1991 NFL Draft · Good GM

DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED

Follow the class result into model evidence

The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.

Open adjusted player evidence Open adjusted GM evidence for Ken Herock

Class value over time

Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 195 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 1991 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.

1991 class highlighted · 11 earlier classes behind it

Top 10 picks by career AV

Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Career PB	Career AP1	HOF
2.33	Brett Favre	QB	ATL	Ken Herock	158	2	11	3	★
3.59	Aeneas Williams	DB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	110	160	8	3	★
2.45	Ricky Watters	RB	SF	John McVay	100	43	5
3.63	Mo Lewis	LB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	90	200	3	1
1.25	Ted Washington	NT	SF	John McVay	89	44	4	1
1.10	Herman Moore	WR	DET	Chuck Schmidt	78	145	4	3
4.104	William Thomas	LB	PHI	Harry Gamble	73	140	2
3.70	Erik Williams	T	DAL	Jerry Jones	69	141	4	2
3.83	Ed McCaffrey	WR	NYG	George Young	67	48	1
5.113	Bryan Cox	LB	MIA	Don Shula	67	77	3

Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)

A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	AV	YoT
1.15	Huey Richardson	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	1	2
2.40	Shane Curry	DE	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	1	1
2.51	Doug Thomas	WR	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	1	3
1.16	Dan McGwire	QB	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	2	5
1.24	Todd Marinovich	QB	LV	Al Davis	3	2
1.3	Bruce Pickens	DB	ATL	Ken Herock	4	5
2.55	Kanavis McGhee	LB	NYG	George Young	4	5
2.34	Browning Nagle	QB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	5	6
2.42	Wesley Carroll	WR	NO	Jim Finks	6	3
2.52	Lamar Rogers	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	6	2

All picks (195) · sortable below

Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.

