All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Scott Turner across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 101
Games started 4
Weighted career AV 9
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 9
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 41
Team starts 0
On-team AV 4
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Terrible -0.85 contribution 56th of 66 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Scott Turner became a 9-season, 101-game NFL player after going #226. The retained-value model still ranks him 56th of 66 for Charley Casserly because WAS only got 41 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.85 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Charley Casserly's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
41
on drafting team · 101 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team · 4 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
4
modeled; full weighted AV 9
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Charley Casserly's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Charley Casserly pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Scott Turner totals -0.85 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 102. Davis #102 · Stephen Davis · aggregate +2.24 Davis +2.2 97. Patton #97 · Joe Patton · aggregate +1.94 37. Jansen #37 · Jon Jansen · aggregate +1.80 115. Connell #115 · Albert Connell · aggregate +1.64 101. Palmer #101 · Sterling Palmer · aggregate +1.54 137. Asher #137 · Jamie Asher · aggregate +1.51 138. Evans #138 · Leomont Evans · aggregate +1.41 155. Morrison #155 · Darryl Morrison · aggregate +1.27 76. Ervins #76 · Ricky Ervins · aggregate +1.18 191. Terrell #191 · David Terrell · aggregate +1.13 31. Johnson #31 · Tre' Johnson · aggregate +0.78 163. Nottage #163 · Dexter Nottage · aggregate +0.78 130. Mitchell #130 · Brian Mitchell · aggregate +0.73 174. Kinney #174 · Kelvin Kinney · aggregate +0.56 152. Owens #152 · Rich Owens · aggregate +0.45 51. Jones #51 · Greg Jones · aggregate +0.33 181. Hall #181 · Jeff Hall · aggregate +0.33 68. Pounds #68 · Darryl Pounds · aggregate +0.26 140. Fischer #140 · Mark Fischer · aggregate +0.25 132. Williams #132 · Jamel Williams · aggregate +0.22 46. Collins #46 · Andre Collins · aggregate +0.18 45. Brooks #45 · Reggie Brooks · aggregate +0.07 250. Maxwell #250 · DeAndre Maxwell · aggregate +0.05 69. Hicks #69 · Skip Hicks · aggregate +0.02 168. Rowe #168 · Ray Rowe · aggregate -0.01 140. Thibodeaux #140 · Keith Thibodeaux · aggregate -0.03 217. Alexander #217 · Tim Alexander · aggregate -0.04 4. Westbrook #4 · Michael Westbrook · aggregate -0.05 112. Hakel #112 · Chris Hakel · aggregate -0.06 196. Holmes #196 · Calvin Holmes · aggregate -0.09 159. Ransom #159 · Dennis Ransom · aggregate -0.10 17. Wilson #17 · Bobby Wilson · aggregate -0.18 170. Palmer #170 · Patrick Palmer · aggregate -0.18 47. Collins #47 · Shane Collins · aggregate -0.19 206. Ponds #206 · Antwaune Ponds · aggregate -0.19 80. Bunn #80 · Ed Bunn · aggregate -0.19 215. Asher #215 · Jeremy Asher · aggregate -0.21 160. Wells #160 · Kent Wells · aggregate -0.22 48. Alexander #48 · Stephen Alexander · aggregate -0.24 105. Haws #105 · Kurt Haws · aggregate -0.25 68. Winans #68 · Tydus Winans · aggregate -0.29 176. Thure #176 · Brian Thure · aggregate -0.32 188. Cash #188 · Keith Cash · aggregate -0.35 76. Elewonibi #76 · Mohammed Elewonibi · aggregate -0.40 165. Smith #165 · Derek Smith · aggregate -0.40 109. Labbe #109 · Rico Labbe · aggregate -0.47 86. Conklin #86 · Cary Conklin · aggregate -0.47 103. Jones #103 · Larry Jones · aggregate -0.50 107. Stimson #107 · Nate Stimson · aggregate -0.63 71. Hamilton #71 · Rick Hamilton · aggregate -0.66 37. Raymer #37 · Cory Raymer · aggregate -0.71 17. Carter #17 · Tom Carter · aggregate -0.74 148. Russell #148 · Twan Russell · aggregate -0.75 113. Barber #113 · Shawn Barber · aggregate -0.77 128. Huntington #128 · Greg Huntington · aggregate -0.78 226. Turner #226 · Scott Turner · aggregate -0.85 Turner -0.9 17. Lang #17 · Kenard Lang · aggregate -0.92 74. Siever #74 · Paul Siever · aggregate -0.93 80. Smith #80 · Derek Smith · aggregate -1.13 3. Shuler #3 · Heath Shuler · aggregate -1.36 197. Frerotte #197 · Gus Frerotte · aggregate -1.46 30. Johnson #30 · Andre Johnson · aggregate -1.47 162. Badger #162 · Brad Badger · aggregate -1.64 160. Wycheck #160 · Frank Wycheck · aggregate -2.21 Wycheck -2.2 7. Bailey #7 · Champ Bailey · aggregate -3.45 Bailey -3.5 4. Howard #4 · Desmond Howard · aggregate -4.86 Howard -4.9 Incremental contribution by season -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 1990 · Brian Mitchell · incremental +0.12 1990 · Cary Conklin · incremental -0.02 1990 · Mohammed Elewonibi · incremental -0.06 1990 · Kent Wells · incremental -0.44 1990 · Andre Collins · incremental -0.54 1990 · Rico Labbe · incremental -0.83 1991 · Brian Mitchell · incremental +0.12 1991 · Andre Collins · incremental +0.17 1991 · Ricky Ervins · incremental +0.42 1991 · Bobby Wilson · incremental -0.06 1991 · Dennis Ransom · incremental -0.38 1991 · Keith Cash · incremental -0.77 1992 · Brian Mitchell · incremental +0.12 1992 · Andre Collins · incremental +0.15 1992 · Ricky Ervins · incremental +0.41 1992 · Bobby Wilson · incremental -0.04 1992 · Cary Conklin · incremental -0.07 1992 · Ray Rowe · incremental -0.13 1992 · Chris Hakel · incremental -0.14 1992 · Mohammed Elewonibi · incremental -0.16 1992 · Shane Collins · incremental -0.16 1992 · Calvin Holmes · incremental -0.25 1992 · Paul Siever · incremental -1.51 1992 · Desmond Howard · incremental -3.49 1993 · Reggie Brooks · incremental +0.01 1993 · Darryl Morrison · incremental +0.04 1993 · Andre Collins · incremental +0.13 1993 · Ricky Ervins · incremental +0.28 1993 · Sterling Palmer · incremental +0.56 1993 · Bobby Wilson · incremental -0.06 1993 · Ray Rowe · incremental -0.08 1993 · Shane Collins · incremental -0.11 1993 · Brian Mitchell · incremental -0.26 1993 · Mohammed Elewonibi · incremental -0.46 1993 · Ed Bunn · incremental -0.48 1993 · Cary Conklin · incremental -0.66 1993 · Tom Carter · incremental -0.77 1993 · Rick Hamilton · incremental -1.00 1993 · Desmond Howard · incremental -1.23 1993 · Greg Huntington · incremental -1.25 1993 · Frank Wycheck · incremental -2.71 1994 · Joe Patton · incremental +0.00 1994 · Reggie Brooks · incremental +0.02 1994 · Andre Collins · incremental +0.17 1994 · Dexter Nottage · incremental +0.36 1994 · Ricky Ervins · incremental +0.51 1994 · Sterling Palmer · incremental +0.83 1994 · Darryl Morrison · incremental +0.94 1994 · Shane Collins · incremental -0.01 1994 · Rick Hamilton · incremental -0.02 1994 · Bobby Wilson · incremental -0.07 1994 · Tom Carter · incremental -0.11 1994 · Tydus Winans · incremental -0.16 1994 · Tre' Johnson · incremental -0.43 1994 · Gus Frerotte · incremental -0.43 1994 · Brian Mitchell · incremental -0.56 1994 · Kurt Haws · incremental -0.59 1994 · Frank Wycheck · incremental -0.76 1994 · Heath Shuler · incremental -1.10 1994 · Desmond Howard · incremental -2.94 1995 · Rich Owens · incremental +0.01 1995 · Darryl Pounds · incremental +0.06 1995 · Tre' Johnson · incremental +0.16 1995 · Jamie Asher · incremental +0.24 1995 · Darryl Morrison · incremental +0.30 1995 · Dexter Nottage · incremental +0.36 1995 · Joe Patton · incremental +0.72 