← 2011 DRAFT PLAYER PROFILE R1 · #8 OVERALL · QB

Jake Locker

Drafted by TEN · GM Ruston Webster · Washington

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Jake Locker across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played30
Games started23
Weighted career AV15
Pro Bowls0
AP1 All-Pro0
Career seasons4

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2011 · Round 1 · #8

TEN draft credit

GM Ruston Webster

Team games30
Team starts23
On-team AV16
On-team PB / AP10 / 0
Average-0.12 contribution17th of 39 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Average pick

Jake Locker was Ruston Webster's 17th-best of 39 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.12. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Ruston Webster's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
30
on drafting team
Games started
23
on drafting team
Snap-z
-0.6
2 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
16
modeled; full weighted AV 15
AV / 1k snaps
11.5
694 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.0
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only

Did this pick move Ruston Webster's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Ruston Webster pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jake Locker totals -0.12. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

-2-10+1+2+3+4+577. Casey#77 · Jurrell Casey · aggregate +5.98Casey +6.011. Lewan#11 · Taylor Lewan · aggregate +1.12151. Williamson#151 · Avery Williamson · aggregate +1.04248. Stafford#248 · Daimion Stafford · aggregate +0.80251. Campbell#251 · Tommie Campbell · aggregate +0.79142. Klug#142 · Karl Klug · aggregate +0.52175. Stingily#175 · Byron Stingily · aggregate +0.47112. Jones#112 · DaQuan Jones · aggregate +0.40109. McCarthy#109 · Colin McCarthy · aggregate +0.3920. Wright#20 · Kendall Wright · aggregate +0.38107. Schwenke#107 · Brian Schwenke · aggregate +0.35178. Mettenberger#178 · Zach Mettenberger · aggregate +0.25208. Gallik#208 · Andy Gallik · aggregate +0.2082. Martin#82 · Mike Martin · aggregate -0.03142. Edwards#142 · Lavar Edwards · aggregate -0.03211. Solomon#211 · Scott Solomon · aggregate -0.068. Locker#8 · Jake Locker · aggregate -0.12Locker -0.1212. Clayton#212 · Zach Clayton · aggregate -0.19245. McBride#245 · Tre McBride · aggregate -0.19115. Sensabaugh#115 · Coty Sensabaugh · aggregate -0.21130. Harper#130 · Jamie Harper · aggregate -0.25145. Thompson#145 · Taylor Thompson · aggregate -0.30202. Wooten#202 · Khalid Wooten · aggregate -0.31190. Martin#190 · Markelle Martin · aggregate -0.3439. Ayers#39 · Akeem Ayers · aggregate -0.35177. Mount#177 · Deiontrez Mount · aggregate -0.36122. Huff#122 · Marqueston Huff · aggregate -0.4597. Gooden#97 · Zaviar Gooden · aggregate -0.6454. Sankey#54 · Bishop Sankey · aggregate -0.6552. Brown#52 · Zach Brown · aggregate -0.67108. Fowler#108 · Jalston Fowler · aggregate -0.75138. Cobb#138 · David Cobb · aggregate -0.7510. Warmack#10 · Chance Warmack · aggregate -0.8934. Hunter#34 · Justin Hunter · aggregate -0.9140. Green-Beckham#40 · Dorial Green-Beckham · aggregate -0.9466. Poutasi#66 · Jeremiah Poutasi · aggregate -1.1070. Wreh-Wilson#70 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · aggregate -1.80100. Blackson#100 · Angelo Blackson · aggregate -2.58Blackson -2.62. Mariota#2 · Marcus Mariota · aggregate -2.86Mariota -2.9

