All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Daniel Thomas across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 52
Games started 3
Weighted career AV 11
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 4
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 52
Team starts 3
On-team AV 12
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Average -0.09 contribution 21st of 50 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Daniel Thomas was Jeff Ireland's 21st-best of 50 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.09 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Jeff Ireland's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
52
on drafting team
Games started
3
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.4
2 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
12
modeled; full weighted AV 11
AV / 1k snaps
7.5
669 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
-0.1
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Jeff Ireland's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Jeff Ireland pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Daniel Thomas totals -0.09 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 163. Jones #163 · Reshad Jones · aggregate +3.04 Jones +3.0 1. Long #1 · Jake Long · aggregate +1.53 108. Hartline #108 · Brian Hartline · aggregate +1.49 165. Clemons #165 · Chris Clemons · aggregate +1.30 235. Wilson #235 · Jimmy Wilson · aggregate +1.29 174. Clay #174 · Charles Clay · aggregate +1.05 104. Jenkins #104 · Jelani Jenkins · aggregate +0.90 252. Spitler #252 · Austin Spitler · aggregate +0.83 40. Misi #40 · Koa Misi · aggregate +0.73 204. Hilliard #204 · Lex Hilliard · aggregate +0.55 166. Sturgis #166 · Caleb Sturgis · aggregate +0.55 227. Matthews #227 · Rishard Matthews · aggregate +0.33 77. Thomas #77 · Dallas Thomas · aggregate +0.26 250. Jones #250 · Don Jones · aggregate +0.21 145. Carroll #145 · Nolan Carroll · aggregate +0.20 97. Miller #97 · Lamar Miller · aggregate +0.19 106. Sims #106 · Dion Sims · aggregate +0.17 245. Dotson #245 · Lionel Dotson · aggregate +0.03 195. Thomas #195 · Donald Thomas · aggregate -0.06 215. Randall #215 · Kheeston Randall · aggregate -0.06 62. Thomas #62 · Daniel Thomas · aggregate -0.09 Thomas -0.1 61. Smith #61 · Sean Smith · aggregate -0.16 231. Kearse #231 · Frank Kearse · aggregate -0.18 161. Nalbone #161 · John Nalbone · aggregate -0.19 212. McCoy #212 · Chris McCoy · aggregate -0.19 78. Egnew #78 · Michael Egnew · aggregate -0.28 15. Pouncey #15 · Mike Pouncey · aggregate -0.29 155. Kaddu #155 · Josh Kaddu · aggregate -0.29 42. Martin #42 · Jonathan Martin · aggregate -0.32 214. Folsom #214 · J.D. Folsom · aggregate -0.35 66. Langford #66 · Kendall Langford · aggregate -0.37 183. Cunningham #183 · B.J. Cunningham · aggregate -0.39 72. Vernon #72 · Olivier Vernon · aggregate -0.40 28. Odrick #28 · Jared Odrick · aggregate -0.49 111. Gates #111 · Clyde Gates · aggregate -0.49 44. White #44 · Pat White · aggregate -0.59 93. Davis #93 · Will Davis · aggregate -0.61 164. Gillislee #164 · Mike Gillislee · aggregate -0.67 87. Turner #87 · Patrick Turner · aggregate -0.73 119. Edds #119 · A.J. Edds · aggregate -0.76 32. Merling #32 · Phillip Merling · aggregate -0.78 110. Murphy #110 · Shawn Murphy · aggregate -0.79 176. Parmele #176 · Jalen Parmele · aggregate -1.05 73. Jerry #73 · John Jerry · aggregate -1.27 8. Tannehill #8 · Ryan Tannehill · aggregate -1.52 181. Gardner #181 · Andrew Gardner · aggregate -1.64 54. Taylor #54 · Jamar Taylor · aggregate -1.80 25. Davis #25 · Vontae Davis · aggregate -2.37 Davis -2.4 57. Henne #57 · Chad Henne · aggregate -4.11 Henne -4.1 3. Jordan #3 · Dion Jordan · aggregate -4.25 Jordan -4.3 Incremental contribution by season -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 2008 · Lionel Dotson · incremental +0.08 2008 · Jake Long · incremental +0.64 2008 · Lex Hilliard · incremental -0.02 2008 · Donald Thomas · incremental -0.03 2008 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.48 2008 · Phillip Merling · incremental -0.56 2008 · Shawn Murphy · incremental -1.29 2008 · Chad Henne · incremental -1.68 2008 · Jalen Parmele · incremental -1.70 2009 · Lex Hilliard · incremental +0.33 2009 · Jake Long · incremental +0.63 2009 · Brian Hartline · incremental +1.11 2009 · Chris Clemons · incremental +1.51 2009 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.03 