← 2004 DRAFT PLAYER PROFILE R1 · #1 OVERALL · QB

Eli Manning

Drafted by LAC · GM A.J. Smith · Mississippi

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Eli Manning across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played236
Games started234
Weighted career AV121
Pro Bowls4
AP1 All-Pro0
Career seasons16

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2004 · Round 1 · #1

LAC draft credit

GM A.J. Smith

Team games0
Team starts0
On-team AV0
On-team PB / AP10 / 0
Terrible-1.28 contribution69th of 74 picks for this GM

Games: complete career recorded elsewhere. Starts: zero starts from zero team games.

Departure: draft rights trade in 2004 to NYG. Source.

Trade-asset value is credited separately from the team games and starts shown above.

Traded asset

Eli Manning was A.J. Smith's 69th-best of 74 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -1.28. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from A.J. Smith's leaderboard composite θ.

Departure context: LAC traded him to NYG in 2004; the data pipeline now treats confirmed trade departures as asset value rather than cut/release value.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
0
on drafting team · 236 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team · 234 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 121
AV / 1k snaps
snap-era only
AV-rate z
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
4 full-career
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
All-Decade
0
context only

Did this pick move A.J. Smith's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every A.J. Smith pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Eli Manning totals -1.28. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

-3-2-10+1+2+350. McNeill#50 · Marcus McNeill · aggregate +3.93McNeill +3.998. Phillips#98 · Shaun Phillips · aggregate +3.13Phillips +3.1187. Clary#187 · Jeromey Clary · aggregate +2.67Clary +2.7209. Olivea#209 · Shane Olivea · aggregate +2.64Olivea +2.665. Kaeding#65 · Nate Kaeding · aggregate +2.60Kaeding +2.612. Merriman#12 · Shawne Merriman · aggregate +2.47Merriman +2.566. Hardwick#66 · Nick Hardwick · aggregate +2.39Hardwick +2.428. Castillo#28 · Luis Castillo · aggregate +1.6137. Weddle#37 · Eric Weddle · aggregate +1.59149. Troutman#149 · Johnnie Troutman · aggregate +1.5749. Reyes#49 · Kendall Reyes · aggregate +1.5462. Kiel#62 · Terrence Kiel · aggregate +1.4061. Jackson#61 · Vincent Jackson · aggregate +1.40110. Green#110 · Ladarius Green · aggregate +1.1479. Butler#79 · Donald Butler · aggregate +1.00188. Milligan#188 · Hanik Milligan · aggregate +0.97242. Mruczkowski#242 · Scott Mruczkowski · aggregate +0.95113. Martin#113 · Vaughn Martin · aggregate +0.9435. Olshansky#35 · Igor Olshansky · aggregate +0.9278. Vasquez#78 · Louis Vasquez · aggregate +0.92133. Green#133 · Tyronne Green · aggregate +0.8818. Ingram#18 · Melvin Ingram · aggregate +0.8612. Mathews#12 · Ryan Mathews · aggregate +0.85204. Bingham#204 · Ryon Bingham · aggregate +0.81240. Siler#240 · Brandon Siler · aggregate +0.74172. Naanee#172 · Legedu Naanee · aggregate +0.54229. Pinnock#229 · Andrew Pinnock · aggregate +0.5469. Hester#69 · Jacob Hester · aggregate +0.4327. Cason#27 · Antoine Cason · aggregate +0.40188. Smith#188 · Kurt Smith · aggregate +0.26201. Schilling#201 · Stephen Schilling · aggregate +0.25234. Gachkar#234 · Andrew Gachkar · aggregate +0.2030. Davis#30 · Sammy Davis · aggregate +0.1582. Brown#82 · Vincent Brown · aggregate +0.09146. Thomas#146 · Cam Thomas · aggregate +0.07112. Wilhelm#112 · Matt Wilhelm · aggregate +0.06169. Krause#169 · Ryan Krause · aggregate +0.0418. Liuget#18 · Corey Liuget · aggregate +0.02189. Ellison#189 · Kevin Ellison · aggregate +0.02168. Crompton#168 · Jonathan Crompton · aggregate +0.02235. Epps#235 · Dedrick Epps · aggregate -0.03225. Page#225 · Chase Page · aggregate -0.04149. Scifres#149 · Mike Scifres · aggregate -0.09110. Stuckey#110 · Darrell Stuckey · aggregate -0.1489. Wright#89 · Shareece Wright · aggregate -0.18224. Byrd#224 · Demetrius Byrd · aggregate -0.19192. Tribble#192 · DeJuan Tribble · aggregate -0.21254. Joseph#254 · Carlos Joseph · aggregate -0.22250. Baker#250 · Edwin Baker · aggregate -0.22151. Dobbins#151 · Tim Dobbins · aggregate -0.29226. Molk#226 · David Molk · aggregate -0.29234. Clark#234 · Corey Clark · aggregate -0.31227. Martin#227 · Jimmy Martin · aggregate -0.31166. Thomas#166 · Marcus Thomas · aggregate -0.34148. Hughes#148 · Brandon Hughes · aggregate -0.39177. Sims#177 · Wes Sims · aggregate -0.43164. Britt#164 · Wesley Britt · aggregate -0.48134. Johnson#134 · Gartrell Johnson · aggregate -0.5080. Buren#80 · Courtney Van Buren · aggregate -0.55154. Turner#154 · Michael Turner · aggregate -0.6019. Cromartie#19 · Antonio Cromartie · aggregate -0.6296. Waters#96 · Anthony Waters · aggregate -0.6830. Davis#30 · Craig Davis · aggregate -0.7673. Taylor#73 · Brandon Taylor · aggregate -0.8350. Gilchrist#50 · Marcus Gilchrist · aggregate -1.05183. Todman#183 · Jordan Todman · aggregate -1.1261. Mouton#61 · Jonas Mouton · aggregate -1.1816. English#16 · Larry English · aggregate -1.261. Manning#1 · Eli Manning · aggregate -1.28Manning -1.3133. Ball#133 · Dave Ball · aggregate -1.3546. Florence#46 · Drayton Florence · aggregate -1.54129. Chandler#129 · Scott Chandler · aggregate -1.8881. Whitehurst#81 · Charlie Whitehurst · aggregate -2.56Whitehurst -2.6130. Sproles#130 · Darren Sproles · aggregate -3.37Sproles -3.4