Pick	Player	Pos	Team	GM	Career AV	Team GP	Team GS	Team PB	Team AP1	HOF
1.1	Russell Maryland	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	60	75	61	1
1.2	Eric Turner	DB	CLE	Bill Belichick	49	63	60		1
1.3	Bruce Pickens	DB	ATL	Ken Herock	4	27	8
1.4	Mike Croel	LB	DEN	John Beake	34	58	54
1.5	Todd Lyght	DB	LAR	John Shaw	60	143	137	1
1.6	Eric Swann	DT	ARI	Bill Bidwill	44	110	84	1
1.7	Charles McRae	T	TB	Phil Krueger	18	71	38
1.8	Antone Davis	T	PHI	Harry Gamble	35	78	74
1.9	Stanley Richard	DB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	40	61	60
1.10	Herman Moore	WR	DET	Chuck Schmidt	78	145	122	1	3
1.11	Pat Harlow	T	NE	Sam Jankovich	34	74	64
1.12	Alvin Harper	WR	DAL	Jerry Jones	37	65	47
1.13	Mike Pritchard	WR	ATL	Ken Herock	43	47	40
1.14	Leonard Russell	RB	NE	Sam Jankovich	26	43	40
1.15	Huey Richardson	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	1	5	0
1.16	Dan McGwire	QB	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	2	12	5
1.17	Bobby Wilson	DT	WAS	Charley Casserly	12	42	24
1.18	Alfred Williams	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	48	63	53
1.19	Vinnie Clark	DB	GB	Tom Braatz	21	32	15
1.20	Kelvin Pritchett	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	34	0	0
1.21	Harvey Williams	RB	KC	Carl Peterson	35	35	7
1.22	Stan Thomas	T	CHI	Bill Tobin	7	26	7
1.23	Randal Hill	WR	MIA	Don Shula	27	27	5
1.24	Todd Marinovich	QB	LV	Al Davis	3	8	8
1.25	Ted Washington	NT	SF	John McVay	89	44	18
1.26	Henry Jones	DB	BUF	Bill Polian	55	144	129	1	1
1.27	Jarrod Bunch	FB	NYG	George Young	7	45	22
2.28	Mike Dumas	DB	TEN	Mike Holovak	20	29	1
2.29	Ed King	G	CLE	Bill Belichick	21	38	31
2.30	Reggie Johnson	TE	DEN	John Beake	8	44	22
2.31	Roman Phifer	LB	LAR	John Shaw	64	120	109
2.32	Mike Jones	DE	ARI	Bill Bidwill	36	47	18
2.33	Brett Favre	QB	ATL	Ken Herock	158	2	0			★
2.34	Browning Nagle	QB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	5	18	13
2.35	Esera Tuaolo	NT	GB	Tom Braatz	24	20	16
2.36	George Thornton	DT	LAC	Bobby Beathard	9	32	16
2.37	Dixon Edwards	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	38	74	47
2.38	Darryll Lewis	DB	TEN	Mike Holovak	47	113	82	1
2.39	Eric Bieniemy	RB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	23	62	0
2.40	Shane Curry	DE	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	1	9	0
2.41	Jerome Henderson	DB	NE	Sam Jankovich	18	40	10
2.42	Wesley Carroll	WR	NO	Jim Finks	6	28	5
2.43	Nick Bell	RB	LV	Al Davis	8	35	5
2.44	John Flannery	G	TEN	Mike Holovak	21	47	27
2.45	Ricky Watters	RB	SF	John McVay	100	43	42	2
2.46	Jeff Graham	WR	PIT	Tom Donahoe	59	42	23
2.47	Eric Moten	G	LAC	Bobby Beathard	27	67	61
2.48	Jesse Campbell	DB	PHI	Harry Gamble	28	0	0
2.49	Chris Zorich	DT	CHI	Bill Tobin	28	79	49
2.50	Joe Valerio	C	KC	Carl Peterson	7	61	4
2.51	Doug Thomas	WR	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	1	39	4
2.52	Lamar Rogers	DE	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	6	26	15
2.53	John Johnson	LB	SF	John McVay	10	40	14
2.54	Phil Hansen	DE	BUF	Bill Polian	65	156	148
2.55	Kanavis McGhee	LB	NYG	George Young	4	40	2
3.56	Calvin Stephens	G	NE	Sam Jankovich	1	13	1
3.57	James Jones	DT	CLE	Bill Belichick	56	64	49
3.58	Reggie Barrett	WR	DET	Chuck Schmidt	1	10	6
3.59	Aeneas Williams	DB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	110	160	159	2	2	★
3.60	Aaron Craver	RB	MIA	Don Shula	18	28	0
3.61	Keith Traylor	DT	DEN	John Beake	60	94	66
3.62	Godfrey Myles	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	9	76	11