2009 · Lionel Dotson · incremental -0.03 2009 · John Nalbone · incremental -0.06 2009 · Donald Thomas · incremental -0.15 2009 · Phillip Merling · incremental -0.38 2009 · Sean Smith · incremental -0.38 2009 · J.D. Folsom · incremental -0.61 2009 · Pat White · incremental -0.89 2009 · Patrick Turner · incremental -1.22 2009 · Vontae Davis · incremental -2.05 2009 · Chad Henne · incremental -2.10 2009 · Andrew Gardner · incremental -2.60 2010 · Phillip Merling · incremental +0.01 2010 · Sean Smith · incremental +0.03 2010 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.14 2010 · Lex Hilliard · incremental +0.26 2010 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.49 2010 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.52 2010 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.57 2010 · Austin Spitler · incremental +1.43 2010 · Jake Long · incremental +1.51 2010 · Reshad Jones · incremental +1.97 2010 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.04 2010 · Lionel Dotson · incremental -0.05 2010 · Chris McCoy · incremental -0.38 2010 · John Nalbone · incremental -0.46 2010 · Vontae Davis · incremental -0.92 2010 · Jared Odrick · incremental -0.96 2010 · A.J. Edds · incremental -1.26 2010 · John Jerry · incremental -1.93 2010 · Chad Henne · incremental -1.99 2011 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.06 2011 · Sean Smith · incremental +0.07 2011 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.08 2011 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.20 2011 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.32 2011 · Austin Spitler · incremental +0.33 2011 · Lex Hilliard · incremental +0.43 2011 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.55 2011 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.56 2011 · Jake Long · incremental +0.66 2011 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +2.01 2011 · Charles Clay · incremental +2.10 2011 · Kendall Langford · incremental -0.04 2011 · John Jerry · incremental -0.16 2011 · Daniel Thomas · incremental -0.19 2011 · Phillip Merling · incremental -0.19 2011 · Frank Kearse · incremental -0.36 2011 · Chad Henne · incremental -0.69 2011 · Clyde Gates · incremental -0.76 2011 · Vontae Davis · incremental -0.85 2011 · Mike Pouncey · incremental -1.54 2012 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.04 2012 · Sean Smith · incremental +0.07 2012 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.09 2012 · Charles Clay · incremental +0.10 2012 · Daniel Thomas · incremental +0.14 2012 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.25 2012 · Austin Spitler · incremental +0.28 2012 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.42 2012 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +0.44 2012 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.44 2012 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.67 2012 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.69 2012 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.73 2012 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.76 2012 · Jake Long · incremental -0.07 2012 · Kheeston Randall · incremental -0.14 2012 · Michael Egnew · incremental -0.24 2012 · Jonathan Martin · incremental -0.27 2012 · Josh Kaddu · incremental -0.31 2012 · John Jerry · incremental -0.38 2012 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.40 2012 · B.J. Cunningham · incremental -0.70 2012 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental -3.26 2013 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.05 2013 · Nolan Carroll · incremental +0.05 2013 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.09 2013 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.10 2013 · Austin Spitler · incremental +0.16 2013 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.17 2013 · Charles Clay · incremental +0.18 2013 · Don Jones · incremental +0.18 2013 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.23 2013 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.31 2013 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +0.60 2013 · Chris Clemons · incremental +0.64 2013 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.65 2013 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.70 2013 · Caleb Sturgis · incremental +1.17 2013 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental -0.02 2013 · Daniel Thomas · incremental -0.04 2013 · Dallas Thomas · incremental -0.05 2013 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.07 2013 · Josh Kaddu · incremental -0.10 2013 · Jonathan Martin · incremental -0.22 2013 · Dion Sims · incremental -0.22 2013 · Michael Egnew · incremental -0.31 2013 · John Jerry · incremental -0.38 2013 · Will Davis · incremental -0.58 2013 · Mike Gillislee · incremental -1.35 2013 · Jamar Taylor · incremental -1.67 2013 · Dion Jordan · incremental -5.52 2014 · Mike Gillislee · incremental +0.02 2014 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.06 2014 · Jared Odrick · incremental +0.09 2014 · Caleb Sturgis · incremental +0.10 2014 · Daniel Thomas · incremental +0.13 2014 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.14 2014 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.14 2014 · Charles Clay · incremental +0.14 2014 · Don Jones · incremental +0.19 2014 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.22 2014 · Dion Sims · incremental +0.23 2014 · Dallas Thomas · incremental +0.27 2014 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.31 2014 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.47 2014 · Brian Hartline · incremental +0.62 2014 · Jimmy Wilson · incremental +0.68 2014 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental +1.52 2014 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.06 2014 · Will Davis · incremental -0.60 2014 · Jamar Taylor · incremental -1.21 2014 · Dion Jordan · incremental -2.87 2015 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.04 2015 · Lamar Miller · incremental +0.12 2015 · Rishard Matthews · incremental +0.12 2015 · Dion Sims · incremental +0.13 2015 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.22 2015 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.36 2015 · Dallas Thomas · incremental +0.36 2015 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.72 2015 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental +0.88 2015 · Olivier Vernon · incremental -0.07 2015 · Dion Jordan · incremental -0.79 2015 · Jamar Taylor · incremental -1.43 2016 · Dallas Thomas · incremental +0.01 2016 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.04 2016 · Koa Misi · incremental +0.07 2016 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.08 2016 · Jelani Jenkins · incremental +0.10 2016 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.24 2016 · Dion Sims · incremental +0.61 2016 · Dion Jordan · incremental -0.80 2017 · Don Jones · incremental +0.18 2017 · Mike Pouncey · incremental +0.23 2017 · Reshad Jones · incremental +1.66 2017 · Will Davis · incremental -0.10 2018 · Ryan Tannehill · incremental +0.02 2018 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.52 2019 · Reshad Jones · incremental +0.13 Parmele -1.7 Davis -2.0 Henne -2.1 Gardner -2.6 Jones +2.0 Jerry -1.9 Henne -2.0 Wilson +2.0 Clay +2.1 Thomas -0.2 Thomas +0.1 Tannehill -3.3 Thomas -0.0 Jordan -5.5 Thomas +0.1 Jordan -2.9 2008 9 players 2009 16 players 2010 19 players 2011 21 players 2012 23 players 2013 28 players 2014 21 players 2015 12 players 2016 8 players 2017 4 players 2018 2 players 2019 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Daniel Thomas GM total -12.9 Daniel Thomas by season +0.0
How much retained production did Daniel Thomas return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: RBs drafted within ±5 picks of Daniel Thomas since 2010 (16 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
0 +0.5 +1 +1.5 +2 Model value above slot 63. Cook James Cook · model value +2.1 +2.1 67. Kamara Alvin Kamara · model value +1.9 61. Lacy Eddie Lacy · model value +1.4 67. Hillman Ronnie Hillman · model value +0.3 62. Dillon AJ Dillon · model value +0.3 66. Gibson Antonio Gibson · model value +0.2 58. Tate Ben Tate · model value +0.1 60. Harvey RJ Harvey · model value +0.1 58. Ball Montee Ball · model value -0.1 62. Michael Christine Michael · model value -0.1 66. Benson Trey Benson · model value -0.1 57. Leshoure Mikel Leshoure · model value -0.2 59. Hardesty Montario Hardesty · model value -0.2 62. Thomas Daniel Thomas · model value -0.3 -0.3 61. James LaMichael James · model value -0.3 57. Hyde Carlos Hyde · model value -0.4 59. Guice Derrius Guice · model value -0.5 Daniel Thomas Slot-similar peers (16)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'12 '14 '15 0 1 3 4 5 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.