Patrick Kerney · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Patrick Kerney across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played159

Games started143

Weighted career AV67

Pro Bowls2

AP1 All-Pro1

Career seasons11

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1999 · Round 1 · #30

ATL draft credit

GM Harold Richardson

Team games121

Team starts106

On-team AV55

On-team PB / AP11 / 0

Excellent+1.93 contribution5th of 63 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Patrick Kerney was Harold Richardson's 5th-best of 63 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +1.93. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Harold Richardson's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

121

on drafting team · 159 full-career

Games started

106

on drafting team · 143 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 67

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

2 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

1 full-career · AP2 context 1

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Harold Richardson's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Harold Richardson pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Patrick Kerney totals +1.93. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationPatrick KerneyGM total -2.4Patrick Kerney by season +3.1

How much retained production did Patrick Kerney return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DEs drafted within ±5 picks of Patrick Kerney since 2010 (20 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Patrick KerneySlot-similar peers (20)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (11 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP2
1999	ATL	16	2	—	—	2	—
2000	ATL	16	16	—	—	6	—
2001	ATL	16	16	—	—	7	—
2002	ATL	16	16	—	—	9	—
2003	ATL	16	16	—	—	7	—
2004	ATL	16	15	—	—	12	—	✓	·
2005	ATL	16	16	—	—	8	—
2006	ATL	9	9	—	—	4	—
2007	SEA	16	16	—	—	17	—
2008	SEA	7	7	—	—	3	—
2009	SEA	15	14	—	—	6	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.