Mike Sims-Walker · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Mike Sims-Walker across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played44

Games started32

Weighted career AV16

Pro Bowls0

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons5

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2007 · Round 3 · #79

JAX draft credit

GM James Harris

Team games40

Team starts29

On-team AV16

On-team PB / AP10 / 0

Excellent+0.82 contribution9th of 49 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Mike Sims-Walker was James Harris's 9th-best of 49 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.82. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from James Harris's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 44 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 32 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 16

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move James Harris's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every James Harris pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Mike Sims-Walker totals +0.82. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationMike Sims-WalkerGM total -4.6Mike Sims-Walker by season +1.2

How much retained production did Mike Sims-Walker return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Mike Sims-Walker since 2010 (29 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Mike Sims-WalkerSlot-similar peers (29)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (5 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap
2007	—	0	0	—	—	0	—
2008	JAX	9	1	—	—	2	—
2009	JAX	15	14	—	—	8	—
2010	JAX	14	13	—	—	6	—
2011	JAX, LAR	6	4	—	—	1	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.