Terrible-1.08 contribution36th of 40 picks for this GM
Games: complete career recorded elsewhere. Starts: zero starts from zero team games.
Long-career hit
Jim Finn became a 8-season, 106-game NFL player after going #253. The retained-value model still ranks him 36th of 40 for Mark Hatley because CHI only got 0 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -1.08. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Mark Hatley's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
0
on drafting team · 106 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team · 45 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 4
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only
Did this pick move Mark Hatley's grade?
The first chart removes the time axis: every Mark Hatley pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jim Finn totals -1.08. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player
Incremental contribution by season
Above expectationBelow expectationJim FinnGM total +17.1Jim Finn by season -1.7
Cumulative value over time
Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
Games started (cumulative)Pro BowlsAP1 All-ProAP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (8 scored seasons)
Year
Team
GP
GS
Snaps
Snap-z
AV
AV/snap
PB
AP1
AP2
1999
—
0
0
—
—
0
—
2000
IND
16
1
—
—
0
—
2001
IND
15
0
—
—
0
—
2002
IND
12
2
—
—
0
—
2003
NYG
15
9
—
—
1
—
2004
NYG
16
9
—
—
1
—
2005
NYG
16
13
—
—
1
—
2006
NYG
16
11
—
—
1
—
How to read this
The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.
