1999 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Charley Casserly

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 253 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 1999 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

1999 class highlighted · 19 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1	HOF
1.7	Champ Bailey	DB	WAS	Charley Casserly	117	80	12	3	★
1.4	Edgerrin James	RB	IND	Bill Polian	113	96	4	1	★
1.2	Donovan McNabb	QB	PHI	Tom Modrak	107	148	6
1.6	Torry Holt	WR	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	99	158	7	1
3.73	Joey Porter	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	90	122	4	1
1.11	Daunte Culpepper	QB	MIN	Frank Gilliam	86	81	3
1.5	Ricky Williams	RB	NO	Mike Ditka	77	38	1	1
7.213	Donald Driver	WR	GB	Ron Wolf	76	205	4
2.36	Mike Peterson	LB	IND	Bill Polian	73	57
7.237	Todd McClure	C	ATL	Harold Richardson	72	198

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.33	Charles Fisher	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	1
1.24	Reggie McGrew	DT	SF	Bill Walsh	1	4
1.29	Dimitrius Underwood	DT	MIN	Frank Gilliam	1	3
1.3	Akili Smith	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	4
2.47	Fred Vinson	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	2	1
2.49	Joe Montgomery	RB	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	2	4
2.51	Johnny Rutledge	LB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	2	5
2.59	Scott Shields	DB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	5	2
2.60	Jermaine Fazande	RB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	5	2
2.45	Rahim Abdullah	LB	CLE	Dwight Clark	6	2

All picks (253) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1	HOF
1.1	Tim Couch	QB	CLE	Dwight Clark	30	62	59
1.2	Donovan McNabb	QB	PHI	Tom Modrak	107	148	142	6
1.3	Akili Smith	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	2	22	17
1.4	Edgerrin James	RB	IND	Bill Polian	113	96	96	4	1	★
1.5	Ricky Williams	RB	NO	Mike Ditka	77	38	38
1.6	Torry Holt	WR	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	99	158	146	7	1
1.7	Champ Bailey	DB	WAS	Charley Casserly	117	80	80	4		★
1.8	David Boston	WR	ARI	Bob Ferguson	38	56	47	1	1
1.9	Chris Claiborne	LB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	34	63	58
1.10	Chris McAlister	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	70	135	127	3	1
1.11	Daunte Culpepper	QB	MIN	Frank Gilliam	86	81	80	3
1.12	Cade McNown	QB	CHI	Mark Hatley	8	25	15
1.13	Troy Edwards	WR	PIT	Tom Donahoe	19	46	7
1.14	John Tait	T	KC	Carl Peterson	51	75	66
1.15	Anthony McFarland	DT	TB	Rich McKay	43	98	84
1.16	Jevon Kearse	DE	TEN	Floyd Reese	68	88	83	3	1
1.17	Damien Woody	C	NE	Bobby Grier	59	78	76	1
1.18	Matt Stinchcomb	G	LV	Al Davis era	21	49	20
1.19	Luke Petitgout	T	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	44	113	106
1.20	Ebenezer Ekuban	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	37	60	34
1.21	L.J. Shelton	T	ARI	Bob Ferguson	43	82	77
1.22	Lamar King	DE	SEA	Randy Mueller	16	57	37
1.23	Antoine Winfield	DB	BUF	John Butler	62	72	58
1.24	Reggie McGrew	DT	SF	Bill Walsh	1	22	0
1.25	Antuan Edwards	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	15	53	18
