2019 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Jon Robinson

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 254 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2019 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

2019 class highlighted · 39 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1
2.51	A.J. Brown	WR	TEN	Jon Robinson	73	43	3
1.1	Kyler Murray	QB	ARI	Steve Keim	71	87	2
1.19	Jeffery Simmons	DT	TEN	Jon Robinson	62	99	4	1
4.106	Maxx Crosby	DE	LV	Mike Mayock	61	110	5
1.2	Nick Bosa	DE	SF	John Lynch	58	85	5	1
1.3	Quinnen Williams	DT	NYJ	Mike Maccagnan	57	98	4	1
1.24	Josh Jacobs	RB	LV	Mike Mayock	57	73	3	1
2.64	D.K. Metcalf	WR	SEA	John Schneider	57	97	2
1.17	Dexter Lawrence	DT	NYG	Dave Gettleman	55	109	3
1.16	Brian Burns	DE	CAR	Marty Hurney	53	80	3

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.47	Marquise Blair	S	SEA	John Schneider	2	6
2.57	JJ Arcega-Whiteside	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	2	3
2.45	Joejuan Williams	CB	NE	Bill Belichick	3	5
1.15	Dwayne Haskins	QB	WAS	Bruce Allen	4	2
2.49	Ben Banogu	LB	IND	Chris Ballard	4	4
2.62	Andy Isabella	WR	ARI	Steve Keim	4	5
2.58	Trysten Hill	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	5	6
1.30	Deandre Baker	CB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	6	3
1.32	N'Keal Harry	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	7	5
2.52	Drew Sample	TE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	7	7

All picks (254) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1
1.1	Kyler Murray	QB	ARI	Steve Keim	71	87	87	2
1.2	Nick Bosa	DE	SF	John Lynch	58	85	83	5	1
1.3	Quinnen Williams	DT	NYJ	Mike Maccagnan	57	98	94	3	1
1.4	Clelin Ferrell	DE	LV	Mike Mayock	24	58	30
1.5	Devin White	LB	TB	Jason Licht	51	76	75	1
1.6	Daniel Jones	QB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	52	70	69
1.7	Josh Hines-Allen	LB	JAX	David Caldwell	45	107	93
1.8	T.J. Hockenson	TE	DET	Bob Quinn	33	47	42
1.9	Ed Oliver	DT	BUF	Brandon Beane	43	95	86
1.10	Devin Bush Jr.	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	37	52	48
1.11	Jonah Williams	G	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	37	59	59
1.12	Rashan Gary	LB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	36	106	74	1
1.13	Christian Wilkins	DT	MIA	Chris Grier	35	81	77
1.14	Chris Lindstrom	G	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	49	105	105	4
1.15	Dwayne Haskins	QB	WAS	Bruce Allen	4	16	13
1.16	Brian Burns	DE	CAR	Marty Hurney	53	80	67	2
1.17	Dexter Lawrence	DT	NYG	Dave Gettleman	55	109	102	3
1.18	Garrett Bradbury	C	MIN	Rick Spielman	41	88	88
1.19	Jeffery Simmons	DT	TEN	Jon Robinson	62	99	97	4	1
1.20	Noah Fant	TE	DEN	John Elway	26	47	41
1.21	Darnell Savage Jr.	S	GB	Brian Gutekunst	24	72	69
1.22	Andre Dillard	T	PHI	Howie Roseman	12	43	9
1.23	Tytus Howard	T	HOU	Bill O'Brien	36	93	93
1.24	Josh Jacobs	RB	LV	Mike Mayock	57	73	72	2	1
1.25	Marquise Brown	WR	BAL	Eric DeCosta	39	46	41
1.26	Montez Sweat	DE	WAS	Bruce Allen	48	67	67
1.27	Johnathan Abram	S	LV	Mike Mayock	13	36	34
