2025 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Joe Schoen

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 257 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 2025 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

2025 class highlighted · 45 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB
1.25	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	Joe Schoen	11	14
1.8	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	Dan Morgan	9	17
1.14	Tyler Warren	TE	IND	Chris Ballard	9	17	1
1.19	Emeka Egbuka	WR	TB	Jason Licht	9	17
1.4	Will Campbell	OT	NE	Eliot Wolf	8	13
1.5	Mason Graham	DT	CLE	Andrew Berry	8	17
1.29	Josh Conerly	OL	WAS	Adam Peters	8	17
2.33	Carson Schwesinger	LB	CLE	Andrew Berry	8	16
2.38	TreVeyon Henderson	RB	NE	Eliot Wolf	8	17
4.109	Deone Walker	DT	BUF	Brandon Beane	8	17

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.62	Shemar Turner	DE	CHI	Ryan Poles	0	1
1.16	Walter Nolen	DT	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	1	1
2.45	JT Tuimoloau	DE	IND	Chris Ballard	1	1
2.52	Oluwafemi Oladejo	DE	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	1	1
2.63	Omarr Norman-Lott	DT	KC	Brett Veach	1	1
1.17	Shemar Stewart	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	1
1.30	Maxwell Hairston	CB	BUF	Brandon Beane	2	1
2.41	T.J. Sanders	DT	BUF	Brandon Beane	2	1
2.43	Alfred Collins	DT	SF	John Lynch	2	1
2.46	Terrance Ferguson	TE	LAR	Les Snead	2	1

All picks (257) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1
1.1	Cam Ward	QB	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	7	17	17
1.2	Travis Hunter	WR	JAX	James Gladstone	5	7	4
1.3	Abdul Carter	DE	NYG	Joe Schoen	4	17	6
1.4	Will Campbell	OT	NE	Eliot Wolf	8	13	13
1.5	Mason Graham	DT	CLE	Andrew Berry	8	17	17
1.6	Ashton Jeanty	RB	LV	John Spytek	7	17	17
1.7	Armand Membou	OL	NYJ	Darren Mougey	7	17	17
1.8	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	Dan Morgan	9	17	17
1.9	Kelvin Banks	OL	NO	Mickey Loomis	6	17	17
1.10	Colston Loveland	TE	CHI	Ryan Poles	7	16	11
1.11	Mykel Williams	DL	SF	John Lynch	4	9	9
1.12	Tyler Booker	OL	DAL	Jerry Jones	6	14	14
1.13	Kenneth Grant	DT	MIA	Chris Grier	3	17	5
1.14	Tyler Warren	TE	IND	Chris Ballard	9	17	12	1
1.15	Jalon Walker	DE	ATL	Terry Fontenot	5	15	9
1.16	Walter Nolen	DT	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	1	6	0
1.17	Shemar Stewart	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	8	5
1.18	Grey Zabel	OT	SEA	John Schneider	7	17	17
1.19	Emeka Egbuka	WR	TB	Jason Licht	9	17	13
1.20	Jahdae Barron	CB	DEN	George Paton	3	17	5
1.21	Derrick Harmon	DT	PIT	Omar Khan	4	12	8
1.22	Omarion Hampton	RB	LAC	Joe Hortiz	5	9	6
1.23	Matthew Golden	WR	GB	Brian Gutekunst	4	14	5
1.24	Donovan Jackson	OL	MIN	Kwesi Adofo-Mensah	5	14	14
1.25	Jaxson Dart	QB	NYG	Joe Schoen	11	14	12
1.26	James Pearce	DE	ATL	Terry Fontenot	3	17	3
1.27	Malaki Starks	SAF	BAL	Eric DeCosta	5	17	15
1.28	Tyleik Williams	DT	DET	Brad Holmes	4	17	10
1.29	Josh Conerly	OL	WAS	Adam Peters	8	17	17