3.63	Mo Lewis	LB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	90	200	199	2	1
3.64	James Richards	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
3.65	Carlos Jenkins	LB	MIN	Jeff Diamond	32	51	44
3.66	Lawrence Dawsey	WR	TB	Phil Krueger	23	57	41
3.67	Don Davey	DT	GB	Tom Braatz	19	50	2
3.68	Jake Reed	WR	MIN	Jeff Diamond	53	134	83
3.69	Dave McCloughan	DB	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	4	15	0
3.70	Erik Williams	T	DAL	Jerry Jones	69	141	133	2	2
3.71	Steve Jackson	DB	TEN	Mike Holovak	19	118	26
3.72	Bob Dahl	G	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	35	0	0
3.73	Ernie Mills	WR	PIT	Tom Donahoe	25	86	27
3.74	David Daniels	WR	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	1	29	1
3.75	Rob Selby	G	PHI	Harry Gamble	9	32	1
3.76	Ricky Ervins	RB	WAS	Charley Casserly	23	62	11
3.77	Tim Barnett	WR	KC	Carl Peterson	13	44	11
3.78	Chris Gardocki	P	CHI	Bill Tobin	29	52	0
3.79	Kevin Donnalley	G	TEN	Mike Holovak	52	109	67
3.80	Robert Wilson	RB	TB	Phil Krueger	2	16	15
3.81	Chuck Webb	FB	GB	Tom Braatz	0	2	0
3.82	Darryl Wren	DB	BUF	Bill Polian	5	0	0
3.83	Ed McCaffrey	WR	NYG	George Young	67	48	4
4.84	Scott Zolak	QB	NE	Sam Jankovich	4	54	7
4.85	Pio Sagapolutele	DT	CLE	Bill Belichick	19	63	11
4.86	Dexter Davis	DB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	6	33	3
4.87	Moe Gardner	DT	ATL	Ken Herock	27	90	85
4.88	Sammy Walker	DB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	4	18	4
4.89	Derek Russell	WR	DEN	John Beake	22	50	35
4.90	Yancey Thigpen	WR	LAC	Bobby Beathard	48	4	1
4.91	Kevin Scott	DB	DET	Chuck Schmidt	8	44	11
4.92	Randy Baldwin	RB	MIN	Jeff Diamond	3	4	0
4.93	Tony Covington	DB	TB	Phil Krueger	8	31	15
4.94	Mark Gunn	DT	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	12	55	13
4.95	Mitch Donahue	LB	SF	John McVay	2	15	0
4.96	Mark Vander Poel	T	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	2	23	1
4.97	Curvin Richards	RB	DAL	Jerry Jones	2	11	0
4.98	John Kasay	K	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	41	64	0
4.99	Donald Hollas	QB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	5	20	2
4.100	Rocket Ismail	WR	LV	Al Davis	44	45	15
4.101	David Rocker	DT	TEN	Mike Holovak	3	0	0
4.102	Marcus Robertson	DB	TEN	Mike Holovak	60	135	117		1
4.103	Adrian Cooper	TE	PIT	Tom Donahoe	8	46	26
4.104	William Thomas	LB	PHI	Harry Gamble	73	140	129	1
4.105	Joe Johnson	DB	CHI	Bill Tobin	0	0	0
4.106	Bill Musgrave	QB	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	0	0
4.107	Robert Bailey	DB	LAR	John Shaw	17	47	11
4.108	Tony Hill	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	1	13	0	1
4.109	Rob Carpenter	WR	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	5	0	0
4.110	Kevin Harris	DE	DAL	Jerry Jones	0	0	0
4.111	Clarence Jones	T	NYG	George Young	36	10	0
5.112	Jon Vaughn	RB	NE	Sam Jankovich	9	32	7
5.113	Bryan Cox	LB	MIA	Don Shula	67	77	77	2
5.114	James Goode	LB	ATL	Ken Herock	0	0	0
5.115	Greg Lewis	RB	DEN	John Beake	5	32	6
5.116	Robert Young	DE	LAR	John Shaw	20	63	36
5.117	Vance Hammond	DT	ARI	Bill Bidwill	0	0	0
5.118	Scott Conover	T	DET	Chuck Schmidt	16	67	27
5.119	Chris Thome	C	MIN	Jeff Diamond	1	0	0
5.120	Terry Bagsby	LB	TB	Phil Krueger	0	0	0
5.121	Gene Williams	G	MIA	Don Shula	31	15	0
5.122	Merton Hanks	DB	SF	John McVay	64	125	107	1	1
5.123	Duane Young	TE	LAC	Bobby Beathard	3	69	64
5.124	Ben Coates	TE	NE	Sam Jankovich	43	142	105	1	2
5.125	Kerry Cash	TE	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	9	52	48
5.126	Reggie Jones	DB	NO	Jim Finks	10	41	19
5.127	Floyd Fields	DB	LAC	Bobby Beathard	6	30	16
