All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Sidney Rice across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 81
Games started 57
Weighted career AV 33
Pro Bowls 1
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 7
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 48
Team starts 26
On-team AV 21
On-team PB / AP1 1 / 0
Good +0.47 contribution 14th of 42 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Sidney Rice was Rick Spielman's 14th-best of 42 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.47 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Rick Spielman's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
48
on drafting team · 81 full-career
Games started
26
on drafting team · 57 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
21
modeled; full weighted AV 33
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
1
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Rick Spielman's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Rick Spielman pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Sidney Rice totals +0.47 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 100. Griffen #100 · Everson Griffen · aggregate +4.17 Griffen +4.2 102. Robison #102 · Brian Robison · aggregate +1.95 127. Edwards #127 · Ray Edwards · aggregate +1.91 54. Loadholt #54 · Phil Loadholt · aggregate +1.68 17. Greenway #17 · Chad Greenway · aggregate +1.45 150. Brinkley #150 · Jasper Brinkley · aggregate +1.33 231. Sanford #231 · Jamarca Sanford · aggregate +1.25 48. Griffin #48 · Cedric Griffin · aggregate +1.23 43. Rudolph #43 · Kyle Rudolph · aggregate +1.20 172. Fusco #172 · Brandon Fusco · aggregate +0.99 187. Sullivan #187 · John Sullivan · aggregate +0.92 170. Raymond #170 · Mistral Raymond · aggregate +0.59 22. Harvin #22 · Percy Harvin · aggregate +0.58 44. Rice #44 · Sidney Rice · aggregate +0.47 Rice +0.5 12. Ponder #12 · Christian Ponder · aggregate +0.43 86. Allen #86 · Asher Allen · aggregate +0.35 43. Johnson #43 · Tyrell Johnson · aggregate +0.26 7. Peterson #7 · Adrian Peterson · aggregate +0.24 51. Cook #51 · Ryan Cook · aggregate +0.19 146. Allison #146 · Aundrae Allison · aggregate +0.06 152. Guion #152 · Letroy Guion · aggregate +0.06 149. Blue #149 · Greg Blue · aggregate +0.00 236. Burton #236 · Stephen Burton · aggregate -0.03 237. D'Imperio #237 · Ryan D'Imperio · aggregate -0.04 137. Booty #137 · John David Booty · aggregate -0.05 51. Gerhart #51 · Toby Gerhart · aggregate -0.06 217. Thigpen #217 · Tyler Thigpen · aggregate -0.10 106. Ballard #106 · Christian Ballard · aggregate -0.10 34. Cook #34 · Chris Cook · aggregate -0.11 233. Williams #233 · Chandler Williams · aggregate -0.12 215. Reed #215 · D'Aundre Reed · aggregate -0.15 72. McCauley #72 · Marcus McCauley · aggregate -0.16 193. Johnson #193 · Jaymar Johnson · aggregate -0.17 139. Burton #139 · Brandon Burton · aggregate -0.27 161. DeGeare #161 · Chris DeGeare · aggregate -0.36 176. Alexander #176 · Rufus Alexander · aggregate -0.42 214. Shuler #214 · Mickey Shuler · aggregate -0.43 200. Homan #200 · Ross Homan · aggregate -0.47 167. Triplett #167 · Nate Triplett · aggregate -0.54 168. Love #168 · Demarcus Love · aggregate -0.62 64. Jackson #64 · Tarvaris Jackson · aggregate -1.21 199. Webb #199 · Joe Webb · aggregate -1.94 Incremental contribution by season -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 2006 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.13 2006 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.22 2006 · Greg Blue · incremental -0.07 2006 · Ryan Cook · incremental -0.14 2006 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.42 2006 · Chad Greenway · incremental -1.97 2007 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.15 2007 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.50 2007 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.54 2007 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.55 2007 · Brian Robison · incremental +1.01 2007 · Aundrae Allison · incremental -0.04 2007 · Sidney Rice · incremental -0.09 2007 · Tyler Thigpen · incremental -0.19 2007 · Marcus McCauley · incremental -0.21 2007 · Chandler Williams · incremental -0.25 2007 · Rufus Alexander · incremental -0.27 2007 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.78 2007 · Adrian Peterson · incremental -2.13 2008 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.10 2008 · Aundrae Allison · incremental +0.11 2008 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.12 2008 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.14 2008 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.21 2008 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.24 2008 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.38 2008 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.47 2008 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.54 2008 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.71 2008 · Sidney Rice · incremental -0.02 2008 · Marcus McCauley · incremental -0.05 2008 · Jaymar Johnson · incremental -0.08 2008 · John David Booty · incremental -0.12 2008 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.43 2008 · Rufus Alexander · incremental -0.46 2009 · Asher Allen · incremental +0.04 2009 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.04 2009 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.12 2009 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.23 2009 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.26 2009 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.41 2009 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.48 2009 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.50 2009 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.52 2009 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.55 2009 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.74 2009 · Sidney Rice · incremental +0.94 2009 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +1.28 2009 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +1.55 2009 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +2.30 2009 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.16 2009 · Jaymar Johnson · incremental -0.23 2010 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.02 2010 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.07 2010 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.07 2010 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.07 2010 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.13 2010 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +0.16 2010 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.25 2010 · Asher Allen · incremental +0.30 2010 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.30 2010 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.38 2010 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.55 2010 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.65 2010 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.67 2010 · Everson Griffen · incremental +2.77 2010 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.01 2010 · Toby Gerhart · incremental -0.01 2010 · Sidney Rice · incremental -0.02 2010 · Ryan D'Imperio · incremental -0.05 2010 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.11 2010 · Adrian Peterson · incremental -0.22 2010 · Chris DeGeare · incremental -0.62 2010 · Mickey