Anthony Miller · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Anthony Miller across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played52

Games started18

Weighted career AV12

Pro Bowls0

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons7

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2018 · Round 2 · #51

CHI draft credit

GM Ryan Pace

Team games47

Team starts17

On-team AV13

On-team PB / AP10 / 0

Terrible-0.87 contribution32nd of 46 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

A Terrible pick

Anthony Miller was Ryan Pace's 32nd-best of 46 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.87. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Ryan Pace's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 52 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 18 full-career

Snap-z

2.7

3 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 12

AV / 1k snaps

6.6

1,978 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

+0.1

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Ryan Pace's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Ryan Pace pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Anthony Miller totals -0.87. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationAnthony MillerGM total -12.2Anthony Miller by season -2.0

How much retained production did Anthony Miller return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Anthony Miller since 2010 (20 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Anthony MillerSlot-similar peers (20)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (7 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap
2018	CHI	15	11	615	0.8	4	6.5
2019	CHI	16	13	760	1.2	5	6.6
2020	CHI	16	10	603	0.7	4	6.6
2021	HOU, PIT	3	2	95	-2.0	0	0.0
2022	—	0	0	0	—	0	—
2023	—	0	0	0	—	0	—
2024	BAL	2	0	13	-1.2	0	0.0

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.