All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Keli McGregor across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 8
Games started 0
Weighted career AV 0
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 1
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received 1985 · Round 4 · #110
DEN draft credit GM John Beake
Team games 2
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Bad -0.43 contribution 43rd of 63 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Keli McGregor was John Beake's 43rd-best of 63 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.43 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from John Beake's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
2
on drafting team · 8 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 0
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move John Beake's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every John Beake pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Keli McGregor totals -0.43 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 218. Nalen #218 · Tom Nalen · aggregate +10.24 Nalen +10.2 192. Sharpe #192 · Shannon Sharpe · aggregate +9.80 Sharpe +9.8 20. Atwater #20 · Steve Atwater · aggregate +8.48 Atwater +8.5 54. Fletcher #54 · Simon Fletcher · aggregate +3.24 Fletcher +3.2 161. Jackson #161 · Mark Jackson · aggregate +2.17 Jackson +2.2 151. Mobley #151 · Orson Mobley · aggregate +1.30 104. Juriga #104 · Jim Juriga · aggregate +1.24 86. Brooks #86 · Michael Brooks · aggregate +1.05 111. Davidson #111 · Jeff Davidson · aggregate +0.86 136. Lang #136 · Le-Lo Lang · aggregate +0.60 47. Powers #47 · Warren Powers · aggregate +0.58 31. Johnson #31 · Vance Johnson · aggregate +0.58 111. Munford #111 · Marc Munford · aggregate +0.55 180. Bratton #180 · Mel Bratton · aggregate +0.41 89. Russell #89 · Derek Russell · aggregate +0.38 69. Jones #69 · Rondell Jones · aggregate +0.34 174. Kelly #174 · Pat Kelly · aggregate +0.30 115. Lewis #115 · Greg Lewis · aggregate +0.22 182. Kimbrough #182 · Tony Kimbrough · aggregate +0.21 137. Robinson #137 · Frank Robinson · aggregate +0.20 26. Sewell #26 · Steve Sewell · aggregate +0.16 27. Nattiel #27 · Ricky Nattiel · aggregate +0.12 164. Haliburton #164 · Ronnie Haliburton · aggregate +0.11 51. Aldridge #51 · Allen Aldridge · aggregate +0.05 212. By'not'e #212 · Butler By'not'e · aggregate +0.04 169. Williams #169 · Clarence Williams · aggregate -0.04 194. Strozier #194 · Wilbur Strozier · aggregate -0.06 170. Geater #170 · Ron Geater · aggregate -0.12 193. Bostick #193 · Jon Bostick · aggregate -0.14 134. Colorito #134 · Tony Colorito · aggregate -0.18 154. Bonner #154 · Melvin Bonner · aggregate -0.22 194. Cameron #194 · Dallas Cameron · aggregate -0.23 167. Marshall #167 · Warren Marshall · aggregate -0.30 97. McCullough #97 · Jake McCullough · aggregate -0.30 142. Subis #142 · Nick Subis · aggregate -0.30 41. Widell #41 · Doug Widell · aggregate -0.31 152. Stafford #152 · Anthony Stafford · aggregate -0.32 69. Hamilton #69 · Darrell Hamilton · aggregate -0.36 136. Ervin #136 · Corris Ervin · aggregate -0.38 181. Johnson #181 · Jim Johnson · aggregate -0.38 126. Williams #126 · Kevin Williams · aggregate -0.39 192. Frank #192 · Garry Frank · aggregate -0.42 110. McGregor #110 · Keli McGregor · aggregate -0.43 McGregor -0.4 188. Phillips #188 · Ray Phillips · aggregate -0.43 110. Johnson #110 · Chuck Johnson · aggregate -0.43 52. Montgomery #52 · Alton Montgomery · aggregate -0.49 79. Guidry #79 · Kevin Guidry · aggregate -0.50 123. Fuller #123 · Randy Fuller · aggregate -0.53 139. Hinson #139 · Billy Hinson · aggregate -0.68 82. Robinson #82 · Jeroy Robinson · aggregate -0.82 30. Johnson #30 · Reggie Johnson · aggregate -0.88 54. Dronett #54 · Shane Dronett · aggregate -0.90 45. Perry #45 · Gerald Perry · aggregate -0.95 43. Milburn #43 · Glyn Milburn · aggregate -0.96 70. Elam #70 · Jason Elam · aggregate -1.02 210. Burns #210 · Keith Burns · aggregate -1.11 134. Carrington #134 · Darren Carrington · aggregate -1.22 11. Williams #11 · Dan Williams · aggregate -1.23 26. Gregory #26 · Ted Gregory · aggregate -1.40 4. Croel #4 · Mike Croel · aggregate -1.47 61. Traylor #61 · Keith Traylor · aggregate -3.91 Traylor -3.9 25. Maddox #25 · Tommy Maddox · aggregate -5.09 Maddox -5.1 98. Robinson #98 · Jeff Robinson · aggregate -6.15 Robinson -6.2 Incremental contribution by season -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 1985 · Steve Sewell · incremental -0.32 1985 · Dallas Cameron · incremental -0.43 1985 · Keli McGregor · incremental -0.87 1985 · Simon Fletcher · incremental -0.90 1985 · Billy Hinson · incremental -1.12 1985 · Vance Johnson · incremental -1.37 1986 · Steve Sewell · incremental +0.03 1986 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.19 1986 · Mark Jackson · incremental +0.22 1986 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.29 1986 · Orson Mobley · incremental +0.44 1986 · Jim Juriga · incremental -0.03 1986 · Tony Colorito · incremental -0.32 1986 · Ray Phillips · incremental -0.74 1987 · Steve Sewell · incremental +0.09 1987 · Marc Munford · incremental +0.14 1987 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.22 1987 · Orson Mobley · incremental +0.36 1987 · Mark Jackson · incremental +0.42 1987 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.49 1987 · Ricky Nattiel · incremental -0.10 1987 · Michael Brooks · incremental -0.13 1987 · Wilbur Strozier · incremental -0.30 1987 · Warren Marshall · incremental -0.54 1988 · Steve Sewell · incremental +0.03 1988 · Marc Munford · incremental +0.08 1988 · Michael Brooks · incremental +0.13 1988 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.29 1988 · Pat Kelly · incremental +0.32 1988 · Mark Jackson · incremental +0.40 1988 · Orson Mobley · incremental +0.57 1988 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.62 1988 · Jim Juriga · incremental +0.68 1988 · Ricky Nattiel · incremental -0.08 1988 · Gerald Perry · incremental -0.66 1988 · Corris Ervin · incremental -0.69 1988 · Garry Frank · incremental -0.71 1988 · Kevin Guidry · incremental -0.82 1988 · Ted Gregory · incremental -2.21 1989 · Steve Sewell · incremental +0.02 1989 · Ricky Nattiel · incremental +0.08 1989 · Pat Kelly · incremental +0.11 1989 · Warren Powers · incremental +0.11 1989 · Michael Brooks · incremental +0.27 1989 · Mel Bratton · incremental +0.30 1989 · Marc Munford · incremental +0.34 1989 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.35 1989 · Orson Mobley · incremental +0.41 1989 · Mark Jackson · incremental +0.55 1989 · Steve Atwater · incremental +0.61 1989 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.66 1989 · Jim Juriga · incremental +0.69 1989 · Darrell Hamilton · incremental -0.04 1989 · Jake McCullough · incremental -0.44 1989 · Doug Widell · incremental -0.52 1989 · Anthony Stafford · incremental -0.57 1989 · Gerald Perry · incremental -0.58 1989 · Darren Carrington · incremental -1.95 1990 · Ronnie Haliburton · incremental +0.05 1990 · Ricky Nattiel · incremental +0.08 1990 · Steve Sewell · incremental +0.09 1990 · Le-Lo Lang · incremental +0.11 1990 · Jeff Davidson · incremental +0.14 1990 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +0.22 1990 · Michael Brooks · incremental +0.24 1990 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.28 1990 · Orson Mobley · incremental +0.32 1990 · Marc Munford · incremental +0.32 1990 · Mel Bratton · incremental +0.39 1990 · Warren Powers · incremental +0.41 1990 · Jim Juriga · incremental +0.50 1990 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.60 1990 · Mark Jackson · incremental +0.65 1990 · Steve Atwater · incremental +1.50 1990 · Doug Widell · incremental -0.01 1990 · Jake McCullough · incremental -0.07 1990 · Gerald Perry · incremental -0.30 1990 · Darrell Hamilton · incremental -0.43 1990 · Alton Montgomery · incremental -0.58 1990 · Jeroy Robinson · incremental -1.31 1991 · Derek Russell · incremental +0.05 1991 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.10 1991 · Steve Sewell · incremental +0.15 1991 · Ricky Nattiel · incremental +0.15 1991 · Greg Lewis · incremental +0.19 1991 · Michael Brooks · incremental +0.24 1991 · Le-Lo Lang · incremental +0.29 1991 · Warren Powers · incremental +0.35 1991 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +0.37 1991 · Mark Jackson · incremental +0.45 1991 · Jeff Davidson · incremental +0.60 1991 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.66 1991 · Steve Atwater · incremental +3.54 1991 · Doug Widell · incremental -0.00 1991 · Alton Montgomery · incremental -0.01 1991 · Ronnie Haliburton · incremental -0.01 1991 · Darrell Hamilton · incremental -0.12 1991 · Reggie Johnson · incremental -0.44 1991 · Nick Subis · incremental -0.47 1991 · Mike Croel · incremental -1.19 1991 · Keith Traylor · incremental -2.69 1992 · Doug Widell · incremental +0.00 1992 · Ricky Nattiel · incremental +0.03 1992 · Frank Robinson · incremental +0.12 1992 · Derek Russell · incremental +0.13 1992 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.16 1992 · Greg Lewis · incremental +0.18 1992 · Le-Lo Lang · incremental +0.25 1992 · Mark Jackson · incremental +0.55 1992 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.60 1992 · Jeff Davidson · incremental +0.60 1992 · Michael Brooks · incremental +1.06 1992 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +1.43 1992 · Steve Atwater · incremental +3.42 1992 · Alton Montgomery · incremental -0.12 1992 · Ron Geater · incremental -0.27 1992 · Jon Bostick · incremental -0.28 1992 · Reggie Johnson · incremental -0.29 1992 · Keith Traylor · incremental -0.34 1992 · Mike Croel · incremental -0.36 1992 · Shane Dronett · incremental -0.52 1992 · Jim Johnson · incremental -0.67 1992 · Chuck Johnson · incremental -0.69 1992 · Tommy Maddox · incremental -6.82 1993 · Frank Robinson · incremental +0.16 1993 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.19 1993 · Rondell Jones · incremental +0.20 1993 · Tony Kimbrough · incremental +0.23 1993 · Derek Russell · incremental +0.25 1993 · Le-Lo Lang · incremental +0.33 1993 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.62 1993 · Steve Atwater · incremental +1.57 1993 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +3.68 1993 · Clarence Williams · incremental -0.27 1993 · Mike Croel · incremental -0.39 1993 · Shane Dronett · incremental -0.40 1993 · Melvin Bonner · incremental -0.41 1993 · Reggie Johnson · incremental -0.56 1993 · Kevin Williams · incremental -0.67 1993 · Dan Williams · incremental -0.79 1993 · Glyn Milburn · incremental -0.84 1993 · Tommy Maddox · incremental -1.01 1993 · Jason Elam · incremental -4.10 1993 · Jeff Robinson · incremental -8.12 1994 · Rondell Jones · incremental +0.01 1994 · Butler By'not'e · incremental +0.05 1994 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.13 1994 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.13 1994 · Tony Kimbrough · incremental +0.15 1994 · Derek Russell · incremental +0.21 1994 · Steve Atwater · incremental +0.55 1994 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +0.57 1994 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.60 1994 · Allen Aldridge · incremental -0.20 1994 · Mike Croel · incremental -0.24 1994 · Dan Williams · incremental -0.30 1994 · Shane Dronett · incremental -0.35 1994 · Jeff Robinson · incremental -0.45 1994 · Glyn Milburn · incremental -0.84 1994 · Keith Burns · incremental -0.87 1994 · Randy Fuller · incremental -0.88 1995 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.03 1995 · Allen Aldridge · incremental +0.09 1995 · Vance Johnson · incremental +0.10 1995 · Rondell Jones · incremental +0.20 1995 · Glyn Milburn · incremental +0.29 1995 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.44 1995 · Simon Fletcher · incremental +0.60 1995 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.68 1995 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +1.49 1995 · Steve Atwater · incremental +1.57 1995 · Shane Dronett · incremental -0.12 1995 · Dan Williams · incremental -0.19 1995 · Jeff Robinson · incremental -0.45 1996 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.10 1996 · Allen Aldridge · incremental +0.11 1996 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.14 1996 · Rondell Jones · incremental +0.23 1996 · Steve