1.26	Fernando Bryant	DB	JAX	Tom Coughlin	38	72	71
1.27	Aaron Gibson	T	DET	Chuck Schmidt	14	10	10
1.28	Andy Katzenmoyer	LB	NE	Bobby Grier	8	24	14
1.29	Dimitrius Underwood	DT	MIN	Frank Gilliam	1	0	0
1.30	Patrick Kerney	DE	ATL	Harold Richardson	67	121	106	1
1.31	Al Wilson	LB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	67	125	119	5	1
2.32	Kevin Johnson	WR	CLE	Dwight Clark	33	73	71
2.33	Charles Fisher	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	1	1
2.34	Chris Terry	T	CAR	Dom Anile	36	57	57
2.35	Barry Gardner	LB	PHI	Tom Modrak	18	64	18
2.36	Mike Peterson	LB	IND	Bill Polian	73	57	54
2.37	Jon Jansen	T	WAS	Charley Casserly	55	126	123
2.38	Mike Rucker	DE	CAR	Dom Anile	54	139	106	1
2.39	J.J. Johnson	RB	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	7	36	5
2.40	Tony Bryant	DE	LV	Al Davis era	22	50	40
2.41	Dre' Bly	DB	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	54	64	25
2.42	Reggie Kelly	TE	ATL	Harold Richardson	12	78	49
2.43	Rob Konrad	FB	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	9	82	57
2.44	Jim Kleinsasser	TE	MIN	Frank Gilliam	14	181	130
2.45	Rahim Abdullah	LB	CLE	Dwight Clark	6	29	17
2.46	Kevin Faulk	RB	NE	Bobby Grier	56	161	47
2.47	Fred Vinson	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	2	16	1
2.48	Russell Davis	DT	CHI	Mark Hatley	33	11	8
2.49	Joe Montgomery	RB	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	2	10	5
2.50	Shaun King	QB	TB	Rich McKay	19	31	22
2.51	Johnny Rutledge	LB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	2	40	3
2.52	John Thornton	DT	TEN	Floyd Reese	51	51	35
2.53	Peerless Price	WR	BUF	John Butler	44	84	71
2.54	Mike Cloud	RB	KC	Carl Peterson	6	56	6
2.55	Solomon Page	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	20	59	51
2.56	Larry Smith	DT	JAX	Tom Coughlin	9	51	7
2.57	Randy Thomas	G	NYJ	Bill Parcells	51	61	61
2.58	Montae Reagor	DT	DEN	Mike Shanahan	23	45	1
2.59	Scott Shields	DB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	5	26	2
2.60	Jermaine Fazande	RB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	5	20	10
2.61	Lennie Friedman	G	DEN	Mike Shanahan	18	33	22
3.62	Daylon McCutcheon	DB	CLE	Dwight Clark	34	103	96
3.63	Brandon Burlsworth	G	IND	Bill Polian	0	0	0
3.64	Doug Brzezinski	G	PHI	Tom Modrak	14	64	22
3.65	Cory Hall	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	23	62	47
3.66	Rex Tucker	G	CHI	Mark Hatley	14	35	27
3.67	Chris Watson	DB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	9	14	1
3.68	Rich Coady	DB	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	9	69	14
3.69	Steve Heiden	TE	LAC	Bobby Beathard	11	42	13
3.70	Jared DeVries	DE	DET	Chuck Schmidt	18	120	32
3.71	D'Wayne Bates	WR	CHI	Mark Hatley	10	23	2
3.72	Grey Ruegamer	C	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	15	0	0
3.73	Joey Porter	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	90	122	106	3	1
3.74	Kris Farris	T	PIT	Tom Donahoe	1	0	0
3.75	Gary Stills	DE	KC	Carl Peterson	15	88	1	1
3.76	Marquis Smith	DB	CLE	Dwight Clark	7	46	20
3.77	Brock Huard	QB	SEA	Randy Mueller	2	6	4
3.78	Marty Booker	WR	CHI	Mark Hatley	48	82	61	1
3.79	Dan Campbell	TE	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	7	60	34
3.80	Martin Gramatica	K	TB	Rich McKay	17	89	0	1
