All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Tyrone Keys across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 74
Games started 24
Weighted career AV 13
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 8
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received 1981 · Round 5 · #113
NYJ draft credit GM Jim Kensil
Team games 0
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Terrible -1.83 contribution 65th of 68 picks for this GM
Games: complete career recorded elsewhere. Starts: zero starts from zero team games.
Tyrone Keys became a 8-season, 74-game NFL player after going #113. The retained-value model still ranks him 65th of 68 for Jim Kensil because NYJ only got 0 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -1.83 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Jim Kensil's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
0
on drafting team · 74 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team · 24 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 13
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Jim Kensil's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Jim Kensil pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Tyrone Keys totals -1.83 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 10. Toon #10 · Al Toon · aggregate +4.60 Toon +4.6 24. O'Brien #24 · Ken O'Brien · aggregate +3.71 O'Brien +3.7 63. McMillan #63 · Erik McMillan · aggregate +2.92 McMillan +2.9 69. Mehl #69 · Lance Mehl · aggregate +2.78 Mehl +2.8 64. Clifton #64 · Kyle Clifton · aggregate +2.28 Clifton +2.3 40. Ray #40 · Darrol Ray · aggregate +1.87 120. Benson #120 · Troy Benson · aggregate +1.36 142. Woodring #142 · John Woodring · aggregate +0.66 60. Rudolph #60 · Ben Rudolph · aggregate +0.41 169. Neil #169 · Kenny Neil · aggregate +0.39 51. Hector #51 · Johnny Hector · aggregate +0.37 187. Nichols #187 · Gerald Nichols · aggregate +0.22 176. Hamilton #176 · Harry Hamilton · aggregate +0.13 23. Crable #23 · Bob Crable · aggregate +0.10 146. Frase #146 · Paul Frase · aggregate -0.03 191. Coombs #191 · Tom Coombs · aggregate -0.03 95. Johnson #95 · Jesse Johnson · aggregate -0.10 21. Vick #21 · Roger Vick · aggregate -0.15 161. Martin #161 · Tracy Martin · aggregate -0.19 172. Patton #172 · Gary Patton · aggregate -0.27 74. Hasty #74 · James Hasty · aggregate -0.35 42. Gordon #42 · Alex Gordon · aggregate -0.39 107. Floyd #107 · George Floyd · aggregate -0.40 79. Crutchfield #79 · Dwayne Crutchfield · aggregate -0.41 178. Batton #178 · Bobby Batton · aggregate -0.42 78. Townsell #78 · Jo-Jo Townsell · aggregate -0.44 119. Withycombe #119 · Mike Withycombe · aggregate -0.44 163. White #163 · Vincent White · aggregate -0.45 22. Haight #22 · Mike Haight · aggregate -0.45 189. White #189 · Bob White · aggregate -0.46 190. Leverett #190 · Bennie Leverett · aggregate -0.47 163. Phea #163 · Lonell Phea · aggregate -0.47 124. Luft #124 · Brian Luft · aggregate -0.48 136. Walker #136 · John Walker · aggregate -0.49 134. Smith #134 · Tony Smith · aggregate -0.49 190. Newbold #190 · Darrin Newbold · aggregate -0.51 152. Schremp #152 · Tom Schremp · aggregate -0.53 3. McNeil #3 · Freeman McNeil · aggregate -0.53 8. Cadigan #8 · Dave Cadigan · aggregate -0.55 149. Visger #149 · George Visger · aggregate -0.55 105. Howell #105 · Wes Howell · aggregate -0.55 122. Armstrong #122 · Tron Armstrong · aggregate -0.59 151. Deaton #151 · Jeff Deaton · aggregate -0.62 91. Bell #91 · Bobby Bell · aggregate -0.63 132. Hadley #132 · Ron Hadley · aggregate -0.64 94. Allen #94 · Doug Allen · aggregate -0.72 40. Lyles #40 · Lester Lyles · aggregate -0.73 39. Dennison #39 · Glenn Dennison · aggregate -0.78 105. Alexander #105 · Rogers Alexander · aggregate -0.78 129. Jackson #129 · Kirby Jackson · aggregate -0.78 2. Jones #2 · Lam Jones · aggregate -0.83 86. Washington #86 · Al Washington · aggregate -0.84 75. Elam #75 · Onzy Elam · aggregate -0.86 123. Zidd #123 · Jim Zidd · aggregate -0.89 79. Crawford #79 · Tim Crawford · aggregate -0.96 10. Carter #10 · Russell Carter · aggregate -0.98 149. Paige #149 · Tony Paige · aggregate -1.04 166. Miano #166 · Rich Miano · aggregate -1.05 37. Williams #37 · Terry Williams · aggregate -1.06 15. Faurot #15 · Ron Faurot · aggregate -1.15 