerome Felton	FB	DET	Matt Millen	3	42	16
5.147	Alvin Bowen	LB	BUF	Russ Brandon era	0	0	0
5.148	Carlton Powell	DT	DEN	Mike Shanahan	0	0	0
5.149	Tim Hightower	RB	ARI	Rod Graves	26	48	36
5.150	Breno Giacomini	T	GB	Ted Thompson	36	1	0
5.151	Frank Okam	DT	HOU	Rick Smith	3	13	0
5.152	Letroy Guion	DT	MIN	Rick Spielman	28	68	31
5.153	Matthew Slater	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	0	239	3	7	2
5.154	Kroy Biermann	LB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	24	114	37
5.155	Thomas Williams	LB	JAX	James Harris	1	6	0
5.156	Dennis Dixon	QB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	2	4	3
5.157	Roy Schuening	G	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	0	1	0
5.158	Kellen Davis	TE	CHI	Jerry Angelo	5	80	35
5.159	Trae Williams	DB	JAX	James Harris	0	0	0
5.160	Josh Johnson	QB	TB	Bruce Allen	9	26	5
5.161	Marcus Howard	LB	IND	Bill Polian	1	9	0
5.162	Erik Ainge	QB	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	0	0	0
5.163	Owen Schmitt	FB	SEA	Tim Ruskell	1	30	2
5.164	Carl Nicks	T	NO	Mickey Loomis	53	64	61	2	1
5.165	Jonathan Goff	LB	NYG	Jerry Reese	9	37	20
5.166	Marcus Thomas	RB	LAC	A.J. Smith	0	0	0
6.167	Erik Walden	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	37	0	0
6.168	Durant Brooks	P	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	0	6	0
6.169	Trevor Scott	DE	LV	Al Davis era	11	58	16
6.170	Barry Richardson	T	KC	Carl Peterson	19	48	33
6.171	Marcus Henry	WR	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	0	0	0
6.172	Thomas Brown	RB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	0	0
6.173	Dominique Barber	DB	HOU	Rick Smith	5	39	7
6.174	Josh Morgan	WR	SF	Scot McCloughan	21	49	32
6.175	Geno Hayes	LB	TB	Bruce Allen	30	56	42
6.176	Jalen Parmele	RB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	1	0	0
6.177	Corey Lynch	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	8	7	0
6.178	Taylor Mehlhaff	K	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	3	0
6.179	Xavier Omon	RB	BUF	Russ Brandon era	0	7	0
6.180	Kareem Moore	DB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	7	42	13
6.181	Nick Hayden	DT	CAR	Marty Hurney	25	26	13
6.182	Kevin Robinson	WR	KC	Carl Peterson	0	8	0
6.183	Spencer Larsen	LB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	5	50	15
6.184	Mike Gibson	T	PHI	Tom Heckert	5	0	0
6.185	Chris Harrington	DE	ARI	Rod Graves	0	0	0
6.186	Colt Brennan	QB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	0	0	0
6.187	John Sullivan	C	MIN	Rick Spielman	54	109	93
6.188	Mike Humpal	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	0	0
6.189	Tyler Schmitt	LB	SEA	Tim Ruskell	0	0	0
6.190	Ahtyba Rubin	DT	CLE	Phil Savage	47	100	75
6.191	Paul Hubbard	WR	CLE	Phil Savage	0	0	0
6.192	DeJuan Tribble	DB	LAC	A.J. Smith	0	0	0
6.193	Jaymar Johnson	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	6	0
6.194	Ryan Mundy	DB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	17	64	5
6.195	Donald Thomas	G	MIA	Jeff Ireland	16	17	13
6.196	Tom Santi	TE	IND	Bill Polian	2	9	4
6.197	Bo Ruud	LB	NE	Bill Belichick	0	0	0
6.198	Andre Woodson	QB	NYG	Jerry Reese	0	0	0