Incremental contribution by season

-8-6-4-20+2+4+6+8+10+122003 · Sammy Davis · incremental +0.112003 · Andrew Pinnock · incremental +0.262003 · Terrence Kiel · incremental +0.402003 · Hanik Milligan · incremental -0.022003 · Matt Wilhelm · incremental -0.132003 · Courtney Van Buren · incremental -0.862003 · Drayton Florence · incremental -1.032003 · Mike Scifres · incremental -2.542004 · Ryan Krause · incremental +0.042004 · Matt Wilhelm · incremental +0.052004 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.082004 · Andrew Pinnock · incremental +0.102004 · Sammy Davis · incremental +0.122004 · Igor Olshansky · incremental +0.132004 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.152004 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202004 · Hanik Milligan · incremental +0.242004 · Terrence Kiel · incremental +0.702004 · Shane Olivea · incremental +1.102004 · Ryon Bingham · incremental -0.012004 · Courtney Van Buren · incremental -0.042004 · Drayton Florence · incremental -0.212004 · Carlos Joseph · incremental -0.392004 · Nate Kaeding · incremental -0.552004 · Michael Turner · incremental -0.892004 · Dave Ball · incremental -1.932004 · Eli Manning · incremental -5.892005 · Ryon Bingham · incremental +0.022005 · Scott Mruczkowski · incremental +0.082005 · Sammy Davis · incremental +0.102005 · Matt Wilhelm · incremental +0.112005 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202005 · Andrew Pinnock · incremental +0.212005 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +0.242005 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.272005 · Igor Olshansky · incremental +0.292005 · Luis Castillo · incremental +0.332005 · Terrence Kiel · incremental +0.512005 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.532005 · Shawne Merriman · incremental +0.932005 · Shane Olivea · incremental +1.032005 · Hanik Milligan · incremental +1.472005 · Michael Turner · incremental -0.012005 · Ryan Krause · incremental -0.192005 · Dave Ball · incremental -0.222005 · Drayton Florence · incremental -0.322005 · Vincent Jackson · incremental -0.472005 · Wes Sims · incremental -0.732005 · Wesley Britt · incremental -0.832005 · Darren Sproles · incremental -2.022006 · Andrew Pinnock · incremental +0.052006 · Matt Wilhelm · incremental +0.122006 · Vincent Jackson · incremental +0.132006 · Scott Mruczkowski · incremental +0.132006 · Kurt Smith · incremental +0.202006 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202006 · Igor Olshansky · incremental +0.312006 · Luis Castillo · incremental +0.332006 · Ryon Bingham · incremental +0.342006 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.512006 · Terrence Kiel · incremental +0.642006 · Shane Olivea · incremental +1.122006 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +1.232006 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +1.352006 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +1.752006 · Marcus McNeill · incremental +1.912006 · Shawne Merriman · incremental +2.832006 · Tim Dobbins · incremental -0.052006 · Michael Turner · incremental -0.072006 · Chase Page · incremental -0.172006 · Antonio Cromartie · incremental -0.192006 · Drayton Florence · incremental -0.452006 · Jimmy Martin · incremental -0.562006 · Charlie Whitehurst · incremental -4.212007 · Tim Dobbins · incremental +0.062007 · Legedu Naanee · incremental +0.162007 · Vincent Jackson · incremental +0.172007 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202007 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +0.242007 · Brandon Siler · incremental +0.252007 · Scott Mruczkowski · incremental +0.262007 · Luis Castillo · incremental +0.332007 · Andrew Pinnock · incremental +0.372007 · Igor Olshansky · incremental +0.382007 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.432007 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +0.452007 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.462007 · Ryon Bingham · incremental +0.542007 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.562007 · Shane Olivea · incremental +0.662007 · Antonio Cromartie · incremental +0.762007 · Shawne Merriman · incremental +0.972007 · Marcus McNeill · incremental +1.822007 · Michael Turner · incremental -0.012007 · Matt Wilhelm · incremental -0.052007 · Darren Sproles · incremental -0.312007 · Drayton Florence · incremental -0.312007 · Anthony Waters · incremental -0.382007 · Craig Davis · incremental -0.602007 · Scott Chandler · incremental -3.132008 · Matt Wilhelm · incremental +0.042008 · Jacob Hester · incremental +0.152008 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.202008 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202008 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +0.212008 · Legedu Naanee · incremental +0.232008 · Brandon Siler · incremental +0.242008 · Vincent Jackson · incremental +0.252008 · Scott Mruczkowski · incremental +0.292008 · Igor Olshansky · incremental +0.322008 · Ryon Bingham · incremental +0.402008 · Luis Castillo · incremental +0.502008 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.532008 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.572008 · Marcus McNeill · incremental +0.702008 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +0.862008 · Shawne Merriman · incremental -0.012008 · Craig Davis · incremental -0.082008 · Antoine Cason · incremental -0.152008 · Corey Clark · incremental -0.272008 · Tim Dobbins · incremental -0.332008 · DeJuan Tribble · incremental -0.442008 · Darren Sproles · incremental -0.462008 · Marcus Thomas · incremental -0.602008 · Antonio Cromartie · incremental -0.612008 · Anthony Waters · incremental -0.742009 · Tyronne Green · incremental +0.002009 · Vaughn Martin · incremental +0.132009 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.132009 · Antoine Cason · incremental +0.142009 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.162009 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202009 · Louis Vasquez · incremental +0.232009 · Legedu Naanee · incremental +0.262009 · Jacob Hester · incremental +0.312009 · Scott Mruczkowski · incremental +0.352009 · Brandon Siler · incremental +0.432009 · Luis Castillo · incremental +0.462009 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +0.532009 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.572009 · Marcus McNeill · incremental +0.792009 · Vincent Jackson · incremental +0.972009 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +3.212009 · Kevin Ellison · incremental -0.032009 · Shawne Merriman · incremental -0.032009 · Craig Davis · incremental -0.052009 · Tim Dobbins · incremental -0.062009 · Corey Clark · incremental -0.282009 · Demetrius Byrd · incremental -0.372009 · Antonio Cromartie · incremental -0.652009 · Brandon Hughes · incremental -0.732009 · Larry English · incremental -0.812009 · Gartrell Johnson · incremental -0.852009 · Darren Sproles · incremental -1.302010 · Vincent Jackson · incremental +0.062010 · Vaughn Martin · incremental +0.162010 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +0.192010 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202010 · Antoine Cason · incremental +0.242010 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.252010 · Legedu Naanee · incremental +0.262010 · Jacob Hester · incremental +0.262010 · Louis Vasquez · incremental +0.272010 · Scott Mruczkowski · incremental +0.282010 · Brandon Siler · incremental +0.302010 · Tyronne Green · incremental +0.382010 · Ryan Mathews · incremental +0.482010 · Luis Castillo · incremental +0.532010 · Marcus McNeill · incremental +0.552010 · Cam Thomas · incremental +0.572010 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.652010 · Donald Butler · incremental +0.702010 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +0.862010 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +1.512010 · Shawne Merriman · incremental -0.012010 · Jonathan Crompton · incremental -0.022010 · Dedrick Epps · incremental -0.262010 · Larry English · incremental -0.372010 · Craig Davis · incremental -0.492010 · Darrell Stuckey · incremental -0.552010 · Darren Sproles · incremental -1.582011 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +0.012011 · Luis Castillo · incremental +0.022011 · Darrell Stuckey · incremental +0.172011 · Scott Mruczkowski · incremental +0.182011 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202011 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.202011 · Antoine Cason · incremental +0.232011 · Jacob Hester · incremental +0.232011 · Shareece Wright · incremental +0.272011 · Vincent Brown · incremental +0.342011 · Louis Vasquez · incremental +0.372011 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.402011 · Tyronne Green · incremental +0.412011 · Marcus McNeill · incremental +0.432011 · Donald Butler · incremental +0.492011 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.632011 · Vaughn Martin · incremental +0.662011 · Andrew Gachkar · incremental +0.682011 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +0.832011 · Ryan Mathews · incremental +0.842011 · Stephen Schilling · incremental +0.912011 · Vincent Jackson · incremental +0.952011 · Larry English · incremental -0.002011 · Cam Thomas · incremental -0.022011 · Jonas Mouton · incremental -1.102011 · Corey Liuget · incremental -1.152011 · Marcus Gilchrist · incremental -1.262011 · Jordan Todman · incremental -1.812012 · Stephen Schilling · incremental +0.002012 · Nate Kaeding · incremental +0.052012 · Ryan Mathews · incremental +0.112012 · Darrell Stuckey · incremental +0.142012 · Andrew Gachkar · incremental +0.152012 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202012 · Antoine Cason · incremental +0.242012 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.252012 · Corey Liuget · incremental +0.322012 · Louis Vasquez · incremental +0.382012 · Donald Butler · incremental +0.382012 · Tyronne Green · incremental +0.512012 · Vaughn Martin · incremental +0.552012 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.582012 · Shaun Phillips · incremental +0.592012 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +0.672012 · Ladarius Green · incremental +1.802012 · Kendall Reyes · incremental +2.222012 · Johnnie Troutman · incremental -0.032012 · Cam Thomas · incremental -0.052012 · Shareece Wright · incremental -0.082012 · Larry English · incremental -0.122012 · Marcus Gilchrist · incremental -0.212012 · Melvin Ingram · incremental -0.332012 · Edwin Baker · incremental -0.412012 · David Molk · incremental -0.482012 · Jonas Mouton · incremental -0.802012 · Brandon Taylor · incremental -1.402013 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.022013 · Darrell Stuckey · incremental +0.032013 · Vincent Brown · incremental +0.122013 · Ryan Mathews · incremental +0.142013 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202013 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.232013 · Corey Liuget · incremental +0.312013 · Donald Butler · incremental +0.392013 · Ladarius Green · incremental +0.472013 · Kendall Reyes · incremental +0.632013 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.652013 · Jeromey Clary · incremental +0.802013 · Johnnie Troutman · incremental +1.532013 · Andrew Gachkar · incremental -0.012013 · Stephen Schilling · incremental -0.082013 · Cam Thomas · incremental -0.172013 · Shareece Wright · incremental -0.272013 · Marcus Gilchrist · incremental -0.462013 · Charlie Whitehurst · incremental -0.742013 · Larry English · incremental -0.822014 · Andrew Gachkar · incremental +0.012014 · Ryan Mathews · incremental +0.032014 · Nick Hardwick · incremental +0.032014 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.082014 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.162014 · Corey Liuget · incremental +0.312014 · Ladarius Green · incremental +0.332014 · Donald Butler · incremental +0.382014 · Kendall Reyes · incremental +0.552014 · Eric Weddle · incremental +1.342014 · Johnnie Troutman · incremental +2.222014 · Darrell Stuckey · incremental -0.002014 · Shareece Wright · incremental -0.272014 · Marcus Gilchrist · incremental -0.462015 · Vincent Brown · incremental +0.012015 · Darrell Stuckey · incremental +0.042015 · Eric Weddle · incremental +0.152015 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.162015 · Mike Scifres · incremental +0.202015 · Corey Liuget · incremental +0.212015 · Ladarius Green · incremental +0.362015 · Donald Butler · incremental +0.392015 · Kendall Reyes · incremental +0.612016 · Darrell Stuckey · incremental +0.042016 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.152016 · Corey Liuget · incremental +0.312017 · Corey Liuget · incremental +0.192017 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.662018 · Corey Liuget · incremental +0.092018 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.642019 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.612020 · Melvin Ingram · incremental +0.07Scifres -2.5Ball -1.9Manning -5.9Sproles -2.0McNeill +1.9Merriman +2.8Whitehurst -4.2McNeill +1.8Chandler -3.1Kaeding +3.2Todman -1.8Reyes +2.2Troutman +2.220038 players200419 players200523 players200624 players200726 players200826 players200928 players201027 players201128 players201228 players201320 players201414 players20159 players20163 players20172 players20182 players20191 player20201 player
Above expectationBelow expectationEli ManningGM total +17.7Eli Manning by season -5.9

