All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Curtis Martin across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 168
Games started 166
Weighted career AV 102
Pro Bowls 5
AP1 All-Pro 1
Career seasons 11
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 45
Team starts 43
On-team AV 36
On-team PB / AP1 1 / 0
Average -0.19 contribution 36th of 61 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Curtis Martin became a 11-season, 168-game NFL player after going #74. The retained-value model still ranks him 36th of 61 for Bill Parcells because NE only got 45 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.19 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Bill Parcells's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
45
on drafting team · 168 full-career
Games started
43
on drafting team · 166 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
36
modeled; full weighted AV 102
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
1 full-career · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Bill Parcells's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Bill Parcells pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Curtis Martin totals -0.19 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 86. Bruschi #86 · Tedy Bruschi · aggregate +3.98 Bruschi +4.0 23. Law #23 · Ty Law · aggregate +3.31 Law +3.3 168. Lane #168 · Max Lane · aggregate +2.63 Lane +2.6 111. Fabini #111 · Jason Fabini · aggregate +2.15 Fabini +2.2 57. Johnson #57 · Ted Johnson · aggregate +2.13 Johnson +2.1 223. Young #223 · Ryan Young · aggregate +1.62 36. Milloy #36 · Lawyer Milloy · aggregate +1.27 119. Sullivan #119 · Chris Sullivan · aggregate +1.23 197. Machado #197 · J.P. Machado · aggregate +1.22 229. Ferguson #229 · Jason Ferguson · aggregate +0.86 216. Purnell #216 · Lovett Purnell · aggregate +0.72 121. Burke #121 · John Burke · aggregate +0.54 112. Wohlabaugh #112 · Dave Wohlabaugh · aggregate +0.53 135. O'Neill #135 · Pat O'Neill · aggregate +0.52 222. Moore #222 · Marty Moore · aggregate +0.50 195. Grier #195 · Marrio Grier · aggregate +0.36 206. Wyman #206 · Devin Wyman · aggregate +0.36 191. Clements #191 · Chuck Clements · aggregate +0.31 198. Walker #198 · Jay Walker · aggregate +0.30 87. Williams #87 · Kevin Williams · aggregate +0.28 123. Wiltz #123 · Jason Wiltz · aggregate +0.21 88. Ward #88 · Dedric Ward · aggregate +0.15 234. Yancy #234 · Carlos Yancy · aggregate +0.09 146. Spence #146 · Blake Spence · aggregate +0.07 195. Hart #195 · Lawrence Hart · aggregate +0.06 145. Austin #145 · Raymond Austin · aggregate +0.01 173. Griffin #173 · Chris Griffin · aggregate -0.01 202. Rosga #202 · Steve Rosga · aggregate -0.05 166. Hawkins #166 · Steve Hawkins · aggregate -0.12 195. Philyaw #195 · Dino Philyaw · aggregate -0.12 183. Johnson #183 · Dustin Johnson · aggregate -0.15 235. Syvrud #235 · J.J. Syvrud · aggregate -0.15 247. Conrad #247 · J.R. Conrad · aggregate -0.16 162. Jones #162 · Jermaine Jones · aggregate -0.16 174. Brazzell #174 · Chris Brazzell · aggregate -0.17 74. Martin #74 · Curtis Martin · aggregate -0.19 Martin -0.2 101. Irwin #101 · Heath Irwin · aggregate -0.24 56. Boose #56 · Dorian Boose · aggregate -0.27 183. Megna #183 · Marc Megna · aggregate -0.30 67. Frost #67 · Scott Frost · aggregate -0.36 164. Scharf #164 · Tim Scharf · aggregate -0.36 131. Burns #131 · Lamont Burns · aggregate -0.37 124. Barber #124 · Kantroy Barber · aggregate -0.38 104. Johnson #104 · Leon Johnson · aggregate -0.41 134. Dailey #134 · Casey Dailey · aggregate -0.41 102. Day #102 · Terry Day · aggregate -0.42 149. Bateman #149 · Eric Bateman · aggregate -0.46 141. Karczewski #141 · Doug Karczewski · aggregate -0.49 139. Elmore #139 · John Elmore · aggregate -0.51 88. Hitchcock #88 · Jimmy Hitchcock · aggregate -0.54 163. Ogbogu #163 · Eric Ogbogu · aggregate -0.56 78. Collier #78 · Ervin Collier · aggregate -0.61 90. Loverne #90 · David Loverne · aggregate -0.67 90. Burch #90 · Joe Burch · aggregate -0.78 31. Terry #31 · Rick Terry · aggregate -0.92 149. Peter #149 · Christian Peter · aggregate -0.93 57. Thomas #57 · Randy Thomas · aggregate -1.00 35. Lee #35 · Kevin Lee · aggregate -1.03 4. McGinest #4 · Willie McGinest · aggregate -1.07 7. Glenn #7 · Terry Glenn · aggregate -2.36 Glenn -2.4 8. Farrior #8 · James Farrior · aggregate -7.81 Farrior -7.8 Incremental contribution by season -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 1994 · Marty Moore · incremental +0.06 1994 · Max Lane · incremental +0.21 1994 · John Burke · incremental +0.36 1994 · Jay Walker · incremental +0.43 1994 · Pat O'Neill · incremental +0.65 1994 · Kevin Lee · incremental -0.06 1994 · Steve Hawkins · incremental -0.23 1994 · Ervin Collier · incremental -1.05 1994 · Joe