6.199	Robert Henderson	DE	NYG	Jerry Reese	0	0	0
6.200	Joe Mays	LB	PHI	Tom Heckert	18	13	1
6.201	Steve Justice	C	IND	Bill Polian	1	8	1
6.202	Mike Hart	RB	IND	Bill Polian	3	21	1
6.203	Andy Studebaker	LB	PHI	Tom Heckert	11	0	0
6.204	Lex Hilliard	RB	MIA	Jeff Ireland	3	48	4
6.205	Pierre Garcon	WR	IND	Bill Polian	54	58	43
6.206	Haruki Nakamura	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	10	56	0
6.207	Matt Sherry	TE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.208	Ervin Baldwin	DE	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	0	0
7.209	Matt Flynn	QB	GB	Ted Thompson	8	46	6
7.210	Brian Johnston	DE	KC	Carl Peterson	0	9	0
7.211	Nate Garner	T	NYJ	Mike Tannenbaum	13	0	0
7.212	Wilrey Fontenot	DB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	0	0
7.213	Chauncey Washington	RB	JAX	James Harris	0	6	0
7.214	Larry Grant	LB	SF	Scot McCloughan	10	32	3
7.215	Justin Harper	WR	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	0	2	0
7.216	Landon Cohen	DT	DET	Matt Millen	4	20	4
7.217	Brett Swain	WR	GB	Ted Thompson	1	22	1
7.218	Caleb Campbell	DB	DET	Matt Millen	0	2	0
7.219	Demetress Bell	T	BUF	Russ Brandon era	13	31	30
7.220	Josh Barrett	DB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	3	20	3
7.221	Hilee Taylor	LB	CAR	Marty Hurney	1	16	0
7.222	Chester Adams	G	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	0	0
7.223	Alex Brink	QB	HOU	Rick Smith	0	0	0
7.224	Stevie Johnson	WR	BUF	Russ Brandon era	33	76	58
7.225	Brandon Keith	T	ARI	Rod Graves	8	26	20
7.226	Chaz Schilens	WR	LV	Al Davis era	7	44	19
7.227	Peyton Hillis	FB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	21	26	8
7.228	Chris Chamberlain	DB	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	11	59	19
7.229	Cary Williams	DB	TEN	Mike Reinfeldt	30	5	0
7.230	King Dunlap	T	PHI	Tom Heckert	32	52	19
7.231	Alex Hall	LB	CLE	Phil Savage	3	30	2
7.232	Keith Zinger	TE	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	15	2
7.233	Justin Forsett	RB	SEA	Tim Ruskell	32	59	7
7.234	Corey Clark	T	LAC	A.J. Smith	0	2	0
7.235	Brandon Coutu	K	SEA	Tim Ruskell	0	0	0
7.236	Jamey Richard	T	IND	Bill Polian	11	48	11
7.237	Adrian Arrington	WR	NO	Mickey Loomis	1	5	0
7.238	Cory Boyd	RB	TB	Bruce Allen	0	0	0
7.239	Mike Merritt	TE	KC	Carl Peterson	0	0	0
7.240	Allen Patrick	RB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	0	0	0
7.241	Geoff Schwartz	T	CAR	Marty Hurney	18	32	19
7.242	Rob Jackson	DE	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	9	54	15
7.243	Joey LaRocque	LB	CHI	Jerry Angelo	1	14	0
7.244	Angelo Craig	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.245	Lionel Dotson	DT	MIA	Jeff Ireland	0	7	0
7.246	Mario Urrutia	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.247	Kirk Barton	T	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	1	0
7.248	Marcus Monk	WR	CHI	Jerry Angelo	0	0	0
7.249	Chris Horton	DB	WAS	Vinny Cerrato	8	29	15
7.250	Mackenzy Bernadeau	G	CAR	Marty Hurney	25	47	20
7.251	Kennard Cox	DB	BUF	Russ Brandon era	2	0	0
7.252	David Vobora	LB	LAR	Jay Zygmunt	8	34	16

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.