Incremental contribution by season

-16-14-12-10-8-6-4-20+2+4+6+82011 · Jake Locker · incremental +0.272011 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.472011 · Colin McCarthy · incremental +0.812011 · Byron Stingily · incremental +1.242011 · Tommie Campbell · incremental +1.532011 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +4.152011 · Jamie Harper · incremental -0.372011 · Zach Clayton · incremental -0.372011 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.722012 · Mike Martin · incremental +0.032012 · Colin McCarthy · incremental +0.132012 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.242012 · Tommie Campbell · incremental +0.322012 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.452012 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.652012 · Jamie Harper · incremental -0.012012 · Byron Stingily · incremental -0.022012 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.052012 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental -0.092012 · Scott Solomon · incremental -0.142012 · Jake Locker · incremental -0.272012 · Taylor Thompson · incremental -0.372012 · Markelle Martin · incremental -0.642012 · Zach Brown · incremental -1.122013 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental +0.012013 · Mike Martin · incremental +0.062013 · Lavar Edwards · incremental +0.072013 · Taylor Thompson · incremental +0.102013 · Tommie Campbell · incremental +0.112013 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.132013 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.192013 · Colin McCarthy · incremental +0.222013 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.272013 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.802013 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +1.062013 · Byron Stingily · incremental -0.022013 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.062013 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.132013 · Jake Locker · incremental -0.182013 · Zach Brown · incremental -0.332013 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.552013 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.832013 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · incremental -1.612013 · Justin Hunter · incremental -1.622014 · Taylor Thompson · incremental +0.022014 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.152014 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.252014 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +0.272014 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.282014 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.292014 · Justin Hunter · incremental +0.592014 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.682014 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.802014 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.002014 · Zach Brown · incremental -0.012014 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental -0.012014 · Byron Stingily · incremental -0.032014 · Mike Martin · incremental -0.042014 · Jake Locker · incremental -0.102014 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.362014 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.502014 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.532014 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.602014 · Taylor Lewan · incremental -0.662014 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.732014 · DaQuan Jones · incremental -0.952014 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · incremental -1.632015 · Mike Martin · incremental +0.042015 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.102015 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.132015 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +0.132015 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.182015 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.202015 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.252015 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.392015 · Andy Gallik · incremental +0.482015 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.742015 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.982015 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental -0.042015 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.062015 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.162015 · Zach Brown · incremental -0.212015 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.272015 · Tre McBride · incremental -0.342015 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.362015 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.412015 · Deiontrez Mount · incremental -0.602015 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.612015 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · incremental -0.912015 · David Cobb · incremental -1.022015 · Justin Hunter · incremental -1.052015 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -1.622015 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -1.692015 · Angelo Blackson · incremental -3.482015 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -4.072016 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.092016 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.102016 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.102016 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.222016 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.472016 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.882016 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.992016 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.792016 · Tre McBride · incremental -0.042016 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062016 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.072016 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.112016 · David Cobb · incremental -0.192016 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.242016 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.262016 · Daimion Stafford · incremental -0.382016 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.762016 · Angelo Blackson · incremental -2.692017 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.092017 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.212017 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.222017 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.242017 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.642017 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.872017 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +1.312017 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.792017 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.042017 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062017 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.072017 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.142017 · David Cobb · incremental -0.202017 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -0.252017 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.282017 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.312017 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -0.312017 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.762018 · Tre McBride · incremental +0.002018 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.102018 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.332018 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.872018 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.812018 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.042018 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062018 · David Cobb · incremental -0.192018 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -0.232018 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.262018 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -0.282018 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.442018 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.602019 · Tre McBride · incremental +0.002019 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.172019 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.412019 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.762019 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062019 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.182019 · David Cobb · incremental -0.202019 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -0.242019 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -0.292019 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.322019 · Avery Williamson · incremental -0.362020 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.102020 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.482021 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.162021 · Avery Williamson · incremental -0.312022 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.07Locker +0.3Casey +4.2Locker -0.3Locker -0.2Hunter -1.6Locker -0.1Wreh-Wilson -1.6Green-Beckham -1.6Poutasi -1.7Blackson -3.5Mariota -4.1Casey +1.8Blackson -2.7Casey +1.8Casey +1.8Casey +1.820119 players201215 players201320 players201423 players201528 players201618 players201718 players201813 players201911 players20202 players20212 players20221 player
Above expectationBelow expectationJake LockerGM total -5.0Jake Locker by season -0.3

How much retained production did Jake Locker return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: QBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jake Locker since 2010 (18 players). Dark marks are GOAT-tier benchmarks (Brady, Manning, Mahomes) for orientation.The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

-2-10+1+2+3+4Model value above slot1. ManningPeyton Manning · model value +4.9+4.9199. BradyTom Brady · model value +4.5+4.510. MahomesPatrick Mahomes · model value +2.8+2.87. AllenJosh Allen · model value +2.6+2.66. HerbertJustin Herbert · model value +1.312. WatsonDeshaun Watson · model value +1.111. FieldsJustin Fields · model value +0.83. MayeDrake Maye · model value +0.75. TagovailoaTua Tagovailoa · model value +0.412. NixBo Nix · model value +0.412. PonderChristian Ponder · model value +0.38. LockerJake Locker · model value -0.1-0.13. BortlesBlake Bortles · model value -0.28. TannehillRyan Tannehill · model value -0.26. JonesDaniel Jones · model value -0.38. PenixMichael Penix · model value -0.34. RichardsonAnthony Richardson · model value -0.510. McCarthyJ.J. McCarthy · model value -0.93. LanceTrey Lance · model value -1.33. DarnoldSam Darnold · model value -1.710. RosenJosh Rosen · model value -2.1-2.110. GabbertBlaine Gabbert · model value -2.2-2.2
Jake LockerSlot-similar peers (18)GOAT QBs (Brady, Manning, Mahomes)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

'12'14'150510152001Cumulative GSHonors count
Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (5 scored seasons)

YearTeamGPGSSnapsSnap-zAVAV/snapPBAP1AP2
2011TEN502
2012TEN11116
2013TEN76395-0.2512.7
2014TEN73299-0.4310.0
20150000

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