Jordan Howard · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Jordan Howard across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played73

Games started52

Weighted career AV27

Pro Bowls1

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons7

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2016 · Round 5 · #150

CHI draft credit

GM Ryan Pace

Team games47

Team starts44

On-team AV23

On-team PB / AP11 / 0

Excellent+1.52 contribution6th of 46 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Jordan Howard was Ryan Pace's 6th-best of 46 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +1.52. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Ryan Pace's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 73 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 52 full-career

Snap-z

4.8

3 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 27

AV / 1k snaps

12.4

1,858 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

+0.2

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Ryan Pace's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Ryan Pace pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jordan Howard totals +1.52. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationJordan HowardGM total -12.2Jordan Howard by season +3.7

How much retained production did Jordan Howard return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: RBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jordan Howard since 2010 (17 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Jordan HowardSlot-similar peers (17)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (7 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB
2016	CHI	15	13	658	1.8	9	13.7	✓
2017	CHI	16	11	576	1.4	7	12.2
2018	CHI	16	15	624	1.6	7	11.2
2019	PHI	10	4	285	-0.1	3	10.5
2020	MIA, PHI	7	0	68	-2.3	0	0.0
2021	PHI	7	0	169	-0.4	3	17.8
2022	NO	2	0	4	-1.2	0	0.0

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.