1993 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for George Young

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 196 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 1993 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

1993 class highlighted · 13 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1	HOF
2.40	Michael Strahan	DE	NYG	George Young	122	216	7	4	★
3.74	Will Shields	G	KC	Carl Peterson	113	224	12	2	★
1.8	Willie Roaf	T	NO	Jim Finks	111	131	11	4	★
1.1	Drew Bledsoe	QB	NE	Sam Jankovich	105	124	4
5.118	Mark Brunell	QB	GB	Ron Wolf	96	2	3
3.82	John Lynch	DB	TB	Phil Krueger	88	164	9	2	★
2.44	Chad Brown	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	85	64	3	2
1.10	Jerome Bettis	RB	LAR	John Shaw	81	47	6	2	★
1.9	Lincoln Kennedy	T	ATL	Ken Herock	74	48	3	1
1.3	Garrison Hearst	RB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	71	30	2

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
2.53	Reggie Freeman	LB	NO	Jim Finks	1	1
1.24	Leonard Renfro	DT	PHI	Harry Gamble	3	2
2.48	Adrian Hardy	DB	SF	John McVay	3	3
1.27	Todd Kelly	LB	SF	John McVay	5	4
2.34	Demetrious DuBose	LB	TB	Phil Krueger	5	4
2.36	Coleman Rudolph	DE	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	6	4
1.12	Patrick Bates	DB	LV	Al Davis	7	4
2.50	Victor Bailey	WR	PHI	Harry Gamble	8	4
1.18	Ernest Dye	T	ARI	Bill Bidwill	10	5
2.38	Roger Harper	DB	ATL	Ken Herock	12	4

All picks (196) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1	HOF
1.1	Drew Bledsoe	QB	NE	Sam Jankovich	105	124	123
1.2	Rick Mirer	QB	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	33	55	51
1.3	Garrison Hearst	RB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	71	30	20
1.4	Marvin Jones	LB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	52	142	129
1.5	John Copeland	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	37	107	102
1.6	Eric Curry	DE	TB	Phil Krueger	19	59	44
1.7	Curtis Conway	WR	CHI	Bill Tobin	62	92	81
1.8	Willie Roaf	T	NO	Jim Finks	111	131	131	3	2	★
1.9	Lincoln Kennedy	T	ATL	Ken Herock	74	48	22
1.10	Jerome Bettis	RB	LAR	John Shaw	81	47	41	1	1	★
1.11	Dan Williams	DE	DEN	John Beake	30	46	39
1.12	Patrick Bates	DB	LV	Al Davis	7	29	9
1.13	Brad Hopkins	T	TEN	Mike Holovak	71	194	188	2
1.14	Steve Everitt	C	CLE	Bill Belichick	36	46	45
1.15	Wayne Simmons	LB	GB	Ron Wolf	33	64	47
1.16	Sean Dawkins	WR	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	48	77	62
1.17	Tom Carter	DB	WAS	Charley Casserly	35	62	59
1.18	Ernest Dye	T	ARI	Bill Bidwill	10	37	23
1.19	Lester Holmes	G	PHI	Harry Gamble	38	46	38
1.20	Irv Smith	TE	NO	Jim Finks	14	66	55
1.21	Robert Smith	RB	MIN	Roger Headrick	60	98	72	1
1.22	Darrien Gordon	DB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	42	48	29
1.23	Deon Figures	DB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	21	61	23
1.24	Leonard Renfro	DT	PHI	Harry Gamble	3	23	2
1.25	O.J. McDuffie	WR	MIA	Don Shula	44	116	78
1.26	Dana Stubblefield	DT	SF	John McVay	69	108	106	1	1
1.27	Todd Kelly	LB	SF	John McVay	5	25	6
1.28	Thomas Smith	DB	BUF	John Butler	40	110	95
1.29	George Teague	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	39	47	43