3.81	Zach Piller	G	TEN	Floyd Reese	28	87	58
3.82	Karsten Bailey	WR	SEA	Randy Mueller	1	11	0
3.83	Tom Burke	DE	ARI	Bob Ferguson	8	36	12
3.84	Larry Atkins	LB	KC	Carl Peterson	6	46	0
3.85	Dat Nguyen	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	37	90	65
3.86	Shawn Bryson	RB	BUF	John Butler	21	37	10
3.87	Mike McKenzie	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	48	70	67
3.88	Anthony Cesario	G	JAX	Tom Coughlin	0	0	0
3.89	Chike Okeafor	DE	SF	Bill Walsh	43	57	19
3.90	David Loverne	G	NYJ	Bill Parcells	12	32	0
3.91	Tony George	DB	NE	Bobby Grier	4	31	1
3.92	Jeff Paulk	FB	ATL	Harold Richardson	0	1	0
3.93	Travis McGriff	WR	DEN	Mike Shanahan	1	34	0
3.94	Cletidus Hunt	DT	GB	Ron Wolf	28	85	60
3.95	Amos Zereoue	RB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	22	66	11
4.96	Paul Miranda	DB	IND	Bill Polian	1	5	0
4.97	John Welbourn	G	PHI	Tom Modrak	39	56	56
4.98	Craig Yeast	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	5	24	7
4.99	Anthony Parker	DB	SF	Bill Walsh	1	21	0
4.100	Hannibal Navies	LB	CAR	Dom Anile	23	39	15
4.101	Joe Germaine	QB	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	1	3	0
4.102	Dameane Douglas	WR	LV	Al Davis era	2	0	0
4.103	Sedrick Irvin	RB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	4	20	0
4.104	Jason Perry	DB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	6	31	8
4.105	Brandon Stokley	WR	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	44	39	11
4.106	Warrick Holdman	LB	CHI	Mark Hatley	36	59	47
4.107	Nate Stimson	LB	WAS	Charley Casserly	0	0	0
4.108	Larry Parker	WR	KC	Carl Peterson	2	38	4
4.109	Aaron Smith	DE	PIT	Tom Donahoe	71	160	152	1
4.110	Pierson Prioleau	DB	SF	Bill Walsh	20	28	11
4.111	Rosevelt Colvin	LB	CHI	Mark Hatley	38	56	36
4.112	Sean Bennett	RB	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	1	16	2
4.113	Dexter Jackson	DB	TB	Rich McKay	32	73	42
4.114	Brad Ware	DB	TEN	Floyd Reese	0	0	0
4.115	Antonio Cochran	DE	SEA	Randy Mueller	19	82	32
4.116	Joel Makovicka	FB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	3	58	35
4.117	Donald Mitchell	DB	TEN	Floyd Reese	7	44	12
4.118	Wane McGarity	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	6	22	2
4.119	Keith Newman	LB	BUF	John Butler	28	51	42
4.120	Kenny Wright	DB	MIN	Frank Gilliam	25	47	27
4.121	Kevin Landolt	DT	JAX	Tom Coughlin	0	1	0
4.122	Bobby Collins	TE	BUF	John Butler	2	26	6
4.123	Jason Wiltz	DT	NYJ	Bill Parcells	4	27	2
4.124	Wali Rainer	LB	CLE	Dwight Clark	26	46	44
4.125	Jay Humphrey	T	MIN	Frank Gilliam	0	0	0
4.126	Johndale Carty	DB	ATL	Harold Richardson	5	61	3
4.127	Olandis Gary	RB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	16	35	15
4.128	Damon Moore	DB	PHI	Tom Modrak	18	48	33
4.129	Edwin Mulitalo	G	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	44	106	102
4.130	Na Brown	WR	PHI	Tom Modrak	4	42	9
4.131	Aaron Brooks	QB	GB	Ron Wolf	66	0	0
4.132	Peppi Zellner	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	21	57	17
4.133	Josh Bidwell	P	GB	Ron Wolf	18	64	0
5.134	Cecil Collins	RB	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	3	8	6
5.135	Nick Luchey	FB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	3	48	9
5.136	Jerame Tuman	TE	PIT	Tom Donahoe	5	120	57
