All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Kevin Curtis across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 81
Games started 36
Weighted career AV 25
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 8
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 51
Team starts 11
On-team AV 14
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Bad -0.53 contribution 38th of 53 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Kevin Curtis was Charley Armey's 38th-best of 53 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.53 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Charley Armey's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
51
on drafting team · 81 full-career
Games started
11
on drafting team · 36 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
14
modeled; full weighted AV 25
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Charley Armey's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Charley Armey pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Kevin Curtis totals -0.53 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 24. Jackson #24 · Steven Jackson · aggregate +2.68 Jackson +2.7 66. Atogwe #66 · O.J. Atogwe · aggregate +2.03 Atogwe +2.0 42. Polley #42 · Tommy Polley · aggregate +1.23 43. Tinoisamoa #43 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · aggregate +1.18 19. Barron #19 · Alex Barron · aggregate +0.98 145. Butler #145 · Jerametrius Butler · aggregate +0.96 50. Bartell #50 · Ron Bartell · aggregate +0.92 20. Archuleta #20 · Adam Archuleta · aggregate +0.80 130. Chillar #130 · Brandon Chillar · aggregate +0.77 107. Groce #107 · DeJuan Groce · aggregate +0.72 64. Fisher #64 · Travis Fisher · aggregate +0.38 205. Bellisari #205 · Steve Bellisari · aggregate +0.30 243. Massey #243 · Chris Massey · aggregate +0.29 251. Hedgecock #251 · Madison Hedgecock · aggregate +0.29 201. Smoker #201 · Jeff Smoker · aggregate +0.27 172. Garrett #172 · Kevin Garrett · aggregate +0.21 139. Young #139 · Brian Young · aggregate +0.17 117. Carter #117 · Jerome Carter · aggregate +0.13 237. Jensen #237 · Erik Jensen · aggregate +0.12 134. Terrell #134 · Claude Terrell · aggregate +0.08 238. Turner #238 · Larry Turner · aggregate +0.06 84. Gordon #84 · Lamar Gordon · aggregate +0.02 167. Bullard #167 · Courtland Bullard · aggregate -0.04 254. Angulo #254 · Richard Angulo · aggregate -0.11 197. Paul #197 · Francis St. Paul · aggregate -0.11 106. McDonald #106 · Shaun McDonald · aggregate -0.13 170. Walton #170 · Shane Walton · aggregate -0.13 184. Tercero #184 · Scott Tercero · aggregate -0.13 144. Collins #144 · Jerome Collins · aggregate -0.15 192. Ridgeway #192 · Dante Ridgeway · aggregate -0.18 158. Shivers #158 · Jason Shivers · aggregate -0.24 220. Kline #220 · Andrew Kline · aggregate -0.25 129. Manumaleuna #129 · Brandon Manumaleuna · aggregate -0.28 148. Curley #148 · Dan Curley · aggregate -0.30 116. Wynn #116 · Milton Wynn · aggregate -0.43 62. Shepherd #62 · Jacoby Shepherd · aggregate -0.45 198. Bowen #198 · Matt Bowen · aggregate -0.51 74. Curtis #74 · Kevin Curtis · aggregate -0.53 Curtis -0.5 31. Canidate #31 · Trung Canidate · aggregate -0.55 95. Crouch #95 · Eric Crouch · aggregate -0.57 130. Scott #130 · Travis Scott · aggregate -0.57 104. Noa #104 · Kaulana Noa · aggregate -0.69 31. Thomas #31 · Robert Thomas · aggregate -0.70 91. Hargrove #91 · Anthony Hargrove · aggregate -0.72 210. Hodges #210 · Reggie Hodges · aggregate -0.73 83. Allen #83 · Brian Allen · aggregate -0.77 12. Kennedy #12 · Jimmy Kennedy · aggregate -1.95 251. Shanle #251 · Scott Shanle · aggregate -2.10 Shanle -2.1 12. Lewis #12 · Damione Lewis · aggregate -2.18 Lewis -2.2 94. Clair #94 · John St. Clair · aggregate -2.38 Clair -2.4 29. Pickett #29 · Ryan Pickett · aggregate -3.25 Pickett -3.3 250. Fitzpatrick #250 · Ryan Fitzpatrick · aggregate -5.11 Fitzpatrick -5.1 81. Incognito #81 · Richie Incognito · aggregate -5.39 Incognito -5.4 Incremental contribution by season -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 2000 · Brian Young · incremental -0.05 2000 · Trung Canidate · incremental -0.09 2000 · Andrew Kline · incremental -0.45 2000 · John St. Clair · incremental -0.51 2000 · Jacoby Shepherd · incremental -0.66 2000 · Matt Bowen · incremental -0.80 2000 · Kaulana Noa · incremental -1.15 2001 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.02 2001 · Brian Young · incremental +0.13 2001 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.16 2001 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.41 2001 · Matt Bowen · incremental -0.02 2001 · Jacoby Shepherd · incremental -0.04 2001 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental -0.17 2001 · Francis St. Paul · incremental -0.25 2001 · Trung Canidate · incremental -0.58 2001 · Milton