2003 NFL Draft
Descriptive results for how the 2003 class added value over time. Class totals as of 2025: 4,731 career AV, 96 Pro Bowls, 25 AP1 All-Pros, 2 HOF.
DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED
Follow the class result into model evidence
The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.
Class value over time
Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 262 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2003 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.
Top 10 picks by career AV
Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).
| Pick | Player | Pos | Team | GM | Career AV | Team GP | Career PB | Career AP1 | HOF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | Terrell Suggs | LB | BAL | Ozzie Newsome | 110 | 229 | 7 | 1 | |
| 1.1 | Carson Palmer | QB | CIN | Mike Brown / Duke Tobin | 107 | 97 | 3 | ||
| 1.9 | Kevin Williams | DT | MIN | Mike Tice / Brzezinski | 102 | 171 | 6 | 5 | |
| 3.68 | Lance Briggs | LB | CHI | Jerry Angelo | 98 | 173 | 7 | 1 | |
| 1.16 | Troy Polamalu | DB | PIT | Kevin Colbert | 96 | 158 | 8 | 4 | ★ |
| 1.3 | Andre Johnson | WR | HOU | Charley Casserly | 94 | 169 | 7 | 2 | ★ |
| 2.54 | Anquan Boldin | WR | ARI | Rod Graves | 86 | 95 | 3 | ||
| 3.69 | Jason Witten | TE | DAL | Jerry Jones | 80 | 255 | 11 | 2 | |
| 4.120 | Asante Samuel | DB | NE | Bill Belichick | 74 | 75 | 4 | 1 | |
| 5.164 | Dan Koppen | C | NE | Bill Belichick | 72 | 121 | 1 |
Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)
A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.
| Pick | Player | Pos | Team | GM | AV | YoT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.41 | Bennie Joppru | TE | HOU | Charley Casserly | 0 | 5 |
| 2.51 | Terry Pierce | LB | DEN | Mike Shanahan | 1 | 2 |
| 2.44 | Taylor Jacobs | WR | WAS | Vinny Cerrato | 2 | 5 |
| 2.50 | Bruce Nelson | G | CAR | Marty Hurney | 2 | 1 |
| 2.59 | Alonzo Jackson | LB | PIT | Kevin Colbert | 2 | 3 |
| 2.63 | Teyo Johnson | TE | LV | Al Davis era | 2 | 3 |
| 1.15 | Jerome McDougle | DE | PHI | Andy Reid | 3 | 6 |
| 2.49 | Eddie Moore | LB | MIA | Rick Spielman | 3 | 3 |
| 1.2 | Charles Rogers | WR | DET | Matt Millen | 4 | 3 |
| 2.60 | Tyrone Calico | WR | TEN | Floyd Reese | 5 | 3 |
All picks (262) · sortable below
Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.
How to read this
- "Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
- Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
- Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
- "On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
- Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.