1.30	Maxwell Hairston	CB	BUF	Brandon Beane	2	11	3
1.31	Jihaad Campbell	LB	PHI	Howie Roseman	6	17	10
1.32	Josh Simmons	OL	KC	Brett Veach	4	8	8
2.33	Carson Schwesinger	LB	CLE	Andrew Berry	8	16	16
2.34	Jayden Higgins	WR	HOU	Nick Caserio	4	17	10
2.35	Nick Emmanwori	SAF	SEA	John Schneider	4	14	11
2.36	Quinshon Judkins	RB	CLE	Andrew Berry	4	14	14
2.37	Jonah Savaiinaea	OL	MIA	Chris Grier	6	17	17
2.38	TreVeyon Henderson	RB	NE	Eliot Wolf	8	17	4
2.39	Luther Burden	WR	CHI	Ryan Poles	6	15	5
2.40	Tyler Shough	QB	NO	Mickey Loomis	7	11	9
2.41	T.J. Sanders	DT	BUF	Brandon Beane	2	12	2
2.42	Mason Taylor	TE	NYJ	Darren Mougey	3	13	11
2.43	Alfred Collins	DT	SF	John Lynch	2	16	1
2.44	Donovan Ezeiruaku	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	3	17	9
2.45	JT Tuimoloau	DE	IND	Chris Ballard	1	13	0
2.46	Terrance Ferguson	TE	LAR	Les Snead	2	14	3
2.47	Will Johnson	CB	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	3	12	10
2.48	Aireontae Ersery	OL	HOU	Nick Caserio	7	16	16
2.49	Demetrius Knight	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	6	17	14
2.50	Elijah Arroyo	TE	SEA	John Schneider	2	13	4
2.51	Nic Scourton	DE	CAR	Dan Morgan	4	17	8
2.52	Oluwafemi Oladejo	DE	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	1	6	2
2.53	Benjamin Morrison	CB	TB	Jason Licht	2	10	3
2.54	Anthony Belton	OT	GB	Brian Gutekunst	5	14	7
2.55	Tre Harris	WR	LAC	Joe Hortiz	3	17	10
2.56	Ozzy Trapilo	OL	CHI	Ryan Poles	3	14	6
2.57	Tate Ratledge	OL	DET	Brad Holmes	7	17	17
2.58	Jack Bech	WR	LV	John Spytek	2	16	5
2.59	Mike Green	DE	BAL	Eric DeCosta	2	17	2
2.60	RJ Harvey	RB	DEN	George Paton	6	17	7
2.61	Trey Amos	CB	WAS	Adam Peters	2	10	8
2.62	Shemar Turner	DE	CHI	Ryan Poles	0	5	0
2.63	Omarr Norman-Lott	DT	KC	Brett Veach	1	5	1
2.64	Andrew Mukuba	SAF	PHI	Howie Roseman	3	11	10
3.65	Darius Alexander	DT	NYG	Joe Schoen	2	16	2
3.66	Ashton Gillotte	DE	KC	Brett Veach	3	17	2
3.67	Harold Fannin	TE	CLE	Andrew Berry	5	16	13
3.68	Darien Porter	CB	LV	John Spytek	4	17	10
3.69	Kyle Williams	WR	NE	Eliot Wolf	2	17	0
3.70	Isaac TeSlaa	WR	DET	Brad Holmes	2	17	3
3.71	Vernon Broughton	DT	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	1	0
3.72	Landon Jackson	DE	BUF	Brandon Beane	0	3	0
3.73	Azareye'h Thomas	CB	NYJ	Darren Mougey	2	12	5
3.74	Pat Bryant	WR	DEN	George Paton	3	15	7
3.75	Nick Martin	LB	SF	John Lynch	1	7	0
3.76	Shavon Revel	CB	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	7	5
3.77	Princely Umanmielen	DE	CAR	Dan Morgan	2	16	0
3.78	Jordan Burch	DE	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	1	17	0
3.79	Jaylin Noel	WR	HOU	Nick Caserio	2	17	3
3.80	Justin Walley	CB	IND	Chris Ballard	0	0	0
3.81	Dylan Fairchild	OL	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	6	15	15
3.82	Kevin Winston	SAF	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	2	10	6
3.83	Kaleb Johnson	RB	PIT	Omar Khan	1	10	0
3.84	Jacob Parrish	CB	TB	Jason Licht	3	17	5
3.85	Nohl Williams	CB	KC	Brett Veach	3	17	5
3.86	Jamaree Caldwell	DT	LAC	Joe Hortiz	3	17	5
3.87	Savion Williams	WR	GB	Brian Gutekunst	1	12	0