1.28	Jerry Tillery	DT	LAC	Tom Telesco	26	54	29
1.29	L.J. Collier	DE	SEA	John Schneider	16	45	16
1.30	Deandre Baker	CB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	6	16	15
1.31	Kaleb McGary	T	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	39	93	92
1.32	N'Keal Harry	WR	NE	Bill Belichick	7	33	18
2.33	Byron Murphy	CB	ARI	Steve Keim	40	56	48
2.34	Rock Ya-Sin	CB	IND	Chris Ballard	17	41	29
2.35	Jawaan Taylor	T	JAX	David Caldwell	42	66	66
2.36	Deebo Samuel	WR	SF	John Lynch	52	81	73	1	1
2.37	Greg Little	T	CAR	Marty Hurney	8	14	6
2.38	Cody Ford	T	BUF	Brandon Beane	22	38	29
2.39	Sean Murphy-Bunting	CB	TB	Jason Licht	24	53	36
2.40	Trayvon Mullen	CB	LV	Mike Mayock	11	37	31
2.41	Dalton Risner	T	DEN	John Elway	30	62	62
2.42	Drew Lock	QB	DEN	John Elway	14	24	21
2.43	Jahlani Tavai	LB	DET	Bob Quinn	34	31	16
2.44	Elgton Jenkins	C	GB	Brian Gutekunst	48	96	94	2
2.45	Joejuan Williams	CB	NE	Bill Belichick	3	36	1
2.46	Greedy Williams	CB	CLE	John Dorsey	8	39	21
2.47	Marquise Blair	S	SEA	John Schneider	2	23	3
2.48	Erik McCoy	C	NO	Mickey Loomis	35	88	88	2
2.49	Ben Banogu	LB	IND	Chris Ballard	4	50	0
2.50	Irv Smith Jr.	TE	MIN	Rick Spielman	9	37	15
2.51	A.J. Brown	WR	TEN	Jon Robinson	73	43	36
2.52	Drew Sample	TE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	7	95	62
2.53	Miles Sanders	RB	PHI	Howie Roseman	34	57	49	1
2.54	Lonnie Johnson Jr.	CB	HOU	Bill O'Brien	11	44	19
2.55	Max Scharping	T	HOU	Bill O'Brien	18	48	33
2.56	Mecole Hardman	WR	KC	Brett Veach	23	75	28	1
2.57	JJ Arcega-Whiteside	WR	PHI	Howie Roseman	2	40	7
2.58	Trysten Hill	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	5	25	5
2.59	Parris Campbell	WR	IND	Chris Ballard	9	32	24
2.60	Nasir Adderley	S	LAC	Tom Telesco	13	50	44
2.61	Taylor Rapp	S	LAR	Les Snead	25	57	48
2.62	Andy Isabella	WR	ARI	Steve Keim	4	39	3
2.63	Juan Thornhill	S	KC	Brett Veach	24	65	52
2.64	D.K. Metcalf	WR	SEA	John Schneider	57	97	93	2
3.65	Zach Allen	DE	ARI	Steve Keim	52	45	35
3.66	Diontae Johnson	WR	PIT	Kevin Colbert	35	77	67	1
3.67	Jalen Hurd	WR	SF	John Lynch	0	0	0
3.68	Jachai Polite	LB	NYJ	Mike Maccagnan	1	0	0
3.69	Josh Oliver	TE	JAX	David Caldwell	7	4	1
3.70	Darrell Henderson	RB	LAR	Les Snead	15	54	32
3.71	Dre'Mont Jones	DT	DEN	John Elway	33	56	29
3.72	Germaine Pratt	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	45	96	88
3.73	David Montgomery	RB	CHI	Ryan Pace	49	60	51
3.74	Devin Singletary	RB	BUF	Brandon Beane	39	61	56
3.75	Jace Sternberger	TE	GB	Brian Gutekunst	1	18	1
3.76	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	Bruce Allen	51	107	107	2
3.77	Chase Winovich	DE	NE	Bill Belichick	11	45	9
3.78	Michael Deiter	G	MIA	Chris Grier	16	57	23
3.79	David Long	CB	LAR	Les Snead	7	52	10
3.80	Sione Takitaki	LB	CLE	John Dorsey	19	72	36
3.81	Will Harris	S	DET	Bob Quinn	18	81	40
3.82	Nate Davis	G	TEN	Jon Robinson	27	55	54
3.83	Justin Layne	CB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	3	43	0
3.84	Khalen Saunders	DT	KC	Brett Veach	17	38	5
3.85	Jaylon Ferguson	DE	BAL	Eric DeCosta	8	38	10
3.86	Kahale Warring	TE	HOU	Bill O'Brien	0	7	0