2.30	Carlton Gray	DB	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	24	53	45
2.31	Chris Slade	LB	NE	Sam Jankovich	54	127	108
2.32	Ben Coleman	G	ARI	Bill Bidwill	45	30	13
2.33	Ryan McNeil	DB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	53	62	47
2.34	Demetrious DuBose	LB	TB	Phil Krueger	5	60	5
2.35	Carl Simpson	DT	CHI	Bill Tobin	24	74	48
2.36	Coleman Rudolph	DE	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	6	4	0
2.37	Tony McGee	TE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	28	136	134
2.38	Roger Harper	DB	ATL	Ken Herock	12	42	34
2.39	Troy Drayton	TE	LAR	John Shaw	21	51	37
2.40	Michael Strahan	DE	NYG	George Young	122	216	205	5	4	★
2.41	Natrone Means	RB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	38	59	40
2.42	Dan Footman	DE	CLE	Bill Belichick	18	40	18
2.43	Glyn Milburn	RB	DEN	John Beake	19	48	6	1
2.44	Chad Brown	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	85	64	49		1
2.45	Reggie Brooks	RB	WAS	Charley Casserly	14	30	16
2.46	Kevin Williams	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	27	57	28
2.47	Micheal Barrow	LB	TEN	Mike Holovak	60	61	44
2.48	Adrian Hardy	DB	SF	John McVay	3	12	0
2.49	Roosevelt Potts	RB	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	16	49	45
2.50	Victor Bailey	WR	PHI	Harry Gamble	8	32	10
2.51	Todd Rucci	G	NE	Sam Jankovich	35	85	75
2.52	Qadry Ismail	WR	MIN	Roger Headrick	39	63	9
2.53	Reggie Freeman	LB	NO	Jim Finks	1	10	0
2.54	Darrin Smith	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	55	57	54
2.55	John Parrella	DT	BUF	John Butler	46	10	0
2.56	Vincent Brisby	WR	NE	Sam Jankovich	25	83	45
3.57	John Gerak	G	MIN	Roger Headrick	15	47	19
3.58	Billy Joe Hobert	QB	LV	Al Davis	7	12	5
3.59	Steve Tovar	LB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	29	73	57
3.60	Lamar Thomas	WR	TB	Phil Krueger	12	36	2
3.61	Chris Gedney	TE	CHI	Bill Tobin	8	28	12
3.62	Antonio London	LB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	12	75	18
3.63	Ty Parten	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	8	26	6
3.64	Joe Cocozzo	G	LAC	Bobby Beathard	22	77	48
3.65	Ray Buchanan	DB	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	63	61	50
3.66	Marcus Buckley	LB	NYG	George Young	17	101	25
3.67	Harold Alexander	P	ATL	Ken Herock	4	31	0
3.68	Mike Compton	G	DET	Chuck Schmidt	51	104	85
3.69	Rondell Jones	DB	DEN	John Beake	10	62	3
3.70	Jason Elam	K	DEN	John Beake	43	236	0	2
3.71	Rick Hamilton	LB	WAS	Charley Casserly	3	17	0
3.72	James Trapp	DB	LV	Al Davis	20	88	26
3.73	Russell White	RB	LAR	John Shaw	0	5	0
3.74	Will Shields	G	KC	Carl Peterson	113	224	223	9	2	★
3.75	Derrick Frazier	DB	PHI	Harry Gamble	5	19	4
3.76	Andre Hastings	WR	PIT	Tom Donahoe	26	54	18
3.77	Mike Reid	DB	PHI	Harry Gamble	0	12	0
3.78	Terry Kirby	RB	MIA	Don Shula	47	36	16
3.79	Gilbert Brown	DT	MIN	Roger Headrick	39	0	0
3.80	Ed Bunn	P	WAS	Charley Casserly	0	0	0
3.81	Earl Dotson	T	GB	Ron Wolf	42	120	88
3.82	John Lynch	DB	TB	Phil Krueger	88	164	132	4	2	★
3.83	Mike Caldwell	LB	CLE	Bill Belichick	31	47	8
3.84	Mike Middleton	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
4.85	Dean Wells	LB	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	33	84	50