5.137	Tyree Talton	DB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	1	12	0
5.138	Brad Scioli	DE	IND	Bill Polian	14	80	27
5.139	Adrian Dingle	DE	LAC	Bobby Beathard	12	70	22
5.140	Floyd Wedderburn	G	SEA	Randy Mueller	14	46	26
5.141	Reggie Nelson	T	LAC	Bobby Beathard	0	2	0
5.142	Bryan Jones	LB	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	0	0	0
5.143	Jerry Wisne	T	CHI	Mark Hatley	1	7	1
5.144	Khari Samuel	LB	CHI	Mark Hatley	3	30	1
5.145	Cameron Spikes	G	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	13	19	0
5.146	Eric Barton	LB	LV	Al Davis era	50	68	36
5.147	Jerry Azumah	DB	CHI	Mark Hatley	30	105	49	1
5.148	Darrin Chiaverini	WR	CLE	Dwight Clark	5	26	10
5.149	Mike Rosenthal	T	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	29	40	25
5.150	John McLaughlin	DE	TB	Rich McKay	1	18	0
5.151	Kevin Daft	QB	TEN	Floyd Reese	0	0	0
5.152	Charlie Rogers	RB	SEA	Randy Mueller	3	40	0
5.153	Roderick Coleman	DT	LV	Al Davis era	37	60	21
5.154	Derrick Fletcher	T	NE	Bobby Grier	3	2	2
5.155	Paris Johnson	DB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	0	0	0
5.156	Jay Foreman	LB	BUF	John Butler	28	38	19
5.157	Terry Jackson	FB	SF	Bill Walsh	6	100	2
5.158	David Bowens	DE	DEN	Mike Shanahan	31	16	0
5.159	De'Mond Parker	RB	GB	Ron Wolf	2	19	0
5.160	Jason Craft	DB	JAX	Tom Coughlin	25	71	33
5.161	Tyrone Hopson	G	SF	Bill Walsh	3	4	1
5.162	Jermaine Jones	DB	NYJ	Bill Parcells	0	1	0
5.163	Craig Heimburger	G	GB	Ron Wolf	1	2	0
5.164	Eugene Baker	WR	ATL	Harold Richardson	1	4	1
5.165	Derek Smith	T	WAS	Charley Casserly	0	0	0
5.166	Malcolm Johnson	WR	PIT	Tom Donahoe	0	10	0
5.167	Darwin Brown	DB	DEN	Mike Shanahan	0	0	0
5.168	Yusuf Scott	G	ARI	Bob Ferguson	1	24	0
5.169	Chris Jones	LB	MIN	Frank Gilliam	0	0	0
6.170	Steve Johnson	DB	SEA	Randy Mueller	0	0	0
6.171	Tai Streets	WR	SF	Bill Walsh	23	65	34
6.172	Cecil Martin	FB	PHI	Tom Modrak	5	60	38
6.173	Kelly Gregg	NT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	61	0	0
6.174	Marcus Spriggs	DT	CLE	Dwight Clark	2	18	0
6.175	Robert Daniel	DE	CAR	Dom Anile	0	0	0
6.176	Lionel Barnes	DE	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	3	4	0
6.177	Clint Kriewaldt	LB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	10	49	2
6.178	Tyrone Bell	DB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	0	0	0
6.179	Desmond Clark	TE	DEN	Mike Shanahan	27	41	6
6.180	Marcus Washington	DB	NE	Bobby Grier	0	0	0
6.181	Jeff Hall	K	WAS	Charley Casserly	1	0	0
6.182	Emarlos Leroy	DT	JAX	Tom Coughlin	2	22	1
6.183	Marc Megna	LB	NYJ	Bill Parcells	0	0	0
6.184	Rashard Cook	DB	CHI	Mark Hatley	5	0	0
6.185	Talance Sawyer	DE	MIN	Frank Gilliam	13	39	32
6.186	Darran Hall	WR	TEN	Floyd Reese	0	0	0
6.187	Kendall Ogle	LB	CLE	Dwight Clark	0	2	0
6.188	Daren Yancey	DT	LV	Al Davis era	0	0	0
6.189	Lyle West	DB	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	4	22	1
6.190	Coby Rhinehart	DB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	6	61	4
6.191	James Dearth	TE	CLE	Dwight Clark	0	2	0
6.192	Brent Bartholomew	P	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	0	2	0
6.193	MarTay Jenkins	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	11	0	0
6.194	Armon Hatcher	DB	BUF	John Butler	0	0	0