3.87	Damien Harris	RB	NE	Bill Belichick	16	38	34
3.88	Cody Barton	LB	SEA	John Schneider	28	65	16
3.89	Bobby Okereke	LB	IND	Chris Ballard	39	64	49
3.90	Connor McGovern	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	37	45	29
3.91	Trey Pipkins	T	LAC	Tom Telesco	33	97	66
3.92	Chuma Edoga	T	NYJ	Mike Maccagnan	12	24	12
3.93	Miles Boykin	WR	BAL	Eric DeCosta	6	40	24
3.94	Jamel Dean	CB	TB	Jason Licht	27	96	77
3.95	Oshane Ximines	DE	NYG	Dave Gettleman	8	48	9
3.96	Dawson Knox	TE	BUF	Brandon Beane	25	102	83	1
3.97	Bobby Evans	T	LAR	Les Snead	7	35	12
3.98	Quincy Williams	S	JAX	David Caldwell	41	18	8
3.99	Mike Edwards	S	TB	Jason Licht	16	63	25
3.100	Will Grier	QB	CAR	Marty Hurney	1	2	2
3.101	Yodny Cajuste	T	NE	Bill Belichick	4	17	5
3.102	Alexander Mattison	RB	MIN	Rick Spielman	21	75	19
4.103	Hakeem Butler	WR	ARI	Steve Keim	0	0	0
4.104	Ryan Finley	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	8	4
4.105	C.J. Gardner-Johnson	S	NO	Mickey Loomis	27	43	31
4.106	Maxx Crosby	DE	LV	Mike Mayock	61	110	104	5
4.107	Anthony Nelson	DE	TB	Jason Licht	17	107	22
4.108	Julian Love	CB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	27	64	32
4.109	Khari Willis	S	IND	Chris Ballard	12	39	33
4.110	Mitch Wishnowsky	P	SF	John Lynch	10	92	0
4.111	Kendall Sheffield	CB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	6	38	20
4.112	Bryce Love	RB	WAS	Bruce Allen	0	0	0
4.113	Justice Hill	RB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	17	84	5
4.114	Dru Samia	G	MIN	Rick Spielman	2	15	4
4.115	Christian Miller	LB	CAR	Marty Hurney	1	7	0
4.116	Amani Hooker	S	TEN	Jon Robinson	24	96	67
4.117	Austin Bryant	DE	DET	Bob Quinn	5	33	6
4.118	Hjalte Froholdt	G	NE	Bill Belichick	24	8	0
4.119	Sheldrick Redwine	S	CLE	John Dorsey	4	27	8
4.120	Gary Jennings Jr	WR	SEA	John Schneider	0	0	0
4.121	Trevon Wesco	TE	NYJ	Mike Maccagnan	0	40	12
4.122	Benny Snell Jr.	RB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	8	63	5
4.123	Ben Powers	G	BAL	Eric DeCosta	27	47	36
4.124	Phil Haynes	G	SEA	John Schneider	6	31	13
4.125	Renell Wren	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	12	2
4.126	Riley Ridley	WR	CHI	Ryan Pace	1	10	1
4.127	Iman Marshall	CB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	3	0
4.128	Tony Pollard	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	45	79	23	1
4.129	Isaiah Johnson	CB	LV	Mike Mayock	1	19	0
4.130	Drue Tranquill	LB	LAC	Tom Telesco	32	47	27
4.131	Wes Martin	G	WAS	Bruce Allen	5	31	10
4.132	Ugo Amadi	S	SEA	John Schneider	8	47	12
4.133	Jarrett Stidham	QB	NE	Bill Belichick	6	8	0
4.134	Greg Gaines	DT	LAR	Les Snead	19	59	25
4.135	John Cominsky	DE	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	10	27	1
4.136	Michael Jordan	G	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	18	27	19
4.137	Foster Moreau	TE	LV	Mike Mayock	13	61	34
4.138	Shareef Miller	DE	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	1	0
5.139	Deionte Thompson	S	ARI	Steve Keim	4	44	6
5.140	Ryquell Armstead	RB	JAX	David Caldwell	2	18	1
5.141	Zach Gentry	TE	PIT	Kevin Colbert	2	40	26
