Nate Kaeding · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Nate Kaeding across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played115

Games started0

Weighted career AV21

Pro Bowls2

AP1 All-Pro1

Career seasons9

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2004 · Round 3 · #65

LAC draft credit

GM A.J. Smith

Team games113

Team starts0

On-team AV25

On-team PB / AP12 / 1

Excellent+2.60 contribution5th of 74 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Nate Kaeding was A.J. Smith's 5th-best of 74 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +2.60. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from A.J. Smith's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

113

on drafting team · 115 full-career

Games started

on drafting team

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 21

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

1 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 1

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move A.J. Smith's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every A.J. Smith pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Nate Kaeding totals +2.60. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationNate KaedingGM total +17.7Nate Kaeding by season +4.8

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (9 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP1	AP2
2004	LAC	16	—	—	3	—
2005	LAC	16	—	—	4	—
2006	LAC	16	—	—	4	—	✓		·
2007	LAC	16	—	—	4	—
2008	LAC	16	—	—	2	—
2009	LAC	16	—	—	4	—	✓	★
2010	LAC	13	—	—	3	—
2011	LAC	1	—	—	0	—
2012	LAC, MIA	5	—	—	1	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.