Shuler · incremental -0.88 2010 · Nate Triplett · incremental -0.94 2010 · Joe Webb · incremental -1.53 2011 · Ryan D'Imperio · incremental +0.01 2011 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.04 2011 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.08 2011 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.08 2011 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.10 2011 · Asher Allen · incremental +0.21 2011 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.21 2011 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.42 2011 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.44 2011 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.47 2011 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.55 2011 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.60 2011 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.66 2011 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.72 2011 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.83 2011 · Chad Greenway · incremental +1.00 2011 · Mistral Raymond · incremental +1.17 2011 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.01 2011 · Stephen Burton · incremental -0.05 2011 · D'Aundre Reed · incremental -0.05 2011 · Christian Ballard · incremental -0.18 2011 · Toby Gerhart · incremental -0.22 2011 · Brandon Burton · incremental -0.41 2011 · Ross Homan · incremental -0.81 2011 · Joe Webb · incremental -1.00 2011 · Demarcus Love · incremental -1.04 2012 · Stephen Burton · incremental +0.02 2012 · Christian Ballard · incremental +0.04 2012 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.05 2012 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.06 2012 · Toby Gerhart · incremental +0.12 2012 · Mistral Raymond · incremental +0.14 2012 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.24 2012 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.27 2012 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +0.41 2012 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.45 2012 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.45 2012 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.49 2012 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.54 2012 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.58 2012 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.69 2012 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.69 2012 · Chad Greenway · incremental +1.09 2012 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.00 2012 · Joe Webb · incremental -0.03 2012 · Brandon Burton · incremental -0.06 2012 · D'Aundre Reed · incremental -0.24 2013 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.03 2013 · Toby Gerhart · incremental +0.03 2013 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.11 2013 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.13 2013 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.17 2013 · Mistral Raymond · incremental +0.22 2013 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.34 2013 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.45 2013 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.45 2013 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.52 2013 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.52 2013 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.57 2013 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.66 2013 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.01 2013 · Joe Webb · incremental -0.95 2014 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.01 2014 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.02 2014 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.09 2014 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.17 2014 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +0.27 2014 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.40 2014 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.44 2014 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.48 2014 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.52 2014 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.57 2015 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.33 2015 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.40 2015 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.49 2015 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.54 2015 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.59 2015 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.72 2016 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.01 2016 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.30 2016 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.34 2016 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.41 2016 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.59 2016 · Everson Griffen · incremental +1.56 2017 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.40 2017 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.66 2017 · Everson Griffen · incremental +1.60 2018 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.33 2018 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.35 2019 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.32 2019 · Everson Griffen · incremental +1.47 2020 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.25 2021 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.24 Greenway -2.0 Rice -0.1 Peterson -2.1 Rice -0.0 Rice +0.9 Sanford +1.5 Brinkley +2.3 Griffen +2.8 Rice -0.0 Webb -1.5 Griffen +1.6 Griffen +1.6 2006 6 players 2007 13 players 2008 16 players 2009 17 players 2010 24 players 2011 26 players 2012 21 players 2013 15 players 2014 10 players 2015 6 players 2016 6 players 2017 3 players 2018 2 players 2019 2 players 2020 1 player 2021 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Sidney Rice GM total +14.0 Sidney Rice by season +0.8
How much retained production did Sidney Rice return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Sidney Rice since 2010 (24 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 +1 +1.5 +2 Model value above slot 47. Thomas Michael Thomas · model value +2.1 +2.1 45. Jeffery Alshon Jeffery · model value +0.7 41. Funchess Devin Funchess · model value +0.5 40. Sutton Courtland Sutton · model value +0.4 49. Claypool Chase Claypool · model value +0.3 43. Robinson Wan'Dale Robinson · model value +0.1 44. Rice Sidney Rice · model value +0.1 +0.1 47. Kirk Christian Kirk · model value 0 39. Lee Marqise Lee · model value 0 49. Moore Rondale Moore · model value -0.1 39. Burden Luther Burden · model value -0.1 44. Young Titus Young · model value -0.2 42. Jr. Laviska Shenault Jr. · model value -0.2 45. Richardson Paul Richardson · model value -0.2 40. Green-Beckham Dorial Green-Beckham · model value -0.2 40. Samuel Curtis Samuel · model value -0.5 40. Shepard Sterling Shepard · model value -0.5 46. Hamler KJ Hamler · model value -0.5 42. Matthews Jordan Matthews · model value -0.7 44. Metchie John Metchie · model value -0.7 39. Benn Arrelious Benn · model value -0.8 44. Pettis Dante Pettis · model value -0.8 43. Hill Stephen Hill · model value -0.8 39. Mingo Jonathan Mingo · model value -0.9 41. Woods Robert Woods · model value -1.1 Sidney Rice Slot-similar peers (24)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'08 '10 '12 '13 0 14 29 43 57 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (7 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.