5.142	Ben Burr-Kirven	LB	SEA	John Schneider	2	32	0
5.143	Ryan Connelly	LB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	4	4	3
5.144	Marvell Tell III	S	IND	Chris Ballard	1	13	1
5.145	Matt Gay	K	TB	Jason Licht	19	16	0
5.146	Amani Oruwariye	CB	DET	Bob Quinn	12	53	36
5.147	Vosean Joseph	LB	BUF	Brandon Beane	0	0	0
5.148	Dre Greenlaw	LB	SF	John Lynch	31	64	56
5.149	Hunter Renfrow	WR	LV	Mike Mayock	22	73	23	1
5.150	Kingsley Keke	DT	GB	Brian Gutekunst	9	41	17
5.151	Andrew Van Ginkel	LB	MIA	Chris Grier	45	73	42
5.152	Qadree Ollison	RB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	1	19	0
5.153	Ross Pierschbacher	G	WAS	Bruce Allen	0	5	0
5.154	Jordan Scarlett	RB	CAR	Marty Hurney	0	9	0
5.155	Mack Wilson	LB	CLE	John Dorsey	25	43	28
5.156	Justin Hollins	LB	DEN	John Elway	8	15	0
5.157	Blake Cashman	LB	NYJ	Mike Maccagnan	25	14	7
5.158	Michael Jackson	CB	DAL	Jerry Jones	18	0	0
5.159	Byron Cowart	DT	NE	Bill Belichick	14	19	14
5.160	Daylon Mack	DT	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	1	0
5.161	Charles Omenihu	DE	HOU	Bill O'Brien	12	35	7
5.162	Cameron Smith	LB	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	5	0
5.163	Jake Bailey	P	NE	Bill Belichick	11	58	0	1	1
5.164	E.J. Speed	LB	IND	Chris Ballard	20	92	32
5.165	Joe Jackson	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	5	0
5.166	Easton Stick	QB	LAC	Tom Telesco	4	6	4
5.167	Clayton Thorson	QB	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	0	0
5.168	D'Andre Walker	LB	TEN	Jon Robinson	0	0	0
5.169	David Edwards	T	LAR	Les Snead	36	53	45
5.170	Austin Seibert	K	CLE	John Dorsey	6	17	0
5.171	Darius Slayton	WR	NYG	Dave Gettleman	32	106	78
5.172	Jordan Miller	CB	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	1	11	0
5.173	Cole Holcomb	LB	WAS	Bruce Allen	26	50	48
6.174	KeeSean Johnson	WR	ARI	Steve Keim	4	18	5
6.175	Sutton Smith	DE	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	0	0
6.176	Kaden Smith	TE	SF	John Lynch	3	0	0
6.177	Saquan Hampton	S	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	5	0
6.178	Gardner Minshew II	QB	JAX	David Caldwell	32	23	20
6.179	Lamont Gaillard	C	ARI	Steve Keim	2	13	2
6.180	Corey Ballentine	CB	NYG	Dave Gettleman	5	22	4
6.181	Jaquan Johnson	CB	BUF	Brandon Beane	5	60	4
6.182	Trayveon Williams	RB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	4	68	0
6.183	Justin Skule	T	SF	John Lynch	16	31	12
6.184	Travis Fulgham	WR	DET	Bob Quinn	4	3	0
6.185	Ka'dar Hollman	CB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	4	18	1
6.186	Ty Johnson	RB	DET	Bob Quinn	18	18	1
6.187	Juwann Winfree	WR	DEN	John Elway	1	3	0
6.188	David Long	LB	TEN	Jon Robinson	23	50	26
6.189	Drew Forbes	T	CLE	John Dorsey	1	11	0
6.190	Armon Watts	DT	MIN	Rick Spielman	12	40	10
6.191	Marcus Epps	S	MIN	Rick Spielman	18	8	0
6.192	Isaiah Buggs	DT	PIT	Kevin Colbert	11	29	7
6.193	Oli Udoh	T	MIN	Rick Spielman	10	43	18
6.194	Dexter Williams	RB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	0	7	0
6.195	Xavier Crawford	CB	HOU	Bill O'Brien	1	4	0
6.196	Blessuan Austin	CB	NYJ	Mike Maccagnan	6	18	16