49. Williams #49 · Doug Williams · aggregate -1.31 47. Clayton #47 · Ralph Clayton · aggregate -1.35 67. Elder #67 · Donnie Elder · aggregate -1.53 30. Jr. #30 · Marion Barber Jr. · aggregate -1.61 113. Keys #113 · Tyrone Keys · aggregate -1.83 Keys -1.8 37. Sweeney #37 · Jim Sweeney · aggregate -1.89 135. Jerue #135 · Mark Jerue · aggregate -1.91 51. McElroy #51 · Reggie McElroy · aggregate -4.32 McElroy -4.3 Incremental contribution by season -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 1980 · Lance Mehl · incremental +0.03 1980 · Darrol Ray · incremental +0.56 1980 · Jesse Johnson · incremental -0.02 1980 · Lam Jones · incremental -0.53 1980 · Bobby Batton · incremental -0.65 1980 · Bennie Leverett · incremental -0.78 1980 · Tom Schremp · incremental -0.93 1980 · George Visger · incremental -0.95 1980 · Jim Zidd · incremental -1.46 1980 · Ralph Clayton · incremental -2.15 1981 · Kenny Neil · incremental +0.01 1981 · Ben Rudolph · incremental +0.02 1981 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.13 1981 · John Woodring · incremental +0.15 1981 · Lance Mehl · incremental +0.57 1981 · Darrol Ray · incremental +0.71 1981 · Lam Jones · incremental -0.03 1981 · Jesse Johnson · incremental -0.15 1981 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental -0.79 1981 · Al Washington · incremental -1.31 1981 · Tyrone Keys · incremental -2.93 1982 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental +0.03 1982 · Tom Coombs · incremental +0.06 1982 · Jesse Johnson · incremental +0.07 1982 · Ben Rudolph · incremental +0.08 1982 · John Woodring · incremental +0.16 1982 · Kenny Neil · incremental +0.21 1982 · Lance Mehl · incremental +0.46 1982 · Darrol Ray · incremental +0.48 1982 · Lam Jones · incremental -0.18 1982 · Bob Crable · incremental -0.21 1982 · Dwayne Crutchfield · incremental -0.22 1982 · George Floyd · incremental -0.23 1982 · Lonell Phea · incremental -0.81 1982 · Freeman McNeil · incremental -2.25 1982 · Mark Jerue · incremental -3.04 1982 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -4.50 1983 · Jesse Johnson · incremental +0.03 1983 · Bob Crable · incremental +0.10 1983 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.11 1983 · Ben Rudolph · incremental +0.21 1983 · Kenny Neil · incremental +0.27 1983 · John Woodring · incremental +0.40 1983 · Lance Mehl · incremental +0.62 1983 · Darrol Ray · incremental +0.63 1983 · Lam Jones · incremental -0.12 1983 · Ken O'Brien · incremental -0.14 1983 · Tom Coombs · incremental -0.22 1983 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -0.23 1983 · Jo-Jo Townsell · incremental -0.26 1983 · Dwayne Crutchfield · incremental -0.44 1983 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental -0.46 1983 · Vincent White · incremental -0.75 1983 · John Walker · incremental -0.85 1983 · Darrin Newbold · incremental -0.85 1983 · Johnny Hector · incremental -1.04 1983 · Wes Howell · incremental -1.07 1984 · Bob Crable · incremental +0.03 1984 · Ben Rudolph · incremental +0.14 1984 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.17 1984 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +0.26 1984 · John Woodring · incremental +0.29 1984 · Darrol Ray · incremental +0.46 1984 · Lance Mehl · incremental +0.51 1984 · Harry Hamilton · incremental -0.08 1984 · Lam Jones · incremental -0.17 1984 · George Floyd · incremental -0.44 1984 · Tony Paige · incremental -0.48 1984 · Russell Carter · incremental -0.54 1984 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -0.59 1984 · Freeman McNeil · incremental -0.61 1984 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental -0.73 1984 · Tron Armstrong · incremental -0.97 1984 · Bobby Bell · incremental -1.02 1984 · Ron Faurot · incremental -1.25 1984 · Glenn Dennison · incremental -1.28 1984 · Kyle Clifton · incremental -1.70 1984 · Jim Sweeney · incremental -6.01 1985 · John Woodring · incremental +0.02 1985 · Bob Crable · incremental +0.05 1985 · Harry Hamilton · incremental +0.12 1985 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.14 1985 · Ben Rudolph · incremental +0.19 1985 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.22 1985 · Al Toon · incremental +0.36 1985 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.55 1985 