All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Tom Tupa across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 220
Games started 13
Weighted career AV 29
Pro Bowls 1
AP1 All-Pro 1
Career seasons 17
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 42
Team starts 13
On-team AV 8
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Terrible -5.65 contribution 104th of 105 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Tom Tupa became a 17-season, 220-game NFL player after going #68. The retained-value model still ranks him 104th of 105 for Bill Bidwill because ARI only got 42 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -5.65 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Bill Bidwill's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
42
on drafting team · 220 full-career
Games started
13
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
8
modeled; full weighted AV 29
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
1 full-career · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Bill Bidwill's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Bill Bidwill pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Tom Tupa totals -5.65 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 59. Williams #59 · Aeneas Williams · aggregate +6.43 Williams +6.4 33. Lomax #33 · Neil Lomax · aggregate +5.08 Lomax +5.1 16. Sharpe #16 · Luis Sharpe · aggregate +2.76 Sharpe +2.8 169. Johnson #169 · Johnny Johnson · aggregate +2.11 100. Bankston #100 · Michael Bankston · aggregate +2.10 179. Jones #179 · Ernie Jones · aggregate +2.04 125. Ferrell #125 · Earl Ferrell · aggregate +2.03 90. Saddler #90 · Rod Saddler · aggregate +1.77 72. Smith #72 · Lance Smith · aggregate +1.68 94. Wahler #94 · Jim Wahler · aggregate +1.45 81. Baker #81 · Charles Baker · aggregate +1.34 90. Robbins #90 · Tootie Robbins · aggregate +1.30 65. Perrin #65 · Benny Perrin · aggregate +1.23 96. Duda #96 · Mark Duda · aggregate +1.14 115. Centers #115 · Larry Centers · aggregate +1.07 61. Cunningham #61 · Ed Cunningham · aggregate +1.05 33. Marsh #33 · Doug Marsh · aggregate +0.94 175. Ware #175 · Derek Ware · aggregate +0.75 89. Carter #89 · Carl Carter · aggregate +0.74 38. Galloway #38 · David Galloway · aggregate +0.64 150. Taylor #150 · Jay Taylor · aggregate +0.55 6. Swann #6 · Eric Swann · aggregate +0.52 87. Moore #87 · Ronald Moore · aggregate +0.40 18. Nunn #18 · Freddie Joe Nunn · aggregate +0.27 184. Scott #184 · Carlos Scott · aggregate +0.16 6. Greer #6 · Curtis Greer · aggregate +0.13 10. Hill #10 · Eric Hill · aggregate +0.12 195. Harris #195 · William Harris · aggregate +0.10 62. Awalt #62 · Robert Awalt · aggregate +0.07 132. Jordan #132 · Tony Jordan · aggregate +0.05 86. Davis #86 · Dexter Davis · aggregate +0.02 171. Brown #171 · Ivory Lee Brown · aggregate +0.01 126. Bruno #126 · John Bruno · aggregate +0.00 146. Garalczyk #146 · Mark Garalczyk · aggregate +0.00 44. Mack #44 · Cedric Mack · aggregate -0.07 136. Goode #136 · John Goode · aggregate -0.14 127. Jarostchuk #127 · Ilia Jarostchuk · aggregate -0.15 172. White #172 · Will White · aggregate -0.16 157. Schmitt #157 · George Schmitt · aggregate -0.18 177. Royal #177 · Ricky Royal · aggregate -0.20 89. Lisch #89 · Rusty Lisch · aggregate -0.22 170. Swanson #170 · Eric Swanson · aggregate -0.22 34. McDonald #34 · Tim McDonald · aggregate -0.23 174. Peoples #174 · Tim Peoples · aggregate -0.25 104. Wolfley #104 · Ron Wolfley · aggregate -0.28 40. Reeves #40 · Walter Reeves · aggregate -0.31 185. Walker #185 · Quentin Walker · aggregate -0.31 130. Bird #130 · Steve Bird · aggregate -0.32 143. Wallerstedt #143 · Brett Wallerstedt · aggregate -0.33 142. Shavers #142 · Tyrone Shavers · aggregate -0.35 80. McIvor #80 · Rick McIvor · aggregate -0.36 128. Edeen #128 · David Edeen · aggregate -0.37 61. Griffin #61 · Jeff Griffin · aggregate -0.38 150. Shaffer #150 · Craig Shaffer · aggregate -0.39 117. Hammond #117 · Vance