6.197	Trace McSorley	QB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	1	3	0
6.198	Tim Harris	CB	SF	John Lynch	0	2	0
6.199	Gerri Green	DE	IND	Chris Ballard	0	0	0
6.200	Emeke Egbule	LB	LAC	Tom Telesco	2	32	0
6.201	Rashad Fenton	CB	KC	Brett Veach	7	47	16
6.202	Isaiah Prince	T	MIA	Chris Grier	4	4	2
6.203	Marcus Green	WR	ATL	Thomas Dimitroff	0	0	0
6.204	Travis Homer	RB	SEA	John Schneider	8	49	2
6.205	Duke Shelley	CB	CHI	Ryan Pace	6	30	6
6.206	Kelvin Harmon	WR	WAS	Bruce Allen	3	16	8
6.207	Ulysees Gilbert	LB	PIT	Kevin Colbert	2	28	0
6.208	Scott Miller	WR	TB	Jason Licht	11	50	8
6.209	Demarcus Christmas	DT	SEA	John Schneider	0	0	0
6.210	Deshaun Davis	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
6.211	Rodney Anderson	RB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
6.212	Dennis Daley	T	CAR	Marty Hurney	14	34	21
6.213	Donovan Wilson	S	DAL	Jerry Jones	23	98	75
6.214	Darwin Thompson	RB	KC	Brett Veach	2	26	1
7.215	Terry Beckner	DT	TB	Jason Licht	0	0	0
7.216	Nick Allegretti	G	KC	Brett Veach	20	74	13
7.217	Kris Boyd	CB	MIN	Rick Spielman	6	58	6
7.218	Mike Weber	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.219	Derwin Gray	T	PIT	Kevin Colbert	0	5	0
7.220	Cullen Gillaspia	RB	HOU	Bill O'Brien	0	23	0
7.221	Donnie Lewis Jr.	CB	CLE	John Dorsey	0	0	0
7.222	Kerrith Whyte Jr	RB	CHI	Ryan Pace	1	0	0
7.223	Jordan Brown	CB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.224	Isaac Nauta	TE	DET	Bob Quinn	0	13	0
7.225	Darryl Johnson	DE	BUF	Brandon Beane	4	31	0
7.226	Ty Summers	LB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	6	46	1
7.227	Jimmy Moreland	CB	WAS	Bruce Allen	5	30	10
7.228	Tommy Sweeney	TE	BUF	Brandon Beane	1	24	4
7.229	P.J. Johnson	DE	DET	Bob Quinn	0	0	0
7.230	Quinton Bell	DE	LV	Mike Mayock	4	0	0
7.231	Alizé Mack	TE	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	0	0
7.232	George Asafo-Adjei	T	NYG	Dave Gettleman	0	0	0
7.233	Chandler Cox	RB	MIA	Chris Grier	0	21	6
7.234	Myles Gaskin	RB	MIA	Chris Grier	13	38	17
7.235	Dontavius Russell	DT	JAX	David Caldwell	0	3	0
7.236	John Ursua	WR	SEA	John Schneider	0	3	0
7.237	Terry Godwin	WR	CAR	Marty Hurney	0	0	0
7.238	Stephen Denmark	CB	CHI	Ryan Pace	0	0	0
7.239	Dillon Mitchell	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	0	0	0
7.240	Jackson Barton	T	IND	Chris Ballard	1	0	0
7.241	Jalen Jelks	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.242	Cortez Broughton	DT	LAC	Tom Telesco	1	11	0
7.243	Nick Scott	S	LAR	Les Snead	17	64	17
7.244	Kaden Elliss	LB	NO	Mickey Loomis	29	48	12
7.245	Chris Slayton	DT	NYG	Dave Gettleman	0	0	0
7.246	Javon Patterson	C	IND	Chris Ballard	0	0	0
7.247	Olabisi Johnson	WR	MIN	Rick Spielman	5	32	9
7.248	Joshua Miles	T	ARI	Steve Keim	2	17	0
7.249	Michael Dogbe	DE	ARI	Steve Keim	4	40	5
7.250	Austin Cutting	LS	MIN	Rick Spielman	2	25	0
7.251	Dakota Allen	LB	LAR	Les Snead	2	0	0
7.252	Ken Webster	CB	NE	Bill Belichick	3	0	0
7.253	Jordan Brailford	DE	WAS	Bruce Allen	1	0	0
7.254	Caleb Wilson	TE	ARI	Steve Keim	0	0	0

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.