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +1.34 1985 · Lance Mehl · incremental +1.62 1985 · Troy Benson · incremental -0.03 1985 · Jo-Jo Townsell · incremental -0.19 1985 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental -0.23 1985 · Russell Carter · incremental -0.25 1985 · Lester Lyles · incremental -0.26 1985 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -0.44 1985 · Tony Paige · incremental -0.47 1985 · Rich Miano · incremental -0.48 1985 · Ron Faurot · incremental -0.49 1985 · Freeman McNeil · incremental -0.56 1985 · Tony Smith · incremental -0.84 1985 · Brian Luft · incremental -0.85 1985 · Jeff Deaton · incremental -1.05 1985 · Doug Allen · incremental -1.18 1985 · Donnie Elder · incremental -2.42 1986 · Jo-Jo Townsell · incremental +0.04 1986 · Harry Hamilton · incremental +0.12 1986 · Bob Crable · incremental +0.13 1986 · Ben Rudolph · incremental +0.14 1986 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.15 1986 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.21 1986 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.22 1986 · Lance Mehl · incremental +0.25 1986 · Troy Benson · incremental +0.25 1986 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.51 1986 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +0.59 1986 · Al Toon · incremental +3.37 1986 · Rich Miano · incremental -0.11 1986 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental -0.12 1986 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -0.30 1986 · Mike Haight · incremental -0.32 1986 · Russell Carter · incremental -0.36 1986 · Tony Paige · incremental -0.47 1986 · Bob White · incremental -0.79 1986 · Lester Lyles · incremental -0.79 1986 · Ron Hadley · incremental -1.07 1986 · Rogers Alexander · incremental -1.27 1986 · Tim Crawford · incremental -1.57 1986 · Doug Williams · incremental -2.08 1987 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental +0.06 1987 · Jo-Jo Townsell · incremental +0.06 1987 · Lance Mehl · incremental +0.08 1987 · Bob Crable · incremental +0.09 1987 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.10 1987 · Harry Hamilton · incremental +0.13 1987 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.14 1987 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.16 1987 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.31 1987 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +0.47 1987 · Troy Benson · incremental +0.53 1987 · Al Toon · incremental +1.35 1987 · Gerald Nichols · incremental -0.01 1987 · Mike Haight · incremental -0.01 1987 · Roger Vick · incremental -0.10 1987 · Lester Lyles · incremental -0.12 1987 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -0.23 1987 · Russell Carter · incremental -0.23 1987 · Tracy Martin · incremental -0.29 1987 · Alex Gordon · incremental -0.34 1987 · Rich Miano · incremental -0.37 1987 · Onzy Elam · incremental -1.13 1987 · Kirby Jackson · incremental -1.32 1988 · Roger Vick · incremental +0.01 1988 · Marion Barber Jr. · incremental +0.02 1988 · Jo-Jo Townsell · incremental +0.10 1988 · Gerald Nichols · incremental +0.13 1988 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.21 1988 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.22 1988 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.23 1988 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.48 1988 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +0.49 1988 · Troy Benson · incremental +0.76 1988 · Al Toon · incremental +1.44 1988 · Erik McMillan · incremental +1.69 1988 · Mike Haight · incremental -0.08 1988 · Alex Gordon · incremental -0.12 1988 · Paul Frase · incremental -0.15 1988 · Onzy Elam · incremental -0.24 1988 · Mike Withycombe · incremental -0.40 1988 · Dave Cadigan · incremental -0.47 1988 · Rich Miano · incremental -0.49 1988 · Gary Patton · incremental -0.49 1988 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -0.59 1988 · Terry Williams · incremental -1.50 1988 · James Hasty · incremental -1.54 1989 · Dave Cadigan · incremental +0.00 1989 · Roger Vick · incremental +0.02 1989 · Paul Frase · incremental +0.06 1989 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.08 1989 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.11 1989 · James Hasty · incremental +0.14 1989 · Gerald Nichols · incremental +0.18 