All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Brett Miller across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 118
Games started 63
Weighted career AV 28
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 10
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received 1983 · Round 5 · #129
ATL draft credit GM Tom Braatz
Team games 68
Team starts 36
On-team AV 17
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Terrible -0.83 contribution 50th of 62 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Brett Miller became a 10-season, 118-game NFL player after going #129. The retained-value model still ranks him 50th of 62 for Tom Braatz because ATL only got 68 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.83 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Tom Braatz's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
68
on drafting team · 118 full-career
Games started
36
on drafting team · 63 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
17
modeled; full weighted AV 28
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Tom Braatz's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Tom Braatz pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Brett Miller totals -0.83 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 48. Butler #48 · LeRoy Butler · aggregate +9.58 Butler +9.6 7. Sharpe #7 · Sterling Sharpe · aggregate +8.68 Sharpe +8.7 2. Fralic #2 · Bill Fralic · aggregate +4.68 Fralic +4.7 41. Holland #41 · Johnny Holland · aggregate +2.85 Holland +2.9 45. Gann #45 · Mike Gann · aggregate +2.40 Gann +2.4 32. Case #32 · Scott Case · aggregate +1.53 142. Jacke #142 · Chris Jacke · aggregate +1.34 61. Woodside #61 · Keith Woodside · aggregate +1.28 89. Cecil #89 · Chuck Cecil · aggregate +1.23 58. Brock #58 · Matt Brock · aggregate +1.10 69. Stephen #69 · Scott Stephen · aggregate +0.92 75. Provence #75 · Andrew Provence · aggregate +0.63 132. Benson #132 · Cliff Benson · aggregate +0.52 43. Britt #43 · James Britt · aggregate +0.48 191. Smith #191 · Bill Smith · aggregate +0.25 19. Thompson #19 · Darrell Thompson · aggregate +0.23 135. Fite #135 · Jeff Fite · aggregate +0.12 74. Dilweg #74 · Anthony Dilweg · aggregate +0.03 169. Hall #169 · Mark Hall · aggregate -0.04 173. Richard #173 · Gary Richard · aggregate -0.06 148. Bennett #148 · Ben Bennett · aggregate -0.07 132. Wilson #132 · Charles Wilson · aggregate -0.13 172. Leiker #172 · Tony Leiker · aggregate -0.16 127. Workman #127 · Vince Workman · aggregate -0.17 149. Dean #149 · Walter Dean · aggregate -0.20 124. Query #124 · Jeff Query · aggregate -0.25 9. Bryan #9 · Rick Bryan · aggregate -0.26 87. Graham #87 · Jeff Graham · aggregate -0.27 144. Hill #144 · Nate Hill · aggregate -0.28 176. Burnette #176 · Reggie Burnette · aggregate -0.33 183. Turk #183 · Jeff Turk · aggregate -0.34 152. Pleasant #152 · Reggie Pleasant · aggregate -0.34 34. Patterson #34 · Shawn Patterson · aggregate -0.34 163. Ralph #163 · Dan Ralph · aggregate -0.35 159. Paup #159 · Bryce Paup · aggregate -0.36 145. Marshall #145 · Willie Marshall · aggregate -0.39 169. Blevins #169 · Frank Blevins · aggregate -0.39 4. Fullwood #4 · Brent Fullwood · aggregate -0.44 164. Garten #164 · Joe Garten · aggregate -0.45 71. Neal #71 · Frankie Neal · aggregate -0.48 175. Dodge #175 · Kirk Dodge · aggregate -0.53 18. Bennett #18 · Tony Bennett · aggregate -0.58 88. Putzier #88 · Rollin Putzier · aggregate -0.62 89. Freeman #89 · Lorenzo Freeman · aggregate -0.63 67. Davey #67 · Don Davey · aggregate -0.63 116. Reed #116 · Darrell Reed · aggregate -0.66 81. Webb #81 · Chuck Webb · aggregate -0.67 102. Harper #102 · John Harper · aggregate -0.69 156. Allen #156 · Anthony Allen · aggregate -0.77 129. Miller #129 · Brett Miller · aggregate -0.83 Miller -0.8 94. Malancon #94 · Rydell Malancon · aggregate -0.83 61. Croston #61 · Dave Croston · aggregate -0.90 19. Clark #19 · Vinnie Clark · aggregate -0.99 102. Harris #102 · Jackie Harris · aggregate -1.68 63. McSwain #63 · Rod McSwain · aggregate -1.74 89. Harry #89 · Emile Harry · aggregate -1.94 35. Tuaolo #35 · Esera Tuaolo · aggregate -1.99 186. Archambeau #186 · Lester Archambeau · aggregate -2.02 Archambeau -2.0 75. Houston #75 · Bobby Houston · aggregate -2.55 Houston -2.6 36. Benson #36 · Thomas Benson · aggregate -2.87 Benson -2.9 16. Pitts #16 · Mike Pitts · aggregate -3.94 Pitts -3.9 2. Mandarich #2 · Tony Mandarich · aggregate -4.44 Mandarich -4.4 Incremental contribution by season -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 1983 · James Britt · incremental +0.14 1983 · Andrew Provence · incremental +0.31 1983 · Anthony Allen · incremental -0.07 1983 · Brett Miller · incremental -0.39 1983 · Jeff Turk · incremental -0.62 1983 · John Harper · incremental -1.10 1983 · Mike Pitts · incremental -3.14 1984 · Andrew Provence · incremental +0.26 1984 · James Britt · incremental +0.32 1984 · Cliff Benson · incremental +0.53 1984 · Ben Bennett · incremental -0.13 1984 · Brett Miller · incremental -0.28 1984 · Dan Ralph · incremental -0.63 1984 · Scott Case · incremental -0.71 1984 · Kirk Dodge · incremental -0.90 1984 · Rick Bryan · incremental -1.21 1984 · Mike Pitts · incremental -1.23 1984 · Rydell Malancon · incremental -1.32 1984 · Thomas Benson · incremental -1.89 1984 · Rod McSwain · incremental -2.79 1985 · James Britt · incremental +0.04 1985 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.17 1985 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.17 1985 · Andrew Provence · incremental +0.23 1985 · Bill Fralic · incremental +0.27 1985 · Scott Case · incremental +0.33 1985 · Cliff Benson · incremental +0.37 1985 · Brett Miller · incremental -0.24 1985 · Reggie Pleasant · incremental -0.61 1985 · Anthony Allen · incremental -0.72 1985 · Mike Pitts · incremental -1.39 1985 · Thomas Benson · incremental -2.55 1985 · Emile Harry · incremental -3.06 1986 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.15 1986 · James Britt · incremental +0.20 1986 · Andrew Provence · incremental +0.23 1986 · Scott Case · incremental +0.40 1986 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.64 1986 · Bill Fralic · incremental +2.88 1986 · Brett Miller · incremental -0.14 1986 · Anthony Allen · incremental -0.39 1986 · Mike Pitts · incremental -0.56 1987 · Brett Miller · incremental +0.00 1987 · Scott Stephen · incremental +0.02 1987 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.09 1987 · Andrew Provence · incremental +0.09 1987 · James Britt · incremental +0.13 1987 · Bill Smith · incremental +0.19 1987 · Scott Case · incremental +0.26 1987 · Johnny Holland · incremental +0.33 1987 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.41 1987 · Bill Fralic · incremental +2.78 1987 · Dave Croston · incremental -0.06 1987 · Brent Fullwood · incremental -0.20 1987 · Tony Leiker · incremental -0.36 1987 · Willie Marshall · incremental -0.68 1987 · Frankie Neal · incremental -0.82 1987 · Lorenzo Freeman · incremental -1.09 1988 · Chuck Cecil · incremental +0.10 1988 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.16 1988 · Scott Stephen · incremental +0.19 1988 · Scott Case · incremental +0.29 1988 · Keith Woodside · incremental +0.40 1988 · Sterling Sharpe · incremental +0.55 1988 · Johnny Holland · incremental +0.57 1988 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.60 1988 · Bill Fralic · incremental +1.08 1988 · Brett Miller · incremental -0.09 1988 · Gary Richard · incremental -0.18 1988 · Shawn Patterson · incremental -0.22 1988 · Brent Fullwood · incremental -0.25 1988 · Nate Hill · incremental -0.51 1988 · Rollin Putzier · incremental -1.06 1988 · Darrell Reed · incremental -1.11 1988 · Dave Croston · incremental -1.32 1989 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.02 1989 · Chuck Cecil · incremental +0.07 1989 · Scott Stephen · incremental +0.25 1989 · Scott Case · incremental +0.25 1989 · Brent Fullwood · incremental +0.38 1989 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.54 1989 · Johnny Holland · incremental +0.65 1989 · Keith Woodside · incremental +0.70 1989 · Bill Fralic · incremental +1.10 1989 · Sterling Sharpe · incremental +3.90 1989 · Anthony Dilweg · incremental -0.03 1989 · Vince Workman · incremental -0.08 1989 · Mark Hall · incremental -0.08 1989 · Matt Brock · incremental -0.11 1989 · Shawn Patterson · incremental -0.19 1989 · Jeff Graham · incremental -0.44 1989 · Jeff Query · incremental -0.50 1989 · Chris Jacke · incremental -0.90 1989 · Tony Mandarich · incremental -2.97 1990 · Darrell Thompson · incremental +0.02 1990 · Anthony Dilweg · incremental +0.04 1990 · Jeff Query · incremental +0.04 1990 · Vince Workman · incremental +0.06 1990 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.09 1990 · Chuck Cecil · incremental +0.18 1990 · Chris Jacke · incremental +0.19 1990 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.24 1990 · Bill Fralic · incremental +0.30 1990 · Scott Case · incremental +0.40 1990 · Matt Brock · incremental +0.45 1990 · Scott Stephen · incremental +0.49 1990 · Keith Woodside · incremental +0.55 1990 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.58 1990 · Johnny Holland · incremental +0.69 1990 · Sterling Sharpe · incremental +1.67 1990 · Shawn Patterson · incremental -0.00 1990 · Charles Wilson · incremental -0.00 1990 · Mark Hall · incremental -0.04 1990 · Brent Fullwood · incremental -0.09 1990 · Bryce Paup · incremental -0.35 1990 · Tony Bennett · incremental -0.38 1990 · Jackie Harris · incremental -0.95 1990 · Lester Archambeau · incremental -1.35 1990 · Tony Mandarich · incremental -1.96 1990 · Bobby Houston · incremental -4.02 1991 · Shawn Patterson · incremental +0.01 1991 · Vince Workman · incremental +0.05 1991 · Jeff Query · incremental +0.08 1991 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.14 1991 · Darrell Thompson · incremental +0.14 1991 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.18 1991 · Chris Jacke · incremental +0.19 1991 · Bill Fralic · incremental +0.23 1991 · Chuck Cecil · incremental +0.35 1991 · Scott Case · incremental +0.39 1991 · Matt Brock · incremental +0.45 1991 · Scott Stephen · incremental +0.48 1991 · Keith Woodside · incremental +0.55 1991 · Sterling Sharpe · incremental +0.65 1991 · Johnny Holland · incremental +0.65 1991 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.67 1991 · Jeff Fite · incremental -0.02 1991 · Bryce Paup · incremental -0.04 1991 · Don Davey · incremental -0.10 1991 · Charles Wilson · incremental -0.22 1991 · Tony Bennett · incremental -0.22 1991 · Walter Dean · incremental -0.33 1991 · Jackie Harris · incremental -0.39 1991 · Reggie Burnette · incremental -0.58 1991 · Vinnie Clark · incremental -0.64 1991 · Frank Blevins · incremental -0.69 1991 · Joe Garten · incremental -0.77 1991 · Lester Archambeau · incremental -1.01 1991 · Chuck Webb · incremental -1.08 1991 · Tony Mandarich · incremental -2.02 1991 · Esera Tuaolo · incremental -2.91 1992 · Darrell Thompson · incremental +0.07 1992 · Chris Jacke · incremental +0.20 1992 · Scott Case · incremental +0.28 1992 · Bill Fralic · incremental +0.31 1992 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.44 1992 · Matt Brock · incremental +0.45 1992 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.59 1992 · Johnny Holland · incremental +0.63 1992 · Chuck Cecil · incremental +1.37 1992 · Sterling Sharpe · incremental +3.92 1992 · Don Davey · incremental -0.04 1992 · Bryce Paup · incremental -0.09 1992 · Tony Bennett · incremental -0.23 1992 · Esera Tuaolo · incremental -0.23 1992 · Vince Workman · incremental -0.33 1992 · Jackie Harris · incremental -0.67 1992 · Lester Archambeau · incremental -0.67 1992 · Vinnie Clark · incremental -0.86 1993 · Rick Bryan · incremental +0.02 1993 · Darrell Thompson · incremental +0.16 1993 · Mike Gann · incremental +0.28 1993 · Scott Case · incremental +0.38 1993 · Matt Brock · incremental +0.40 1993 · Johnny Holland · incremental +0.72 1993 · Chris Jacke · incremental +2.18 1993 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +3.30 1993 · Sterling Sharpe · incremental +3.92 1993 · Don Davey · incremental -0.04 1993 · Bryce Paup · incremental -0.10 1993 · Shawn Patterson · incremental -0.11 1993 · Tony Bennett · incremental -0.11 1993 · Jackie Harris · incremental -0.69 1994 · Matt Brock · incremental +0.03 1994 · Darrell Thompson · incremental +0.07 1994 · Chris Jacke · incremental +0.18 1994 · Scott Case · incremental +0.19 1994 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.53 1994 · Sterling Sharpe · incremental +0.73 1994 · Bryce Paup · incremental -0.11 1994 · Don Davey · incremental -0.71 1995 · Chris Jacke · incremental +0.17 1995 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.62 1996 · Chris Jacke · incremental +0.19 1996 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +2.96 1997 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +2.85 1998 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +2.85 1999 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.62 2000 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.62 2001 · LeRoy Butler · incremental +0.39 Miller -0.4 Pitts -3.1 Miller -0.3 Miller -0.2 Harry -3.1 Fralic +2.9 Miller -0.1 Miller +0.0 Miller -0.1 Sharpe +3.9 Mandarich -3.0 Houston -4.0 Tuaolo -2.9 Sharpe +3.9 Butler +3.3 Sharpe +3.9 Butler +3.0 Butler +2.9 1983 7 players 1984 13 players 1985 13 players 1986 9 players 1987 16 players 1988 17 players 1989 19 players 1990 26 players 1991 31 players 1992 18 players 1993 14 players 1994 8 players 1995 2 players 1996 2 players 1997 1 player 1998 1 player 1999 1 player 2000 1 player 2001 1 player
How much retained production did Brett Miller return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: Ts drafted within ±5 picks of Brett Miller since 2010 (9 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 Model value above slot 130. Davenport Julién Davenport · model value +0.3 130. Lewis Alex Lewis · model value +0.1 126. Heck Charlie Heck · model value -0.1 131. Mosley Brandon Mosley · model value -0.2 129. Richardson Will Richardson · model value -0.3 128. Fox Jason Fox · model value -0.3 127. Leonard Rick Leonard · model value -0.4 129. Clark Cameron Clark · model value -0.5 129. Miller Brett Miller · model value -0.5 -0.5 129. Sharpe David Sharpe · model value -0.7 Brett Miller
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'84 '86 '88 '90 '92 0 16 32 47 63 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (10 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.