DeAndre Houston-Carson

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow DeAndre Houston-Carson across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played107

Games started14

Weighted career AV11

Pro Bowls0

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons8

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2016 · Round 6 · #185

CHI draft credit

GM Ryan Pace

Team games94

Team starts9

On-team AV9

On-team PB / AP10 / 0

Bad-0.52 contribution25th of 46 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

A Bad pick

DeAndre Houston-Carson was Ryan Pace's 25th-best of 46 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.52. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Ryan Pace's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 107 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 14 full-career

Snap-z

-2.3

7 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 11

AV / 1k snaps

3.2

2,796 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

-0.2

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Ryan Pace's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Ryan Pace pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. DeAndre Houston-Carson totals -0.52. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationDeAndre Houston-CarsonGM total -12.2DeAndre Houston-Carson by season -1.0

How much retained production did DeAndre Houston-Carson return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: Ss drafted within ±5 picks of DeAndre Houston-Carson since 2010 (9 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

DeAndre Houston-CarsonSlot-similar peers (9)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (8 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap
2016	CHI	8	5	118	-1.2	0	0.0
2017	CHI	11	10	209	-1.0	1	4.8
2018	CHI	13	13	306	-0.6	1	3.3
2019	CHI	16	16	344	-0.5	1	2.9
2020	CHI	16	16	463	0.4	2	4.3
2021	CHI	13	13	657	0.3	2	3.0
2022	CHI	17	17	699	0.3	2	2.9
2023	BAL, HOU	13	13	683	-1.0	3	4.4

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.