4.86	Kevin Johnson	DT	NE	Sam Jankovich	7	0	0
4.87	Ronald Moore	RB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	13	38	29
4.88	David Ware	T	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	0	0	0
4.89	Lorenzo Neal	FB	NO	Jim Finks	14	50	25
4.90	Marcello Simmons	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	1	16	2
4.91	Rudy Harris	RB	TB	Phil Krueger	1	18	2
4.92	Derwin Gray	DB	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	6	64	3
4.93	Greg Bishop	G	NYG	George Young	27	88	65
4.94	Derrick Lassic	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	3	10	3
4.95	Raylee Johnson	DE	LAC	Bobby Beathard	31	145	53
4.96	Ron Stone	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	59	32	1
4.97	Todd Perry	G	CHI	Bill Tobin	54	118	97
4.98	Jeff Robinson	TE	DEN	John Beake	4	64	0
4.99	Lewis Bush	LB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	37	104	68
4.100	Myron Baker	LB	CHI	Bill Tobin	7	48	3
4.101	Sterling Palmer	DE	WAS	Charley Casserly	17	49	44
4.102	Travis Hannah	WR	TEN	Mike Holovak	1	37	0
4.103	Jaime Fields	LB	KC	Carl Peterson	2	17	2
4.104	Horace Copeland	WR	TB	Phil Krueger	17	58	28
4.105	Ronnie Bradford	DB	MIA	Don Shula	30	0	0
4.106	Ashley Sheppard	LB	MIN	Roger Headrick	2	17	0
4.107	Devon McDonald	LB	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	5	47	3
4.108	Kevin Henry	DE	PIT	Tom Donahoe	40	117	81
4.109	Derek Brown	RB	NO	Jim Finks	17	56	21
4.110	Corwin Brown	DB	NE	Sam Jankovich	15	61	14
4.111	Russell Copeland	WR	BUF	John Butler	13	58	21
4.112	Albert Fontenot	DE	CHI	Bill Tobin	35	61	28
5.113	Scott Sisson	K	NE	Sam Jankovich	0	13	0
5.114	Terrence Warren	WR	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	0	16	0
5.115	Fred Baxter	TE	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	7	102	33
5.116	Artie Smith	DE	SF	John McVay	15	18	6
5.117	Forey Duckett	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	0	2	0
5.118	Mark Brunell	QB	GB	Ron Wolf	96	2	0
5.119	James Willis	LB	GB	Ron Wolf	22	25	0
5.120	Adrian Murrell	RB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	37	73	41
5.121	Ron George	LB	ATL	Ken Herock	14	60	28
5.122	Sean LaChapelle	WR	LAR	John Shaw	4	10	0
5.123	Tommy Thigpen	LB	NYG	George Young	0	0	0
5.124	Herman Arvie	T	CLE	Bill Belichick	7	48	3
5.125	Olanda Truitt	WR	LV	Al Davis	3	24	0
5.126	Kevin Williams	RB	DEN	John Beake	0	0	0
5.127	Chuck Belin	G	LAR	John Shaw	3	21	6
5.128	Greg Huntington	C	WAS	Charley Casserly	1	9	0
5.129	Kenny Shedd	WR	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	2	0	0
5.130	Lindsay Knapp	G	KC	Carl Peterson	1	2	0
5.131	John Henry Mills	LB	TEN	Mike Holovak	8	64	1
5.132	Chris Gray	G	MIA	Don Shula	64	42	23
5.133	Everett Lindsay	T	MIN	Roger Headrick	28	104	31
5.134	Walter Dunson	WR	LAC	Bobby Beathard	0	0	0
5.135	Lonnie Palelei	G	PIT	Tom Donahoe	12	4	0
5.136	Mike Devlin	C	BUF	John Butler	15	44	0
5.137	Tyrone Hughes	DB	NO	Jim Finks	11	63	8	1
5.138	Rich Griffith	TE	NE	Sam Jankovich	2	3	0
5.139	Sebastian Savage	DB	BUF	John Butler	0	0	0
5.140	Marc Woodard	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	4	0	0
6.141	Doug Evans	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	55	79	62
