All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Stephen Burton across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 19
Games started 3
Weighted career AV 0
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 3
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 15
Team starts 1
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Average -0.03 contribution 23rd of 42 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Stephen Burton was Rick Spielman's 23rd-best of 42 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.03 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Rick Spielman's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
15
on drafting team · 19 full-career
Games started
1
on drafting team · 3 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 0
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Rick Spielman's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Rick Spielman pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Stephen Burton totals -0.03 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 100. Griffen #100 · Everson Griffen · aggregate +4.17 Griffen +4.2 102. Robison #102 · Brian Robison · aggregate +1.95 127. Edwards #127 · Ray Edwards · aggregate +1.91 54. Loadholt #54 · Phil Loadholt · aggregate +1.68 17. Greenway #17 · Chad Greenway · aggregate +1.45 150. Brinkley #150 · Jasper Brinkley · aggregate +1.33 231. Sanford #231 · Jamarca Sanford · aggregate +1.25 48. Griffin #48 · Cedric Griffin · aggregate +1.23 43. Rudolph #43 · Kyle Rudolph · aggregate +1.20 172. Fusco #172 · Brandon Fusco · aggregate +0.99 187. Sullivan #187 · John Sullivan · aggregate +0.92 170. Raymond #170 · Mistral Raymond · aggregate +0.59 22. Harvin #22 · Percy Harvin · aggregate +0.58 44. Rice #44 · Sidney Rice · aggregate +0.47 12. Ponder #12 · Christian Ponder · aggregate +0.43 86. Allen #86 · Asher Allen · aggregate +0.35 43. Johnson #43 · Tyrell Johnson · aggregate +0.26 7. Peterson #7 · Adrian Peterson · aggregate +0.24 51. Cook #51 · Ryan Cook · aggregate +0.19 146. Allison #146 · Aundrae Allison · aggregate +0.06 152. Guion #152 · Letroy Guion · aggregate +0.06 149. Blue #149 · Greg Blue · aggregate +0.00 236. Burton #236 · Stephen Burton · aggregate -0.03 Burton -0.0 237. D'Imperio #237 · Ryan D'Imperio · aggregate -0.04 137. Booty #137 · John David Booty · aggregate -0.05 51. Gerhart #51 · Toby Gerhart · aggregate -0.06 217. Thigpen #217 · Tyler Thigpen · aggregate -0.10 106. Ballard #106 · Christian Ballard · aggregate -0.10 34. Cook #34 · Chris Cook · aggregate -0.11 233. Williams #233 · Chandler Williams · aggregate -0.12 215. Reed #215 · D'Aundre Reed · aggregate -0.15 72. McCauley #72 · Marcus McCauley · aggregate -0.16 193. Johnson #193 · Jaymar Johnson · aggregate -0.17 139. Burton #139 · Brandon Burton · aggregate -0.27 161. DeGeare #161 · Chris DeGeare · aggregate -0.36 176. Alexander #176 · Rufus Alexander · aggregate -0.42 214. Shuler #214 · Mickey Shuler · aggregate -0.43 200. Homan #200 · Ross Homan · aggregate -0.47 167. Triplett #167 · Nate Triplett · aggregate -0.54 168. Love #168 · Demarcus Love · aggregate -0.62 64. Jackson #64 · Tarvaris Jackson · aggregate -1.21 199. Webb #199 · Joe Webb · aggregate -1.94 Incremental contribution by season -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 2006 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.13 2006 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.22 2006 · Greg Blue · incremental -0.07 2006 · Ryan Cook · incremental -0.14 2006 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.42 2006 · Chad Greenway · incremental -1.97 2007 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.15 2007 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.50 2007 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.54 2007 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.55 2007 · Brian Robison · incremental +1.01 2007 · Aundrae Allison · incremental -0.04 2007 · Sidney Rice · incremental -0.09 2007 · Tyler Thigpen · incremental -0.19 2007 · Marcus McCauley · incremental -0.21 2007 · Chandler Williams · incremental -0.25 2007 · Rufus Alexander · incremental -0.27 2007 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.78 2007 · Adrian Peterson · incremental -2.13 2008 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.10 2008 · Aundrae Allison · incremental +0.11 2008 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.12 2008 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.14 2008 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.21 2008 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.24 2008 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.38 2008 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.47 2008 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.54 2008 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.71 2008 · Sidney Rice · incremental -0.02 2008 · Marcus McCauley · incremental -0.05 2008 · Jaymar Johnson · incremental -0.08 2008 · John David Booty · incremental -0.12 2008 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.43 2008 · Rufus Alexander · incremental -0.46 2009 · Asher Allen · incremental +0.04 2009 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.04 2009 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.12 2009 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.23 2009 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.26 2009 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.41 2009 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.48 2009 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.50 2009 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.52 2009 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.55 2009 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.74 2009 · Sidney Rice · incremental +0.94 2009 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +1.28 2009 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +1.55 2009 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +2.30 2009 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.16 2009 · Jaymar Johnson · incremental -0.23 2010 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.02 2010 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.07 2010 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.07 2010 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.07 2010 · Ryan Cook · incremental +0.13 2010 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +0.16 2010 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.25 2010 · Asher Allen · incremental +0.30 2010 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.30 2010 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.38 2010 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.55 2010 · Ray Edwards · incremental +0.65 2010 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.67 2010 · Everson Griffen · incremental +2.77 2010 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.01 2010 · Toby Gerhart · incremental -0.01 2010 · Sidney Rice · incremental -0.02 2010 · Ryan D'Imperio · incremental -0.05 2010 · Tarvaris Jackson · incremental -0.11 