1995 · Sterling Palmer · incremental +0.72 1995 · Brian Mitchell · incremental +2.01 1995 · Reggie Brooks · incremental -0.00 1995 · Tom Carter · incremental -0.13 1995 · Tydus Winans · incremental -0.33 1995 · Gus Frerotte · incremental -0.55 1995 · Brian Thure · incremental -0.56 1995 · Michael Westbrook · incremental -0.68 1995 · Heath Shuler · incremental -0.71 1995 · Larry Jones · incremental -0.84 1995 · Scott Turner · incremental -0.88 1995 · Cory Raymer · incremental -1.06 1996 · Darryl Pounds · incremental +0.06 1996 · Michael Westbrook · incremental +0.07 1996 · Leomont Evans · incremental +0.23 1996 · Sterling Palmer · incremental +0.28 1996 · Tre' Johnson · incremental +0.29 1996 · Rich Owens · incremental +0.31 1996 · Dexter Nottage · incremental +0.52 1996 · Darryl Morrison · incremental +0.73 1996 · Jamie Asher · incremental +0.85 1996 · Joe Patton · incremental +0.86 1996 · Kelvin Kinney · incremental -0.01 1996 · Heath Shuler · incremental -0.01 1996 · Cory Raymer · incremental -0.02 1996 · Brian Mitchell · incremental -0.08 1996 · Tom Carter · incremental -0.13 1996 · Stephen Davis · incremental -0.14 1996 · Scott Turner · incremental -0.26 1996 · Jeremy Asher · incremental -0.40 1996 · Gus Frerotte · incremental -0.71 1996 · Andre Johnson · incremental -2.31 1997 · Brian Mitchell · incremental +0.00 1997 · Greg Jones · incremental +0.07 1997 · Michael Westbrook · incremental +0.09 1997 · Jamel Williams · incremental +0.10 1997 · Kelvin Kinney · incremental +0.10 1997 · Albert Connell · incremental +0.12 1997 · Tre' Johnson · incremental +0.19 1997 · Darryl Pounds · incremental +0.21 1997 · Stephen Davis · incremental +0.23 1997 · Rich Owens · incremental +0.30 1997 · Leomont Evans · incremental +0.32 1997 · Jamie Asher · incremental +0.76 1997 · Joe Patton · incremental +0.81 1997 · Cory Raymer · incremental -0.01 1997 · Keith Thibodeaux · incremental -0.11 1997 · Scott Turner · incremental -0.13 1997 · Gus Frerotte · incremental -0.54 1997 · Brad Badger · incremental -0.56 1997 · Twan Russell · incremental -0.84 1997 · Kenard Lang · incremental -0.88 1997 · Derek Smith · incremental -1.12 1998 · Mark Fischer · incremental +0.01 1998 · Michael Westbrook · incremental +0.08 1998 · Brian Mitchell · incremental +0.11 1998 · Greg Jones · incremental +0.17 1998 · Tre' Johnson · incremental +0.18 1998 · Jamel Williams · incremental +0.22 1998 · Stephen Davis · incremental +0.28 1998 · Jamie Asher · incremental +0.41 1998 · Albert Connell · incremental +0.48 1998 · Joe Patton · incremental +0.55 1998 · Kelvin Kinney · incremental +0.70 1998 · Leomont Evans · incremental +0.85 1998 · Twan Russell · incremental -0.03 1998 · Cory Raymer · incremental -0.03 1998 · David Terrell · incremental -0.04 1998 · Skip Hicks · incremental -0.04 1998 · Darryl Pounds · incremental -0.09 1998 · Gus Frerotte · incremental -0.09 1998 · Kenard Lang · incremental -0.19 1998 · Derek Smith · incremental -0.25 1998 · Stephen Alexander · incremental -0.33 1998 · Patrick Palmer · incremental -0.36 1998 · Antwaune Ponds · incremental -0.37 1998 · Shawn Barber · incremental -0.47 1998 · Brad Badger · incremental -1.33 1999 · Skip Hicks · incremental +0.02 1999 · Jamel Williams · incremental +0.04 1999 · Brian Mitchell · incremental +0.11 1999 · Michael Westbrook · incremental +0.13 1999 · Greg Jones · incremental +0.20 1999 · Darryl Pounds · incremental +0.21 1999 · Jeff Hall · incremental +0.31 1999 · Tre' Johnson · incremental +0.40 1999 · Leomont Evans · incremental +0.84 1999 · Albert Connell · incremental +1.02 1999 · Stephen Davis · incremental +1.36 1999 · Cory Raymer · incremental -0.05 1999 · Tim Alexander · incremental -0.13 1999 · Kenard