Alvis Whitted · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Alvis Whitted across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played123

Games started24

Weighted career AV9

Pro Bowls0

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons9

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1998 · Round 7 · #192

JAX draft credit

GM Tom Coughlin

Team games57

Team starts4

On-team AV3

On-team PB / AP10 / 0

Bad-0.78 contribution65th of 76 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

Long-career hit

Alvis Whitted became a 9-season, 123-game NFL player after going #192. The retained-value model still ranks him 65th of 76 for Tom Coughlin because JAX only got 57 of those games.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.78. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Tom Coughlin's leaderboard composite θ.

Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 123 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 24 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 9

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Tom Coughlin's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Tom Coughlin pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Alvis Whitted totals -0.78. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationAlvis WhittedGM total +10.8Alvis Whitted by season -1.0

How much retained production did Alvis Whitted return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Alvis Whitted since 2010 (25 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Alvis WhittedSlot-similar peers (25)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (9 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap
1998	JAX	16	0	—	—	1	—
1999	JAX	14	1	—	—	1	—
2000	JAX	16	3	—	—	1	—
2001	JAX	11	0	—	—	0	—
2002	LV	9	0	—	—	0	—
2003	LV	16	2	—	—	1	—
2004	LV	11	5	—	—	2	—
2005	LV	16	0	—	—	2	—
2006	LV	14	13	—	—	2	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.