Jerome Bettis · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Jerome Bettis across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played192

Games started153

Weighted career AV81

Pro Bowls6

AP1 All-Pro2

Career seasons13

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1993 · Round 1 · #10

LAR draft credit

GM John Shaw

Team games47

Team starts41

On-team AV24

On-team PB / AP11 / 1

Terrible-4.01 contribution114th of 116 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

Long-career hit

Jerome Bettis became a 13-season, 192-game NFL player after going #10. The retained-value model still ranks him 114th of 116 for John Shaw because LAR only got 47 of those games.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -4.01. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from John Shaw's leaderboard composite θ.

Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 192 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 153 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 81

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

6 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

1 AP1

2 full-career · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move John Shaw's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every John Shaw pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jerome Bettis totals -4.01. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationJerome BettisGM total -36.3Jerome Bettis by season -6.4

How much retained production did Jerome Bettis return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: RBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jerome Bettis since 2010 (8 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Jerome BettisSlot-similar peers (8)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (13 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP1
1993	LAR	16	12	—	—	12	—	✓	★
1994	LAR	16	16	—	—	8	—
1995	LAR	15	13	—	—	4	—
1996	PIT	16	12	—	—	12	—
1997	PIT	15	15	—	—	15	—
1998	PIT	15	15	—	—	6	—
1999	PIT	16	16	—	—	9	—
2000	PIT	16	16	—	—	10	—
2001	PIT	11	11	—	—	9	—
2002	PIT	13	11	—	—	5	—
2003	PIT	16	10	—	—	4	—
2004	PIT	15	6	—	—	7	—
2005	PIT	12	0	—	—	3	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.