← 2015 DRAFT PLAYER PROFILE R2 · #40 OVERALL · WR

Dorial Green-Beckham

Drafted by TEN · GM Ruston Webster · Oklahoma

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Dorial Green-Beckham across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played31
Games started12
Weighted career AV7
Pro Bowls0
AP1 All-Pro0
Career seasons2

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2015 · Round 2 · #40

TEN draft credit

GM Ruston Webster

Team games16
Team starts5
On-team AV4
On-team PB / AP10 / 0
Terrible-0.94 contribution35th of 39 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

A Terrible pick

Dorial Green-Beckham was Ruston Webster's 35th-best of 39 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.94. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Ruston Webster's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
16
on drafting team · 31 full-career
Games started
5
on drafting team · 12 full-career
Snap-z
-3.5
4 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
4
modeled; full weighted AV 7
AV / 1k snaps
6.7
596 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.1
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only

Did this pick move Ruston Webster's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Ruston Webster pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Dorial Green-Beckham totals -0.94. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

-2-10+1+2+3+4+577. Casey#77 · Jurrell Casey · aggregate +5.98Casey +6.011. Lewan#11 · Taylor Lewan · aggregate +1.12151. Williamson#151 · Avery Williamson · aggregate +1.04248. Stafford#248 · Daimion Stafford · aggregate +0.80251. Campbell#251 · Tommie Campbell · aggregate +0.79142. Klug#142 · Karl Klug · aggregate +0.52175. Stingily#175 · Byron Stingily · aggregate +0.47112. Jones#112 · DaQuan Jones · aggregate +0.40109. McCarthy#109 · Colin McCarthy · aggregate +0.3920. Wright#20 · Kendall Wright · aggregate +0.38107. Schwenke#107 · Brian Schwenke · aggregate +0.35178. Mettenberger#178 · Zach Mettenberger · aggregate +0.25208. Gallik#208 · Andy Gallik · aggregate +0.2082. Martin#82 · Mike Martin · aggregate -0.03142. Edwards#142 · Lavar Edwards · aggregate -0.03211. Solomon#211 · Scott Solomon · aggregate -0.068. Locker#8 · Jake Locker · aggregate -0.12212. Clayton#212 · Zach Clayton · aggregate -0.19245. McBride#245 · Tre McBride · aggregate -0.19115. Sensabaugh#115 · Coty Sensabaugh · aggregate -0.21130. Harper#130 · Jamie Harper · aggregate -0.25145. Thompson#145 · Taylor Thompson · aggregate -0.30202. Wooten#202 · Khalid Wooten · aggregate -0.31190. Martin#190 · Markelle Martin · aggregate -0.3439. Ayers#39 · Akeem Ayers · aggregate -0.35177. Mount#177 · Deiontrez Mount · aggregate -0.36122. Huff#122 · Marqueston Huff · aggregate -0.4597. Gooden#97 · Zaviar Gooden · aggregate -0.6454. Sankey#54 · Bishop Sankey · aggregate -0.6552. Brown#52 · Zach Brown · aggregate -0.67108. Fowler#108 · Jalston Fowler · aggregate -0.75138. Cobb#138 · David Cobb · aggregate -0.7510. Warmack#10 · Chance Warmack · aggregate -0.8934. Hunter#34 · Justin Hunter · aggregate -0.9140. Green-Beckham#40 · Dorial Green-Beckham · aggregate -0.94Green-Beckham -0.966. Poutasi#66 · Jeremiah Poutasi · aggregate -1.1070. Wreh-Wilson#70 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · aggregate -1.80100. Blackson#100 · Angelo Blackson · aggregate -2.58Blackson -2.62. Mariota#2 · Marcus Mariota · aggregate -2.86Mariota -2.9