6.195	Lamarr Glenn	RB	TB	Rich McKay	0	0	0
6.196	Dee Miller	WR	GB	Ron Wolf	0	0	0
6.197	J.P. Machado	G	NYJ	Bill Parcells	11	69	15
6.198	Jeff Kelly	LB	ATL	Harold Richardson	5	29	7
6.199	Antico Dalton	LB	MIN	Frank Gilliam	1	2	0
6.200	Eric Thigpen	DB	ATL	Harold Richardson	0	0	0
6.201	Troy Smith	WR	PHI	Tom Modrak	0	1	0
6.202	Melvin Bradley	LB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	0	1	0
6.203	Scott Curry	T	GB	Ron Wolf	0	5	0
6.204	Chad Plummer	WR	DEN	Mike Shanahan	0	0	0
6.205	Andre Weathers	DB	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	1	10	0
6.206	Dennis McKinley	FB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	0	58	1
7.207	Madre Hill	RB	CLE	Dwight Clark	0	5	0
7.208	Jed Weaver	TE	PHI	Tom Modrak	11	16	10
7.209	Tony Coats	G	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.210	Hunter Smith	P	IND	Bill Polian	20	160	0
7.211	Tony Booth	DB	CAR	Dom Anile	0	0	0
7.212	Chris Akins	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	4	13	0
7.213	Donald Driver	WR	GB	Ron Wolf	76	205	155	4
7.214	Antonio Dingle	DT	PIT	Tom Donahoe	0	0	0
7.215	Mike Pringley	DE	DET	Chuck Schmidt	1	9	0
7.216	Anthony Poindexter	DB	BAL	Ozzie Newsome	1	10	0
7.217	Tim Alexander	WR	WAS	Charley Casserly	0	0	0
7.218	Billy Miller	TE	DEN	Mike Shanahan	18	22	0
7.219	Chad Kelsay	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	0	6	0
7.220	Eric King	G	KC	Carl Peterson	0	0	0
7.221	Sulecio Sanford	WR	CHI	Mark Hatley	0	0	0
7.222	Phil Glover	LB	TEN	Floyd Reese	1	1	0
7.223	Ryan Young	T	NYJ	Bill Parcells	21	47	39
7.224	JoJuan Armour	DB	LV	Al Davis era	9	0	0
7.225	Ryan Hale	DT	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	2	25	0
7.226	Robert Hunt	G	TB	Rich McKay	0	0	0
7.227	Michael Bishop	QB	NE	Bobby Grier	0	8	0
7.228	Kris Brown	K	PIT	Tom Donahoe	26	48	0
7.229	Mike Lucky	TE	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	46	9
7.230	Sheldon Jackson	TE	BUF	John Butler	0	45	13
7.231	O.J. Childress	LB	NYG	Ernie Accorsi	0	4	0
7.232	Jermaine Haley	DT	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	12	43	9
7.233	Autry Denson	RB	TB	Rich McKay	3	0	0
7.234	Kory Minor	LB	SF	Bill Walsh	3	0	0
7.235	J.J. Syvrud	LB	NYJ	Bill Parcells	0	1	0
7.236	Noel Scarlett	DT	MIN	Frank Gilliam	0	0	0
7.237	Todd McClure	C	ATL	Harold Richardson	72	198	195
7.238	Justin Swift	TE	DEN	Mike Shanahan	2	0	0
7.239	Chris Greisen	QB	ARI	Bob Ferguson	0	5	0
7.240	Darnell McDonald	WR	TB	Rich McKay	1	8	0
7.241	Sean Morey	WR	NE	Bobby Grier	1	2	0
7.242	Dee Moronkola	DB	JAX	Tom Coughlin	0	0	0
7.243	Kelvin Garmon	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	19	21	21
7.244	Joe Wong	G	MIA	Jimmy Johnson	0	0	0
7.245	Scott Covington	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	3	0
7.246	Chris White	DE	JAX	Tom Coughlin	0	0	0
7.247	Rondel Menendez	WR	ATL	Harold Richardson	0	0	0
7.248	Bryce Fisher	DE	BUF	John Butler	26	13	2
7.249	Donald Broomfield	DT	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	0	0
7.250	Corey Terry	LB	IND	Bill Polian	1	0	0
7.251	Pernell Davis	DT	PHI	Tom Modrak	0	2	0
7.252	Rodney Williams	P	LAR	John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt	3	0	0
7.253	Jim Finn	FB	CHI	Mark Hatley	4	0	0

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.