Wynn · incremental -0.75 2001 · Damione Lewis · incremental -1.19 2001 · Brian Allen · incremental -1.25 2001 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -2.37 2002 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental +0.06 2002 · Brian Young · incremental +0.07 2002 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.13 2002 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.36 2002 · Steve Bellisari · incremental +0.42 2002 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.43 2002 · Travis Fisher · incremental -0.02 2002 · Lamar Gordon · incremental -0.03 2002 · Courtland Bullard · incremental -0.08 2002 · Trung Canidate · incremental -0.15 2002 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.35 2002 · Robert Thomas · incremental -0.54 2002 · Chris Massey · incremental -0.73 2002 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.77 2002 · Eric Crouch · incremental -0.95 2002 · Travis Scott · incremental -0.97 2002 · John St. Clair · incremental -2.43 2003 · Courtland Bullard · incremental +0.01 2003 · Lamar Gordon · incremental +0.02 2003 · Brian Young · incremental +0.11 2003 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.11 2003 · Kevin Garrett · incremental +0.12 2003 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.22 2003 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.23 2003 · DeJuan Groce · incremental +0.24 2003 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.30 2003 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.55 2003 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.56 2003 · Scott Tercero · incremental -0.02 2003 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental -0.09 2003 · Shaun McDonald · incremental -0.18 2003 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.25 2003 · Robert Thomas · incremental -0.26 2003 · Shane Walton · incremental -0.30 2003 · Richard Angulo · incremental -0.36 2003 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.50 2003 · Dan Curley · incremental -0.54 2003 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.66 2003 · John St. Clair · incremental -0.76 2003 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -0.84 2003 · Scott Shanle · incremental -3.24 2004 · Larry Turner · incremental +0.05 2004 · Shaun McDonald · incremental +0.10 2004 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental +0.11 2004 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.15 2004 · Kevin Garrett · incremental +0.16 2004 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.19 2004 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.22 2004 · DeJuan Groce · incremental +0.27 2004 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.33 2004 · Jeff Smoker · incremental +0.36 2004 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.42 2004 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.47 2004 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.57 2004 · Erik Jensen · incremental -0.02 2004 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.03 2004 · Scott Tercero · incremental -0.25 2004 · Robert Thomas · incremental -0.26 2004 · Anthony Hargrove · incremental -0.33 2004 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -0.37 2004 · Jason Shivers · incremental -0.49 2004 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.70 2004 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.75 2004 · Steven Jackson · incremental -0.97 2005 · Jerome Carter · incremental +0.04 2005 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.04 2005 · Larry Turner · incremental +0.07 2005 · Claude Terrell · incremental +0.07 2005 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental +0.08 2005 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.11 2005 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.11 2005 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.22 2005 · Madison Hedgecock · incremental +0.24 2005 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.29 2005 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.30 2005 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.42 2005 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.42 2005 · DeJuan Groce · incremental +0.61 2005 · Ron Bartell · incremental -0.08 2005 · Shaun McDonald · incremental -0.21 2005 · Dante Ridgeway · incremental -0.36 2005 · Jerome Collins · incremental -0.45 2005 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.50 2005 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.52 2005 · Anthony Hargrove · incremental -0.60 2005 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -0.68 2005 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.70 2005 · Reggie Hodges · incremental -1.28 2005 · Richie Incognito · incremental -2.83 2005 · Ryan Fitzpatrick · incremental -7.12 2006 · Larry Turner · incremental +0.01 2006 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.10 2006 · Shaun McDonald · incremental +0.12 2006 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.13 2006 · Jerome Carter · incremental +0.14 2006 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.18 2006 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2006 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.29 2006 · Madison Hedgecock · incremental +0.39 2006 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.41 2006 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.42 2006 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.64 2006 · Steven Jackson · incremental +1.14 2006 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.11 2006 · Anthony Hargrove · incremental -0.12 2006 · Ryan Fitzpatrick · incremental -0.52 2006 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -1.03 2006 · Richie Incognito · incremental -2.39 2007 · Madison Hedgecock · incremental +0.01 2007 · Claude Terrell · incremental +0.02 2007 · Jerome Carter · incremental +0.03 2007 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2007 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.25 2007 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.34 2007 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.35 2007 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.40 2007 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.43 2007 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.66 2007 · Richie Incognito · incremental -0.46 2008 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2008 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.34 2008 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.38 2008 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.39 2008 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.42 2008 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.66 2008 · Richie Incognito · incremental -1.90 2009 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.09 2009 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.37 2009 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.38 2009 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.49 2009 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.91 2009 · Richie Incognito · incremental -1.00 2010 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2010 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.35 2010 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.67 2010 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.96 2011 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.02 2011 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.36 2012 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.40 Pickett -2.4 Clair -2.4 Curtis -0.2 Shanle -3.2 Curtis -0.0 Curtis -0.5 Incognito -2.8 Fitzpatrick -7.1 Curtis -0.1 Incognito -2.4 Incognito -1.9 2000 7 players 2001 13 players 2002 17 players 2003 24 players 2004 23 players 2005 26 players 2006 18 players 2007 11 players 2008 7 players 2009 6 players 2010 4 players 2011 2 players 2012 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Kevin Curtis GM total -17.0 Kevin Curtis by season -0.9
How much retained production did Kevin Curtis return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Kevin Curtis since 2010 (26 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 +1 +1.5 Model value above slot 69. Kupp Cooper Kupp · model value +1.6 76. Allen Keenan Allen · model value +1.6 76. McLaurin Terry McLaurin · model value +1.3 69. Lockett Tyler Lockett · model value +1.3 69. Dell Tank Dell · model value +0.9 79. Downs Josh Downs · model value +0.8 74. Williams Terrance Williams · model value +0.7 77. Palmer Josh Palmer · model value +0.3 77. Williams Damian Williams · model value +0.2 72. Taylor Taywan Taylor · model value +0.1 78. Pettis Austin Pettis · model value +0.1 79. Hankerson Leonard Hankerson · model value +0.1 79. Wheaton Markus Wheaton · model value +0.1 74. Bryant Pat Bryant · model value -0.1 78. LaFell Brandon LaFell · model value -0.1 79. Noel Jaylin Noel · model value -0.1 69. Williams Kyle Williams · model value -0.1 74. Curtis Kevin Curtis · model value -0.2 -0.2 71. Jr. Velus Jones Jr. · model value -0.3 79. Stewart ArDarius Stewart · model value -0.4 70. TeSlaa Isaac TeSlaa · model value -0.4 74. Tillman Cedric Tillman · model value -0.5 70. Strong Jaelen Strong · model value -0.5 73. Hyatt Jalin Hyatt · model value -0.6 69. Graham T.J. Graham · model value -0.6 76. Conley Chris Conley · model value -0.9 78. Goodwin Marquise Goodwin · model value -1.2 Kevin Curtis Slot-similar peers (26)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'04 '06 '08 '10 0 9 18 27 36 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (8 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.