Hammond · aggregate -0.39 116. Dunn #116 · K.D. Dunn · aggregate -0.43 171. Donnalley #171 · Kevin Donnalley · aggregate -0.44 71. Dardar #71 · Ramsey Dardar · aggregate -0.49 116. Tupper #116 · Jeff Tupper · aggregate -0.50 146. Brauninger #146 · Brian Brauninger · aggregate -0.50 144. Vega #144 · Eduardo Vega · aggregate -0.52 118. Swarn #118 · George Swarn · aggregate -0.53 116. Gillen #116 · John Gillen · aggregate -0.56 148. Phillips #148 · Jon Phillips · aggregate -0.56 70. Scotts #70 · Colin Scotts · aggregate -0.58 157. Clark #157 · Rod Clark · aggregate -0.59 46. Sacca #46 · Tony Sacca · aggregate -0.59 5. Bell #5 · Anthony Bell · aggregate -0.60 85. Davis #85 · Travis Davis · aggregate -0.60 18. Dye #18 · Ernest Dye · aggregate -0.61 17. Wolf #17 · Joe Wolf · aggregate -0.62 123. Tardits #123 · Richard Tardits · aggregate -0.62 119. Bedford #119 · Vance Bedford · aggregate -0.63 178. Sebro #178 · Bob Sebro · aggregate -0.63 120. Gaines #120 · Chris Gaines · aggregate -0.64 31. Thompson #31 · Anthony Thompson · aggregate -0.65 171. Apuna #171 · Ben Apuna · aggregate -0.69 131. Wong #131 · Louis Wong · aggregate -0.71 129. Leiding #129 · Jeff Leiding · aggregate -0.72 32. Lee #32 · John Lee · aggregate -0.78 17. Smith #17 · Leonard Smith · aggregate -0.82 88. Rhodes #88 · Steve Rhodes · aggregate -0.90 51. Bergold #51 · Scott Bergold · aggregate -1.07 143. Ahrens #143 · Dave Ahrens · aggregate -1.15 38. Jeffery #38 · Tony Jeffery · aggregate -1.20 142. Acker #142 · Bill Acker · aggregate -1.25 59. Chilton #59 · Gene Chilton · aggregate -1.36 60. Sinnott #60 · John Sinnott · aggregate -1.39 158. Novacek #158 · Jay Novacek · aggregate -1.50 73. Guilbeau #73 · Rusty Guilbeau · aggregate -1.52 17. Duncan #17 · Clyde Duncan · aggregate -1.61 32. Jones #32 · Mike Jones · aggregate -1.66 95. Brim #95 · Michael Brim · aggregate -1.71 6. Stouffer #6 · Kelly Stouffer · aggregate -2.26 Stouffer -2.3 12. Harvey #12 · Ken Harvey · aggregate -2.27 Harvey -2.3 67. Zandofsky #67 · Mike Zandofsky · aggregate -2.29 Zandofsky -2.3 32. Coleman #32 · Ben Coleman · aggregate -2.38 Coleman -2.4 45. Dawson #45 · Doug Dawson · aggregate -3.39 Dawson -3.4 91. Christy #91 · Jeff Christy · aggregate -3.43 Christy -3.4 5. Junior #5 · E.J. Junior · aggregate -4.16 Junior -4.2 103. Washington #103 · Lionel Washington · aggregate -4.19 Washington -4.2 101. Bayless #101 · Martin Bayless · aggregate -4.52 Bayless -4.5 58. Proehl #58 · Ricky Proehl · aggregate -4.99 Proehl -5.0 68. Tupa #68 · Tom Tupa · aggregate -5.65 Tupa -5.7 3. Hearst #3 · Garrison Hearst · aggregate -6.96 Hearst -7.0 Incremental contribution by season -18 -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 1980 · Doug Marsh · incremental +0.01 1980 · Charles Baker · incremental -0.11 1980 · Rusty Lisch · incremental -0.22 1980 · Curtis Greer · incremental -0.82 1980 · Ben Apuna · incremental -1.13 1980 · Bill Acker · incremental -1.72 1980 · John Sinnott · incremental -2.21 1981 · Doug Marsh · incremental +0.08 1981 · Curtis Greer · incremental +0.16 1981 · Charles Baker · incremental +0.32 1981 · Neil Lomax · incremental +0.46 1981 · Rusty Lisch · incremental -0.11 1981 · Bill Acker · incremental -0.21 1981 · Jeff Griffin · incremental -0.37 1981 · John Gillen · incremental -0.71 1981 · Kevin Donnalley · incremental -0.80 1981 · Dave Ahrens · incremental -0.85 1981 · Steve Rhodes · incremental -1.46 1981 · E.J. Junior · incremental -5.37 1982 · Rusty Lisch · incremental +0.05 1982 · Curtis Greer · incremental +0.12 1982 · Doug Marsh · incremental +0.19 1982 · Charles Baker · incremental +0.33 1982 · Benny Perrin · incremental +0.40 1982 · Neil Lomax · incremental +0.55 1982 · E.J. Junior · incremental -0.06 1982 · Earl Ferrell · incremental -0.10 1982 · John Gillen · incremental -0.17 1982 · Jeff Griffin · incremental -0.17 1982 · Craig Shaffer · incremental -0.41 1982 · David Galloway · incremental -0.48 1982 · Dave Ahrens · incremental -0.51 1982 · Tootie Robbins · incremental -0.94 1982 · Bob Sebro · incremental -1.04 1982 · Vance Bedford · incremental -1.08 1982 · Luis Sharpe · incremental -1.69 1982 · Rusty Guilbeau · incremental -2.42 1983 · Rusty Lisch · incremental +0.02 1983 · Curtis Greer · incremental +0.19 1983 · Earl Ferrell · incremental +0.21 1983 · David Galloway · incremental +0.27 1983 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.29 1983 · Mark Duda · incremental +0.38 1983 · Doug Marsh · incremental +0.39 1983 · Charles Baker · incremental +0.47 1983 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.48 1983 · Benny Perrin · incremental +0.61 1983 · Neil Lomax · incremental +0.70 1983 · Ramsey Dardar · incremental -0.04 1983 · Jeff Griffin · incremental -0.05 1983 · E.J. Junior · incremental -0.06 1983 · Carlos Scott · incremental -0.08 1983 · Craig Shaffer · incremental -0.17 1983 · Dave Ahrens · incremental -0.30 1983 · George Schmitt · incremental -0.32 1983 · Steve Bird · incremental -0.42 1983 · Leonard Smith · incremental -1.04 1983 · Cedric Mack · incremental -1.18 1983 · Lionel Washington · incremental -3.34 1984 · Cedric Mack · incremental +0.07 1984 · Curtis Greer · incremental +0.19 1984 · Charles Baker · incremental +0.21 1984 · Carlos Scott · incremental +0.21 1984 · David Galloway · incremental +0.27 1984 · Mark Duda · incremental +0.31 1984 · Doug Marsh · incremental +0.40 1984 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.42 1984 · Earl Ferrell · incremental +0.46 1984 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.52 1984 · Benny Perrin · incremental +0.58 1984 · Neil Lomax · incremental +1.99 1984 · Steve Bird · incremental -0.01 1984 · Jeff Griffin · incremental -0.03 1984 · Leonard Smith · incremental -0.03 1984 · Craig Shaffer · incremental -0.04 1984 · Dave Ahrens · incremental -0.12 1984 · John Goode · incremental -0.36 1984 · Rick McIvor · incremental -0.49 1984 · Quentin Walker · incremental -0.52 1984 · Ramsey Dardar · incremental -0.76 1984 · Rod Clark · incremental -0.99 1984 · Jeff Leiding · incremental -1.19 1984 · Lionel Washington · incremental -1.58 1984 · Clyde Duncan · incremental -2.07 1984 · E.J. Junior · incremental -2.19 1984 · Doug Dawson · incremental -2.35 1984 · Martin Bayless · incremental -7.17 1985 · Curtis Greer · incremental +0.18 1985 · Cedric Mack · incremental +0.19 1985 · Benny Perrin · incremental +0.22 1985 · Carlos Scott · incremental +0.22 1985 · Charles Baker · incremental +0.23 1985 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.28 1985 · David Galloway · incremental +0.29 1985 · Earl Ferrell · incremental +0.37 1985 · Doug Marsh · incremental +0.39 1985 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.48 1985 · Mark Duda · incremental +0.69 1985 · Neil Lomax · incremental +0.76 1985 · Jeff Griffin · incremental -0.02 1985 · Leonard Smith · incremental -0.05 1985 · Rick McIvor · incremental -0.07 1985 · E.J. Junior · incremental -0.08 1985 · Clyde Duncan · incremental -0.32 1985 · Lionel Washington · incremental -0.32 1985 · Jay Novacek · incremental -0.44 1985 · K.D. Dunn · incremental -0.88 1985 · Ron Wolfley · incremental -0.96 1985 · Lance Smith · incremental -0.99 1985 · Louis Wong · incremental -1.17 1985 · Scott Bergold · incremental -1.66 1985 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental -1.72 1985 · Doug Dawson · incremental -2.96 1986 · Carl Carter · incremental +0.09 1986 · Cedric Mack · incremental +0.14 1986 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.17 1986 · David Galloway · incremental +0.25 1986 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.29 1986 · Mark Duda · incremental +0.29 1986 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.36 1986 · Doug Marsh · incremental +0.37 1986 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.45 1986 · Charles Baker · incremental +0.47 1986 · Earl Ferrell · incremental +0.63 1986 · Neil Lomax · incremental +0.67 1986 · Ron Wolfley · incremental +0.91 1986 · Jay Novacek · incremental -0.03 1986 · E.J. Junior · incremental -0.05 1986 · Leonard Smith · incremental -0.11 1986 · Doug Dawson · incremental -0.12 1986 · Eric Swanson · incremental -0.36 1986 · Anthony Bell · incremental -0.59 1986 · Jeff Tupper · incremental -0.88 1986 · John Lee · incremental -1.30 1986 · Lionel Washington · incremental -1.41 1986 · Gene Chilton · incremental -1.72 1987 · William Harris · incremental +0.02 1987 · David Galloway · incremental +0.06 1987 · Curtis Greer · incremental +0.11 1987 · Cedric Mack · incremental +0.13 1987 · Mark Duda · incremental +0.13 1987 · Charles Baker · incremental +0.22 1987 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.22 1987 · Rod Saddler · incremental +0.28 1987 · Carl Carter · incremental +0.30 1987 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.36 1987 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.37 1987 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.49 1987 · Earl Ferrell · incremental +0.50 1987 · Neil Lomax · incremental +1.74 1987 · Mark Garalczyk · incremental -0.01 1987 · Ilia Jarostchuk · incremental -0.02 1987 · Anthony Bell · incremental -0.03 1987 · Leonard Smith · incremental -0.04 1987 · E.J. Junior · incremental -0.06 1987 · Robert Awalt · incremental -0.08 1987 · Ron Wolfley · incremental -0.13 1987 · John Bruno · incremental -0.21 1987 · Gene Chilton · incremental -0.36 1987 · Tim Peoples · incremental -0.49 1987 · George Swarn · incremental -0.88 1987 · Jay Novacek · incremental -0.96 1987 · Colin Scotts · incremental -0.98 1987 · Tim McDonald · incremental -1.06 1987 · Kelly Stouffer · incremental -3.35 1988 · Robert Awalt · incremental +0.09 1988 · David Galloway · incremental +0.12 1988 · Cedric Mack · incremental +0.19 1988 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.29 1988 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.38 1988 · Ernie Jones · incremental +0.38 1988 · Carl Carter · incremental +0.41 1988 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.45 1988 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.55 1988 · Earl Ferrell · incremental +0.69 1988 · Neil Lomax · incremental +0.73 1988 · Rod Saddler · incremental +0.78 1988 · Ron Wolfley · incremental +1.03 1988 · Tony Jordan · incremental -0.00 1988 · Leonard Smith · incremental -0.01 1988 · Mark Garalczyk · incremental -0.02 1988 · Anthony Bell · incremental -0.04 1988 · E.J. Junior · incremental -0.07 1988 · Tim McDonald · incremental -0.19 1988 · Jay Novacek · incremental -0.57 1988 · Jon Phillips · incremental -0.94 1988 · Chris Gaines · incremental -1.08 1988 · Tom Tupa · incremental -1.64 1988 · Tony Jeffery · incremental -1.88 1988 · Michael Brim · incremental -2.73 1988 · Ken Harvey · incremental -2.93 1989 · Robert Awalt · incremental +0.08 1989 · Tony Jordan · incremental +0.15 1989 · Cedric Mack · incremental +0.20 1989 · David Galloway · incremental +0.21 1989 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.21 1989 · Jay Taylor · incremental +0.22 1989 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.22 1989 · Carl Carter · incremental +0.39 1989 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.40 1989 · Tim McDonald · incremental +0.41 1989 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.43 1989 · Earl Ferrell · incremental +0.56 1989 · Jim Wahler · incremental +0.60 1989 · Ernie Jones · incremental +0.67 1989 · Rod Saddler · incremental +0.80 1989 · Ron Wolfley · incremental -0.02 1989 · Anthony Bell · incremental -0.05 1989 · Walter Reeves · incremental -0.18 1989 · Ken Harvey · incremental -0.18 1989 · Ilia Jarostchuk · incremental -0.22 1989 · Jay Novacek · incremental -0.38 1989 · Ricky Royal · incremental -0.41 1989 · David Edeen · incremental -0.66 1989 · Joe Wolf · incremental -0.84 1989 · Richard Tardits · incremental -1.04 1989 · Tom Tupa · incremental -2.06 1989 · Eric Hill · incremental -2.18 1989 · Mike Zandofsky · incremental -3.59 1990 