5.128	Harlan Davis	DB	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	0	0	0
5.129	Gary Wellman	WR	TEN	Mike Holovak	5	28	3
5.130	Mike Arthur	C	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	19	23	16
5.131	Craig Erickson	QB	PHI	Harry Gamble	21	0	0
5.132	Darrick Brownlow	LB	DAL	Jerry Jones	6	32	0
5.133	Charles Mincy	DB	KC	Carl Peterson	30	48	27
5.134	Anthony Morgan	WR	CHI	Bill Tobin	13	27	6
5.135	Jeff Fite	P	GB	Tom Braatz	0	0	0
5.136	Tim Ryan	G	TB	Phil Krueger	3	37	1
5.137	Harry Boatswain	G	SF	John McVay	15	45	8
5.138	Shawn Wilbourn	DB	BUF	Bill Polian	0	0	0
5.139	Anthony Moss	LB	NYG	George Young	0	0	0
6.140	David Key	DB	NE	Sam Jankovich	0	3	0
6.141	Michael Jackson	WR	CLE	Bill Belichick	43	69	49
6.142	Nick Subis	T	DEN	John Beake	1	16	0
6.143	Neal Fort	T	LAR	John Shaw	0	0	0
6.144	Eduardo Vega	T	ARI	Bill Bidwill	0	0	0
6.145	Erric Pegram	RB	ATL	Ken Herock	30	61	27
6.146	Nolan Harrison	DE	LV	Al Davis	35	82	55
6.147	Rhett Hall	DT	TB	Phil Krueger	19	21	0
6.148	Blaise Bryant	RB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	0	0	0
6.149	Walter Dean	RB	GB	Tom Braatz	0	9	0
6.150	Jimmy Laister	T	LAC	Bobby Beathard	0	0	0
6.151	Richie Andrews	K	DET	Chuck Schmidt	0	0	0
6.152	Mel Agee	DE	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	8	17	2
6.153	Mike Sullivan	G	DAL	Jerry Jones	6	0	0
6.154	Fred McAfee	RB	NO	Jim Finks	9	122	5	1
6.155	Michael Sinclair	DE	SEA	Tom Flores/Behring	57	144	114
6.156	Andy Harmon	DT	PHI	Harry Gamble	37	86	61
6.157	Richard Fain	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	4	6	2
6.158	Leroy Thompson	RB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	18	43	8
6.159	Dennis Ransom	TE	WAS	Charley Casserly	0	0	0
6.160	Mike Riley	DB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	0	0	0
6.161	Darren Lewis	RB	CHI	Bill Tobin	5	33	6
6.162	Darrell Malone	DB	KC	Carl Peterson	2	4	0
6.163	Todd Scott	DB	MIN	Jeff Diamond	25	60	44	1
6.164	Joe Garten	C	GB	Tom Braatz	0	0	0
6.165	Scott Bowles	T	SF	John McVay	0	0	0
6.166	Millard Hamilton	WR	BUF	Bill Polian	0	0	0
6.167	Corey Miller	LB	NYG	George Young	36	105	70
7.168	Blake Miller	C	NE	Sam Jankovich	3	0	0
7.169	Frank Blevins	LB	GB	Tom Braatz	0	0	0
7.170	Tyrone Shelton	RB	LAR	John Shaw	0	0	0
7.171	Ivory Lee Brown	RB	ARI	Bill Bidwill	2	7	5
7.172	Brian Mitchell	DB	ATL	Ken Herock	2	36	0
7.173	Leon Lett	DT	DAL	Jerry Jones	38	109	73
7.174	Calvin Tiggle	LB	TB	Phil Krueger	3	24	4
7.175	Doug Parrish	DB	NYJ	Dick Steinberg	0	0	0
7.176	Reggie Burnette	LB	GB	Tom Braatz	3	3	0
7.177	David Jones	TE	LAC	Bobby Beathard	0	0	0
7.178	Franklin Thomas	TE	DET	Chuck Schmidt	0	0	0
7.179	Scotty Reagan	DT	MIN	Jeff Diamond	0	0	0
7.180	Tripp Welborne	DB	MIN	Jeff Diamond	0	2	0
7.181	James Bradley	WR	IND	Jim Irsay/staff	0	0	0
7.182	Hayward Haynes	G	NO	Jim Finks	0	0	0
7.183	Kyle Freeman	LB	TEN	Mike Holovak	0	0	0
7.184	Fernandus Vinson	DB	CIN	Mike Brown / Duke Tobin	9	58	15
7.185	Andre Jones	LB	PIT	Tom Donahoe	0	0	0
7.186	Mark Tucker	G	ATL	Ken Herock	2	0	0
7.187	James Joseph	RB	PHI	Harry Gamble	10	62	13
7.188	Keith Cash	TE	WAS	Charley Casserly	11	0	0
7.189	Bernard Ellison	DB	KC	Carl Peterson	0	0	0
7.190	Paul Justin	QB	CHI	Bill Tobin	8	0	0
7.191	Chris Green	DB	MIA	Don Shula	5	50	3
7.192	Terry Beauford	G	LAC	Bobby Beathard	0	0	0
7.193	Sheldon Canley	RB	SF	John McVay	0	0	0
7.194	Amir Rasul	RB	BUF	Bill Polian	0	0	0
7.195	Simmie Carter	DB	NYG	George Young	0	0	0

How to read this

"Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
"On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.