Lang · incremental -0.13 1999 · Stephen Alexander · incremental -0.23 1999 · Derek Smith · incremental -0.25 1999 · Twan Russell · incremental -0.26 1999 · Shawn Barber · incremental -0.35 1999 · Brad Badger · incremental -0.58 1999 · Jon Jansen · incremental -0.58 1999 · Derek Smith · incremental -0.71 1999 · Nate Stimson · incremental -1.06 1999 · Champ Bailey · incremental -4.36 2000 · Michael Westbrook · incremental +0.02 2000 · Skip Hicks · incremental +0.02 2000 · Tre' Johnson · incremental +0.07 2000 · Greg Jones · incremental +0.17 2000 · David Terrell · incremental +0.26 2000 · Mark Fischer · incremental +0.37 2000 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.46 2000 · Stephen Alexander · incremental +0.57 2000 · Albert Connell · incremental +0.76 2000 · Stephen Davis · incremental +1.33 2000 · Kenard Lang · incremental -0.05 2000 · Derek Smith · incremental -0.26 2000 · Shawn Barber · incremental -0.35 2000 · Champ Bailey · incremental -0.48 2001 · Michael Westbrook · incremental +0.12 2001 · Stephen Davis · incremental +0.43 2001 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.45 2001 · David Terrell · incremental +0.68 2001 · Cory Raymer · incremental -0.03 2001 · Shawn Barber · incremental -0.06 2001 · Stephen Alexander · incremental -0.09 2001 · Kenard Lang · incremental -0.22 2001 · Champ Bailey · incremental -0.37 2002 · Tre' Johnson · incremental +0.10 2002 · Stephen Davis · incremental +0.28 2002 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.45 2002 · David Terrell · incremental +0.68 2002 · Champ Bailey · incremental -0.37 2003 · David Terrell · incremental +0.19 2003 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.45 2003 · Champ Bailey · incremental -0.37 2004 · Cory Raymer · incremental -0.02 2005 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.55 2005 · Cory Raymer · incremental -0.00 2006 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.44 2007 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.02 2008 · Jon Jansen · incremental +0.32 Siever -1.5 Howard -3.5 Wycheck -2.7 Howard -2.9 Mitchell +2.0 Turner -0.9 Turner -0.3 Johnson -2.3 Turner -0.1 Bailey -4.4 1990 6 players 1991 6 players 1992 12 players 1993 17 players 1994 19 players 1995 19 players 1996 20 players 1997 21 players 1998 25 players 1999 23 players 2000 14 players 2001 9 players 2002 5 players 2003 3 players 2004 1 player 2005 2 players 2006 1 player 2007 1 player 2008 1 player
How much retained production did Scott Turner return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Scott Turner since 2010 (17 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
0 +0.5 Model value above slot 224. Dennard Alfonzo Dennard · model value +0.7 221. Jones Jaylon Jones · model value +0.4 222. Brown Montaric Brown · model value +0.3 229. Devonshire M.J. Devonshire · model value +0.1 226. Davis Jaden Davis · model value +0.1 223. Stanford R.J. Stanford · model value +0.1 225. Thompson Syd'Quan Thompson · model value +0.1 222. Gaitor Anthony Gaitor · model value +0.1 224. Hellams DeMarcco Hellams · model value 0 229. Nelson Jonathan Nelson · model value 0 225. Price Jabari Price · model value 0 228. Carpenter Tariq Carpenter · model value 0 227. Harden Myles Harden · model value -0.1 224. Adams Phillip Adams · model value -0.1 229. Colbert Adrian Colbert · model value -0.2 223. Gowan Tay Gowan · model value -0.2 227. Mukuamu Israel Mukuamu · model value -0.3 226. Turner Scott Turner · model value -0.4 -0.4 Scott Turner
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'96 '98 '00 '02 '03 0 1 2 3 4 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (9 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.