2010 · Adrian Peterson · incremental -0.22 2010 · Chris DeGeare · incremental -0.62 2010 · Mickey Shuler · incremental -0.88 2010 · Nate Triplett · incremental -0.94 2010 · Joe Webb · incremental -1.53 2011 · Ryan D'Imperio · incremental +0.01 2011 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.04 2011 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.08 2011 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.08 2011 · Tyrell Johnson · incremental +0.10 2011 · Asher Allen · incremental +0.21 2011 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.21 2011 · Cedric Griffin · incremental +0.42 2011 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.44 2011 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.47 2011 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.55 2011 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.60 2011 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.66 2011 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.72 2011 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.83 2011 · Chad Greenway · incremental +1.00 2011 · Mistral Raymond · incremental +1.17 2011 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.01 2011 · Stephen Burton · incremental -0.05 2011 · D'Aundre Reed · incremental -0.05 2011 · Christian Ballard · incremental -0.18 2011 · Toby Gerhart · incremental -0.22 2011 · Brandon Burton · incremental -0.41 2011 · Ross Homan · incremental -0.81 2011 · Joe Webb · incremental -1.00 2011 · Demarcus Love · incremental -1.04 2012 · Stephen Burton · incremental +0.02 2012 · Christian Ballard · incremental +0.04 2012 · Percy Harvin · incremental +0.05 2012 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.06 2012 · Toby Gerhart · incremental +0.12 2012 · Mistral Raymond · incremental +0.14 2012 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.24 2012 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.27 2012 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +0.41 2012 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.45 2012 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.45 2012 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.49 2012 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.54 2012 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.58 2012 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.69 2012 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.69 2012 · Chad Greenway · incremental +1.09 2012 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.00 2012 · Joe Webb · incremental -0.03 2012 · Brandon Burton · incremental -0.06 2012 · D'Aundre Reed · incremental -0.24 2013 · Letroy Guion · incremental +0.03 2013 · Toby Gerhart · incremental +0.03 2013 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.11 2013 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.13 2013 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.17 2013 · Mistral Raymond · incremental +0.22 2013 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.34 2013 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.45 2013 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.45 2013 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.52 2013 · Jamarca Sanford · incremental +0.52 2013 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.57 2013 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.66 2013 · Chris Cook · incremental -0.01 2013 · Joe Webb · incremental -0.95 2014 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.01 2014 · Christian Ponder · incremental +0.02 2014 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.09 2014 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.17 2014 · Jasper Brinkley · incremental +0.27 2014 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.40 2014 · John Sullivan · incremental +0.44 2014 · Phil Loadholt · incremental +0.48 2014 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.52 2014 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.57 2015 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.33 2015 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.40 2015 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.49 2015 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.54 2015 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.59 2015 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.72 2016 · Adrian Peterson · incremental +0.01 2016 · Chad Greenway · incremental +0.30 2016 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.34 2016 · Brandon Fusco · incremental +0.41 2016 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.59 2016 · Everson Griffen · incremental +1.56 2017 · Brian Robison · incremental +0.40 2017 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.66 2017 · Everson Griffen · incremental +1.60 2018 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.33 2018 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.35 2019 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.32 2019 · Everson Griffen · incremental +1.47 2020 · Kyle Rudolph · incremental +0.25 2021 · Everson Griffen · incremental +0.24 Greenway -2.0 Peterson -2.1 Sanford +1.5 Brinkley +2.3 Griffen +2.8 Webb -1.5 Burton -0.0 Burton +0.0 Griffen +1.6 Griffen +1.6 2006 6 players 2007 13 players 2008 16 players 2009 17 players 2010 24 players 2011 26 players 2012 21 players 2013 15 players 2014 10 players 2015 6 players 2016 6 players 2017 3 players 2018 2 players 2019 2 players 2020 1 player 2021 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Stephen Burton GM total +14.0 Stephen Burton by season -0.0
How much retained production did Stephen Burton return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Stephen Burton since 2010 (26 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 Model value above slot 235. Johnson Tez Johnson · model value +0.3 235. Vele Devaughn Vele · model value +0.3 237. Ford Isaiah Ford · model value +0.2 238. White Ricky White · model value +0.2 240. Prather Kaden Prather · model value +0.2 236. Wilson Marquess Wilson · model value +0.1 241. Washington Tahj Washington · model value +0.1 240. James Richie James · model value 0 241. Ausberry David Ausberry · model value 0 236. Burton Stephen Burton · model value 0 0 235. Ebert Jeremy Ebert · model value 0 231. Clemons Toney Clemons · model value -0.1 238. Mellette Aaron Mellette · model value -0.1 240. Reese Tevin Reese · model value -0.1 238. Alford Mario Alford · model value -0.1 233. Brown Da'Ron Brown · model value -0.1 234. Lewis Dezmin Lewis · model value -0.1 238. Fuller Devin Fuller · model value -0.1 236. Ursua John Ursua · model value -0.2 237. Godwin Terry Godwin · model value -0.2 239. Mitchell Dillon Mitchell · model value -0.2 239. Wright James Wright · model value -0.3 236. Janis Jeff Janis · model value -0.4 241. Peake Charone Peake · model value -0.5 238. Hemingway Junior Hemingway · model value -0.6 233. Young Dareke Young · model value -0.6 239. Brown Noah Brown · model value -0.7 Stephen Burton Slot-similar peers (26)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'12 '14 '15 0 1 2 2 3 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.