All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow David Parry across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 36
Games started 32
Weighted career AV 13
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 4
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 32
Team starts 32
On-team AV 13
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Excellent +1.36 contribution 4th of 38 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
David Parry was Ryan Grigson's 4th-best of 38 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +1.36 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Ryan Grigson's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
32
on drafting team · 36 full-career
Games started
32
on drafting team
Snap-z
1.5
3 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
13
modeled; full weighted AV 13
AV / 1k snaps
8.7
1,489 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.1
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Ryan Grigson's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Ryan Grigson pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. David Parry totals +1.36 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 92. Hilton #92 · T.Y. Hilton · aggregate +3.07 Hilton +3.1 1. Luck #1 · Andrew Luck · aggregate +2.90 Luck +2.9 18. Kelly #18 · Ryan Kelly · aggregate +1.69 151. Parry #151 · David Parry · aggregate +1.36 Parry +1.4 34. Fleener #34 · Coby Fleener · aggregate +1.22 109. Geathers #109 · Clayton Geathers · aggregate +0.98 136. Chapman #136 · Josh Chapman · aggregate +0.96 59. Mewhort #59 · Jack Mewhort · aggregate +0.75 155. Haeg #155 · Joe Haeg · aggregate +0.67 86. Thornton #86 · Hugh Thornton · aggregate +0.56 206. Brazill #206 · LaVon Brazill · aggregate +0.49 170. Ballard #170 · Vick Ballard · aggregate +0.37 255. Good #255 · Denzelle Good · aggregate +0.29 253. Harnish #253 · Chandler Harnish · aggregate +0.19 90. Moncrief #90 · Donte Moncrief · aggregate +0.13 64. Allen #64 · Dwayne Allen · aggregate +0.09 230. Williams #230 · Kerwynn Williams · aggregate +0.07 125. Morrison #125 · Antonio Morrison · aggregate +0.06 254. Cunningham #254 · Justice Cunningham · aggregate -0.03 139. Hughes #139 · Montori Hughes · aggregate -0.11 232. John #232 · Ulrick John · aggregate -0.20 214. Fugger #214 · Tim Fugger · aggregate -0.25 166. Newsome #166 · Jonathan Newsome · aggregate -0.36 121. Holmes #121 · Khaled Holmes · aggregate -0.38 24. Werner #24 · Bjoern Werner · aggregate -0.43 192. Boyett #192 · John Boyett · aggregate -0.44 203. Jackson #203 · Andrew Jackson · aggregate -0.47 208. Anderson #208 · Justin Anderson · aggregate -0.52 205. Robinson #205 · Josh Robinson · aggregate -0.53 239. Bates #239 · Trevor Bates · aggregate -0.55 82. Clark #82 · Le'Raven Clark · aggregate -0.71 207. Herrera #207 · Amarlo Herrera · aggregate -0.72 248. Blythe #248 · Austin Blythe · aggregate -0.79 93. Anderson #93 · Henry Anderson · aggregate -0.84 57. Green #57 · T.J. Green · aggregate -0.85 116. Ridgeway #116 · Hassan Ridgeway · aggregate -1.20 65. Smith #65 · D'Joun Smith · aggregate -1.21 29. Dorsett #29 · Phillip Dorsett · aggregate -2.86 Dorsett -2.9 Incremental contribution by season -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 2012 · Chandler Harnish · incremental +0.25 2012 · Vick Ballard · incremental +0.93 2012 · LaVon Brazill · incremental +1.31 2012 · Coby Fleener · incremental +2.16 2012 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +2.53 2012 · Andrew Luck · incremental +3.07 2012 · Josh Chapman · incremental -0.03 2012 · Dwayne Allen · incremental -0.10 2012 · Tim Fugger · incremental -0.48 2012 · Justin Anderson · incremental -0.89 2013 · Vick Ballard · incremental +0.01 2013 · Dwayne Allen · incremental +0.02 2013 · LaVon Brazill · incremental +0.05 2013 · Coby Fleener · incremental +0.26 2013 · Hugh Thornton · incremental +0.27 2013 · Kerwynn Williams · incremental +0.37 2013 · Andrew Luck · incremental +0.63 2013 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.68 2013 · Josh Chapman · incremental +2.06 2013 · Montori Hughes · incremental -0.19 2013 · Khaled Holmes · incremental -0.21 2013 · Bjoern Werner · incremental -0.27 2013 · Justice Cunningham · incremental -0.36 2013 · John Boyett · incremental -0.79 2014 · Dwayne Allen · incremental +0.19 2014 · Coby Fleener · incremental +0.27 2014 · Hugh Thornton · incremental +0.31 2014 · Josh Chapman · incremental +0.34 2014 · Andrew Luck · incremental +0.64 2014 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.69 2014 · Jack Mewhort · incremental +1.42 2014 · Justice Cunningham · incremental -0.03 2014 · Donte Moncrief · incremental -0.06 2014 · John Boyett · incremental -0.10 2014 · Montori Hughes · incremental -0.14 2014 · Bjoern Werner · incremental -0.20 2014 · Khaled Holmes · incremental -0.23 2014 · Jonathan Newsome · incremental -0.27 2014 · Ulrick John · incremental -0.57 2014 · Andrew Jackson · incremental -0.65 2015 · Denzelle Good · incremental +0.12 2015 · Dwayne Allen · incremental +0.15 2015 · Coby Fleener · incremental +0.22 2015 · Andrew Luck · incremental +0.23 2015 · Hugh Thornton · incremental +0.30 2015 · Donte Moncrief · incremental +0.37 2015 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.64 2015 · Clayton Geathers · incremental +0.87 2015 · Jack Mewhort · incremental +1.77 2015 · David Parry · incremental +2.34 2015 · John Boyett · incremental -0.10 2015 · Andrew Jackson · incremental -0.13 2015 · Bjoern Werner · incremental -0.17 2015 · Jonathan Newsome · incremental -0.37 2015 · Khaled Holmes · incremental -0.39 2015 · Josh Robinson · incremental -0.73 2015 · Henry Anderson · incremental -1.06 2015 · Amarlo Herrera · incremental -1.10 2015 · D'Joun Smith · incremental -2.00 2015 · Phillip Dorsett · incremental -3.36 2016 · Donte Moncrief · incremental +0.02 2016 · Denzelle Good · incremental +0.14 2016 · Dwayne Allen · incremental +0.21 2016 · Hugh Thornton · incremental +0.23 2016 · Clayton Geathers · incremental +0.30 2016 · Jack Mewhort · incremental +0.60 2016 · Andrew Luck · incremental +0.63 2016 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.78 2016 · Joe Haeg · incremental +1.10 2016 · David Parry · incremental +2.21 2016 · Justice Cunningham · incremental -0.03 2016 · Jonathan Newsome · incremental -0.06 2016 · John Boyett · incremental -0.11 2016 · Khaled Holmes · incremental -0.11 2016 · Andrew Jackson · incremental -0.12 2016 · Josh Robinson · incremental -0.13 2016 · Amarlo Herrera · incremental -0.16 2016 · Antonio Morrison · incremental -0.22 2016 · Bjoern Werner · incremental -0.25 2016 · Henry Anderson · incremental -0.39 2016 · Le'Raven Clark · incremental -0.68 2016 · Ryan Kelly · incremental -0.75 2016 · T.J. Green · incremental -0.85 2016 · Trevor Bates · incremental -1.02 2016 · Austin Blythe · incremental -1.35 2016 · Hassan Ridgeway · incremental -1.65 2016 · Phillip Dorsett · incremental -1.82 2017 · Montori Hughes · incremental +0.10 2017 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +0.11 2017 · Denzelle Good · incremental +0.16 2017 · Donte Moncrief · incremental +0.19 2017 · Hugh Thornton · incremental +0.24 2017 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.64 2017 · Joe Haeg · incremental +1.29 2017 · Clayton Geathers · incremental +1.39 2017 · Justice Cunningham · incremental -0.03 2017 · Jonathan Newsome · incremental -0.05 2017 · Trevor Bates · incremental -0.09 2017 · John Boyett · incremental -0.11 2017 · Andrew Jackson · incremental -0.11 2017 · Khaled Holmes · incremental -0.13 2017 · Josh Robinson · incremental -0.14 2017 · Amarlo Herrera · incremental -0.15 2017 · D'Joun Smith · incremental -0.27 2017 · Bjoern Werner · incremental -0.27 2017 · Le'Raven Clark · incremental -0.34 2017 · Jack Mewhort · incremental -0.52 2017 · Henry Anderson · incremental -0.62 2017 · Hassan Ridgeway · incremental -0.63 2017 · Antonio Morrison · incremental -0.71 2017 · T.J. Green · incremental -0.81 2018 · Denzelle Good · incremental +0.19 2018 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +0.27 2018 · Ulrick John · incremental +0.31 2018 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.68 2018 · Andrew Luck · incremental +1.52 2018 · Jonathan Newsome · incremental -0.06 2018 · Joe Haeg · incremental -0.07 2018 · Clayton Geathers · incremental -0.10 2018 · Andrew Jackson · incremental -0.12 2018 · Josh Robinson · incremental -0.13 2018 · Amarlo Herrera · incremental -0.16 2018 · D'Joun Smith · incremental -0.25 2018 · Le'Raven Clark · incremental -0.27 2018 · T.J. Green · incremental -0.50 2018 · Hassan Ridgeway · incremental -0.62 2018 · Jack Mewhort · incremental -1.32 2019 · Clayton Geathers · incremental +0.05 2019 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.36 2019 · Antonio Morrison · incremental +0.59 2019 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +1.01 2019 · Trevor Bates · incremental -0.09 2019 · Josh Robinson · incremental -0.13 2019 · Amarlo Herrera · incremental -0.15 2019 · D'Joun Smith · incremental -0.27 2019 · Le'Raven Clark · incremental -0.38 2019 · Joe Haeg · incremental -0.64 2019 · David Parry · incremental -1.14 2020 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.57 2020 · Antonio Morrison · incremental +0.58 2020 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +1.02 2020 · Trevor Bates · incremental -0.09 2020 · Le'Raven Clark · incremental -0.30 2020 · Phillip Dorsett · incremental -1.76 2021 · T.Y. Hilton · incremental +0.28 2021 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +0.95 2022 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +0.36 2023 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +0.94 2024 · Ryan Kelly · incremental +0.21 Fleener +2.2 Hilton +2.5 Luck +3.1 Chapman +2.1 Mewhort +1.8 Parry +2.3 Smith -2.0 Dorsett -3.4 Parry +2.2 Ridgeway -1.7 Dorsett -1.8 Luck +1.5 Parry -1.1 Dorsett -1.8 2012 10 players 2013 14 players 2014 16 players 2015 20 players 2016 27 players 2017 24 players 2018 16 players 2019 11 players 2020 6 players 2021 2 players 2022 1 player 2023 1 player 2024 1 player Above expectation Below expectation David Parry GM total +2.4 David Parry by season +3.4
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'16 '18 '19 0 6 13 19 25 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.