1989 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.21 1989 · Al Toon · incremental +0.29 1989 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +0.43 1989 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.48 1989 · Troy Benson · incremental +0.68 1989 · Erik McMillan · incremental +1.81 1989 · Rich Miano · incremental -0.07 1989 · Mike Haight · incremental -0.09 1989 · Alex Gordon · incremental -0.13 1989 · Terry Williams · incremental -0.15 1989 · Jo-Jo Townsell · incremental -0.29 1989 · Mike Withycombe · incremental -0.35 1989 · Reggie McElroy · incremental -0.47 1990 · Jo-Jo Townsell · incremental +0.04 1990 · James Hasty · incremental +0.14 1990 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.15 1990 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.16 1990 · Gerald Nichols · incremental +0.17 1990 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.21 1990 · Al Toon · incremental +0.42 1990 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.51 1990 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +0.58 1990 · Erik McMillan · incremental +0.68 1990 · Dave Cadigan · incremental -0.04 1990 · Mike Haight · incremental -0.11 1991 · Paul Frase · incremental +0.08 1991 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.11 1991 · James Hasty · incremental +0.14 1991 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.15 1991 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.21 1991 · Erik McMillan · incremental +0.45 1991 · Al Toon · incremental +0.50 1991 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.53 1991 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +1.27 1991 · Mike Haight · incremental -0.05 1991 · Dave Cadigan · incremental -0.06 1992 · Johnny Hector · incremental +0.03 1992 · Paul Frase · incremental +0.05 1992 · Freeman McNeil · incremental +0.09 1992 · James Hasty · incremental +0.14 1992 · Ken O'Brien · incremental +0.17 1992 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.21 1992 · Al Toon · incremental +0.21 1992 · Erik McMillan · incremental +0.26 1992 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.54 1992 · Dave Cadigan · incremental -0.06 1993 · Paul Frase · incremental +0.07 1993 · James Hasty · incremental +0.14 1993 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.21 1993 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.54 1993 · Dave Cadigan · incremental -0.11 1994 · Paul Frase · incremental +0.08 1994 · James Hasty · incremental +0.14 1994 · Jim Sweeney · incremental +0.21 1994 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.30 1995 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.20 1996 · Kyle Clifton · incremental +0.20 Clayton -2.2 Keys -2.9 McNeil -2.3 Jerue -3.0 McElroy -4.5 Clifton -1.7 Sweeney -6.0 Mehl +1.6 Elder -2.4 Toon +3.4 Williams -2.1 McMillan +1.7 McMillan +1.8 1980 10 players 1981 11 players 1982 16 players 1983 20 players 1984 21 players 1985 25 players 1986 24 players 1987 23 players 1988 23 players 1989 20 players 1990 12 players 1991 11 players 1992 10 players 1993 5 players 1994 4 players 1995 1 player 1996 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Tyrone Keys GM total -20.5 Tyrone Keys by season -2.9
How much retained production did Tyrone Keys return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DEs drafted within ±5 picks of Tyrone Keys since 2010 (13 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 109. Dorlus Brandon Dorlus · model value +0.6 113. Barnes Derrick Barnes · model value +0.2 109. Wootton Corey Wootton · model value +0.2 116. Wooden Colby Wooden · model value +0.2 117. Wonnum D.J. Wonnum · model value 0 117. Bryant Austin Bryant · model value -0.1 116. Gibson Thaddeus Gibson · model value -0.1 111. Sample Cameron Sample · model value -0.3 116. Uwazurike Eyioma Uwazurike · model value -0.3 114. Hand Da'Shawn Hand · model value -0.4 116. Jr. Dorance Armstrong Jr. · model value -0.4 118. Rumph Chris Rumph · model value -0.6 113. Keys Tyrone Keys · model value -0.7 -0.7 108. Marsh Cassius Marsh · model value -0.8 Tyrone Keys Slot-similar peers (13)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'82 '84 '86 '88 0 6 12 18 24 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (8 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.