3.88	Caleb Ransaw	SAF	JAX	James Gladstone	0	0	0
3.89	Wyatt Milum	OL	JAX	James Gladstone	1	10	0
3.90	Josaiah Stewart	DE	LAR	Les Snead	2	17	0
3.91	Emery Jones	OL	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	5	0
3.92	Jalen Milroe	QB	SEA	John Schneider	0	3	0
3.93	Jonas Sanker	SAF	NO	Mickey Loomis	7	17	16
3.94	Dillon Gabriel	QB	CLE	Andrew Berry	0	10	6
3.95	Jared Wilson	OL	NE	Eliot Wolf	7	13	13
3.96	Xavier Watts	SAF	ATL	Terry Fontenot	7	17	17
3.97	Jaylin Smith	CB	HOU	Nick Caserio	0	4	0
3.98	Caleb Rogers	OL	LV	John Spytek	2	6	6
3.99	Charles Grant	OL	LV	John Spytek	1	9	1
3.100	Upton Stout	CB	SF	John Lynch	2	16	4
3.101	Sai'vion Jones	DE	DEN	George Paton	1	3	0
3.102	Tai Felton	WR	MIN	Kwesi Adofo-Mensah	0	17	0
4.103	Chimere Dike	WR	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	5	17	10	1	1
4.104	Bhayshul Tuten	RB	JAX	James Gladstone	3	15	0
4.105	Cam Skattebo	RB	NYG	Joe Schoen	5	8	5
4.106	Craig Woodson	SAF	NE	Eliot Wolf	6	17	15
4.107	Jack Kiser	LB	JAX	James Gladstone	1	14	0
4.108	Dont'e Thornton	WR	LV	John Spytek	1	15	8
4.109	Deone Walker	DT	BUF	Brandon Beane	8	17	16
4.110	Arian Smith	WR	NYJ	Darren Mougey	1	16	5
4.111	Ty Robinson	DT	PHI	Howie Roseman	1	11	0
4.112	Danny Stutsman	LB	NO	Mickey Loomis	1	17	0
4.113	CJ West	DT	SF	John Lynch	1	14	0
4.114	Trevor Etienne	RB	CAR	Dan Morgan	1	17	0
4.115	Cody Simon	LB	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	3	16	9
4.116	Woody Marks	RB	HOU	Nick Caserio	6	16	8
4.117	Jarquez Hunter	RB	LAR	Les Snead	0	5	0
4.118	Billy Bowman	SAF	ATL	Terry Fontenot	1	6	1
4.119	Barrett Carter	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	5	17	12
4.120	Gunnar Helm	TE	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	3	16	10
4.121	David Walker	OLB	TB	Jason Licht	0	0	0
4.122	Lathan Ransom	SAF	CAR	Dan Morgan	3	16	6
4.123	Jack Sawyer	DE	PIT	Omar Khan	2	17	1
4.124	Barryn Sorrell	DE	GB	Brian Gutekunst	2	14	1
4.125	Kyle Kennard	DE	LAC	Joe Hortiz	0	5	0
4.126	Dylan Sampson	RB	CLE	Andrew Berry	3	15	2
4.127	Jalen Travis	OT	IND	Chris Ballard	3	17	4
4.128	Jaylin Lane	WR	WAS	Adam Peters	4	15	4
4.129	Teddye Buchanan	LB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	5	14	13
4.130	Malachi Moore	SAF	NYJ	Darren Mougey	4	17	14
4.131	Quincy Riley	CB	NO	Mickey Loomis	3	17	5
4.132	Ruben Hyppolite	LB	CHI	Ryan Poles	1	7	1
4.133	Jalen Royals	WR	KC	Brett Veach	0	7	2
4.134	Quandarrius Robinson	LB	DEN	George Paton	1	6	0
4.135	Tonka Hemingway	DT	LV	John Spytek	1	9	0
4.136	Elic Ayomanor	WR	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	4	16	14
4.137	Joshua Farmer	DT	NE	Eliot Wolf	3	13	3
4.138	Jordan Watkins	WR	SF	John Lynch	0	4	0
5.139	Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins	DE	MIN	Kwesi Adofo-Mensah	2	14	1
5.140	Cam Jackson	DT	CAR	Dan Morgan	1	9	0
5.141	Carson Vinson	OT	BAL	Eric DeCosta	1	7	0
5.142	Rylie Mills	DL	SEA	John Schneider	0	4	0
5.143	Jordan Phillips	DL	MIA	Chris Grier	6	17	16
5.144	Shedeur Sanders	QB	CLE	Andrew Berry	2	8	7	1
5.145	Mac McWilliams	CB	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	5	0