6.142	Lawrence Hatch	DB	NE	Sam Jankovich	0	0	0
6.143	Brett Wallerstedt	LB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	4	7	0
6.144	Richie Anderson	FB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	29	134	70	1
6.145	Chidi Ahanotu	DE	TB	Phil Krueger	55	121	109
6.146	Dave Hoffmann	LB	CHI	Bill Tobin	0	0	0
6.147	Greg Jeffries	DB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	9	83	10
6.148	Tom Scott	T	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	5	13	13
6.149	Deral Boykin	DB	LAR	John Shaw	3	16	0
6.150	Scott Davis	G	NYG	George Young	4	19	4
6.151	Mitch Lyons	TE	ATL	Ken Herock	3	51	18
6.152	Paul Hutchins	T	GB	Ron Wolf	3	17	2
6.153	Rich McKenzie	LB	CLE	Bill Belichick	1	8	0
6.154	Melvin Bonner	WR	DEN	John Beake	0	3	0
6.155	Darryl Morrison	DB	WAS	Charley Casserly	12	48	28
6.156	Tim Watson	DB	GB	Ron Wolf	0	0	0
6.157	Carlos Etheredge	TE	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	0	9	0
6.158	Chuck Bradley	T	TEN	Mike Holovak	0	0	0
6.159	Darius Turner	RB	KC	Carl Peterson	0	0	0
6.160	Frank Wycheck	TE	WAS	Charley Casserly	43	18	8
6.161	Eric Castle	DB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	3	53	1
6.162	Willie Williams	DB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	45	83	41
6.163	Derrick Oden	LB	PHI	Harry Gamble	3	35	0
6.164	Robert O'Neal	DB	MIA	Don Shula	0	0	0
6.165	Ronnie Dixon	DT	NO	Jim Finks	10	2	0
6.166	Chris Dalman	C	SF	John McVay	36	105	64
6.167	Corbin Lacina	G	BUF	John Butler	37	55	28
6.168	Barry Minter	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	32	0	0
7.169	Clarence Williams	TE	DEN	John Beake	0	0	0
7.170	Michael McCrary	DE	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	54	58	13
7.171	Alec Millen	T	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	0	0	0
7.172	Will White	DB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	0	0	0
7.173	Keshon Johnson	DB	CHI	Bill Tobin	3	33	0
7.174	Ty Hallock	RB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	6	31	14
7.175	Lance Gunn	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	3	8	8
7.176	Tyree Davis	WR	TB	Phil Krueger	0	1	0
7.177	Todd Peterson	K	NYG	George Young	27	0	0
7.178	Darnell Walker	DB	ATL	Ken Herock	24	62	29
7.179	Brad Fichtel	C	LAR	John Shaw	0	1	0
7.180	Travis Hill	LB	CLE	Bill Belichick	1	18	0
7.181	Greg Biekert	LB	LV	Al Davis	57	144	123
7.182	Tony Kimbrough	WR	DEN	John Beake	1	27	0
7.183	Bob Kuberski	DT	GB	Ron Wolf	5	37	3
7.184	Lance Lewis	RB	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	0	0	0
7.185	Jeff Zgonina	DT	PIT	Tom Donahoe	40	21	0
7.186	Danan Hughes	WR	KC	Carl Peterson	5	85	3
7.187	Patrick Robinson	WR	TEN	Mike Holovak	1	0	0
7.188	Doug Miller	LB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	2	23	0
7.189	Craig Keith	TE	PIT	Tom Donahoe	0	17	1
7.190	Joey Mickey	TE	PHI	Harry Gamble	0	0	0
7.191	David Merritt	LB	MIA	Don Shula	3	4	0
7.192	Gino Torretta	QB	MIN	Roger Headrick	0	1	0
7.193	Othello Henderson	DB	NO	Jim Finks	2	21	1
7.194	Troy Wilson	DE	SF	John McVay	7	21	0
7.195	Willie Harris	WR	BUF	John Butler	0	0	0
7.196	Brock Marion	DB	DAL	Jerry Jones	59	71	43

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.