Incremental contribution by season

-16-14-12-10-8-6-4-20+2+4+6+82011 · Jake Locker · incremental +0.272011 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.472011 · Colin McCarthy · incremental +0.812011 · Byron Stingily · incremental +1.242011 · Tommie Campbell · incremental +1.532011 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +4.152011 · Jamie Harper · incremental -0.372011 · Zach Clayton · incremental -0.372011 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.722012 · Mike Martin · incremental +0.032012 · Colin McCarthy · incremental +0.132012 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.242012 · Tommie Campbell · incremental +0.322012 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.452012 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.652012 · Jamie Harper · incremental -0.012012 · Byron Stingily · incremental -0.022012 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.052012 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental -0.092012 · Scott Solomon · incremental -0.142012 · Jake Locker · incremental -0.272012 · Taylor Thompson · incremental -0.372012 · Markelle Martin · incremental -0.642012 · Zach Brown · incremental -1.122013 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental +0.012013 · Mike Martin · incremental +0.062013 · Lavar Edwards · incremental +0.072013 · Taylor Thompson · incremental +0.102013 · Tommie Campbell · incremental +0.112013 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.132013 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.192013 · Colin McCarthy · incremental +0.222013 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.272013 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.802013 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +1.062013 · Byron Stingily · incremental -0.022013 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.062013 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.132013 · Jake Locker · incremental -0.182013 · Zach Brown · incremental -0.332013 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.552013 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.832013 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · incremental -1.612013 · Justin Hunter · incremental -1.622014 · Taylor Thompson · incremental +0.022014 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.152014 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.252014 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +0.272014 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.282014 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.292014 · Justin Hunter · incremental +0.592014 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.682014 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.802014 · Akeem Ayers · incremental -0.002014 · Zach Brown · incremental -0.012014 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental -0.012014 · Byron Stingily · incremental -0.032014 · Mike Martin · incremental -0.042014 · Jake Locker · incremental -0.102014 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.362014 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.502014 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.532014 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.602014 · Taylor Lewan · incremental -0.662014 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.732014 · DaQuan Jones · incremental -0.952014 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · incremental -1.632015 · Mike Martin · incremental +0.042015 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.102015 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.132015 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +0.132015 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.182015 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.202015 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.252015 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.392015 · Andy Gallik · incremental +0.482015 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +0.742015 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.982015 · Coty Sensabaugh · incremental -0.042015 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.062015 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.162015 · Zach Brown · incremental -0.212015 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.272015 · Tre McBride · incremental -0.342015 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.362015 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.412015 · Deiontrez Mount · incremental -0.602015 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.612015 · Blidi Wreh-Wilson · incremental -0.912015 · David Cobb · incremental -1.022015 · Justin Hunter · incremental -1.052015 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -1.622015 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -1.692015 · Angelo Blackson · incremental -3.482015 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -4.072016 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.092016 · Kendall Wright · incremental +0.102016 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.102016 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.222016 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.472016 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.882016 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.992016 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.792016 · Tre McBride · incremental -0.042016 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062016 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.072016 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.112016 · David Cobb · incremental -0.192016 · Chance Warmack · incremental -0.242016 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.262016 · Daimion Stafford · incremental -0.382016 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.762016 · Angelo Blackson · incremental -2.692017 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.092017 · Brian Schwenke · incremental +0.212017 · Karl Klug · incremental +0.222017 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.242017 · Avery Williamson · incremental +0.642017 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.872017 · Daimion Stafford · incremental +1.312017 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.792017 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.042017 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062017 · Khalid Wooten · incremental -0.072017 · Zaviar Gooden · incremental -0.142017 · David Cobb · incremental -0.202017 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -0.252017 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.282017 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.312017 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -0.312017 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.762018 · Tre McBride · incremental +0.002018 · Zach Mettenberger · incremental +0.102018 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.332018 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.872018 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.812018 · Marqueston Huff · incremental -0.042018 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062018 · David Cobb · incremental -0.192018 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -0.232018 · Bishop Sankey · incremental -0.262018 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -0.282018 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.442018 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.602019 · Tre McBride · incremental +0.002019 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.172019 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.412019 · Jurrell Casey · incremental +1.762019 · Andy Gallik · incremental -0.062019 · Marcus Mariota · incremental -0.182019 · David Cobb · incremental -0.202019 · Jeremiah Poutasi · incremental -0.242019 · Dorial Green-Beckham · incremental -0.292019 · Jalston Fowler · incremental -0.322019 · Avery Williamson · incremental -0.362020 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.102020 · DaQuan Jones · incremental +0.482021 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.162021 · Avery Williamson · incremental -0.312022 · Taylor Lewan · incremental +0.07Casey +4.2Wreh-Wilson -1.6Hunter -1.6Wreh-Wilson -1.6Green-Beckham -1.6Poutasi -1.7Blackson -3.5Mariota -4.1Casey +1.8Blackson -2.7Casey +1.8Green-Beckham -0.3Casey +1.8Green-Beckham -0.3Casey +1.8Green-Beckham -0.320119 players201215 players201320 players201423 players201528 players201618 players201718 players201813 players201911 players20202 players20212 players20221 player
Above expectationBelow expectationDorial Green-BeckhamGM total -5.0Dorial Green-Beckham by season -2.5

How much retained production did Dorial Green-Beckham return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Dorial Green-Beckham since 2010 (23 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

-1-0.50+0.5+1Model value above slot36. SamuelDeebo Samuel · model value +1.445. JefferyAlshon Jeffery · model value +0.741. FunchessDevin Funchess · model value +0.540. SuttonCourtland Sutton · model value +0.436. McClusterDexter McCluster · model value +0.443. RobinsonWan'Dale Robinson · model value +0.139. LeeMarqise Lee · model value 039. BurdenLuther Burden · model value -0.144. YoungTitus Young · model value -0.242. Jr.Laviska Shenault Jr. · model value -0.245. RichardsonPaul Richardson · model value -0.240. Green-BeckhamDorial Green-Beckham · model value -0.2-0.237. PolkJa'Lynn Polk · model value -0.340. SamuelCurtis Samuel · model value -0.540. ShepardSterling Shepard · model value -0.542. MatthewsJordan Matthews · model value -0.744. MetchieJohn Metchie · model value -0.739. BennArrelious Benn · model value -0.844. PettisDante Pettis · model value -0.843. HillStephen Hill · model value -0.839. MingoJonathan Mingo · model value -0.941. WoodsRobert Woods · model value -1.137. JonesZay Jones · model value -1.237. SmithDevin Smith · model value -1.2
Dorial Green-BeckhamSlot-similar peers (23)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

'16'18'190511162101Cumulative GSHonors count
Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (5 scored seasons)

YearTeamGPGSSnapsSnap-zAVAV/snapPBAP1AP2
2015TEN16115960.546.7
2016PHI15106410.634.7
2017TEN000-1.40
2018TEN000-1.30
2019TEN000-1.30

How to read this