5.146	Bradyn Swinson	DE	NE	Eliot Wolf	0	3	0
5.147	Jordan James	RB	SF	John Lynch	0	3	0
5.148	Ty Hamilton	DT	LAR	Les Snead	1	14	0
5.149	Jaydon Blue	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	5	0
5.150	Jason Marshall	CB	MIA	Chris Grier	1	12	1
5.151	DJ Giddens	RB	IND	Chris Ballard	1	9	0
5.152	Shemar James	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	2	14	6
5.153	Jalen Rivers	OL	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	3	16	7
5.154	Marcus Mbow	OL	NYG	Joe Schoen	2	13	3
5.155	Dante Trader	SAF	MIA	Chris Grier	2	17	3
5.156	Jeffrey Bassa	LB	KC	Brett Veach	1	17	0
5.157	Elijah Roberts	DT	TB	Jason Licht	5	17	9
5.158	KeAndre Lambert-Smith	WR	LAC	Joe Hortiz	0	10	2
5.159	Collin Oliver	DE	GB	Brian Gutekunst	0	1	0
5.160	Marques Sigle	SAF	SF	John Lynch	3	15	7
5.161	Smael Mondon	LB	PHI	Howie Roseman	1	17	0
5.162	Francisco Mauigoa	LB	NYJ	Darren Mougey	3	12	8
5.163	Mitchell Evans	TE	CAR	Dan Morgan	2	17	10
5.164	Yahya Black	DT	PIT	Omar Khan	2	17	3
5.165	Oronde Gadsden II	TE	LAC	Joe Hortiz	6	15	7
5.166	Tory Horton	WR	SEA	John Schneider	2	8	3
5.167	Jackson Slater	OL	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	1	12	0
5.168	Drew Kendall	C	PHI	Howie Roseman	1	7	1
5.169	Zah Frazier	CB	CHI	Ryan Poles	0	0	0
5.170	Jordan Hancock	SAF	BUF	Brandon Beane	1	13	0
5.171	Miles Frazier	G	DET	Brad Holmes	0	5	0
5.172	Chris Paul	LB	LAR	Les Snead	0	0	0
5.173	Jackson Hawes	TE	BUF	Brandon Beane	2	17	8
5.174	Denzel Burke	CB	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	3	17	8
5.175	Robbie Ouzts	TE	SEA	John Schneider	0	12	2
5.176	Tyler Baron	DE	NYJ	Darren Mougey	0	6	0
6.177	Dorian Strong	CB	BUF	Brandon Beane	1	4	1
6.178	Bilhal Kone	CB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	0	0
6.179	Ollie Gordon	RB	MIA	Chris Grier	2	17	1
6.180	JJ Pegues	DT	LV	John Spytek	1	9	0
6.181	Kyle McCord	QB	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	0	0
6.182	Andres Borregales	K	NE	Eliot Wolf	2	17	0
6.183	Marcus Harris	DB	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	2	14	5
6.184	Devin Neal	RB	NO	Mickey Loomis	2	10	3
6.185	Will Howard	QB	PIT	Omar Khan	0	0	0
6.186	Tyler Loop	K	BAL	Eric DeCosta	3	17	0
6.187	Jaylen Reed	SAF	HOU	Nick Caserio	1	7	1
6.188	Kalel Mullings	RB	TEN	Mike Borgonzi	0	9	0
6.189	Riley Leonard	QB	IND	Chris Ballard	2	5	1
6.190	Tim Smith	DL	IND	Chris Ballard	0	0	0
6.191	Myles Hinton	OT	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	0	0
6.192	Bryce Cabeldue	OT	SEA	John Schneider	1	8	0
6.193	Tahj Brooks	RB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	16	0
6.194	Jalen McLeod	DE	JAX	James Gladstone	0	0	0
6.195	Luke Newman	G	CHI	Ryan Poles	1	9	0
6.196	Ahmed Hassanein	DE	DET	Brad Holmes	0	0	0
6.197	Graham Mertz	QB	HOU	Nick Caserio	0	0	0
6.198	Warren Brinson	DL	GB	Brian Gutekunst	1	11	1
6.199	Branson Taylor	OL	LAC	Joe Hortiz	0	1	1
6.200	Rayuan Lane	FS	JAX	James Gladstone	1	17	0
6.201	Kobe King	LB	MIN	Kwesi Adofo-Mensah	1	5	0
6.202	Gavin Bartholomew	TE	MIN	Kwesi Adofo-Mensah	0	0	0