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.02 1990 · Joe Wolf · incremental +0.06 1990 · Cedric Mack · incremental +0.20 1990 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.28 1990 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.30 1990 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.40 1990 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.44 1990 · Jay Taylor · incremental +0.51 1990 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.55 1990 · Ernie Jones · incremental +0.65 1990 · Jim Wahler · incremental +0.74 1990 · Rod Saddler · incremental +0.78 1990 · Johnny Johnson · incremental +2.00 1990 · Anthony Bell · incremental -0.03 1990 · Walter Reeves · incremental -0.10 1990 · Ron Wolfley · incremental -0.16 1990 · Ken Harvey · incremental -0.16 1990 · Tim McDonald · incremental -0.19 1990 · Anthony Thompson · incremental -0.52 1990 · Tyrone Shavers · incremental -0.61 1990 · Tom Tupa · incremental -0.76 1990 · Travis Davis · incremental -1.03 1990 · Ricky Proehl · incremental -4.58 1991 · Joe Wolf · incremental +0.00 1991 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.03 1991 · Dexter Davis · incremental +0.04 1991 · Rod Saddler · incremental +0.09 1991 · Ron Wolfley · incremental +0.10 1991 · Jay Taylor · incremental +0.21 1991 · Walter Reeves · incremental +0.22 1991 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.29 1991 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.29 1991 · Tootie Robbins · incremental +0.36 1991 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.41 1991 · Tim McDonald · incremental +0.45 1991 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.45 1991 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +0.49 1991 · Jim Wahler · incremental +0.66 1991 · Johnny Johnson · incremental +0.79 1991 · Ernie Jones · incremental +0.88 1991 · Ivory Lee Brown · incremental -0.02 1991 · Ken Harvey · incremental -0.21 1991 · Eric Swann · incremental -0.33 1991 · Anthony Thompson · incremental -0.42 1991 · Mike Jones · incremental -0.67 1991 · Vance Hammond · incremental -0.70 1991 · Ricky Proehl · incremental -0.83 1991 · Eduardo Vega · incremental -0.89 1991 · Tom Tupa · incremental -4.15 1992 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.06 1992 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.14 1992 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.17 1992 · Michael Bankston · incremental +0.19 1992 · Ed Cunningham · incremental +0.21 1992 · Derek Ware · incremental +0.22 1992 · Jim Wahler · incremental +0.25 1992 · Walter Reeves · incremental +0.25 1992 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.30 1992 · Tim McDonald · incremental +0.42 1992 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.44 1992 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.46 1992 · Ernie Jones · incremental +0.48 1992 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +0.48 1992 · Johnny Johnson · incremental +0.65 1992 · Joe Wolf · incremental -0.00 1992 · Anthony Thompson · incremental -0.00 1992 · Ivory Lee Brown · incremental -0.01 1992 · Dexter Davis · incremental -0.01 1992 · Ken Harvey · incremental -0.10 1992 · Brian Brauninger · incremental -0.86 1992 · Tony Sacca · incremental -0.92 1992 · Ricky Proehl · incremental -0.92 1992 · Mike Jones · incremental -1.29 1992 · Jeff Christy · incremental -5.39 1993 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.05 1993 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.09 1993 · Freddie Joe Nunn · incremental +0.22 1993 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.24 1993 · Ronald Moore · incremental +0.24 1993 · Derek Ware · incremental +0.27 1993 · Lance Smith · incremental +0.47 1993 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +0.50 1993 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.52 1993 · Ed Cunningham · incremental +0.57 1993 · Michael Bankston · incremental +0.58 1993 · Joe Wolf · incremental -0.01 1993 · Dexter Davis · incremental -0.02 1993 · Walter Reeves · incremental -0.11 1993 · Ken Harvey · incremental -0.13 1993 · Ernest Dye · incremental -0.15 1993 · Will White · incremental -0.36 1993 · Mike Jones · incremental -0.54 1993 · Brett Wallerstedt · incremental -0.59 1993 · Ricky Proehl · incremental -1.04 1993 · Ben Coleman · incremental -1.07 1993 · Garrison Hearst · incremental -6.78 1994 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.05 1994 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.17 1994 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.30 1994 · Luis Sharpe · incremental +0.32 1994 · Ronald Moore · incremental +0.35 1994 · Ed Cunningham · incremental +0.55 1994 · Michael Bankston · incremental +0.69 1994 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +0.75 1994 · Derek Ware · incremental +0.77 1994 · Joe Wolf · incremental -0.00 1994 · Ernest Dye · incremental -0.47 1994 · Garrison Hearst · incremental -0.72 1994 · Ricky Proehl · incremental -0.83 1994 · Ben Coleman · incremental -2.51 1995 · Joe Wolf · incremental +0.01 1995 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.26 1995 · Ed Cunningham · incremental +0.29 1995 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.32 1995 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.48 1995 · Michael Bankston · incremental +0.57 1995 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +3.00 1995 · Ben Coleman · incremental -0.09 1995 · Ernest Dye · incremental -0.17 1995 · Garrison Hearst · incremental -4.05 1996 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.16 1996 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.30 1996 · Michael Bankston · incremental +0.57 1996 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +0.59 1996 · Larry Centers · incremental +1.59 1996 · Joe Wolf · incremental -0.04 1996 · Ernest Dye · incremental -0.05 1997 · Joe Wolf · incremental +0.01 1997 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.05 1997 · Ronald Moore · incremental +0.06 1997 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.14 1997 · Eric Hill · incremental +0.19 1997 · Michael Bankston · incremental +0.60 1997 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +2.45 1998 · Larry Centers · incremental +0.05 1998 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.06 1998 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +0.57 1999 · Eric Swann · incremental +0.05 1999 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +1.14 2000 · Aeneas Williams · incremental +0.48 Junior -5.4 Washington -3.3 Bayless -7.2 Dawson -3.0 Stouffer -3.4 Tupa -1.6 Harvey -2.9 Tupa -2.1 Zandofsky -3.6 Tupa -0.8 Proehl -4.6 Tupa -4.1 Christy -5.4 Hearst -6.8 Williams +3.0 Hearst -4.0 1980 7 players 1981 12 players 1982 18 players 1983 22 players 1984 28 players 1985 26 players 1986 23 players 1987 29 players 1988 26 players 1989 28 players 1990 23 players 1991 26 players 1992 25 players 1993 22 players 1994 14 players 1995 10 players 1996 7 players 1997 7 players 1998 3 players 1999 2 players 2000 1 player
How much retained production did Tom Tupa return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: QBs drafted within ±5 picks of Tom Tupa since 2010 (5 players). Dark marks are GOAT-tier benchmarks (Brady, Manning, Mahomes) for orientation.The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 Model value above slot 1. Manning Peyton Manning · model value +4.9 +4.9 199. Brady Tom Brady · model value +4.5 +4.5 10. Mahomes Patrick Mahomes · model value +2.8 +2.8 67. Mills Davis Mills · model value +0.1 68. Hooker Hendon Hooker · model value -0.1 64. Trask Kyle Trask · model value -0.3 73. Glennon Mike Glennon · model value -0.3 66. Mond Kellen Mond · model value -0.4 68. Tupa Tom Tupa · model value -2.7 -2.7 Tom Tupa
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'90 '95 '00 '04 0 3 7 10 13 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (17 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.