Burch · incremental -1.29 1994 · Willie McGinest · incremental -2.37 1995 · Curtis Martin · incremental +0.02 1995 · Pat O'Neill · incremental +0.04 1995 · Carlos Yancy · incremental +0.05 1995 · Ty Law · incremental +0.13 1995 · Marty Moore · incremental +0.17 1995 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.22 1995 · John Burke · incremental +0.35 1995 · Max Lane · incremental +0.77 1995 · Dave Wohlabaugh · incremental -0.02 1995 · Ted Johnson · incremental -0.14 1995 · Jimmy Hitchcock · incremental -0.22 1995 · Dino Philyaw · incremental -0.25 1995 · Kevin Lee · incremental -1.54 1996 · Lawyer Milloy · incremental +0.00 1996 · Lovett Purnell · incremental +0.02 1996 · John Burke · incremental +0.16 1996 · Ty Law · incremental +0.19 1996 · Marty Moore · incremental +0.23 1996 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.25 1996 · Dave Wohlabaugh · incremental +0.26 1996 · Chris Sullivan · incremental +0.34 1996 · Marrio Grier · incremental +0.34 1996 · Devin Wyman · incremental +0.45 1996 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.56 1996 · Max Lane · incremental +0.86 1996 · Heath Irwin · incremental -0.08 1996 · Jimmy Hitchcock · incremental -0.22 1996 · Chris Griffin · incremental -0.24 1996 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental -0.28 1996 · Curtis Martin · incremental -0.30 1996 · J.R. Conrad · incremental -0.33 1996 · Kantroy Barber · incremental -0.66 1996 · John Elmore · incremental -0.86 1996 · Christian Peter · incremental -1.52 1996 · Terry Glenn · incremental -1.85 1997 · Heath Irwin · incremental +0.00 1997 · Lawyer Milloy · incremental +0.03 1997 · Devin Wyman · incremental +0.04 1997 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.15 1997 · Marty Moore · incremental +0.23 1997 · Dave Wohlabaugh · incremental +0.23 1997 · Ty Law · incremental +0.23 1997 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.26 1997 · Marrio Grier · incremental +0.28 1997 · Chuck Clements · incremental +0.44 1997 · Lovett Purnell · incremental +0.48 1997 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.54 1997 · Chris Sullivan · incremental +0.70 1997 · Max Lane · incremental +0.86 1997 · Raymond Austin · incremental -0.05 1997 · Dedric Ward · incremental -0.08 1997 · Jason Ferguson · incremental -0.14 1997 · Steve Rosga · incremental -0.18 1997 · Curtis Martin · incremental -0.24 1997 · Terry Glenn · incremental -0.25 1997 · Leon Johnson · incremental -0.36 1997 · Jimmy Hitchcock · incremental -0.41 1997 · Tim Scharf · incremental -0.65 1997 · Lamont Burns · incremental -0.65 1997 · Terry Day · incremental -0.75 1997 · Rick Terry · incremental -1.46 1997 · James Farrior · incremental -9.52 1998 · Blake Spence · incremental +0.02 1998 · Lawyer Milloy · incremental +0.04 1998 · Dedric Ward · incremental +0.10 1998 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.11 1998 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.13 1998 · Marty Moore · incremental +0.14 1998 · Kevin Williams · incremental +0.16 1998 · Dave Wohlabaugh · incremental +0.25 1998 · Jason Ferguson · incremental +0.30 1998 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.37 1998 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.41 1998 · Lovett Purnell · incremental +0.57 1998 · Chris Sullivan · incremental +0.64 1998 · Max Lane · incremental +0.67 1998 · Ty Law · incremental +1.46 1998 · Heath Irwin · incremental -0.03 1998 · Scott Frost · incremental -0.06 1998 · Lawrence Hart · incremental -0.12 1998 · Terry Glenn · incremental -0.30 1998 · Dustin Johnson · incremental -0.30 1998 · Casey Dailey · incremental -0.32 1998 · Chris Brazzell · incremental -0.34 1998 · Leon Johnson · incremental -0.35 1998 · Dorian Boose · incremental -0.39 1998 · James Farrior · incremental -0.49 1998 · Eric Ogbogu · incremental -0.64 1998 · Eric Bateman · incremental -0.80 1998 · Doug Karczewski · incremental -0.85 1999 · Dorian Boose · incremental +0.01 1999 · Kevin Williams · incremental +0.02 1999 · Scott Frost · incremental +0.02 1999 · J.P. Machado · incremental +0.08 1999 · Dedric Ward · incremental +0.11 1999 · Jason Wiltz · incremental +0.13 1999 · Marty Moore · incremental +0.16 1999 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.16 1999 · Jason Ferguson · incremental +0.16 1999 · Ty Law · incremental +0.20 1999 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.23 1999 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.29 1999 · Chris Sullivan · incremental +0.31 1999 · Max Lane · incremental +0.48 1999 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.51 1999 · Ryan Young · incremental +0.57 1999 · Lawyer Milloy · incremental +1.19 1999 · Leon Johnson · incremental -0.01 1999 · Blake Spence · incremental -0.06 1999 · Eric Ogbogu · incremental -0.10 1999 · Heath Irwin · incremental -0.23 1999 · J.J. Syvrud · incremental -0.30 1999 · Jermaine Jones · incremental -0.36 1999 · Casey Dailey · incremental -0.37 1999 · Marc Megna · incremental -0.55 1999 · David Loverne · incremental -0.63 1999 · James Farrior · incremental -0.74 1999 · Randy Thomas · incremental -1.00 1999 · Terry Glenn · incremental -1.21 2000 · Lawyer Milloy · incremental +0.03 2000 · Dedric Ward · incremental +0.14 2000 · Jason Wiltz · incremental +0.16 2000 · Kevin Williams · incremental +0.20 2000 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.20 2000 · Ty Law · incremental +0.21 2000 · Jason Ferguson · incremental +0.23 2000 · Max Lane · incremental +0.26 2000 · J.P. Machado · incremental +0.35 2000 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.40 2000 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.51 2000 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.56 2000 · Ryan Young · incremental +0.99 2000 · Dorian Boose · incremental -0.00 2000 · Leon Johnson · incremental -0.01 2000 · David Loverne · incremental -0.17 2000 · Randy Thomas · incremental -0.21 2000 · Terry Glenn · incremental -0.47 2000 · Scott Frost · incremental -0.49 2000 · James Farrior · incremental -0.99 2001 · Marty Moore · incremental +0.04 2001 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.11 2001 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.27 2001 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.43 2001 · J.P. Machado · incremental +0.44 2001 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.51 2001 · Lawyer Milloy · incremental +0.58 2001 · Ty Law · incremental +0.66 2001 · Ryan Young · incremental +0.99 2001 · Terry Glenn · incremental -0.08 2001 · Eric Ogbogu · incremental -0.10 2001 · David Loverne · incremental -0.17 2001 · Randy Thomas · incremental -0.18 2001 · James Farrior · incremental -1.68 2002 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.17 2002 · Jason Ferguson · incremental +0.29 2002 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.36 2002 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.39 2002 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.54 2002 · Lawyer Milloy · incremental +0.57 2002 · Ty Law · incremental +0.63 2002 · J.P. Machado · incremental +0.79 2002 · Jimmy Hitchcock · incremental -0.01 2002 · Randy Thomas · incremental -0.25 2003 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.15 2003 · Jason Ferguson · incremental +0.29 2003 · J.P. Machado · incremental +0.35 2003 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.52 2003 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.74 2003 · Ty Law · incremental +1.84 2003 · Willie McGinest · incremental -2.03 2004 · Ty Law · incremental +0.10 2004 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.22 2004 · Jason Ferguson · incremental +0.28 2004 · Ted Johnson · incremental +0.51 2004 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.52 2004 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +1.19 2005 · Willie McGinest · incremental +0.22 2005 · Jason Fabini · incremental +0.27 2005 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.32 2006 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.57 2007 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.56 2008 · Tedy Bruschi · incremental +0.45 McGinest -2.4 Martin +0.0 Lee -1.5 Martin -0.3 Peter -1.5 Glenn -1.8 Martin -0.2 Farrior -9.5 Farrior -1.7 Law +1.8 McGinest -2.0 1994 10 players 1995 13 players 1996 22 players 1997 27 players 1998 28 players 1999 29 players 2000 20 players 2001 14 players 2002 10 players 2003 7 players 2004 6 players 2005 3 players 2006 1 player 2007 1 player 2008 1 player
How much retained production did Curtis Martin return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: RBs drafted within ±5 picks of Curtis Martin since 2010 (13 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 +1 +1.5 Model value above slot 71. Murray DeMarco Murray · model value +1.8 73. Coleman Tevin Coleman · model value +0.5 73. Ridley Stevan Ridley · model value +0.4 75. Mason Tre Mason · model value +0.3 74. Singletary Devin Singletary · model value +0.2 73. Montgomery David Montgomery · model value +0.2 74. Martin Curtis Martin · model value +0.1 +0.1 69. Sims Charles Sims · model value +0.1 70. Henderson Darrell Henderson · model value +0.1 71. Miller Kendre Miller · model value -0.1 77. Johnson Duke Johnson · model value -0.4 73. Drake Kenyan Drake · model value -0.5 71. Freeman Royce Freeman · model value -0.5 76. Vaughn Ke'Shawn Vaughn · model value -0.8 Curtis Martin
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '05 0 42 83 125 166 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (11 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.