Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
A Good pick
David Njoku was Sashi Brown's 4th-best of 24 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.38. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Sashi Brown's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
118
on drafting team
Games started
88
on drafting team
Snap-z
7.1
9 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
31
modeled; full weighted AV 27
AV / 1k snaps
5.5
5,607 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.3
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
1
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only
Did this pick move Sashi Brown's grade?
The first chart removes the time axis: every Sashi Brown pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. David Njoku totals +0.38. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player
Incremental contribution by season
Above expectationBelow expectationDavid NjokuGM total -1.4David Njoku by season +1.5
How much retained production did David Njoku return vs. his slot?
Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: TEs drafted within ±5 picks of David Njoku since 2010 (4 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
David NjokuSlot-similar peers (4)
Cumulative value over time
Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
Games started (cumulative)Pro BowlsAP1 All-ProAP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (9 scored seasons)
Year
Team
GP
GS
Snaps
Snap-z
AV
AV/snap
PB
AP1
AP2
2017
CLE
16
6
667
0.9
2
3.0
2018
CLE
16
16
871
1.8
5
5.7
2019
CLE
4
1
99
-1.0
0
0.0
2020
CLE
13
6
410
0.1
2
4.9
2021
CLE
16
15
670
1.0
4
6.0
2022
CLE
14
13
817
1.4
6
7.3
2023
CLE
16
16
970
2.0
7
7.2
✓
2024
CLE
11
9
589
0.6
3
5.1
2025
CLE
12
9
514
0.4
2
3.9
How to read this
The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.
