1981 NFL Draft
Descriptive results for how the 1981 class added value over time. Class totals as of 2025: 3,791 career AV, 100 Pro Bowls, 36 AP1 All-Pros, 8 HOF.
DESCRIPTIVE → ADJUSTED
Follow the class result into model evidence
The totals on this page describe what happened. Player profiles show pick-level support adjusted for slot, position, era, and observed career window; GM profiles connect those picks to the maturity-adjusted headline estimate.
Class value over time
Descriptive cumulative "value units" across all 193 picks, summed year-by-year. Value = games started + 5×Pro Bowl + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2 per player-season, then summed across the class. Earlier draft classes sit behind the highlighted 1981 line on the same seasons-since-draft axis, so the slope shows whether a class matured fast or needed time.
Top 10 picks by career AV
Ordered by PFR weighted Approximate Value across the player's full career (any team).
| Pick | Player | Pos | Team | GM | Career AV | Team GP | Career PB | Career AP1 | HOF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Lawrence Taylor | LB | NYG | George Young | 146 | 184 | 10 | 8 | ★ |
| 2.38 | Mike Singletary | LB | CHI | Jim Finks | 124 | 179 | 10 | 7 | ★ |
| 1.8 | Ronnie Lott | DB | SF | John McVay | 123 | 129 | 10 | 6 | ★ |
| 2.51 | Rickey Jackson | LB | NO | Ken Meyer/staff | 112 | 195 | 7 | ★ | |
| 2.48 | Howie Long | DE | LV | Al Davis | 95 | 179 | 8 | 2 | ★ |
| 1.24 | James Brooks | RB | LAC | Steve Ortmayer | 82 | 38 | 4 | ||
| 3.69 | Russ Grimm | G | WAS | Bobby Beathard | 78 | 140 | 4 | 3 | ★ |
| 1.3 | Freeman McNeil | RB | NYJ | Jim Kensil | 75 | 144 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1.15 | Dennis Smith | DB | DEN | Edgar Kaiser/staff | 74 | 184 | 6 | ||
| 1.22 | Hanford Dixon | DB | CLE | Art Modell/staff | 70 | 131 | 3 | 2 |
Lower-AV early-round picks (rounds 1–2, AV < 15)
A descriptive filter for first- and second-round picks with full-career weighted AV below 15. It does not account for the expectation at each draft slot and is not a model verdict on the pick.
| Pick | Player | Pos | Team | GM | AV | YoT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.39 | Mardye McDole | WR | MIN | Mike Lynn | 0 | 3 |
| 2.42 | Clay Brown | TE | DEN | Edgar Kaiser/staff | 0 | 3 |
| 2.52 | Jarvis Redwine | RB | MIN | Mike Lynn | 0 | 3 |
| 2.32 | Dave Young | TE | NYG | George Young | 1 | 4 |
| 1.6 | Rich Campbell | QB | GB | Bart Starr | 2 | 4 |
| 2.35 | Gary Lewis | TE | GB | Bart Starr | 2 | 4 |
| 2.54 | Lyman White | LB | ATL | Eddie LeBaron | 2 | 2 |
| 1.13 | David Overstreet | RB | MIA | Don Shula | 4 | 3 |
| 2.30 | Marion Barber Jr. | RB | NYJ | Jim Kensil | 5 | 8 |
| 2.49 | Chris Williams | DB | BUF | Stew Barber | 5 | 3 |
All picks (193) · sortable below
Each player name links to their year-by-year career page. Each team links to its GM history page.
How to read this
- "Value units" on the chart is a deliberately simple proxy: per player-season, games-started + 5×PB + 10×AP1 + 3×AP2. It's not a dollar value or θ; it's a single growth-curve number that lets us watch the class mature.
- Pre-2013 picks have no per-game snap data → their games-started is approximated from career_games / years-on-team. Their on-chart contribution is dominated by honors.
- Career AV is PFR's weighted Approximate Value (full-career, any team).
- "On-team" honors only: PB/AP1/AP2 counts above are restricted to seasons on the drafting team. A player traded after Year 4 only gets credit for honors earned in years 1-4.
- Active careers still accreting value: this year's chart endpoint isn't the final answer for any class with active players.