6.203	LaJohntay Wester	WR	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	17	0
6.204	Ajani Cornelius	OL	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	1	0
6.205	Kain Medrano	LB	WAS	Adam Peters	1	9	0
6.206	Chase Lundt	OL	BUF	Brandon Beane	0	2	0
6.207	Cameron Williams	OL	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	1	0
6.208	Jimmy Horn	WR	CAR	Dan Morgan	1	13	0
6.209	Antwaun Powell-Ryland	DE	PHI	Howie Roseman	0	0	0
6.210	Aeneas Peebles	DT	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	6	0
6.211	Hayden Conner	OL	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	0	5	0
6.212	Robert Longerbeam	DB	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	0	0
6.213	Tommy Mellott	QB	LV	John Spytek	0	0	0
6.214	R.J. Mickens	SAF	LAC	Joe Hortiz	3	12	6
6.215	Cam Miller	QB	LV	John Spytek	0	0	0
6.216	Jeremy Crawshaw	P	DEN	George Paton	3	17	0
7.217	Jay Toia	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	5	0
7.218	Jack Nelson	OT	ATL	Terry Fontenot	1	10	0
7.219	Thomas Fidone	TE	NYG	Joe Schoen	0	7	0
7.220	Marcus Bryant	OL	NE	Eliot Wolf	1	12	0
7.221	Jonah Monheim	OL	JAX	James Gladstone	2	17	2
7.222	Cody Lindenberg	LB	LV	John Spytek	1	17	0
7.223	Damien Martinez	RB	SEA	John Schneider	0	0	0
7.224	Kyonte Hamilton	DL	HOU	Nick Caserio	0	0	0
7.225	Kitan Crawford	SAF	ARI	Monti Ossenfort	1	15	1
7.226	Carson Bruener	LB	PIT	Omar Khan	1	17	0
7.227	Kurtis Rourke	QB	SF	John Lynch	0	0	0
7.228	Brashard Smith	RB	KC	Brett Veach	3	17	1
7.229	Donte Kent	CB	PIT	Omar Khan	0	0	0
7.230	Dan Jackson	SAF	DET	Brad Holmes	0	0	0
7.231	Quinn Ewers	QB	MIA	Chris Grier	2	4	3
7.232	Hunter Wohler	SAF	IND	Chris Ballard	0	0	0
7.233	Kyle Monangai	RB	CHI	Ryan Poles	6	17	1
7.234	Mason Richman	OL	SEA	John Schneider	0	2	0
7.235	Tez Johnson	WR	TB	Jason Licht	3	16	8
7.236	LeQuint Allen	RB	JAX	James Gladstone	1	17	1
7.237	Micah Robinson	CB	GB	Brian Gutekunst	1	0	0
7.238	Ricky White	WR	SEA	John Schneider	0	2	0
7.239	Phil Mafah	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	1	0
7.240	Kaden Prather	WR	BUF	Brandon Beane	0	0	0
7.241	Caleb Lohner	TE	DEN	George Paton	0	0	0
7.242	Konata Mumpfield	WR	LAR	Les Snead	1	17	0
7.243	Garrett Dellinger	G	BAL	Eric DeCosta	0	0	0
7.244	Dominic Lovett	WR	DET	Brad Holmes	0	12	0
7.245	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB	WAS	Adam Peters	6	17	7
7.246	Korie Black	CB	NYG	Joe Schoen	1	9	2
7.247	Tommy Akingbesote	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
7.248	Moliki Matavao	TE	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	6	2
7.249	Connor Colby	OL	SF	John Lynch	3	13	6
7.250	John Williams	OL	GB	Brian Gutekunst	0	0	0
7.251	Julian Ashby	LS	NE	Eliot Wolf	1	17	0
7.252	Junior Bergen	WR	SF	John Lynch	0	0	0
7.253	Zeek Biggers	DL	MIA	Chris Grier	1	9	0
7.254	Fadil Diggs	DE	NO	Mickey Loomis	0	5	0
7.255	Luke Lachey	TE	HOU	Nick Caserio	0	0	0
7.256	Trikweze Bridges	SAF	LAC	Joe Hortiz	1	0	0
7.257	Kobee Minor	DB	NE	Eliot Wolf	0	4	0

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.