Atwater · incremental +0.66 1996 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.74 1996 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +2.76 1996 · Jeff Robinson · incremental -0.45 1996 · Dan Williams · incremental -0.55 1997 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.10 1997 · Allen Aldridge · incremental +0.11 1997 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.13 1997 · Steve Atwater · incremental +0.53 1997 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.86 1997 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +2.84 1997 · Keith Traylor · incremental -0.88 1998 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.10 1998 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.13 1998 · Steve Atwater · incremental +0.63 1998 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.86 1998 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +2.74 1998 · Keith Traylor · incremental -0.74 1999 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.12 1999 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +0.17 1999 · Tom Nalen · incremental +1.81 1999 · Keith Traylor · incremental -0.75 2000 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.07 2000 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.11 2000 · Tom Nalen · incremental +4.01 2000 · Keith Traylor · incremental -0.78 2001 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.03 2001 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.43 2001 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.71 2002 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.14 2002 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.35 2002 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +0.50 2002 · Keith Burns · incremental -0.39 2003 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.10 2003 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.12 2003 · Shannon Sharpe · incremental +0.60 2003 · Tom Nalen · incremental +4.01 2004 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.13 2004 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.77 2005 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.14 2005 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.77 2005 · Keith Burns · incremental -0.48 2006 · Keith Burns · incremental +0.09 2006 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.12 2006 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.71 2007 · Jason Elam · incremental +0.13 2007 · Tom Nalen · incremental +0.24 McGregor -0.9 Atwater +3.5 Traylor -2.7 Atwater +3.4 Maddox -6.8 Sharpe +3.7 Elam -4.1 Robinson -8.1 Sharpe +2.8 Sharpe +2.8 Sharpe +2.7 Nalen +4.0 Nalen +4.0 1985 6 players 1986 8 players 1987 10 players 1988 15 players 1989 19 players 1990 22 players 1991 21 players 1992 23 players 1993 20 players 1994 17 players 1995 13 players 1996 9 players 1997 7 players 1998 6 players 1999 4 players 2000 4 players 2001 3 players 2002 4 players 2003 4 players 2004 2 players 2005 3 players 2006 3 players 2007 2 players Above expectation Below expectation Keli McGregor GM total +8.2 Keli McGregor by season -0.9
How much retained production did Keli McGregor return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: TEs drafted within ±5 picks of Keli McGregor since 2010 (13 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
0 +0.5 Model value above slot 113. Hernandez Aaron Hernandez · model value +1 106. Otton Cade Otton · model value +0.6 114. Pitta Dennis Pitta · model value +0.5 110. Green Ladarius Green · model value +0.5 107. Johnson Theo Johnson · model value +0.4 110. Higbee Tyler Higbee · model value +0.4 115. All Erick All · model value +0.3 107. Herndon Chris Herndon · model value +0.1 112. Bellinger Daniel Bellinger · model value +0.1 110. McGregor Keli McGregor · model value 0 0 111. Rodriguez Evan Rodriguez · model value 0 106. Sims Dion Sims · model value -0.2 105. Trautman Adam Trautman · model value -0.2 115. Bryant Harrison Bryant · model value -0.3 Keli McGregor Slot-similar peers (13)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'86 '88 '89 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.