How much retained production did Eli Manning return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: QBs drafted within ±5 picks of Eli Manning since 2010 (27 players). Dark marks are GOAT-tier benchmarks (Brady, Manning, Mahomes) for orientation.The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

-10+1+2+3+4Model value above slot1. ManningPeyton Manning · model value +4.9+4.9199. BradyTom Brady · model value +4.5+4.51. ManningEli Manning · model value +3.3+3.310. MahomesPatrick Mahomes · model value +2.8+2.81. NewtonCam Newton · model value +1.66. HerbertJustin Herbert · model value +1.31. LuckAndrew Luck · model value +1.22. DanielsJayden Daniels · model value +1.11. MurrayKyler Murray · model value +0.91. BurrowJoe Burrow · model value +0.83. MayeDrake Maye · model value +0.75. TagovailoaTua Tagovailoa · model value +0.41. LawrenceTrevor Lawrence · model value +0.22. StroudC.J. Stroud · model value +0.11. WilliamsCaleb Williams · model value 03. BortlesBlake Bortles · model value -0.26. JonesDaniel Jones · model value -0.31. WinstonJameis Winston · model value -0.31. MayfieldBaker Mayfield · model value -0.41. GoffJared Goff · model value -0.42. MariotaMarcus Mariota · model value -0.54. RichardsonAnthony Richardson · model value -0.52. TrubiskyMitchell Trubisky · model value -0.71. YoungBryce Young · model value -0.72. WentzCarson Wentz · model value -0.72. IIIRobert Griffin III · model value -0.81. BradfordSam Bradford · model value -1.12. WilsonZach Wilson · model value -1.33. LanceTrey Lance · model value -1.31. WardCam Ward · model value -1.63. DarnoldSam Darnold · model value -1.7
Eli ManningSlot-similar peers (27)GOAT QBs (Brady, Manning, Mahomes)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

'04'06'08'10'12'14'16'18'1905911717623401Cumulative GSHonors count
Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (16 scored seasons)

YearTeamGPGSSnapsSnap-zAVAV/snapPBAP1AP2
2004NYG970
2005NYG161615
2006NYG161612
2007NYG161610
2008NYG161612
2009NYG161613
2010NYG161612
2011NYG161615
2012NYG161616
2013NYG16169871.277.1
2014NYG16161,1091.51311.7
2015NYG16161,1071.61412.6
2016NYG16161,0631.398.5
2017NYG15151,0171.476.9
2018NYG16161,0091.31211.9
2019NYG44248-0.5312.1

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